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History > 2011 > USA > International (IX)

 


 

 

 

Libyan Woman Accuses Gadhafi Troops of Rape

 

A distraught Libyan woman [ Eman al-Obaidi ]

stormed into a Tripoli hotel Saturday

to tell foreign reporters that government troops raped her

 setting off a brawl when hotel staff and government minders

tried to detain her.

26 March 2011

YouTube > AP

https://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=s8W6PwhFkLk

 

Related

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/11/us-libya-rape-qatar-idUSTRE74A6CP20110511
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-woman-mother-idUSTRE72S0LK20110329
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/africa/28tripoli.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/27/world/middleeast/27tripoli.html

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Libya says Gaddafi stays,

wounded relate siege hell

 

TRIPOLI/SFAX, Tunisia | Mon Apr 4, 2011
8:46pm EDT
By Maria Golovnina and Tarek Amara

 

TRIPOLI/SFAX, Tunisia (Reuters) - Forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi are staging a "massacre" in the besieged city of Misrata, evacuees said on Monday, as Libya said it was ready to discuss political reform, led by Gaddafi.

Libyan TV showed footage of Gaddafi saluting supporters outside his fortified compound in Tripoli. But some residents of the capital, angered by fuel shortages and long queues for basic goods caused by a popular revolt and Western sanctions and air strikes, began openly predicting his imminent downfall.

Government spokesman Mussa Ibrahim said Libya was ready for a "political solution" with world powers.

"We could have any political system, any changes: constitution, election, anything. But the leader has to lead this forward," he told reporters when asked about the content of negotiations with other countries.

With Libya in chaos, an official in neighboring Algeria told Reuters al Qaeda was exploiting the conflict to acquire weapons, including surface-to-air missiles.

The U.S. State Department said it had raised concerns with the Libyan rebels about the Islamist group obtaining arms in the east of the country, where they are battling Gaddafi's forces.

Evacuees from Misrata, the rebels' last major stronghold in western Libya, described the city as "hell". They said Gaddafi's troops were using tanks and snipers against residents, littering the streets with corpses and filling hospitals with the wounded.

"You have to visit Misrata to see the massacre by Gaddafi," said Omar Boubaker, a 40-year-old engineer with a bullet wound to the leg, brought to the Tunisian port of Sfax by a French aid group. "Corpses are in the street. Hospitals are overflowing."

Misrata rose up with other towns against Gaddafi last month but most others have been retaken by government forces.

"I could live or die, but I am thinking of my family and friends who are stranded in the hell of Misrata," said tearful evacuee Abdullah Lacheeb, who had serious injuries to his pelvis and stomach and a bullet wound in his leg.

"Imagine, they use tanks against civilians. He (Gaddafi) is prepared to kill everyone there."

 

GADDAFI GREETING

State TV showed what it said was live footage of Gaddafi briefly waving to supporters through the roof of a Jeep outside his compound while bodyguards tried to prevent them mobbing him.

But in the lanes of Tripoli's medieval market, some openly forecast his fall as rebels battle his forces in eastern Libya.

"People from the east will come here. Maybe in two weeks," said one entrepreneur who asked that his name not be used for fear of reprisals. "But now, people are afraid."

Stalemate on the frontline in the east, defections from Gaddafi's circle and the plight of civilians caught in fighting, or facing shortages, have prompted a flurry of diplomacy.

Turkey said it was seeking to broker a ceasefire as an envoy from Gaddafi's government traveled to Ankara from Athens.

"Turkey will continue to do its best to end the suffering and to contribute to the process of making a road map that includes the political demands of Libyan people," Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said.

Turkey also expected envoys from the rebel National Council soon, he added. A Turkish official said both sides "conveyed that they have some opinions about a possible ceasefire".

 

ITALY SAYS GADDAFI MUST GO

Spokesman Ibrahim said Libya was ready to listen to outside reform proposals and "try our best to meet you in the middle".

But he added: "No one can come to the Libyan nation and say to them: 'You have to lose your leader, or your system, or your regime' ... Who are you to say that?"

Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini dismissed Libya's stance. "A solution for the future of Libya has a pre-condition: that Gaddafi's regime leaves and is out and that Gaddafi himself and his family leave the country," he said.

In Washington, the U.S. Treasury said it had lifted sanctions against former Libyan foreign minister Moussa Koussa in the hope that other senior officials would defect.

Koussa fled to Britain last week.

Scottish police, who want to question him over the 1988 Lockerbie airliner bombing, for which Libya accepted responsibility and paid compensation to relatives of the 270 dead, were expected to meet him within days.

U.N.-mandated air strikes to protect civilians, led by the United States, France and Britain, have so far failed to halt attacks in Misrata by the Libyan army.

At least five people died when Gaddafi's forces shelled a residential area of the city late on Monday, a doctor said.

"The reception in the hospital is full. Five people were confirmed killed in the last two hours and five more are in a critical condition," the doctor, who gave his name as Ramadan, told Reuters by phone from the city.

Libyan officials deny attacking civilians in Misrata, saying they are fighting armed gangs linked to al Qaeda. Accounts from Misrata cannot be independently verified as Libyan authorities are not allowing journalists to report freely from there.

A Turkish ship that sailed into Misrata to rescue 250 wounded was protected by Turkish warplanes and warships and had to leave in a hurry after thousands pressed forward on the dock, pleading to be evacuated. Another ship operated by Medecins Sans Frontieres docked in Sfax with 71 wounded from Misrata.

Abdel Rahman, a witness from Zintan, another rebel hold-out 160 km southwest of Tripoli, said the situation there was grim.

"Gaddafi's militias are still besieging the town. Petrol is running short and most cars are parked. Few people drive their cars. We are also worried that if this goes on for much longer, we will have food shortages too...

"Coalition aircraft fly over but they don't hit the tanks, military vehicles and soldiers surrounding Zintan."

 

AL QAEDA CONVOY

In Algiers, a senior security official said that Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), the Islamist group's regional wing, was getting hold of weapons in eastern Libya.

The Algerian official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said a convoy of eight Toyota pick-up trucks had left eastern Libya and headed via Chad and Niger to northern Mali, where in the past few days it had delivered a cargo of weapons.

"We know that this is not the first convoy and that it is still ongoing," the official said. "Several military barracks have been pillaged in this region (eastern Libya) with their arsenals and weapons stores, and the elements of AQIM who were present could not have failed to profit from this opportunity."

In Washington, State Department spokesman Mark Toner said the United States had raised its concerns with the rebels.

Gaddafi says the uprising is fueled by Islamist radicals and Western nations who want to control Libya's oil. The rebels, whose stronghold is the eastern city of Benghazi, say they only want the removal of Gaddafi and his circle.

After chasing each other up and down the coast road linking the oil ports of eastern Libya with Gaddafi's tribal heartland further west, the two sides are stuck around Brega, a sparsely populated settlement spread over more than 25 km (15 miles).

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Tulay Karadeniz and Simon Cameron-Moore in Ankara, Lamine Chikhi and Christian Lowe in Algiers, Ibon Villelabeitia and Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Joseph Nasr in Berlin, Justyna Pawlak in Brussels, Karolina Tagaris in London; Writing by David Stamp and Kevin Liffey; editing by Philippa Fletcher)

    Libya says Gaddafi stays, wounded relate siege hell, R, 4.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/05/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110405

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan wounded describe "hell" of Misrata

 

SFAX, Tunisia/ BREGA, Libya | Mon Apr 4, 2011
12:38pm EDT
Reuters
By Tarek Amara and Alexander Dziadosz

 

SFAX, Tunisia/ BREGA, Libya (Reuters) - Gaddafi forces using tanks and snipers are carrying out a "massacre" in Misrata with corpses on the streets and hospitals full of the wounded, evacuees said, with one describing the besieged city as "hell."

Misrata, Libya's third city, rose up with other towns against Muammar Gaddafi's rule in mid-February, and it is now under attack by government troops after a violent crackdown put an end to most protests elsewhere in the west of the country.

"You have to visit Misrata to see the massacre by Gaddafi," said Omar Boubaker, a 40-year-old engineer with a bullet wound to the leg, brought to the Tunisian port of Sfax by a French aid group. "Corpses are in the street. Hospitals are overflowing."

Stalemate on the frontline of fighting in eastern Libya, defections from Gaddafi's circle and the plight of civilians caught in fighting or facing food and fuel shortages prompted a flurry of diplomacy to find a solution to the civil war.

But the evacuees from Misrata had more immediate concerns.

"I could live or die but I am thinking of my family and friends who are stranded in the hell of Misrata," said tearful evacuee Abdullah Lacheeb, who had serious injuries to his pelvis and stomach and a bullet wound in his leg.

"Imagine, they use tanks against civilians. He (Gaddafi) is prepared to kill everyone there ... I am thinking of my family."

Swathed in bandages, evacuees gave some of the most detailed accounts yet of conditions in Misrata, the last major rebel-held city in western Libya which recalled sieges of town and cities in the Bosnian conflict.

U.N.-mandated air strikes to protect civilians have so far failed to halt attacks by the Libyan army, which residents said stationed snipers on rooftops and fired mortars and artillery at populated areas of the city with devastating effect.

Libyan officials deny attacking civilians in Misrata, saying they are fighting armed gangs linked to al Qaeda. Accounts from Misrata cannot be independently verified as Libyan authorities are not allowing journalists to report freely from there.

A rebel spokesman said the city was shelled on Monday.

"The shelling started in the early hours of the morning and it's continuing, using mortars and artillery. This is pure terrorism. The shelling is targeting residential areas," the spokesman, called Gemal, told Reuters by telephone, adding:

"We know there are casualties but I don't know how many."

 

THOUSANDS LEFT BEHIND

A Turkish ship that sailed into Misrata to rescue 250 wounded was protected by Turkish warplanes and warships and had to leave in a hurry after thousands pressed forward on the dock, pleading to be evacuated.

Another ship operated by Medecins Sans Frontieres docked in Sfax in Tunisia with 71 wounded from Misrata. Many had bullet wounds and broken limbs.

Fears of a massacre in Misrata are helping to propel efforts this week to try and secure a ceasefire in the North African oil-producing desert state. Sfax echoed to the sound of sirens as a stream of ambulances ferried the wounded to hospital.

"We cannot do anything against this massacre any more. We ask the Americans and the Europeans to put people on the ground and help us end these crimes," said another injured man, Imed.

A Libyan envoy was in Europe on Monday seeking to end the civil war that has become locked in a battlefield stalemate between rebels and forces loyal to Gaddafi.

Libya wanted a negotiated political settlement, Greek officials said, because a military solution to the conflict between rag-tag rebels backed by Western air power and Gaddafi's better armed troops now looked impossible.

"The Libyan envoy wanted to convey that Libya has the intention to negotiate," a Greek official said after the visit by Libyan Deputy Foreign Minister Abdelati Obeidi. "We don't think that there can be a military solution to this crisis."

Obeidi arrived in Turkey on Monday for the next leg of his mission and a Turkish foreign ministry official said both sides in the conflict had "conveyed that they have some opinions about a possible ceasefire." Obeidi is due in Malta on Tuesday.

Beyond a willingness to talk, there was no sign of what Libya might offer to end the war that is bogged down on a frontline around the eastern oil town of Brega, while civilians are bombarded by Gaddafi forces in western rebel holdouts.

 

ITALY SAYS GADDAFI MUST QUIT

Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini, who had spoken to Greek officials, dismissed the Libyan envoy's message saying a divided Libya was not acceptable and Gaddafi must quit.

After a meeting with Ali Essawi, a member of the Libyan rebel council looking after foreign affairs, Frattini said Italy, the former colonial power in Libya, backed the rebels.

"A solution for the future of Libya has a pre-condition -- that Gaddafi's regime leaves and is out and that Gaddafi himself and his family leave the country," he said, adding an interim government headed by one of Gaddafi's sons was "not an option."

One diplomat cautioned, however, that any diplomatic compromise -- for example one in which Gaddafi handed over power to one of his sons -- could lead to the partition of Libya.

"Various scenarios are being discussed," said the diplomat. "Everyone wants a quick solution."

If there were eventually to be a ceasefire leading to the partition of Libya, control of revenues from the oil ports, including Brega and Ras Lanuf to the west, would be crucial.

Gaddafi believes the uprising is fueled by Islamist radicals and Western nations who want to control Libya's oil. The rebels, whose stronghold is in the eastern city of Benghazi, want nothing less than the removal of Gaddafi and his circle.

The U.N.-mandated military intervention, in which warplanes have attacked Gaddafi's armor, radars and air defenses, began on March 19 and was intended to protect civilians caught up in fighting between pro-Gaddafi forces and the rebels.

Neither the Gaddafi troops nor the mostly disorganized rebel force have been able to gain the upper hand on the frontline, despite the Western air power in effect aiding the insurgents.

After chasing each other up and down the coast road linking the oil ports of eastern Libya with Gaddafi's tribal heartland further west, the two sides are stuck around Brega, a sparsely populated settlement spread over more than 25 km (15 miles).

Rebels pushed the army out of much of Brega and toward the outskirts of the sprawling oil town on Monday in a slow advance west, but were still facing bombardment with each step.

 

REBELS MORE ORGANISED

Showing signs of greater organization than in past weeks, rebels moved more cautiously and held ground more stubbornly than before despite facing Gaddafi's better-equipped forces.

"Gaddafi's forces are waiting at the western gate exactly. Any advance by the rebels, they fire at them with mortars," said rebel fighter Youssef Shawadi, a few kilometers from the gate.

Near the university -- a focus of five days of clashes -- thuds and blasts could be heard from around the western gate. Black smoke rose as the two sides fired rockets at each other.

The rebels, who need modern weapons and better training if they are to match Gaddafi's forces, said the army had laid mines and booby-traps as they withdrew west from the university.

With warfare raging in Libya, a senior security official from Algeria said al Qaeda was using the conflict to acquire weapons and smuggle them to a stronghold in northern Mali.

He told Reuters he had information that Al Qaeda's north African wing, known as al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), had acquired from Libya Russian-made shoulder-fired Strela surface-to-air missiles known by the NATO designation SAM-7.

"Several military barracks have been pillaged in this region (eastern Libya) with their arsenals and weapons stores and the elements of AQIM who were present could not have failed to profit from this opportunity," he said, adding:

"If the Gaddafi regime goes, it is the whole of Libya ... which will disappear, at least for a good time, long enough for AQIM to re-deploy as far as the Libyan Mediterranean."

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Christian Lowe in Algiers, Ibon Villelabeitia, Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Joseph Nasr in Berlin, Justyna Pawlak in Brussels, Tarek Amara, Karolina Tagaris in London; Writing by Peter Millership; Editing by Giles Elgood)

    Libyan wounded describe "hell" of Misrata, R, G, 4.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110404

 

 

 

 

 

Exclusive:

Al Qaeda acquiring weapons in Libya:Algerian official

 

ALGIERS | Mon Apr 4, 2011
10:15am EDT
By Lamine Chikhi
Reuters

 

ALGIERS (Reuters) - Al Qaeda is exploiting the conflict in Libya to acquire weapons, including surface-to-air missiles, and smuggle them to a stronghold in northern Mali, a security official from neighboring Algeria told Reuters.

The official said a convoy of eight Toyota pick-up trucks left eastern Libya, crossed into Chad and then Niger, and from there into northern Mali where in the past few days it delivered a cargo of weapons.

He said the weapons included Russian-made RPG-7 anti-tank rocket-propelled grenades, Kalashnikov heavy machine guns, Kalashnikov rifles, explosives and ammunition.

He also said he had information that al Qaeda's north African wing, known as al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), had acquired from Libya Russian-made shoulder-fired Strela surface-to-air missiles known by the NATO designation SAM-7.

"A convoy of eight Toyotas full of weapons traveled a few days ago through Chad and Niger and reached northern Mali," said the official, speaking on condition of anonymity.

"The weapons included RPG-7s, FMPK (Kalashnikov heavy machine guns), Kalashnikovs, explosives and ammunition ... and we know that this is not the first convoy and that it is still ongoing," the official told Reuters.

"Several military barracks have been pillaged in this region (eastern Libya) with their arsenals and weapons stores and the elements of AQIM who were present could not have failed to profit from this opportunity."

"AQIM, which has maintained excellent relations with smugglers who used to cross Libya from all directions without the slightest difficulty, will probably give them the task of bringing it the weapons," said the official.

The official said that al Qaeda was exploiting disarray among forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, and had also infiltrated the anti-Gaddafi rebels in eastern Libya.

The rebels deny any ties to al Qaeda. U.S. Admiral James Stavridis, NATO's supreme allied commander for Europe, said last week intelligence showed only "flickers" of an al Qaeda presence in Libya, with no significant role in the Libyan uprising.

"AQIM ... is taking advantage by acquiring the most sophisticated weapons such as SAM-7s (surface-to-air missiles), which are equivalent to Stingers," he said, referring to a missile system used by the U.S. military.

Algeria has been fighting a nearly two-decade insurgency by Islamist militants who in the past few years have been operating under the banner of al Qaeda. Algeria's security forces also monitor al Qaeda's activities outside its borders.

The security official said the Western coalition which has intervened in Libya had to confront the possibility that if Gaddafi's regime falls, al Qaeda could exploit the resulting chaos to extend its influence to the Mediterranean coast.

"If the Gaddafi regime goes, it is the whole of Libya -- in terms of a country which has watertight borders and security and customs services which used to control these borders -- which will disappear, at least for a good time, long enough for AQIM to re-deploy as far as the Libyan Mediterranean."

"In the case of Libya, the coalition forces must make an urgent choice. To allow chaos to settle in, which will necessitate ... a ground intervention with the aim of limiting the unavoidable advance of AQIM toward the southern coast of the Mediterranean, or to preserve the Libyan regime, with or without Gaddafi, to restore the pre-uprising security situation," the official told Reuters.

 

(Editing by Christian Lowe and Jon Hemming)

    Exclusive: Al Qaeda acquiring weapons in Libya:Algerian official, R, 4.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-libya-qaeda-algeria-idUSTRE73335320110404

 

 

 

 

 

Special Report:

How Libya is a showcase in the new arms race

 

PARIS | Mon Apr 4, 2011
7:14am EDT
Reuters
By Tim Hepher and Karen Jacobs

 

PARIS (Reuters) - The photograph shows a French Rafale warplane at the Mitiga air base outside Tripoli. A small crowd of men, women and children mill around the fighter, its tail fin lit up by the North African sun.

Taken at an air show in October 2009, the picture is one of several grabbed by military aviation photographers from Dutch website scramble.nl that highlight one of the ironies in the West's enforcement of a no-fly zone over Libya. To take out Muammar Gaddafi's air defenses, western powers such as France and Italy are using the very aircraft and weapons that only months ago they were showing off to the Libyan leader. French Rafales like those on show in 2009, for instance, flew the western alliance's very first missions over Libya just over two weeks ago. One of the Rafale's theoretical targets: Libya's French-built Mirage jets which Paris had recently agreed to repair.

The Libyan operation also marks the combat debut for the Eurofighter Typhoon, a competitor to the Dassault Rafale built by Britain, Germany, Italy and Spain. An Italian Air Force version of that plane was snapped at the 2009 show hosted by Libyan generals. Two weeks ago, that base - to which arms firms including Dassault returned last November - was attacked by the West.

Times change, allegiances shift, but weapons companies will always find takers for their goods. Libya won't be buying new kit any time soon. But the no-fly zone has become a prime showcase for other potential weapons customers, underlining the power of western combat jets and smart bombs, or reminding potential buyers of the defensive systems needed to repel them.

"This is turning into the best shop window for competing aircraft for years. More even than in Iraq in 2003," says Francis Tusa, editor of UK-based Defense Analysis. "You are seeing for the first time on an operation the Typhoon and the Rafale up against each other, and both countries want to place an emphasis on exports. France is particularly desperate to sell the Rafale."

Almost every modern conflict from the Spanish Civil War to Kosovo has served as a test of air power. But the Libyan operation to enforce UN resolution 1973 coincides with a new arms race --a surge of demand in the $60 billion a year global fighter market and the arrival of a new generation of equipment in the air and at sea. For the countries and companies behind those planes and weapons, there's no better sales tool than real combat. For air forces facing cuts, it is a strike for the value of air power itself.

"As soon as an aircraft or weapon is used on operational deployment, that instantly becomes a major marketing ploy; it becomes 'proven in combat'," says a former Defense export official with a NATO country, speaking on condition of anonymity about the sensitive subject.

A spokesman for the Eurofighter consortium said it had "never been involved in talks to sell the aircraft to Libya" and its presence at the Lavex air show outside Tripoli in 2009 was part of an Italian delegation organized at government level. Defense sources tell Reuters that Britain and Germany had vetoed any sale of Italian Typhoons to Libya, but the amount of other Italian military hardware on display demonstrated warm relations at the time between Tripoli and the government of Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

France has been less timid about announcing arms talks with Libya which briefly held an exclusive option for Rafale jets. A French source, who asked not to be named, declined to comment in detail on past negotiations but said arms sales were handled at a government-to-government level.

 

"HOT WAR" SOLUTIONS

Air shows like the one outside Tripoli 18 months ago are a routine fixture of the arms industry's marketing calendar. But to convince potential buyers, Defense equipment needs to be tested and survive what marketers call a "hot war."

"Battle-testing is something often referred to by the arms industry as an important factor for promoting their wares to export customers," says Paul Holtom, director of the Arms Transfers Program at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

A 'hot war' gives arms buyers a chance to cut through marketing jargon and check claims are justified. "Everyone is looking at Libya. It is definitely a showcase," one western Defense company official told Reuters on condition of anonymity. A Dassault executive, who did not want to be named, said the Rafale had been "combat-proven" since being deployed in Afghanistan in 2007.

What buyers and the world's military attaches are actually watching out for may be far less dramatic than Top Gun-style dogfights, which are unlikely to feature in the one-sided Libyan campaign. Instead, according to industry executives, prospective buyers will be hungry for detailed information on reliability, the ability of aircraft to operate seamlessly with other forces or systems and the ability of operational squadrons to generate high sortie rates for the minimum amount of repair.

The rewards are huge. India, Brazil, Denmark, Greece, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman and Kuwait are among a growing list of countries shopping for one or more of the fighters flying sorties over Libya.

The deal of the moment: India's plan to buy 126 fighter jets, an order which should be worth an estimated $10 billion. Reliability, say industry experts, is likely to be the key to winning the exports.

Four of the six companies in the running to sell New Delhi planes - Dassault's Rafale, the Eurofighter Typhoon, Lockheed Martin's F-16 and Boeing's F/A-18 - have already helped enforce the no-fly zone over Libya. A fifth contender, the Saab Gripen, arrived in Sicily at the weekend, ready to take part in the first air combat action by the Swedish air force in decades.

France is also using its new Horizon-class frigate and latest air-to-ground missiles.

But it's not just offensive equipment such as planes and missiles. Aerial shock and awe provides free advertising for companies that build early warning systems and missile defenses.

"Libya is a reminder that if you can't compete on the level of attack platforms, then you need to compete on the level of Defense systems," says Siemon Wezeman, senior fellow at SIPRI. "Libya had reasonable air defenses and yet they didn't make a dent. If you want to defend yourself, you need either the aircraft or the defensive systems. You will see countries asking people like Russia and China what they can provide." U.S.-built systems from companies like Lockheed Martin and Raytheon are already in high demand in the Gulf, to counter the perceived threat from Iran.

 

"CRADLE TO GRAVE TESTING"

But convincing countries to buy expensive weaponry and equipment requires more than just showing it off. "If you meet 100 percent of the operational requirement, you have still have won only 25 percent of the race," the former NATO Defense export official told Reuters.

U.S. diplomatic cables, obtained by WikiLeaks and seen by Reuters, detail repeated efforts by U.S. diplomats to drum up high-level political support for fighter jet and other sales -- efforts which according to Defense industry sources are matched by intense lobbying by France Britain, Russia and others. One cable, from around the time of the 2009 Libya air show, comes from the U.S. embassy in New Delhi which recounted how India, once a major Soviet arms buyer, was warming to the idea of U.S. weapons thanks to their proven combat capability.

"They recognize the quality of U.S. systems and have been astounded by the mission-capable rates quoted for U.S. aircraft compared to their older Russian inventory," the embassy told Michele Flournoy, U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, in October 2009.

But a few months later, Saudi Arabia, which buys the vast bulk of its arms from the United States, had concerns about quality. Unhappy about the number of GBU-10 laser-guided bombs that had failed to explode when used against Houthi rebels in Yemen, according to a dispatch from the Riyadh embassy, Saudi officials asked how the number of duds compared with the failure rate of the same weapon in Afghanistan. In response, a visiting U.S. general described the U.S. Air Force's careful "cradle-to-grave testing and maintenance on its bombs."

Saudi officials also complained about a lack of progress in obtaining U.S. munitions and technology for strikes in Yemen. In the same January 2010 meeting, the Royal Saudi Air Force chief said that when the U.S. sold its weaponry, "it was like a car dealer selling five cars, but with only eight tires." Saudi Arabia is crucial to U.S. weapons makers who are discussing a huge arms package valued at over $60 billion including 84 F-15 fighter jets and 70 Apache helicopters built by Boeing.

When it comes to Libya, Paris was almost as eager to take on Gaddafi as it was to open up military ties after the EU lifted an arms embargo on the country in 2004. But France was not alone in wooing the country after Gaddafi renounced weapons of mass destruction.

In conversation with an aide to Gaddafi's son Saif al-Islam in December 2009, U.S. embassy officials in Tripoli referred to an offer for purchases or refurbishment of C-130 transport planes and "military exchange and training opportunities," according to a diplomatic cable from that month. The cable also mentioned a U.S. offer to Gaddafi's younger son Khamis to "travel around the United States to tour U.S. military installations." There was no indication how the conversation was followed up. Khamis, whose forces are fighting the revolt against his father's rule, is the commander of the military's elite 32nd brigade, seen by many analysts as the best-trained unit in Libya.

The same cable also suggested that Washington had resisted Libyan requests for MH-6 "Little Bird" light assault helicopters, and noted Libyan complaints about slow progress in refurbishing Vietnam-era M113 armored personnel carriers. Lockheed Martin, manufacturer of the C-130 transporter, declined to comment. The State Department did comment for this article.

 

"MOST UNSEEMLY"

In the immediate PR battle over Libya, analysts say the Rafale appears to be winning. Not only was it handed a front-page role on the first day of the conflict, but it also scored a symbolic victory by reaching Libya equipped for air-to-ground attack, something the Typhoon has so far only done in tests. The Typhoon is focusing instead on air-to-air warfare against an enemy whose air force has been more or less pinned to the ground by strikes on radars and air defenses.

French officials dismiss any suggestion of deliberate showmanship in the deployment of Rafales in the opening hours of the conflict, saying their flexibility made them right for the task of destroying tanks that were closing on rebel positions in eastern Libya. But there is no doubt the lead taken by Sarkozy signals a more confident diplomatic posture that France hopes will benefit Rafale sales indirectly. Countries buying fighters must be ready to invest in a diplomatic relationship lasting 30 or 40 years, and competitors are bracing for an all-out French sales offensive once the conflict is over, or even before.

"Sarkozy has done a great job in getting the Rafale out there and hitting a convoy early on. He will go to export markets and say this is what our planes can do," said a defense executive from a rival arms producing nation.

That's something Washington will watch closely. Dispatches over many months show U.S. efforts to track the hyperactive French president during official visits as he campaigned from Libya to Brazil, India and the United Arab Emirates, for the first foreign sale of the Rafale. U.S. officials were so outraged by the "frothiness" surrounding Sarkozy's two-day trip to open a French naval base in Abu Dhabi in May 2009 -- a "poorly planned" French military maneuver interrupted vital fuel deliveries to Afghanistan -- that the U.S. ambassador reported the visit had brought out the "most unseemly" aspects of both host and visitor. "The Emirati desire to be the object of unrestrained praise met its match in the French willingness to abase themselves in front of rich clients," according to the confidential cable. French defense sources say unflattering things about U.S. lobbying too.

Another potential customer the French and the Americans are fighting over is Brazil, where the Rafale was until recently seen as best-placed to beat the U.S.-made F/A-18 and Sweden's Gripen. Brazil is the focus of a fierce diplomatic contest between Sarkozy and U.S. President Barack Obama to win an order for 36 fighter planes. Obama visited Brazil's new president last month and Sarkozy is expected to follow suit.

 

A TIME OF CUTS

Arms exporters typically do well at times of international instability. But they also depend on budget stability in their home country. That's because arms importers prefer to buy from places whose own armed forces are signing up for the same weapons, guaranteeing future support and spares.

Turmoil in the Middle East emerged just as defense officials and lawmakers were gearing up to cut U.S. defense spending, which accounts for half of the world's arms business, for the first time in a decade or more. The ferment may make it harder for American lawmakers to argue the case for immediate cuts -- though it may also, analysts say, encourage them to scrutinize more closely the release of technology to loyal buyers whose governments are looking less stable.

"There are probably positive impacts over the next five years on the defense industry because of what has happened in the last couple of weeks. When the U.S. military is used as it is being used in Libya, and in an invisible humanitarian sense in Japan, it probably discourages the Congress from taking an axe to the defense budget," said Joel Johnson, analyst with Virginia-based Teal Group.

At the same time, defense industry executives and military officials say they do not expect a return to the double-digit revenue growth seen after the September 11, 2001 attacks -- given the sheer size of the U.S. deficit and a generally more sober approach to military requirements and programs.

"We're probably facing a flat period" of U.S. spending, Johnson said, "but flat at pretty high levels."

 

(Reporting by Tim Hepher in Paris, Andrea Shalal-Esa and Mark Hosenball in Washington, Karen Jacobs in Atlanta, Sabine Siebold in Berlin, Editing by Sara Ledwith and Simon Robinson)

    Special Report: How Libya is a showcase in the new arms race, R, 4.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-libya-arms-idUSTRE7331OO20110404

 

 

 

 

 

Gaddafi envoy in Greece as Turkey rescues wounded

 

TRIPOLI | Mon Apr 4, 2011
6:41am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - The Libyan government sent an envoy to Greece on Sunday to discuss an end to fighting, but gave no sign of any major climbdown in a war that has ground to a stalemate between rebels and forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi.

Libyan Deputy Foreign Minister Abdelati Obeidi flew to Athens carrying a personal message from Gaddafi to Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou that Libya wanted the fighting to end, a Greek government official told Reuters.

"It seems that the Libyan authorities are seeking a solution," Foreign Minister Dimitris Droutsas told reporters.

But there was no indication on what Tripoli might be ready to offer -- beyond a willingness to negotiate -- to end a war that has become bogged down on a frontline in the eastern oil town of Brega, while leaving civilians trapped by Gaddafi's forces in the west.

Underlining the plight of civilians in western Libya, a Turkish ship that sailed into the besieged city of Misrata to rescue some 250 wounded had to leave in a hurry after crowds pressed forward on the dockside hoping to escape.

"It's a very hard situation ... We had to leave early," said Turkish consular official Ali Akin after the ship stopped to pick up more wounded in the eastern rebel stronghold Benghazi.

Turkey's foreign minister ordered the ship into Misrata after it spent four days waiting in vain for permission to dock.

It arrived under cover from 10 Turkish air force F-16 fighter planes and two navy frigates, Akin told Reuters.

The U.N.-mandated military intervention that began on March 19 was meant to protect civilians caught up in fighting between Gaddafi's forces and the rebels.

 

STALEMATE IN BREGA

Neither Gaddafi's troops nor the disorganized rebel force have been able to gain the upper hand on the frontline in eastern Libya, despite Western air power in effect aiding the insurgents.

After chasing each other up and down the coastal road linking the oil ports of eastern Libya with Gaddafi's tribal heartland further west, both sides have become bogged down in Brega, a sparsely populated settlement spread over more than 25 km (15 miles).

Yet Western countries, wary of becoming too entangled in another war after campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq, have ruled out sending ground troops to help the rebels.

The United States, which has handed over command of the operation to NATO, said it had agreed to extend the use of its strike aircraft into Monday because of poor weather last week.

But it has stressed its desire to end its own involvement in combat missions, and shift instead to a support role in areas such as surveillance, electronic warfare and refueling.

The combination of stalemate on the frontline and the plight of civilians caught in fighting or facing food and fuel shortages has prompted a flurry of diplomatic contacts to find a way out.

Greece said Obeidi would travel to Malta and Turkey after his talks in Greece, which has enjoyed good relations with Gaddafi for a number of years.

Papandreou had been talking by phone with officials in Tripoli as well as the leaders of Qatar, Turkey and Britain over the last two days.

One diplomat cautioned, however, that any diplomatic compromise -- for example one in which Gaddafi handed over power to one of his sons -- could lead to the partition of Libya.

That was a possibility ruled out by western countries before the air strikes were launched.

"Various scenarios are being discussed," said the diplomat. "Everyone wants a quick solution."

The rebels, meanwhile, are working to impose discipline among the ranks of their many inexperienced volunteers in order to not only hold their positions but push forward.

If there were eventually to be a ceasefire leading to the partition of Libya, control of revenues from the oil ports, including Brega and Ras Lanuf to the west, would be crucial.

The rebels named a "crisis team" with Gaddafi's former interior minister as their armed forces chief of staff, and attempted to stiffen their enthusiastic but untrained volunteer army by putting professional soldiers at its head.

"We are reorganizing our ranks. We have formed our first brigade. It is entirely formed from ex-military defectors and people who've come back from retirement," former air force major Jalid al-Libie told Reuters in Benghazi.

Outside Brega, better rebel discipline was already in evidence on Sunday. The volunteers, and journalists, were being several kilometers (miles) east of the front.

Without a backbone of regular forces, the lightly-armed volunteer caravan has spent days dashing back and forth along the coast road on Brega's outskirts, scrambling away in pick-ups when Gaddafi's forces attack with rockets.

 

SHELLING IN MISRATA

In the west, Gaddafi's forces continued to besiege Misrata, shelling a building that had been used to treat wounded, a resident said, killing one person and wounding more.

Misrata, Libya's third city, rose up with other towns against Gaddafi's rule in mid-February, but it is now surrounded by government troops after a violent crackdown put an end to most protests elsewhere in the west of the country.

"It is very, very bad. In my street, Gaddafi bombed us," said Ibrahim al-Aradi, 26, one of the evacuees on board the Turkish ship that brought the wounded from Misrata.

"We have no water, no electricity. We don't have medicine. There are snipers everywhere," he told Reuters.

After weeks of shelling and encirclement, Gaddafi's forces appear to be gradually loosening the rebels' hold on Misrata. Rebels say they still control the city center and the port, but government troops are pressing in.

Accounts from Misrata cannot be independently verified because Libyan authorities are not allowing journalists to report freely from the city, 200 km (130 miles) east of Tripoli.

Gaddafi's troops are also mopping up resistance in the mountainous southwest of Tripoli.

Government forces shelled the small town of Yafran, southwest of the capital on Sunday, killing two people, Arabiya television reported, quoting a witness.

They also shelled the city of Zintan, about 160 km (100 miles) southwest of the capital, a resident said.

"Gaddafi's brigades bombarded Zintan with tanks in the early hours on Sunday. There has been random bombardment of the northern area (of Zintan). They are still besieging the town," the resident, called Abdulrahman, told Reuters.

 

(Additional reporting by Renee Maltezou in Athens, Alexander Dziadosz in Brega, Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Christian Lowe in Algiers, Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Joseph Nasr in Berlin, Justyna Pawlak in Brussels; Writing by Myra MacDonald; Editing by Kevin Liffey)

    Gaddafi envoy in Greece as Turkey rescues wounded, G, 4.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110404

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. offers free flights out for employees in Syria

 

WASHINGTON | Sun Apr 3, 2011
10:05pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States is offering free flights out of Syria to family members of U.S. government employees, the State Department said on Sunday.

It also advised U.S. citizens in Syria, where dozens of people are reported to have died in anti-government protests, to closely examine their security situation and consider leaving because of the unrest.

The U.S. travel warning on Syria is the third issued in less than two weeks.

Last week, the United States advised its citizens to put off nonessential travel to Syria and urged those already in the country to consider leaving because of the protests, which followed popular revolts elsewhere in the Arab world.

The unrest in Syria has presented the gravest challenge to the 11-year rule of President Bashar al-Assad, who took power after the death of his father, Hafez al-Assad, in 2000.

The United States has long had a contentious relationship with Syria, which maintains an anti-Israel alliance with Iran and supports the militant groups Hezbollah and Hamas.

 

(Editing by Paul Simao)

    U.S. offers free flights out for employees in Syria, R, 3.4.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-usa-syria-warning-idUSTRE73308Z20110404

 

 

 

 

 

Turkish ship evacuates wounded from Libya city

 

BENGHAZI, Libya | Sun Apr 3, 2011
4:32pm EDT
By Angus MacSwan

 

BENGHAZI, Libya (Reuters) - A Turkish ship rescued 250 wounded from the besieged Libyan city of Misrata on Sunday, but left behind thousands of people pleading to be evacuated, a Turkish diplomat and witnesses said.

Swathed in bandages, evacuees on board gave one of the most detailed accounts yet of conditions in Misrata, the last major rebel-held city in western Libya, and surrounded by government troops after rising up against Muammar Gaddafi in mid-February.

"It is very, very bad. In my street, Gaddafi bombed us," said Ibrahim al-Aradi, 26, who had wounds in his groin.

"We have no water, no electricity. We don't have medicine. There are snipers everywhere," he told Reuters.

Others spoke of Gaddafi's forces bombing mosques and houses.

"When Gaddafi's men hear the NATO planes they hide in houses and mosques. When the planes are gone they destroy them," said Mustafa Suleiman, a 30-year-old computer engineer.

"Even the big supermarket was destroyed. Some of my friends were killed. We have no vegetables, no fruit, only bread. Gaddafi wants to kill Misrata by fighting and starvation," Suleiman said.

Guarded by heavily armed Turkish police special forces, wounded men of all ages lay on mattresses on one of the car decks of the ship, a white car ferry called the Ankara chartered by the Turkish government.

They had wounds in all parts of their bodies, and were being attended by Turkish medics.

Hamen, a Libyan doctor who was accompanying the men, said: "Misrata is terrible. I have seen terrible things. Thirty people killed in one day. These are my patients. I must stay with them but I want to go back."

 

TURKISH FIGHTER PLANES

Turkey's foreign minister ordered the ship into Misrata after it spent four days out at sea waiting in vain for port authorities to give permission to dock, said Ali Akin, head of consular affairs with the Turkish foreign ministry.

It arrived under cover from 10 Turkish air force F-16 fighter planes and two navy frigates, he told Reuters.

He said the ship had to make a hasty departure with the wounded and 100 of their relatives after a large crowd pressed forward on the dockside hoping for passage out of Libya, including 4,000 Egyptians.

"It's a very hard situation. We had to leave early."

The hospital committee in Misrata had told Turkish authorities that 120 needed to leave on the ship but far more were eventually put on board, he said.

"There is no room in the hospital so they treat some and send them back to their homes," said Akin. "This meant it was not easy to collect them."

The ferry docked in the eastern Libyan rebel stronghold of Benghazi on Sunday to pick up more wounded before heading to a port in Turkey.

As the ship arrived and blew its foghorn, several hundred rebel supporters waiting at the dockside burst into chant, crying: "The blood of martyrs is spilled for freedom" and "Muammar Gaddafi: Misrata has real men."

Ayman Mohammed, a 25-year old man with a badly burned face who was waiting on the dockside in a wheelchair to be carried onboard, said he was happy to be among the evacuees.

He said he was in his car when he was hit by a bomb in Ras Lanuf, an oil town which has seen fighting between rebel forces and troops loyal to Gaddafi. "I will come back to Benghazi. I want to kill Gaddafi," he said.

Others waited for news from their trapped families.

"My family is in Misrata ... uncles, cousins. I have had no contact," said Tihani Aktal, 30, tears streaming from her eyes.

"We don't know if they are dead or alive."

Akin, who said he was on assignment in Benghazi, added that Misrata port was still under the control of the rebels fighting forces loyal to Gaddafi.

 

(Writing by Ibon Villelabeitia and Tom Pfeiffer; editing by Myra MacDonald)

    Turkish ship evacuates wounded from Libya city, R, 3.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-libya-misrata-ship-idUSTRE7321VX20110403

 

 

 

 

 

Defectors stiffen Libyan rebel defense of oil town

 

BREGA, Libya | Sun Apr 3, 2011
11:55am EDT
Reuters
By Alexander Dziadosz

 

BREGA, Libya (Reuters) - Libyan rebels put their best troops in to battle Muammar Gaddafi's forces for the eastern oil town of Brega on Sunday while Western warplanes flew overhead and the sound of explosions ripped through the air.

Libya's civil war is in danger of getting bogged down in a stalemate as neither Gaddafi's troops, tanks and artillery, nor the chaotic rebel force is able to gain the upper hand, despite Western air power effectively aiding the insurgents.

The rebels are, however, attempting to put their house in order, naming a "crisis team" with the former interior minister as the armed forces chief of staff, to try to run parts of Libya it holds and reorganising their military forces.

Outside Brega, better rebel discipline was already in evidence on Sunday with the less disciplined volunteers, and journalists, kept several kilometers (miles) east of the front. The insurgents have also deployed heavier weapons.

The sound of explosions and machinegun fire came from the town, a sparsely populated settlement spread over more than 25 km (15 miles), as warplanes flew over, but it was not clear if the jets had launched air strikes on Gaddafi's positions.

Without the backbone of regular forces, the lightly-armed volunteer caravan has spent days dashing back and forth along the coast road on Brega's outskirts, scrambling away in their pick-ups when Gaddafi's forces fire rockets at their positions.

The enthusiastic volunteers tend to get on well with the rebel army, made up of soldiers who defected to the rebels, but a small scuffle broke out near Brega's eastern gate on Sunday as a soldier berated them for their lack of discipline.

"These revolutionaries go in and fire and that's it. They don't have any tactics, these guys. They cause problems," said the soldier, Mohammed Ali.

 

REBELS REORGANISE

The rebels say they now are restructuring their forces to end the pendulum swing of their euphoric advance in the wake of Western air strikes followed by headlong retreat in the face of government artillery.

"We are reorganising our ranks. We have formed our first brigade. It is entirely formed from ex-military defectors and people who've come back from retirement," Former Air Force Major Jalid al-Libie told Reuters in Benghazi.

Asked about numbers, he said he could not reveal that, but added, "it's quality that matters."

The aim was for the trained force to steel resistance of the many volunteers so the rebel army could hold ground.

"Before the end of the week you will see a different kind of fighting and that will tip the balance," said Libie, a former fighter pilot.

The rebel leadership called for NATO-led air assault to continue despite 13 rebel fighters being killed in a strike as they tried to take control of the eastern oil town of Brega.

NATO has conducted 363 sorties since taking over command of the Libya operations on March 31, and about 150 were intended as strike missions, but NATO has not confirmed hitting any targets.

A Reuters correspondent visiting the scene of the air strike saw burned-out vehicles, including an ambulance, by the road near the eastern entrance to Brega. Men prayed at freshly dug graves covered by the rebel red, black and green flag nearby.

Most blamed a Tripoli agent for drawing the "friendly fire."

But some gave a different account. "The rebels shot up in the air and the alliance came and bombed them. We are the ones who made the mistake," said a fighter who did not give his name.

A rebel spokesman, Mustafa Gheriani, told Reuters the leadership still wanted and needed allied air strikes. "You have to look at the big picture. Mistakes will happen. We are trying to get rid of Gaddafi and there will be casualties, although of course it does not make us happy."

While fighting in the east risks stalemate, in the west Gaddafi's forces are besieging the city of Misrata, shelling a building that had been used to treat wounded, a resident said, killing one person and wounding more.

Misrata, Libya's third city, rose up with other towns against Gaddafi's rule in mid-February, but it is now surrounded by government troops after a violent crackdown put an end to protests elsewhere in the west of the country.

 

HUNDREDS KILLED

Doctors say hundreds have been killed in Misrata despite two weeks of Western airstrikes meant stop the killing of civilians.

A doctor who gave his name as Ramadan told Reuters by telephone from the city that 160 people, mostly civilians, had been killed in fighting in Misrata over the past seven days.

Ramadan, a British-based doctor who said he arrived in Misrata three days ago on a humanitarian mission, had no figure for the total toll since fighting began six weeks ago.

"But every week between 100 or 140 people are reported killed -- multiply this by six and our estimates are 600 to 1,000 deaths since the fighting started," he said.

After weeks of shelling and encirclement, Gaddafi's forces appear to be gradually loosening the rebels' hold on Misrata. Rebels say they still control the city center and the port, but government troops have pushed into the center.

One Benghazi-based rebel said food supplies were acutely low in Misrata. "There are severe food shortages and we call on humanitarian organizations to help," said the rebel called Sami, who said he was in regular contact with a Misrata resident.

Some supplies are getting through the rebel-held port though, and a Turkish ferry, kitted out as a hospital ship, evacuated 250 wounded along with 100 care workers from Misrata on Sunday, Turkey's state-run Anatolian news agency said.

The ship is bound for Benghazi, where a further 1OO patients were waiting to be picked up, along with 30 Turkish and 40 foreign citizens, and brought back to Turkey, Anatolian said. The ferry had to wait off Misrata for five days due to clashes.

Accounts from Misrata cannot be independently verified because Libyan authorities are not allowing journalists to report freely from the city, 200 km (130 miles) east of Tripoli.

Gaddafi's troops are also mopping up resistance in the mountainous southwest of Tripoli.

Government forces shelled the small town of Yafran, southwest of the capital on Sunday, killing two people, Arabiya television reported, quoting a witness.

They also shelled the city of Zintan, about 160 km (100 miles) south-west of the capital, a resident said.

"Gaddafi's brigades bombarded Zintan with tanks in the early hours on Sunday. There has been random bombardment of the northern area (of Zintan). They are still besieging the town," the resident, called Abdulrahman, told Reuters.

 

(Additional reporting by Maria Golovnina in Tripoli, Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Christian Lowe in Algiers, Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Joseph Nasr in Berlin, Justyna Pawlak in Brussels; Writing by Jon Hemming; Editing by Elizabeth Fullerton)

    Defectors stiffen Libyan rebel defense of oil town, R, 3.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110403

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Shifts to Seek Removal of Yemen’s Leader, an Ally

 

April 3, 2011
The New York Times
By LAURA KASINOF and DAVID E. SANGER

 

SANA, Yemen — The United States, which long supported Yemen’s president, even in the face of recent widespread protests, has now quietly shifted positions and has concluded that he is unlikely to bring about the required reforms and must be eased out of office, according to American and Yemeni officials.

The Obama administration had maintained its support of President Ali Abdullah Saleh in private and refrained from directly criticizing him in public, even as his supporters fired on peaceful demonstrators, because he was considered a critical ally in fighting the Yemeni branch of Al Qaeda. This position has fueled criticism of the United States in some quarters for hypocrisy for rushing to oust a repressive autocrat in Libya but not in strategic allies like Yemen and Bahrain.

That position began to shift in the past week, administration officials said. While American officials have not publicly pressed Mr. Saleh to go, they have told allies that they now view his hold on office as untenable, and they believe he should leave.

A Yemeni official said that the American position changed when the negotiations with Mr. Saleh on the terms of his potential departure began a little over a week ago.

“The Americans have been pushing for transfer of power since the beginning” of those negotiations, the official said, but have not said so publicly because “they still were involved in the negotiations.”

Those negotiations now center on a proposal for Mr. Saleh to hand over power to a provisional government led by his vice president until new elections are held. That principle “is not in dispute,” the Yemeni official said, only the timing and mechanism for how he would depart.

It does remain in dispute among the student-led protesters, however, who have rejected any proposal that would give power to a leading official of the Saleh government.

Washington has long had a wary relationship of mutual dependence with Mr. Saleh. The United States has provided weapons, and the Yemeni leader has allowed the United States military and the C.I.A. to strike at Qaeda strongholds. The State Department cables released by WikiLeaks gave a close-up view of that uneasy interdependence: Mr. Saleh told Gen. David H. Petraeus, then the American commander in the Middle East, that the United States could continue missile strikes against Al Qaeda as long as the fiction was maintained that Yemen was conducting them.

“We’ll continue saying the bombs are ours, not yours,” Mr. Saleh said, according to a cable sent by the American ambassador. At other times, however, Mr. Saleh resisted American requests. In a wry assessment of the United States, he told Daniel Benjamin, the State Department’s counterterrorism chief, that Americans are “hot-blooded and hasty when you need us,” but “cold-blooded and British when we need you.”

The negotiations in Sana began after government-linked gunmen killed more than 50 protesters at an antigovernment rally on March 18, prompting a wave of defections of high-level government officials the following week. The American and Yemeni officials who discussed the talks did so on the condition of anonymity because the talks are private and still in progress.

It is not clear whether the United States is discussing a safe passage for Mr. Saleh and his family to another country, but that appears to be the direction of the talks in Sana, the capital.

For Washington, the key to his departure would be arranging a transfer of power that would enable the counterterrorism operation in Yemen to continue.

One administration official referred to that concern last week, saying that the standoff between the president and the protesters “has had a direct adverse impact on the security situation throughout the country.”

“Groups of various stripes — Al Qaeda, Houthis, tribal elements, and secessionists — are exploiting the current political turbulence and emerging fissures within the military and security services for their own gain,” the official said. “Until President Saleh is able to resolve the current political impasse by announcing how and when he will follow through on his earlier commitment to take tangible steps to meet opposition demands, the security situation in Yemen is at risk of further deterioration.”

In recent days, American officials in Washington have hinted at the change in position.

Those “tangible steps,” another official said, could include giving in to the demand that he step down.

At a State Department briefing recently, a spokesman, Mark Toner, was questioned on whether there had been planning for a post-Saleh Yemen. While he did not answer the question directly, he said, in part, that counterterrorism in Yemen “goes beyond any one individual.”

In addition to the huge street demonstrations that have convulsed the country in the last two months, the deteriorating security situation in Yemen includes a Houthi rebellion in the north, a secessionist movement in the south and an active Qaeda operation in the southeast. Houthi rebels seized control of Saada Province a week ago, and armed militants have taken over a city in the southern province of Abyan where Al Qaeda is known to have set up a base.

Among Yemenis, there is a feeling that there is a race against the clock to resolve the political impasse before the country implodes. In addition to the security concerns, Yemen faces an economic crisis.

Food prices are rising; the value of the Yemeni currency, the rial, is dropping sharply; and dollars are disappearing from currency exchange shops. According to the World Food Program, the price of wheat flour has increased 45 percent since mid-March and rice by 22 percent.

Analysts have also expressed concern that Mr. Saleh is depleting the national reserves paying for promises to keep himself in power. Mr. Saleh has paid thousands of supporters to come to the capital to stage pro-government protests and given out money to tribal leaders to secure their loyalties. In February he promised to cut income taxes and raise salaries for civil servants and the military to try to tamp down discontent.

“It’s not a recession, it’s not a depression, it’s a mess,” said Mohammed Abulahom, a prominent member of Parliament for Mr. Saleh’s governing party who now supports the protesters.

The fact that the Americans are “seriously engaged in discussion on how to transfer power shows their willingness to figure out a way to transfer power,” he said.

He said the Americans “are doing what ought to be done, and we will see more pressure down the road.”

The criticism of the United States for failing to publicly support Yemen’s protesters has been loudest here, where the protesters insist the United States’ only concern is counterterrorism.

“We are really very, very angry because America until now didn’t help us similar to what Mr. Obama said that Mubarak has to leave now,” said Tawakul Karman, a leader of the antigovernment youth movement. “Obama says he appreciated the courage and dignity of Tunisian people. He didn’t say that for Yemeni people.”

“We feel that we have been betrayed,” she said.

Hamza Alkamaly, 23, a prominent student leader, agreed. “We students lost our trust in the United States,” he said. “We thought the United States would help us in the first time because we are calling for our freedom.”

Late Saturday night, Yemen’s opposition coalition, the Joint Meetings Parties, proposed an outline for a transfer of power that has become the new focus of the talks. The proposal calls for power to be transferred immediately to Vice President Abd al-Rab Mansur al-Hadi until presidential elections are held.

The young protesters have rejected the proposal, or any that would leave a leading Saleh official in charge.

Late Sunday, the Gulf Cooperation Council, an association of oil-rich countries in the Persian Gulf, added its backing to the talks, issuing a statement saying it would press the Yemeni government and opposition to work toward an agreement to “overcome the status quo.” The group called for a return to negotiations to “achieve the aspirations of the Yemeni people by means of reforms.”

So far the council, including Yemen’s largest international donor, Saudi Arabia, has not taken part in the negotiations, Yemeni officials said.

There were also more clashes between security forces and protesters on Sunday in the city of Taiz. Hundreds of people were injured by tear gas, rocks and gunfire, and there were conflicting reports as to whether a protester had been killed. Witnesses said security forces fired at the protesters and into the air.

Early Monday, security forces in Hodeidah, a western port city, used to tear gas to break up a protest march on the presidential palace there.

According to Amnesty International, at least 95 people have died during two months of antigovernment protests.


Laura Kasinof reported from Sana, Yemen, and David E. Sanger from Washington.

    U.S. Shifts to Seek Removal of Yemen’s Leader, an Ally, R, 3.4.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/04/world/middleeast/04yemen.html

 

 

 

 

 

Young Libyans flock unarmed to front line

 

BREGA, Libya | Sun Apr 3, 2011
10:45am EDT
Reuters
By Alexander Dziadosz

 

BREGA, Libya (Reuters) - Often carrying little more than milk cartons, cans of tuna and spare mattresses, hundreds of young volunteers continue to flock toward the front line of Libya's revolt, even if many cannot fight.

Rebel military commanders asked volunteers last week to hang back from clashes with forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi to allow more experienced fighters to coordinate strategy following a chaotic eastward retreat on Wednesday.

But with schools and many businesses still shut and young men with little to do, the volunteers' vehicles -- an eclectic blend of pickup trucks, minivans and even taxicabs -- still litter the road outside Brega, the eastern oil town where fighting has rumbled on for four days.

"We won't go back until Libya is liberated," Mohamed Khairallah, 21, said as he sat beside the stark desert road near the city. "Or until we die martyrs," his friend Saleh added, waving his cigarette. Neither man was armed.

Some have nevertheless continued to push ahead. Anwar Ibrahim, a 24-year-old volunteer, claimed to have trapped several Gaddafi troops in an ambush in Brega on Sunday morning, attacking them with machine guns and killing two.

"They were doing reconnaissance and we were doing reconnaissance. They came in two cars, a white one and black one, and we laid an ambush for them," he said.

Ibrahim brought a friend over to verify his report. His friend, sporting a thin goatee, nodded confirmation, but said only one Gaddafi fighter was killed.

 

NEW ORDERS

Hoping to break a stalemate, rebels fighting Gaddafi's troops, tanks and artillery are trying to reorganize their military forces. They say they are bringing to the front better trained units, made up of defectors from the military.

But the persistent zeal of the volunteers has frustrated some of the more experienced fighters.

A scuffle broke out on the eastern outskirts of Brega on Sunday as a young man tried to advance toward the front. Fighters restrained the man as he shouted obscenities.

"They don't have tactics, these guys," said Mohammed Ali, a rebel special forces soldier nearby. "They go in, they fire, and that's it."

The danger of such an approach is obvious. Mohamed Geheny, 16, from Benghazi, hunched near a pickup truck outside Brega, pointed to his bandaged knee and said he was hit by shrapnel in an earlier fight.

"My parents aren't scared," he said, squinting in the desert sun. "If we die our souls will return to God. We'll be martyrs."

Most of the volunteers have obeyed the rebel military's pleas, however and stayed down the road from Brega, just out of range of Gaddafi's Grad missile launchers, much feared by the lightly-armed volunteers.

Some have tried to find other uses for themselves, working as mechanics, converting their trucks into ad hoc ambulances or simply cheering as rebels fire rockets from the desert.

"We can bring wounded back, and we can bring food and water up to those who have weapons," said Saleh Soliman, 20, sitting in the back of his friend's pickup.

Others spend time sparking campfires to make tea, posing for photos on the charred wreckage of vehicles and even smoking water pipes as they wait for the rebel army to clear the way.

Hamza el-Obeidy, a 26-year-old volunteer seated on a truck mounted with an anti-aircraft machine gun taken from the government military camp in Benghazi, said he intended to fight, but since Friday he only fired when the military gave orders.

"Most of the revolutionaries are listening to the orders," he said. "If they don't, they might get killed."

 

(Editing by Jon Hemming)

    Young Libyans flock unarmed to front line, R, 3.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-libya-east-volunteers-idUSTRE7321DT20110403

 

 

 

 

 

Dozens of Yemen protesters wounded in new clash

 

SANAA | Sun Apr 3, 2011
6:23am EDT
Reuters
By Mohamed Sudam and Mohammad Ghobari

 

SANAA (Reuters) - Dozens of Yemeni protesters were wounded on Sunday when police used live rounds, tear gas and batons to try to break up demonstrations against President Ali Abdullah Saleh in Taiz, a medical source said.

About 10 people had been hit by live bullets but most were suffering asphyxiation from tear gas, the doctor said.

Saleh had called on opponents demanding he step down to end weeks of street protests on Sunday, in a further sign the veteran ruler has no intention of resigning soon.

"We call on the opposition coalition to end the crisis by ending sit-ins, blocking roads and assassinations, and they should end the state of rebellion in some military units," Saleh told visiting supporters from Taiz province, south of Sanaa.

"We are ready to discuss transferring power, but in peaceful and constitutional framework," he added to chants of "No concessions after today!."

His ruling party also said it had not received a proposed transition plan from opposition parties that envisages Saleh handing power to a vice president while steps are taken toward a national unity government and new elections.

"We haven't got it yet," an official said.

Weeks of protests inspired by uprisings in Egypt and Tunisia have brought Saleh's rule to the verge of collapse, but Saleh, a perennial survivor, has resisted the calls to jump.

He has received sustenance from the United States, which has talked openly of its concern over who might succeed a man they view as an ally who helped them contain al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, a Yemen-based wing of the militant group.

Opposition groups stepped up actions against Saleh in the port city of Aden, seat of a separatist movement by southerners who say the 1994 unification of South Yemen with Saleh's north has left them marginalised.

Much of the city was deserted in a second day of civil disobedience as businesses stopped work. Opposition groups have also called on people to stop paying taxes and utility bills.

Thousands have been camped out around Sanaa University since early February, but in the past two weeks Saleh has begun mobilizing thousands of his own supporters on the streets.

On Saturday, seven protesters were wounded in the Western port of Hudaida when riot police used batons and teargas to disperse demonstrators. Protesters said police fired live rounds and tear gas on Sunday to disperse them in Taiz.

 

SALEH DIGS HEELS IN

Saleh, in power for 32 years, has only said he would be prepared to step down within a year following new parliamentary and presidential elections and that an abrupt exit would cause chaos. On Saturday, he thanked thousands of supporters gathered near the presidential palace for backing the constitution.

"I salute you for your heroic stand and thank you for supporting constitutional legitimacy," he told the crowd amid a sea of his portraits and banners supporting his continued rule.

The opposition plan would see the army and security forces restructured by a vice-president acting as temporary president, a statement from Yemen's opposition coalition said on Saturday.

Wide discussions could then be held on constitutional changes, a unity government and new elections.

Talks have been off and on over the past two weeks, sometimes in the presence of the U.S. ambassador. Sources say Saleh wants to ensure he and his family do not face prosecution over corruption claims that the opposition has talked about.

The death of 52 protesters on March 18, apparently at the hands of government snipers, led to a string of defections among diplomats, tribal leaders and key generals, spurring Saleh to warn against a coup that he says will lead to civil war.

At least 82 people have died so far in the protests.

Key foreign backers like the United States and the oil giant Saudi Arabia are concerned over who would succeed Saleh.

They have long regarded Saleh as a bulwark of stability who can keep al Qaeda from extending its foothold in a country which many see as close to disintegration. Opposition parties say they can handle militants better than Saleh, who they say made deals in the past to avoid provoking Islamists.

 

(Writing by Andrew Hammond; Editing by Nick Macfie)

    Dozens of Yemen protesters wounded in new clash, R, 3.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-yemen-idUSTRE7310ON20110403

 

 

 

 

 

Libya shells town in west as rebels name "crisis team"

 

TRIPOLI | Sun Apr 3, 2011
12:17am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi shelled a building in Misrata early on Sunday to try to dislodge rebels from their last big stronghold in western Libya where a doctor says hundreds have been killed.

Like many cities, Misrata rejected Gaddafi's rule in a revolt in February. In a violent crackdown, Gaddafi's forces restored control in most places in western Libya, leaving Misrata cut off and surrounded, with dwindling supplies.

In the rebel capital of Benghazi in the east, the anti-Gaddafi council have named a "crisis team," including the former Libyan interior minister as the armed forces chief of staff, to try to run parts of the country it holds.

The rebel leadership has also called for the NATO-led air assault against Gaddafi forces to continue despite 13 rebel fighters being killed in a strike as they tried to take control of the eastern oil town of Brega.

The shelling in Misrata hit a building that was previously being used to treat the wounded from the fighting in Libya's third largest city and killed at least one person and wounded several more, a resident said.

"We have one confirmed dead and we don't know how many wounded. The ambulances are arriving now, bringing the wounded," said the resident, speaking by telephone from a building now being used as the makeshift hospital.

After weeks of shelling and encirclement, government forces appear to be gradually loosening the rebels' hold there, despite Western air strikes on pro-Gaddafi targets. The rebels say they still control the city center and the sea port, but Gaddafi's forces have pushed into the center along the main thoroughfare.

A doctor who gave his name as Ramadan told Reuters by telephone from the city that 160 people, mostly civilians, had been killed in fighting in Misrata over the past seven days.

Ramadan, a British-based doctor who said he arrived in Misrata three days ago on a humanitarian mission, had no figure for the total toll since fighting began six weeks ago.

"But every week between 100 or 140 people are reported killed -- multiply this by six and our estimates are 600 to 1,000 deaths since the fighting started," he said.

One Benghazi-based rebel said food supplies were acutely low in Misrata. "There are severe food shortages and we call on humanitarian organizations to help," said the rebel called Sami, who said he was in regular contact with a Misrata resident.

Accounts from Misrata cannot be independently verified because Libyan authorities are not allowing journalists to report freely from the city, 200 km (130 miles) east of Tripoli.

 

FRESHLY DUG GRAVES

Rebels said on Saturday they had also lost men in a NATO-led air strike.

The 13 fighters died on Friday night in an increasingly chaotic battle over Brega with Gaddafi's troops, who have reversed a rebel advance on the coastal road linking their eastern stronghold with western Libya.

Hundreds of mostly young, inexperienced volunteers were seen fleeing east from Brega toward the town of Ajdabiyah after coming under heavy mortar and machinegun fire.

A contingent of more experienced and better organized rebel units initially held their ground in Brega, but with most journalists forced east, it was unclear whether they had remained inside the town or had pulled back into the desert.

A Reuters correspondent visiting the scene of the air strike saw at least four burned-out vehicles, including an ambulance, by the side of the road near the eastern entrance to the town.

Men prayed at freshly dug graves covered by the rebel red, black and green flag nearby.

Most blamed a Tripoli agent for drawing the "friendly fire."

But some gave a different account. "The rebels shot up in the air and the alliance came and bombed them. We are the ones who made the mistake," said a fighter who did not give his name.

A rebel spokesman, Mustafa Gheriani, told Reuters the leadership still wanted and needed allied air strikes. "You have to look at the big picture. Mistakes will happen. We are trying to get rid of Gaddafi and there will be casualties, although of course it does not make us happy."

In Brussels, a spokeswoman for NATO, which this week assumed command of the military operation launched on March 19, declined to say whether its forces were involved in the Brega incident.

"We are looking into the report," said spokeswoman Oana Lungescu. "However, if someone fires at our aircraft, they have the right to protect themselves."

NATO has conducted 363 sorties since taking over command of the Libya operations on March 31, and about 150 were intended as strike missions, but NATO has not confirmed hitting any targets.

Brega is one of a string of oil towns along the coast that have been taken and retaken by each side after the U.N. mandated intervention intended to protect civilians.

The volunteers have frequently fled under fire, raising questions about whether the rebels can make any headway against Gaddafi's better-equipped and better-trained forces without greater Western military involvement.

In Benghazi, the rebel council named its "crisis team" on Saturday to administer parts of the country it controls.

Omar Hariri is in charge of the military department, with General Abdel Fattah Younes al Abidi, a long serving officer in Gaddafi's armed forces, as his chief of staff.

Younes, a former Libyan interior minister, changed sides at the start of the uprising in mid-February but is distrusted by many in the rebel camp because of his past ties to Gaddafi.

 

(Additional reporting by Alexander Dziadosz east of Brega, Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Christian Lowe in Algiers, Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Joseph Nasr in Berlin, Justyna Pawlak in Brussels; Writing by Alison Williams, Editing by Ron Popeski)

    Libya shells town in west as rebels name "crisis team", R, 3.4.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110403

 

 

 

 

 

Latest Developments in Arab World's Unrest

 

April 2, 2011
The New York Times
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

 

A look at the latest developments in political unrest across the Middle East
on Saturday:

LIBYA

A NATO airstrike intended to thwart Moammar Gadhafi's forces kills 13 rebels instead, opposition officials say, but they call it an "unfortunate accident" and stress it doesn't diminish their support for the international air campaign that is aimed at protecting them. NATO says it's investigating, but it appears that its aircraft were retaliating against ground fire. Two rebels who survived the strike say it happened after somebody in their convoy fired heavy weaponry into the air.

Medical officials in the besieged western city of Misrata say government forces killed 37 civilians over the past two days in an unrelenting campaign of shelling and sniper fire and an attack that burned down the city's main stocks of flour and sugar.

___

SYRIA

Syrian authorities tighten security and make sweeping arrests as President Bashar Assad tries to cut off two weeks of deadly pro-democracy demonstrations that are threatening his family's ruling dynasty. U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon expresses deep concern about the violence and calls on Syria's government to address the "legitimate aspirations of the Syrian people."

___

YEMEN

Yemen's opposition presents its clearest vision yet of how it hopes to see power transferred as it presses for the ouster of longtime leader President Ali Abdullah Saleh. Tens of thousands of anti-government protesters hurl stones at riot police backed by tanks in the southern province of Aden, as dueling rallies are held in the capital.

___

OMAN

Dozens of protesters stage a sit-in in the capital, Muscat, to demand probes into alleged state abuses after clashes with security forces left at least one person dead and sharply boosted tensions in the strategic Gulf nation. The unrest suggests that high-level shake-ups and other concessions by Oman's rulers have fallen short of the demonstrators' demands for greater political freedoms.

___

IRAQ

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki calls the international crackdown on Libya's Moammar Gadhafi "selective," chastising foreign forces for singling out one oppressive Mideast regime without helping peaceful protesters in others. He makes clear he isn't advocating widespread use of military force, but the Shiite-led Iraqi government has been frustrated with the West's hands-off approach to the crackdown in Bahrain, where Shiite protesters are challenging a Sunni-led leadership closely allied with Washington.

    Latest Developments in Arab World's Unrest, NYT, 2.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2011/04/02/world/middleeast/AP-ML-Mideast-Protests-Glance.html

 

 

 

 

 

Syrians chant "freedom," receive wounded in suburb

 

AMMAN | Sat Apr 2, 2011
10:51pm EDT
Reuters

 

AMMAN (Reuters) - Hundreds of Syrians chanted "freedom" as they gathered late Saturday in the Damascus suburb of Douma to receive protesters wounded when they confronted security forces the day before, a witness said.

Around 50 wounded arrived in secret police cars to Municipality Square, where at least five people were killed on Friday when security forces fired at protesters demanding political freedoms and an end to corruption, according to human right defenders.

Secret police agents gave the names of 25 more serious cases in hospital, the witness said.

"They promised to give the bodies tomorrow morning to the families. We are expecting 15 dead," said the witness, who lives in the suburb.

Another witness who toured the suburb Saturday said shops in at least one main commercial street were closed in solidarity with the protesters, who gathered after Friday prayers despite the heavy presence of regular police forces and secret police.

The killings in Douma brought to at least 60 the number of deaths in protests against Baath Party rule that erupted in the southern city of Deraa 15 days ago and spread to the capital, the coast and areas in between.

 

(Reporting by Khaled Yacoub Oweis)

    Syrians chant "freedom," receive wounded in suburb, R, 2.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/03/us-syria-idUSTRE72N2MC20110403

 

 

 

 

 

Coalition air strike hits Libya rebels, 13 dead

 

EAST OF BREGA, Libya | Sat Apr 2, 2011
3:07pm EDT
Reuters
By Alexander Dziadosz

 

EAST OF BREGA, Libya (Reuters) - A NATO-led air strike killed 13 Libyan rebels in a "regrettable incident," a rebel spokesman said on Saturday, in an increasingly chaotic battle with Muammar Gaddafi's forces over the oil town of Brega.

Despite the deaths on Friday night, the rebel leadership called for continued air strikes against Gaddafi's forces, who have reversed a rebel advance on the coastal road linking their eastern stronghold with western Libya.

Hundreds of mostly young, inexperienced volunteers were later seen fleeing east from Brega toward the town of Ajdabiyah after coming under heavy mortar and machinegun fire.

A contingent of more experienced and better organized rebel units initially held their ground in Brega, but with most journalists forced east, it was unclear whether they had remained inside the town or had pulled back into the desert.

A Reuters correspondent visiting the scene of the air strike saw at least four burned-out vehicles including an ambulance by the side of the road near the eastern entrance to the town.

Men prayed at freshly dug graves covered by the rebel red, black and green flag nearby.

"Some of Gaddafi's forces sneaked in among the rebels and fired anti-aircraft guns in the air," said rebel fighter Mustafa Ali Omar. "After that the NATO forces came and bombed them."

The strike killed 13 rebels and wounded seven, rebel leadership spokesman Hafiz Ghoga said, calling it a "regrettable incident."

"The military leadership is working on ways to prevent a recurrence," Ghoga told reporters at the rebel headquarters in the eastern city of Benghazi. Rebels at the scene said the bombing happened around 10 p.m. local time on Friday.

Another rebel spokesman, Mustafa Gheriani, told Reuters the leadership still wanted and needed allied air strikes.

"You have to look at the big picture. Mistakes will happen. We are trying to get rid of Gaddafi and there will be casualties, although of course it does not make us happy."

In Brussels, a spokeswoman for NATO, which this week assumed command of the military operation launched on March 19, said the alliance was looking into the reports.

Gaddafi forces fired rockets on Brega overnight and fighting continued further west around the town's university early on Saturday, rebels said.

But at the eastern gate of the town, dust rose from the road as volunteers known as the "shebab," or youth, streamed away in cars after coming under heavy fire from Gaddafi's forces.

The volunteers have frequently fled under fire, raising questions about whether the rebels can make any headway against Gaddafi's better-equipped and better-trained forces without greater Western military involvement.

 

REBELS FEAR INFILTRATION BY GADDAFI LOYALISTS

Brega is one of a string of oil towns along the coast that have been taken and retaken by each side after the U.N. mandated intervention which was intended to protect civilians in Libya.

Rebels have been trying to marshal their rag-tag units into a more disciplined force after a rebel advance along about 200 km (125 miles) of coast west from Brega was repulsed and turned into a rapid retreat this week.

By mid-afternoon on Saturday, dozens of volunteer fighters were waiting with their pick-ups at a checkpoint east of Brega.

Volunteer fighter Khalid Salah said the rebels were waiting for the arrival of heavy weapons to begin another counter-attack. Aircraft could be heard occasionally overhead.

The stalled rebel campaign has left rebel-held areas in western Libya, notably the city of Misrata, stranded and facing intense attacks from Gaddafi's forces.

One Benghazi-based rebel said food supplies were acutely low in Misrata due to the siege. The rebel, called Sami, said he was in regular contact with a Misrata resident who had told him one person died and six were injured in clashes on Saturday.

"There are severe food shortages and we call on humanitarian organizations to help," said Sami. "The city has been under siege for a month and a half. The main shortages are fruit and vegetables because those come from the south and the southern entrance to the city is controlled by Gaddafi's men."

Contacted by Reuters, Sami reported sporadic clashed on Saturday after heavy fighting on Friday, when fire from a tank belonging to pro-Gaddafi forces hit a dairy factory.

"They are trying to starve and kill people inside the city by all means," said a British-based doctor who had spoken to his friends in Misrata on Saturday.

On Friday, a rebel leader, speaking after talks with a U.N. envoy in Benghazi, offered a truce on condition that Gaddafi left Libya and his forces quit cities under government control.

The Libyan government dismissed the ceasefire call.

"They are asking us to withdraw from our own cities .... If this is not mad then I don't know what this is. We will not leave our cities," spokesman Mussa Ibrahim told reporters.'

State-controlled Libyan television also said that coalition forces bombarded "civilian and military locations" in western Libya late on Friday.

It said the strikes were in the towns of Khoms, between the capital Tripoli and Misrata, and Arrujban, in the southwest.

Showing footage of two men receiving medical treatment while lying in hospital beds, it said, "This is the result of attacks by crusader aggressors in Khoms."

One of the men was shown lying in bed with a bandaged right foot. Blood could be seen on the bandage. The other man was shown having his chest stitched up by a female medic.

A resident in Khoms, contacted by telephone, said he had heard the bombing on Friday. "It was from the area of the naval base," he said. "Today it is quiet."

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Tom Pfeiffer in Cairo, Maria Golovnina in Tripoli; Joseph Nasr in Berlin, writing by Myra MacDonald/David Stamp; editing by Matthew Jones)

    Coalition air strike hits Libya rebels, 13 dead, R, 2.4.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/02/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110402

 

 

 

 

 

Saudi says 5,080 convicted of terrorism crimes
 

 

RIYADH | Sat Apr 2, 2011
11:23am EDT
Reuters

 

RIYADH (Reuters) - A total of 5,080 people have been convicted of terrorism crimes in Saudi Arabia, where al Qaeda launched a campaign in 2003 to overthrow the Western-allied monarchy, state media reported on Saturday.

The reports did not give a time frame for the convictions. Saudi Arabia, with the help of foreign experts, managed to quash an al Qaeda campaign from 2003 to 2006 that targeted expatriate housing compounds, embassies and oil facilities.

Riyadh destroyed the main al Qaeda cells within Saudi Arabia, but some militants slipped into neighboring Yemen and regrouped to form a Yemen-based regional wing that seeks, among other things, the fall of the U.S.-allied Saudi royal family.

The official news agency SPA said the cases of 2,215 people had been transferred to a special terrorism court, quoting a prosecution statement.

"This statement gives clear results of the progress regarding sending the detainees to justice," Interior Ministry spokesman Mansour al-Turki told state television.

Western rights groups have reported human rights violations in the treatment of alleged militants in Saudi Arabia, a charge the conservative Muslim country has rejected.

 

(Reporting by Riyadh newsroom; Editing by Peter Graff)

    Saudi says 5,080 convicted of terrorism crimes, R, 2.4.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/02/us-saudi-courts-idUSTRE7311HG20110402

 

 

 

 

 

Israeli air strike kills three militants in Gaza

 

GAZA | Sat Apr 2, 2011
6:31am EDT
Reuters

 

GAZA (Reuters) - Israeli aircraft killed three Palestinian gunmen in the southern Gaza Strip Saturday, medical officials and the Israeli army said.

Residents said the planes fired on a car in which the three men were traveling near the town of Khan Younis.

An Israeli military spokesman said the air strike was aimed at "a Hamas terrorist squad planning to kidnap Israelis over the upcoming Jewish holiday of Passover."

Hamas, Gaza's Islamist rulers, confirmed the men were members of its armed wing, but denied they were planning a kidnapping and threatened reprisal. "The enemy will pay for this assassination crime," a statement said.

Saturday's air strike raised to 15 the number of people killed since a flare up of violence last month.

Israel and the Palestinians have signaled a readiness to return to a de facto ceasefire which has kept the border mostly quiet since the end of the December 2008-January 2009 Gaza war.

 

(Reporting by Nidal al-Mughrabi; Writing by Maayan Lubell)

    Israeli air strike kills three militants in Gaza, R, 2.4.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/02/us-palestinians-israel-violence-idUSTRE7310LU20110402

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. special envoy departs for meetings on Sudan

 

WASHINGTON | Fri Apr 1, 2011
9:16pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Newly appointed U.S. special envoy Princeton Lyman will depart on Saturday for meetings in Ethiopia and Sudan on the transition of South Sudan to independence in July, the State Department said.

Lyman was scheduled to participate in discussions in Ethiopia on security in Sudan before meeting senior Sudanese officials in Khartoum on North-South issues and on Darfur.

Following that, Lyman was to return to Ethiopia for discussions on economic arrangements between North and South Sudan.

President Barack Obama appointed Lyman, a veteran U.S. Africa hand and former ambassador to South Africa and Nigeria, as special envoy for Sudan on Thursday.

Lyman said he would work on outstanding issues such as border demarcation, citizenship and division of oil revenue on his trip, as well as agreement on the disputed border region of Abyei.

The State Department also said Robert Loftis, the acting U.S. coordinator for reconstruction and stabilization in Sudan, was to depart on Monday to meet U.S. officials in Juba and governors in southern Sudan on security and stabilization priorities.

 

(Reporting by Charles Abbott, editing by Anthony Boadle)

    U.S. special envoy departs for meetings on Sudan, R, 1.4.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/02/us-sudan-usa-envoy-idUSTRE73105F20110402

 

 

 

 

 

U.N. council condemns attack on U.N. in Afghanistan

 

UNITED NATIONS | Fri Apr 1, 2011
7:07pm EDT
Reuters
By Louis Charbonneau

 

UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - The U.N. Security Council condemned an attack on the U.N. compound in the northern Afghan city of Mazar-i-Sharif on Friday that left at least 12 people dead, including seven U.N. staff.

U.N. officials in New York said earlier as many as 20 U.N. staff may have been killed in the attack. But U.N. peacekeeping chief Alain Le Roy told reporters the final U.N. death toll was seven.

The U.N. officials said the earlier figure had included non-U.N. Afghans demonstrating against the burning of Islam's holy book, the Koran, by an obscure American pastor.

"The members of the Security Council condemned in the strongest terms the violent attack against the United Nations operations center," Colombia's U.N. ambassador, Nestor Osorio, president of the Security Council this month, told reporters.

He added that the council "called on the government of Afghanistan to bring those responsible to justice."

The confirmed dead were three international U.N. staff and four international Gurkha guards. No Afghan nationals working for the United Nations died in the attack, although five Afghan demonstrators were among the dead, Le Roy said.

Norway's U.N. mission said on its Twitter page that Norwegian Lieutenant Colonel Siri Skare, 53, was among those killed in Mazar-i-Sharif. Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt also posted a Twitter message that said a young Swedish man had been killed.

Le Roy said a Romanian was also among the dead.



'CLEARLY ARMED'

The peacekeeping chief suggested the demonstrators involved in the attack were more than protesters. Several U.N. diplomats told Reuters they suspected there were insurgents mingling among the mob that stormed the U.N. compound.

"Some of them were clearly armed," Le Roy said, adding that they appeared to have targeted the foreigners at the compound. "We are not sure at all that the U.N. was the target."

"Maybe they wanted to find an international target and the U.N. was the one in Mazar-i-Sharif," Le Roy said, adding that an investigation of the incident was still in progress.

The United Nations was temporarily evacuating staff from Mazar-i-Sharif and reviewing its security in Afghanistan, he said.

U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told reporters in Nairobi that the attack was "outrageous and cowardly." U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice said in a statement it was a "horrific and senseless attack."

The U.N. Staff Union, which represents U.N. employees worldwide, issued a statement expressing outrage at the attack.

"The Staff Union requests the Afghan authorities to investigate the incident, to take all possible measures to protect U.N. staff throughout the country and to prevent the reoccurrence of such tragic events," the union said.

The deaths came after protesters demonstrating against the burning of the Koran over-ran the U.N. compound, police said.

An Afghan police spokesman said two of the U.N. dead were beheaded by attackers who also burned parts of the compound and climbed up blast walls to topple a guard tower. Le Roy said no one was beheaded, although one victim's throat was cut.

The worst previous attack on the United Nations in Afghanistan was an insurgent assault on a Kabul guest-house where U.N. staff were staying in October 2009. Five U.N. staffers were killed and nine others wounded.

In October 2010, several militants were killed when they attempted to ambush the U.N. compound in Herat dressed in burkas worn by women.

There have been other assaults on the world body in trouble spots in the Middle East and North Africa.

A bomb attack on the U.N. compound in Algiers in December 2007 killed 17 U.N. staff. The bombing of a hotel in Baghdad in August 2003 where the U.N. mission had its headquarters took the lives of at least 22 people, including the U.N. special envoy to Iraq, Sergio Vieira de Mello.

 

(Editing by Peter Cooney)

    U.N. council condemns attack on U.N. in Afghanistan, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-afghanistan-un-deaths-idUSTRE7307SQ20110401

 

 

 

 

 

At least four die in protests across Arab world

 

DAMASCUS | Fri Apr 1, 2011
5:14pm EDT
Reuters

 

DAMASCUS (Reuters) - At least four people died in protests across the Arab world demanding political change and better living standards on Friday, the Muslim day of prayer and a rallying point for the wave of unrest in the region this year.

Syrian security forces killed at least three protesters in a Damascus suburb on Friday, witnesses said, and one man also died as Omanis demanded jobs and better wages.

Elsewhere in the Arab region protests were largely peaceful. In the Yemeni capital Sanaa, tens of thousands took to the streets in separate demonstrations both for and against President Ali Abdullah Saleh.

Saleh told a rally he would sacrifice everything for his country, suggesting he had no plans to step down in the face of weeks of sometimes violent protests that have brought his 32-year rule to the verge of collapse.

"I swear to you I will sacrifice blood and soul and everything precious for the sake of this great people," he said.

Bahrain released a prominent blogger but detained several other people, including a pro-opposition doctor, while in Saudi Arabia hundreds of Shi'ites staged peaceful protests in the kingdom's oil-producing east in support of fellow Shi'ites in Bahrain and political freedoms at home, activists said.

Witnesses in the Damascus suburb of Douma said the three killed were among at least 2,000 people who chanted "Freedom. Freedom. One, one, one. The Syrian people are one" when police opened fire to disperse them from Municipality Square.

An official source said via state news agency SANA that "armed groups" on rooftops had opened fire on citizens and security forces gathered in Douma, killing and wounding dozens.

Activists said Syrians had taken to the streets after Friday prayers in Damascus, Banias on the coast, Latakia port and the southern city of Deraa, where unprecedented protests challenging President Bashar al-Assad's 11 years in power began last month.

In his first public appearance since the demonstrations began, Assad had declined on Wednesday to spell out any reforms, especially the lifting of a 48-year-old emergency law that has been used to stifle opposition and justify arbitrary arrests.

"Thousands gathered today in Deraa, spontaneously, after Friday prayers in Deraa from all the mosques, rejecting the president's speech," political activist Abu Hazem told Al Arabiya television from Deraa.

Hundreds of Omani protesters seeking jobs and better wages clashed with security forces in the industrial town of Sohar and a man died after being hit by a rubber bullet, a government source said. Protesters threw stones and the troops fired in the air to disperse them.

Bahrain released blogger Mahmood al-Yousif but detained several other people, including a pro-opposition doctor, opposition sources said.

The tiny island kingdom's Sunni rulers have stepped up arrests of cyber activists and Shi'ites, with more than 300 detained and dozens missing since security forces broke up pro-democracy street protests earlier this month.

Al-Yousif, who for years has promoted anti-sectarianism under the slogan "No Shi'ite, No Sunni, Just Bahraini," was detained on Wednesday and released late on Thursday.

"I'm back home now with my family. Everything is fine," he told Reuters by telephone. "I've been treated well enough. They investigated me but didn't find anything."

Opposition sources said Abdul Khaleq Al Oraibi, a doctor at Salmaniya Hospital, Bahrain's biggest, had also been detained.

 

DEMANDS MUBARAK BE PUT ON TRIAL

Egyptians rallied in Cairo, Alexandria and other cities demanding ousted President Hosni Mubarak and other former officials be put on trial.

Mubarak was toppled on February 11, but reformers who drove the protests that brought him down are concerned by what they see as the lingering influence of elements from his administration.

Activists called for Friday's rally to "protect the revolution." One banner held aloft in Cairo's Tahrir Square read: "The people want corruption put on trial to save the revolution."

The reformers want tougher steps to recover assets they say Mubarak and others took from the state and seek deeper change in Egypt which is now ruled by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, led by the defense minister who served under Mubarak.

 

(Writing by Michael Roddy; editing by Andrew Roche/David Stamp)

    At least four die in protests across Arab world, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-mideast-protests-idUSTRE73076Q20110401

 

 

 

 

 

Syria frees Reuters reporter, photographer missing

 

LONDON | Fri Apr 1, 2011
12:29pm EDT
Reuters

 

LONDON (Reuters) - Reuters correspondent Suleiman al-Khalidi was released by the Syrian authorities on Friday, three days after he was detained in Damascus.

A week after Syria expelled another Reuters foreign correspondent, Khalidi was set free to cross back into Jordan, where he is based, shortly after 4 p.m. (1400 GMT).

But Reuters had still had no contact with photographer Khaled al-Hariri, a Syrian based in Damascus, since he disappeared in the capital four days ago. He was last seen arriving at work on Monday morning.

A Syrian official has said the authorities were working to establish what had happened to him.

Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler said: "Thomson Reuters is relieved that Suleiman is now free and has returned home.

"However, we remain deeply concerned about the whereabouts of Khaled and call upon the Syrian authorities again to help ensure his safe and timely return to his family."

Khalidi, a Jordanian who covered unrest which broke out in the Syrian city of Deraa two weeks ago, has worked for Reuters for more than 20 years, in Jordan, Kuwait, Syria and Iraq.

Hariri has worked in Syria for Reuters for more than 20 years.

Earlier in the week, two Reuters journalists from Lebanon were detained in Damascus and held incommunicado for two days before being released and expelled on Monday.

Reuters correspondent Khaled Yacoub Oweis, a Jordanian who had been based in Damascus for five years, was expelled from Syria last Friday for what a Syrian official described as his "unprofessional and false" coverage of events.

Reuters said it stood by its coverage from Syria, where the protests have posed the biggest challenge to President Bashar al-Assad's 11-year rule.

 

ARAB UNREST

On Friday, witnesses said Syrian security forces killed at least three protesters in a Damascus suburb. And the state news agency acknowledged for the first time that worshippers in Deraa and Latakia, scenes of protests and deadly clashes last week, had gathered after weekly prayers to call for faster reforms.

A number of other Arab governments facing unaccustomed public opposition have taken action against the media this year.

On Wednesday, the Libyan government expelled a Reuters correspondent from Tripoli. Two weeks earlier, Saudi Arabia expelled the Reuters foreign correspondent from Riyadh.

Joel Simon, executive director of the New York-based Committee to Protect Journalists, said: "We documented over 300 individual attacks on journalists throughout the Middle East in the last several months and that's a conservative number.

"Circumstances differ in each case; repressive police action; attacks against individuals; but the aim is always the same -- to confront and control journalists trying to provide independent accounts in the country and to the world.

"That's what we're seeing across the region and Syria."

Reuters, part of New York-based Thomson Reuters, the leading information provider, employs some 3,000 journalists worldwide.

Reporting in English, Arabic and more than a dozen other languages, as well as providing video and photographs, it has had bureaux across the Middle East for well over a century.

 

(Editing by Alastair Macdonald)

    Syria frees Reuters reporter, photographer missing, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-reuters-syria-idUSTRE73048320110401

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan government dismisses rebels' "mad" truce offer

 

TRIPOLI/AJDABIYAH, Libya | Fri Apr 1, 2011
9:11pm EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina and Alexander Dziadosz

 

TRIPOLI/AJDABIYAH, Libya (Reuters) - Muammar Gaddafi's government scorned rebel conditions for a nationwide ceasefire, and there was no sign of international diplomatic efforts cooling the Libyan conflict.

Western-led forces bombarded "civilian and military locations" late on Friday in the towns of Khoms, about 100 km (60 miles) east of Tripoli, and Arrujban, about 190 km to the southwest, state-controlled Libyan television said.

A rebel leader, speaking after talks with a U.N. envoy in Benghazi, earlier on Friday offered a truce on condition that Gaddafi left Libya and his forces quit cities now under government control.

"They are asking us to withdraw from our own cities .... If this is not mad then I don't know what this is. We will not leave our cities," government spokesman Mussa Ibrahim told reporters in Tripoli a few hours later.

Rebels speaking from Misrata said Gaddafi's forces had intensified their siege of the insurgents' last western enclave with an intense bombardment that was killing and maiming civilians.

"They used tanks, rocket-propelled grenades, mortar rounds and other projectiles to hit the city today. It was random and very intense bombardment," a spokesman called Sami told Reuters by telephone. "We no longer recognize the place. The destruction cannot be described."

Authorities do not allow journalists to report freely from the city.

Gaddafi's government in turn accused Western leaders of a "crime against humanity," saying allied warplanes had killed at least six civilians in a new attack. "Some mad and criminal prime ministers and presidents of Europe are leading a crusade against an Arab Muslim nation," Ibrahim said.

 

REBELS TRY TO STRENGTHEN DISCIPLINE

Civilian deaths haunt the calculations of coalition governments. Casualties could shatter a fragile consensus between Western and Arab capitals which first called for the U.N. mandate to create a no-fly zone and protect civilians.

Libyan rebels moved heavier weaponry toward government forces at Brega on Friday and sought to marshal their ragtag units into a more disciplined force to fend off Gaddafi's regular army and turn the tide of recent events.

Rebels said neither side could claim control of Brega, one of a string of oil towns along the Mediterranean coast that have been taken and retaken by each side in recent weeks. Warplanes flew over Brega, followed by the sound of explosions.

Rebels said more trained officers were at the front, heavier rockets were seen moving from the eastern rebel stronghold of Benghazi toward Ajdabiyah to the south late on Thursday and checkpoints were screening those going through.

The new approach has yet to be tested after the rout rebels sustained this week when a two-day rebel advance along about 200 km (125 miles) of coast west from Brega was repulsed and turned into a rapid retreat over the following two days.

On the road between Ajdabiyah and Benghazi were newly-dug rebel gun emplacements.

Two weeks ago, Gaddafi's forces were at the gates of Benghazi and the Libyan leader pledged "No mercy, no pity" for rebels who would be flushed out "house by house, room by room."

A U.S. think tank said the military chief of the rebels, Khalifa Hefta, is a veteran Arab nationalist guerrilla foe of Gaddafi who had backing in the past from the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency.

While Western action has failed to bring any end to fighting or a quick collapse of Gaddafi's administration, signs have emerged of contacts between Tripoli and Western capitals.

Foreign minister Moussa Koussa defected in London this week and a Gaddafi appointee declined to take up his post as U.N. ambassador, condemning the "spilling of blood" in Libya. Other reports of defections are unconfirmed.

A British government source said Mohammed Ismail, an aide to Gaddafi's son Saif al-Islam, had visited family members in London, and Britain had "taken the opportunity to send some very strong messages about the Gaddafi regime."

 

REBEL OIL EXPORTS

Rebel National Council head Mustafa Abdel Jalil discussed how a truce might be achieved, after meeting U.N. special envoy Abdelilah al-Khatibset in Benghazi:

"We have no objection to a ceasefire but on condition that Libyans in western cities have full freedom in expressing their views... Our main demand is the departure of Muammar Gaddafi and his sons from Libya. This is a demand we will not go back on."

But there appeared to be confusion over a truce even within rebel ranks. "We do not agree to the ceasefire. We are defending ourselves and our revolution," said rebel spokesman Hafiz Ghoga.

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Souhail Karam in Rabat, Edmund Blair and Ibon Villelabeita in Cairo, Michael Georgy in Tunis, Christian Lowe in Algiers, William Maclean, Olesya Dmitracova, Karolina Tagaris and Keith Weir in London; writing by Andrew Roche; editing by David Stamp)

    Libyan government dismisses rebels' "mad" truce offer, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/02/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110402

 

 

 

 

 

Thousands call for freedom in Syria, 3 killed in unrest

 

DAMASCUS | Fri Apr 1, 2011
7:35pm EDT
Reuters

 

DAMASCUS (Reuters) - Syrian security forces killed at least three protesters in a Damascus suburb on Friday, witnesses said, as thousands turned out in pro-democracy marches despite a reform gesture by President Bashar al-Assad.

Activists said Syrians took to the streets after Friday prayers in the capital Damascus, Homs to the north of the capital, Banias on the coast, Latakia port and the southern city of Deraa, where the unprecedented protests challenging Assad's 11 years in power began in March.

Witnesses in the Damascus suburb of Douma said the three killed were among at least 2,000 people who chanted "Freedom. Freedom. One, one, one. The Syrian people are one," when police opened fire to disperse them from Municipality Square.

A photo distributed by one activist showed protesters pelting police forces with stones in Douma, which links Damascus with the northern countryside.

An official source said via state news agency SANA "armed groups" had positioned themselves on rooftops and opened fire on citizens and security forces gathered in Douma, killing and wounding dozens.

SANA said a group had also opened fire on a gathering in the Bayyada district of the western city of Homs, killing a girl, adding soldiers had also come under fire in Deraa.

In his first public appearance since the demonstrations began, Assad declined on Wednesday to spell out any reforms, especially the lifting of a 48-year-old emergency law that has been used to stifle opposition and justify arbitrary arrests.

"There is no confidence. President Assad talks about reform and does nothing," said Montaha al-Atrash, board member of the independent Syrian human rights organization Sawasiah.

 

SYRIA ACKNOWLEDGES "GATHERINGS"

In Deraa, thousands of people gathered at Serail Square, chanting slogans denouncing hints by Assad's to replace emergency law with anti-terrorism legislation and describing rich relatives of the president as "thieves."

Music played from loudspeakers, including the song "Where are the millions?" by Lebanese singer Julia Boutrous. Secret police and regular police forces kept their distance but the army maintained heavy presence around Deraa, including tanks. A Reuters witness saw two tanks positioned near Deraa.

Assad, who became president after his father Hafez al-Assad died in 2000, had predicted the popular revolts seen in Tunisia and Egypt would not spread to Syria, saying the ruling hierarchy was "very closely linked to the beliefs of the people."

But for the past two weeks thousands of Syrians have turned out demanding greater freedoms in the tightly controlled Arab state, posing the gravest challenge to almost 50 years of monolithic Baath Party rule.

More than 60 people have been killed in the unrest, which could have wider repercussions since Syria has an anti-Israel alliance with Iran and supports militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah.

SANA news agency acknowledged for the first time on Friday that worshippers in Deraa and Latakia, scene of protests and deadly clashes last week, had gathered after Friday prayers to call for accelerated reforms.

It had earlier reported calm across the country, adding there had been peaceful calls for reform and several gatherings supporting "national unity and ... stability."

"A number of worshippers left some mosques in the cities of Deraa and Latakia, chanting slogans in honor of the martyr and calling for speeding up measures for reform ... There were no clashes between worshippers and security forces in these gatherings," it said.

A witness told Reuters security forces and Assad loyalists attacked about 200 worshippers with batons as they marched outside the Refaie mosque in the Kfar Sousseh district of Damascus, chanting slogans in support of the Deraa protesters.

At least six protesters were arrested, the witness told Reuters by telephone from the mosque complex. One man was injured in a protest in the Damascus suburb of Daraya.

Online democracy activists had called for protests across Syria on "Martyrs' Friday," after Assad gave no clear commitment to meet demands for greater freedoms and said Syria was the target of a "big conspiracy."

 

INVESTIGATING DEATHS

Government-appointed preachers denounced "acts of turmoil" which they said had been "provoked from the outside and had targeted the nation's security."

On Thursday Assad ordered the creation of a panel that would draft anti-terrorism legislation to replace emergency law, a move critics have dismissed, saying they expect the new legislation will give the state much of the same powers.

Assad also ordered an investigation into the deaths of civilians and security forces in Deraa and in Latakia, where clashes that authorities blamed on "armed gangs" occurred last week, killing 12 people, according to officials.

The Syrian News Agency earlier said security forces had arrested two armed groups that opened fire and attacked citizens in a Damascus suburb.

Assad also formed a panel to "solve the problem of the 1962 census" in the eastern region of al-Hasaka. The census resulted in 150,000 Kurds who now live in Syria being denied nationality.

Two American citizens who had been detained in Syria have been released, the U.S. State Department said on Friday, without giving more details.

Media operate in Syria under severe restrictions. Syria expelled Reuters' Damascus correspondent last week. One foreign journalist was released by authorities on Friday, three days after he had been detained, while a Syrian Reuters photographer remains missing since Monday. Two other foreign Reuters journalists were also expelled.

 

(Reporting by Khaled Yacoub Oweis and Suleiman al-Khalidi in Amman; writing by Yara Bayoumy; editing by Andrew Roche)

    Thousands call for freedom in Syria, 3 killed in unrest; R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-syria-idUSTRE72N2MC20110401

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. intelligence and the wisdom of crowds

 

Apr 1, 2011
10:11 EDT
Reuters
Bernd Debusmann

 

After a string of world-shaking events America’s spies failed to predict, most recently the turmoil sweeping the Arab world, a vast project is taking shape to improve forecasting. It involves thousands of volunteers and the wisdom of crowds.

It’s officially known as the Forecasting World Events Project and is sponsored by the Intelligence Advanced Research Activity (IARPA), a little-known agency run by a woman, Lisa Porter, who is occasionally described as America’s answer to the fictional Agent Q who designs cutting edge gadgets for James Bond. Much of IARPA’s work is classified, as is its budget. But the forecasting project is not classified. Invitations to participate are now on the Internet.

The idea is to raise five large competing teams of people of diverse backgrounds who will be asked to make predictions on fields that range from politics and global security to business and economics, public health, social and cultural change and science and technology. The project is expected to run for four years and stems from the recognition that expert forecasts are very often wrong.

One of the teams is being put together by University of Pennsylvania professor Philip Tetlock, whose ground-breaking 2005 book (Expert Political Judgment: How Good is It? How Can We Know?) analysed 27,450 predictions from a variety of experts and found they were no more accurate than random guesses or, as he put it, “a dart-throwing chimpanzee”.

“To test various hypotheses,” Tetlock said in an interview, “we want a large number on my team, 2,500 or so, which would make it almost ten times bigger than the number I analysed in my book.” There are no firm numbers yet on how big the other four teams will be. But Dan Gardner, the author of a just-published book that also highlights the shortcomings of expert predictions, believes the IARPA-sponsored project will be the biggest of its kind. It is expected to start in mid-2011.

The title of Gardner’s book, “Future Babble. Why expert predictions are next to worthless and you can do better,” leaves no doubts over his conclusion. The book is an entertaining, well researched guide to decades of totally wrong predictions from eminent figures. There was the British writer H.N. Norman, for example, who, in the peaceful early days of 1914, predicted there would be no more wars between the big powers of the time. World War I started a few months later.

There was the Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich, whose best-selling 1968 book The Population Bomb predicted that hundreds of millions of people would starve to death in famines in the 1970s. There was an entire library of books in the 1980s that predicted Japan would overtake the United States as the world’s leading economic power.

Not to forget the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency’s September 1978 prediction that the Shah of Iran “is expected to remain actively involved in power over the next ten years.” The Shah fled into exile three months later, forced out by increasingly violent demonstrations against his autocratic rule.

 

NO CLAIRVOYANTS

In a similar vein, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on January 25 that “our assessment is that the Egyptian government is stable and is looking for ways to respond to the legitimate needs and interests of the Egyptian people.”

Seventeeen days later, the leader of that stable government, Hosni Mubarak, stepped down in the face of mass protests.

“We are not clairvoyant,” America’s intelligence czar, James Clapper, told a hearing of the House Intelligence Committee where criticism of the sprawling U.S. intelligence community was aired. “Specific triggers for how and when instability would lead to the collapse of various regimes cannot always be known or predicted.”

True enough. Who could have predicted that the assassination of an archduke in Sarajevo in 1914 would lead to the deaths of 16 million people in World War I? Who could have predicted Japan’s recent earthquake, tsunami and nuclear reactor disaster? On the other hand, there were accurate predictions that U.S. troops invading Iraq in 2003 would not be showered with flowers, as Washington officials had so confidently predicted.

IARPA’s Forecasting Project is not the first American attempt at peering into the future with novel methods. The agency’s richer, bigger and older military sibling, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), caused outrage in 2003 with a plan to set up an online market where investors would have traded futures in Middle East developments including coups, assassinations and terrorist attacks.

The man who ran DARPA, the Pentagon’s research arm, at the time, John Poindexter, resigned and the project was killed so we’ll never know whether that market might have been a better indicator of the future than the usual, often over-confident analysts.

And the IARPA teams? The aim of the program, as explained in an online invitation to participate, is to “dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision and timeliness” of forecasts. Gardner, the forecast sceptic, thinks they will remind us that there are things that simply can’t be predicted.

    U.S. intelligence and the wisdom of crowds, R, 1.4.2011, http://blogs.reuters.com/bernddebusmann/2011/04/01/u-s-intelligence-and-the-wisdom-of-crowds/

 

 

 

 

 

Anxiety Roils Libyan Capital Amid Top-Level Defections

 

April 1, 2011
The New York Times
By DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK and C.J. CHIVERS

 

TRIPOLI, Libya — Anxiety seized the Qaddafi government on Thursday over the second defection in two days of a senior official close to Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi, stirring talk of others to follow and a crackdown to stop them.

And, on Friday British news reports on the BBC and in The Guardian newspaper said Mohammed Ismail, a senior aide to one of Colonel Qaddafi’s sons, had traveled to London for talks with British officials in recent days. But there was no immediate confirmation of those reports. A Foreign Office spokesman, who spoke in return for anonymity under departmental procedures, said: “We are not going to provide a running commentary on our contact with Libyan officials.”

As rebels challenging pro-Qaddafi forces struggled to regroup around the oil port of Brega, and the roar of allied warplanes was heard again over the capital, residents reacted in shock at the defection of Foreign Minister Moussa Koussa, a close ally of Colonel Qaddafi’s since the early days of the revolution, who once earned the nickname “envoy of death” for his role in the assassinations of earlier Libyan defectors.

And then came the defection to Egypt of another senior official, Ali Abdussalam el-Treki, a former foreign minister and a former United Nations ambassador who had worked closely with Colonel Qaddafi for decades.

Soon rumors swirled of a cascade of high-level defections. The pan-Arab news channel Al Jazeera reported without confirmation that the intelligence chief and the speaker of Parliament had fled to Tunisia. Other rumors, like the exit of the oil minister, were quickly shot down. But taking no chances, Libyan officials posted guards to prevent any other officials from leaving the country, two former officials said.

The defections and ensuing speculation underscored the increasing tension in the capital as allied air strikes crippled the military machine that Colonel Qaddafi deployed almost exclusively as a bulwark against his own population. Even though the rebels were retreating in the east, allied airstrikes showed no sign of relenting, fuel shortages were worsening, and Qaddafi loyalists were talking increasingly openly about the possibility of the leader’s own exit.

Western leaders hailed Mr. Koussa’s departure, in particular, as a turning point. “Moussa Koussa’s decision shows which way the wind is blowing in Tripoli,” said Tommy Vietor, a national security spokesman at the White House.

Musa Ibrahim, a government spokesman who huddled behind closed doors until well after midnight on Wednesday struggling to confirm Mr. Koussa’s departure, said in a news conference on Thursday: “This is not like a happy piece of news, is it? But people are saying, ‘So what, if someone wants to step down? That is their decision. The fight continues.’ ”

Asked if Colonel Qaddafi and his sons were still in Libya, Mr. Ibrahim smiled. “Rest assured, we are all still here,” he said. “We will remain here until the end.”

Aside from Colonel Qaddafi’s sons, the most important ally remaining at his side — rivaled in influence only by Mr. Koussa — is his brother-in-law, Abdullah Senussi, a top security adviser. “He is the right hand and the left hand of the regime,” said Ali Aujali, who was the Libyan ambassador to the United States until he defected a few weeks ago.

In a speech in London on Thursday, Foreign Secretary William Hague said Mr. Koussa, who is believed to have helped orchestrate the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, had fled to London “of his own free will” with no offer of immunity from British or international justice.

“He is voluntarily talking to British officials, including members of the British Embassy in Tripoli now based in London, and our ambassador, Richard Northern.”

The prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, Luis Moreno-Ocampo, said on March 3 that he would investigate “alleged crimes against humanity committed in Libya since 15 February, as peaceful demonstrators were attacked by security forces.” He placed Mr. Koussa second after Colonel Qaddafi on a list of “some individuals with formal or de facto authority, who commanded and had control over the forces that allegedly committed the crimes.”

Mr. Ibrahim, the Qaddafi government spokesman, said Mr. Koussa had been granted a leave of a few days to receive medical care in Tunisia, a common practice among the Libyan elite. But Mr. Ibrahim said Mr. Koussa had not contacted the Qaddafi government since the day after he crossed the border. “I don’t think his sick leave included London,” Mr. Ibrahim said.

The panic in the capital bore no relation to the success of the Qaddafi forces in eastern Libya battling the rebels, who in the end are likely to present a much less immediate threat to Colonel Qaddafi than a breakdown of his military or a more generalized uprising.

After beating a chaotic retreat to the city of Ajdabiya on Wednesday, the rebels on Thursday morning realized that the loyalist advance had crested for the moment, and they tried to mount a renewed push southwest down the coastal road, hoping to recapture some of their losses.

Near the entrance to the oil port of Brega, however, they were met by resistance, and their counterattack was halted. The day passed with the two sides separated by an expanse of open desert, with Colonel Qaddafi’s forces occasionally shelling clusters of rebels, who answered with rockets and ineffective bursts of machine-gun fire.

Coalition aircraft could be heard overhead a few times during the day, but airstrikes were neither visible nor audible from rebel-held ground.

Stalled on the shoulders of the road, the rebels said they were seeking alternative routes overland into the city. “We are going on this side and that side,” said Jamal Saad Omar, 45, a weathered fighter who gestured toward Brega as artillery or rockets landed in the distance.

Some of the rebels also expressed fears of booby traps and land mines, which Colonel Qaddafi’s forces had left behind after occupying Ajdabiya.

The loyalist forces’ tactics apparently unnerved some of the fighters, who said that in the morning fighting the pro-Qaddafi militias did not fight from conventional military vehicles, but from civilian cars, which made them both harder to detect and less vulnerable to foreign air strikes.

“There were many civilian cars coming toward us,” said Fisky Iltajoury, a 31-year-old fighter. “They started to shoot us.”

By evening there had been no breakthrough. The day passed without a change in the lines.

In a display intended perhaps to show the government’s strength, government officials escorted foreign journalists for a late-night trip to the Qaddafi compound. A few hundred supporters in green bandanas and scarves were cheering a giant television screen showing the face of Shokri Ghanem, the Libyan oil minister, who had given an interview on Thursday to dispel rumors that he, too, had defected.

But at the hotel that houses foreign reporters, the government officials usually found in the lobby cafe smoking cigarettes and drinking tea until late at night were nowhere to be seen on Thursday. Usually accessible figures no longer answered their phones.

Mr. Aujali, the former ambassador to Washington, said more officials were seeking to defect. “I think anybody who has a chance to get out of the country will do the same as Moussa Koussa,” he said. “They have to do it soon, or it won’t mean very much.”

But Mr. Ibrahim, the Qaddafi spokesman, said that the government had already proved its resilience in the face of conditions that were “extremely ripe for a popular rebellion.”

“The skies are afire, the bombardment is everywhere, the rebels are in the east, there are shortages of fuel,” Mr. Ibrahim said. “Where is the popular uprising? Where are the tribes coming out to say he must go?”


David D. Kirkpatrick reported from Tripoli, and C. J. Chivers from Ajdabiya, Libya. Alan Cowell and Marlise Simons contributed reporting from Paris.

    Anxiety Roils Libyan Capital Amid Top-Level Defections, NYT, 1.4.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/02/world/africa/02libya.html

 

 

 

 

Protests break out after Friday prayers in Syria

 

AMMAN | Fri Apr 1, 2011
8:24am EDT
Reuters

 

AMMAN (Reuters) - Protests broke out in three Syrian cities against Baath Party rule after prayers on Friday, Syrian activists said, two days after President Bashar al-Assad termed mass protests demanding freedoms a foreign conspiracy.

Hundreds of people took to the streets in and around Damascus, where security forces fired teargas at protesters in the suburb of Douma, and in the coastal cities of Latakia and Banias, they added.

The presence of security forces and Assad loyalists was heavy around mosques where the protests broke out, the activists said.

"The regime is using a new tactic. It is no longer security forces alone confronting the protesters, but they are just as brutal," one of the activists said.

 

(Reporting by khaled Yacoub Oweis; Editing by Michael Roddy)

    Protests break out after Friday prayers in Syria, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-syria-protests-idUSTRE7302E220110401

 

 

 

 

 

Yemen's Saleh signals defiance at loyalist rally

 

SANAA | Fri Apr 1, 2011
7:56am EDT
Reuters
By Mohamed Sudam and Mohammed Ghobari

 

SANAA (Reuters) - Embattled Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh told a huge rally of supporters on Friday that he would sacrifice everything for his country, suggesting he has no plans to step down yet.

Weeks of protests across Yemen have brought Saleh's 32-year rule to the verge of collapse but the United States and neighboring oil giant Saudi Arabia, an important financial backer, are worried about who might succeed him in a country where al Qaeda militants flourish.

Tens of thousands of protesters, both for and against Saleh, took to the streets of Yemen's capital in a bid to draw the larger crowd as negotiators struggle to revive talks to decide his fate.

"I swear to you that I will sacrifice my blood and soul and everything precious for the sake of this great people," he told supporters who shouted "the people want Ali Abdullah Saleh" in response.

Rallies attracted large numbers in Sanaa even before midday prayers, a time which has been a critical period for drawing crowds in protest movements that have swept across the region and unseated entrenched rulers in Tunisia and Egypt.

"It seems Saleh is going down with the ship," said Theodore Karasik, a security analyst at the Dubai-based INEGMA group. "The only way he'll let himself get dislodged is if he loses even more supporters from his inner circle."

Saleh has lost key support from tribal, military and political aides.

"It seems like he's not ready to go," Karasik said. "He's making statements saying he's going to do what's best for Yemen but really this is just Saleh trying to do what's best for Saleh."

Helicopters buzzed over ahead, monitoring both protests.

"Out traitor, the Yemeni people are in revolt. We, the army and the police are united under oppression," anti-Saleh protesters shouted outside Sanaa University, where tens of thousands had gathered.

One cleric said during morning prayers at the rally: "I say to you, Saleh, while you sit terrified in your palace, that the people are on to your tricks.... You (protesters) represent the oppressed, the poor and the imprisoned."

But tensions were high as equally large crowds came out in a show of support for Saleh in Sabyeen Square, about four km (2.5 miles) away. Hundreds of security forces were deployed at checkpoints across the city as tanks rolled through the streets.

Anti-Saleh protesters have named the day a "Friday of enough," while loyalists branded it a "Friday of brotherhood."

"We send a message from the Yemeni majority to them (the opposition) and the whole world ... of our support for the nation and for our leader, President Ali Abdullah Saleh," former prime minister Ali Mohammed Megawar said, addressing the pro-Saleh rally.

 

TALKS STALLED

A government official who helped organize the demonstration told Reuters the ruling party expected tens of thousands of supporters to arrive in the capital. Tens of cars and buses were driving into Sanaa filled with people waving Yemeni flags and pictures of Saleh, witnesses said.

Some Sanaa residents said they had been paid the equivalent of $250 to join the pro-Saleh protest. Others, from outside the city, said they had been paid between $300 and $350.

Protests could easily spiral into violence in this turbulent state on the southern rim of the Arabian Peninsula -- over half the population of 23 million own a gun. Some 82 people have been killed so far, including 52 shot by snipers on March 18.

A well-known journalist, Abdul Ghani al-Shameri, who had run several television channels including state TV and recently resigned from the ruling party, was taken away from his Sanaa home in a car around midnight on Thursday by people his family described as plainclothes police. Further details were not immediately available.

Saleh is looking to stay on as president while new parliamentary and presidential elections are organized by the end of the year, an opposition source told Reuters on Tuesday.

Talks over his exit have stalled and it is not yet clear how they can restart. Saudi authorities have deflected Yemeni government efforts to involve them in mediation.

Protesters camped outside Sanaa University since early February insist that Saleh, who has said he will not run for re-election when his term ends in 2013, should step down now.

Washington has long regarded Saleh as a bulwark of stability who can keep al Qaeda from extending its foothold in Yemen, a country which many see as close to disintegration.

Saleh has talked of civil war if he steps down without ensuring that power passes to "safe hands." He has warned against a coup after senior generals turned against him in the past week.

Opposition parties say they can handle the militant issue better than Saleh, who they say has made deals with militants in the past to avoid provoking Yemen's Islamists.

 

(Writing by Erika Solomon and Nick Macfie; editing by Myra MacDonald)

    Yemen's Saleh signals defiance at loyalist rally, NYT, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-yemen-idUSTRE72T1Z920110401

 

 

 

 

 

Bahrain steps up detentions but releases prominent blogger

 

DUBAI | Fri Apr 1, 2011
4:50am EDT
Reuters

 

DUBAI (Reuters) - Bahrain released a prominent blogger but detained several people, including a pro-opposition doctor, the latest in a series of arrests since the kingdom's crackdown on street protests, opposition sources said on Friday.

The tiny island's Sunni rulers have stepped up arrests of cyber activists and Shi'ites, with more than 300 detained and dozens missing since the crackdown on pro-democracy protests earlier this month.

It imposed martial law and called in troops from fellow Sunni-ruled neighbors, including Saudi Arabia, to quell the protest movement led mostly by the state's Shi'ite majority.

More than 60 percent of Bahrainis are Shi'ites and most want a constitutional monarchy.

Mattar Ibrahim Mattar, a member of Bahrain's largest Shi'ite opposition group, Wefaq, said the party's official arrest count was 329 by Thursday, but that the real number was likely to be over 400.

He said at least 20 people had been detained on Thursday and 31 were missing. It was unclear if those people were in hiding or had been abducted.

There have been several reports of missing people who have turned up dead days later, but activists say that many of their peers are also going into hiding to avoid arrest.

Prominent blogger Mahmood al-Yousif, who for years has promoted anti-sectarianism under the slogan "No Shi'ite, No Sunni, Just Bahraini," was detained on Wednesday and released late on Thursday.

"I'm back home now with my family. Everything is fine," he told Reuters by telephone. "I've been treated well enough. They investigated me but didn't find anything."

Opposition sources said Abdul Khaleq Al Oraibi, a doctor at Salmaniya Hospital, the kingdom's biggest, had also been detained.

Oraibi, who once considered running as a member of parliament for Wefaq, had been publicly critical of the lack of access for medics to wounded protesters.

The severity of Bahrain's crackdown, in which public gatherings are banned and security forces have been deployed at checkpoints, stunned Bahrain's Shi'ites and angered the region's non-Arab Shi'ite power Iran.

Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states fearful of rising Iranian influence see Bahrain as a red line among the popular uprisings that have swept the region since January.

 

(Writing by Erika Solomon; Editing by Nick Macfie)

    Bahrain steps up detentions but releases prominent blogger, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-bahrain-arrests-idUSTRE7301C920110401

 

 

 

 

 

Special report: The West's unwanted war in Libya

 

PARIS | Fri Apr 1, 2011
4:27am EDT
Reuters
By Paul Taylor

 

PARIS (Reuters) - It is a war that Barack Obama didn't want, David Cameron didn't need, Angela Merkel couldn't cope with and Silvio Berlusconi dreaded.

Only Nicolas Sarkozy saw the popular revolt that began in Libya on February 15 as an opportunity for political and diplomatic redemption. Whether the French president's energetic leadership of an international coalition to protect the Libyan people from Muammar Gaddafi will be enough to revive his sagging domestic fortunes in next year's election is highly uncertain.

But by pushing for military strikes that he hopes might repair France's reputation in the Arab world, Sarkozy helped shape what type of war it would be. The road to Western military intervention was paved with mutual suspicion, fears of another quagmire in a Muslim country and doubts about the largely unknown ragtag Libyan opposition with which the West has thrown in its lot.

That will make it harder to hold together an uneasy coalition of Americans, Europeans and Arabs, the longer Gaddafi holds out. Almost two weeks into the air campaign, Western policymakers fret about the risk of a stray bomb hitting a hospital or an orphanage, or of the conflict sliding into a prolonged stalemate.

There is no doubt the outcome in Tripoli will have a bearing on the fate of the popular movement for change across the Arab world. But because this war was born in Paris it will also have consequences for Europe.

"It's high time that Europeans stopped exporting their own responsibilities to Washington," says Nick Witney, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. "If the West fails in Libya, it will be primarily a European failure."

 

A FRENCH FIASCO

When the first Arab pro-democracy uprisings shook the thrones of aging autocrats in Tunisia and Egypt in January, France had got itself on the wrong side of history.

Foreign Minister Michele Alliot-Marie had enjoyed a winter holiday in Tunisia, a former French colony, oblivious to the rising revolt. She and her family had taken free flights on the private jet of a businessman close to President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali, and then publicly offered the government French assistance with riot control just a few days before Ben Ali was ousted by popular protests.

Worse was to come. It turned out that French Prime Minister Francois Fillon had spent his Christmas vacation up the Nile as the guest of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, the next autocrat in the Arab democracy movement's firing line, while Sarkozy and his wife Carla had soaked up the winter sunshine in Morocco, another former French territory ruled by a barely more liberal divine-right monarch.

Television stations were re-running embarrassing footage of the president giving Gaddafi a red-carpet welcome in Paris in 2007, when Libya's "brother leader" planted his tent in the grounds of the Hotel de Marigny state guest house across the road from the Elysee presidential palace.

On February 27, a few days after Libyan rebels hoisted the pre-Gaddafi tricolor flag defiantly in Benghazi, Sarkozy fired his foreign minister. In a speech announcing the appointment of Alain Juppe as her successor, Sarkozy cited the need to adapt France's foreign and security policy to the new situation created by the Arab uprisings. "This is an historic change," he said. "We must not be afraid of it. We must have one sole aim: to accompany, support and help the people who have chosen freedom."

 

MAN IN THE WHITE SHIRT

Yet the international air campaign against Gaddafi's forces might never have happened without the self-appointed activism of French public intellectual Bernard-Henri Levy, a left-leaning philosopher and talk-show groupie, who lobbied Sarkozy to take up the cause of Libya's pro-democracy rebels.

Libya was the latest of a string of international causes that the libertarian icon with his unbuttoned white designer shirts and flowing mane of greying hair has championed over the last two decades after Bosnian Muslims, Algerian secularists, Afghan rebels and Georgia's side in the conflict with Russia. Levy went to meet the Libyan rebels and telephoned Sarkozy from Benghazi in early March.

"I'd like to bring you the Libyan Massouds," Levy says he told the president, comparing the anti-Gaddafi opposition with former Afghan warlord Ahmad Shah Massoud, who fought against the Islamist Taliban before being assassinated. "As Gaddafi only clings on through violence, I think he'll collapse," the philosopher told Reuters in an interview.

On March 10, Levy accompanied two envoys of the Libyan Transitional Council to Sarkozy's office. To their surprise and to the consternation of France's allies, the president recognized the council as the "legitimate representative of the Libyan people" and told them he favored not only establishing a no-fly zone to protect them but also carrying out "limited targeted strikes" against Gaddafi's forces. In doing so without consultation on the eve of a European Union summit called to discuss Libya, Sarkozy upstaged Washington, which was still debating what to do, embarrassed London, which wanted broad support for a no-fly zone, and infuriated Berlin, France's closest European partner. He also stunned his own foreign minister, who learned about the decision to recognize the opposition from a news agency dispatch, aides said, while in Brussels trying to coax the EU into backing a no-fly zone.

"Quite a lot of members of the European Council were irritated to discover that France had recognized the Libyan opposition council and the Elysee was talking of targeted strikes," a senior European diplomat said. Across the Channel, British Prime Minister David Cameron, aware of the deep unpopularity of the Iraq war, had turned his back on Tony Blair's doctrine of liberal interventionism when he took office in 2010. But after facing criticism over the slow evacuation of British nationals from Libya and a trade-promotion trip to the Gulf in the midst of the Arab uprisings, he overruled cabinet skeptics, military doubters and critics among his own Conservative lawmakers to join Sarkozy in campaigning for military action. However, Cameron sought to reassure parliament that he was not entering an Iraq-style open-ended military commitment.

"This is different to Iraq. This is not going into a country, knocking over its government and then owning and being responsible for everything that happens subsequently," he said. In Britain, as in France, the government won bipartisan support for intervention.

 

GERMANY MISSING IN ACTION

In Germany, on the other hand, the Libyan uprising was an unwelcome distraction from domestic politics. It played directly into the campaign for regional elections in Baden-Wuerttemberg, a south-western state which Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats had governed since 1953.

Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle, leader of the Free Democrats, the liberal junior partners in Merkel's coalition, tried to surf on pacifist public opinion by opposing military action. Polls showed two-thirds of voters opposed German involvement in Libya, a country where Nazi Germany's Afrika Korps had suffered desert defeats in World War Two. Present-day Germany's armed forces were already overstretched in Afghanistan, where some 5,000 soldiers are engaged in an unpopular long-term mission. Westerwelle made it impossible for Merkel to support a no-fly zone, even without participating. He publicly criticized the Franco-British proposal for a U.N. Security Council resolution authorizing the use of force to prevent Gaddafi using his air force against Libyan civilians. Merkel said she was skeptical. The Germans prevented a March 11 EU summit from making any call for a no-fly zone, much to the frustration of the French and British.

Relations between France's Juppe and Westerwelle deteriorated further the following week when Germany prevented foreign ministers from the Group of Eight industrialized powers from calling for a no-fly zone in Libya. Westerwelle told reporters: "Military intervention is not the solution. From our point of view, it is very difficult and dangerous. We do not want to get sucked into a war in North Africa. We would not like to step on a slippery slope where we all are at the end in a war."

That argument angered allies. As the meeting broke up, a senior European diplomat tells Reuters, Juppe turned to Westerwelle and said: "Now that you have achieved everything you wanted, Gaddafi can go ahead and massacre his people."

When the issue came to the U.N. Security Council on March 17, 10 days before the Baden-Wuerttemberg election, Germany abstained, along with Russia, China, India and Brazil, and said it would take no part in military operations.

Ironically, that stance seems to have been politically counterproductive. The center-right coalition lost the regional election anyway, and both leaders were severely criticized by German media for having isolated Germany from its western partners, including the United States. The main political beneficiaries were the ecologist Greens, seen as both anti-nuclear and anti-war.

 

U.S. TAKES ITS TIME

In Washington, meanwhile, President Barack Obama was, as usual, taking his time to make up his mind. Military action in Libya was the last thing the U.S. president needed, just when he was trying to extricate American troops from two unpopular wars in Muslim countries launched by his predecessor, George W. Bush.

Obama had sought to rebuild damaged relations with the Muslim world, seen as a key driver of radicalization and terrorism against the United States. The president trod a fine line in embracing pro-democracy and reform movements in the Arab world and Iran while trying to avoid undermining vital U.S. interests in the absolute monarchies of Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and other Gulf states. Compared to those challenges, Libya was a sideshow.

The United States had no big economic or political interests in the North African oil and gas producing state and instinctively saw it as part of Europe's backyard. Obama had also sought to encourage allies, notably in Europe, to take more responsibility for their own security issues. Spelling out the administration's deep reluctance to get dragged into another potential Arab quagmire, Defense Secretary Robert Gates said in a farewell speech to officer cadets at the West Point military academy on March 4: "In my opinion, any future Defense secretary who advises the president to again send a big American land army into Asia or into the Middle East or Africa should 'have his head examined', as General (Douglas) MacArthur so delicately put it."

Prominent U.S. foreign policy lawmakers, including Democratic Senator John Kerry and Republican Senator John McCain pressed the Obama administration in early March to impose a "no- fly" zone over Libya and explore other military options, such as bombing runways. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had said after talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Geneva on February 28 that a "no-fly" zone was "an option which we are actively considering".

But the White House pushed back against pressure from lawmakers. "It would be premature to send a bunch of weapons to a post office box in eastern Libya," White House spokesman Jay Carney said on March 7. "We need to not get ahead of ourselves in terms of the options we're pursuing."

While Carney said a no-fly zone was a serious option, other U.S. civilian and military officials cautioned that it would be difficult to enforce.

On March 10, U.S. National Intelligence Director James Clapper forecast in Congress that Gaddafi's better-equipped forces would prevail in the long term, saying Gaddafi appeared to be "hunkering down for the duration". If there was to be intervention, it had become clear, it would have to come quickly.

 

ARAB SPINE

U.S. officials say the key event that helped Clinton and the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, Susan Rice, persuade Obama of the need for intervention was a March 12 decision by the Arab League to ask the U.N. Security Council to declare a no-fly zone to protect the Libyan population. The Arab League's unprecedented resolve -- the organization has long been plagued by chronic divisions and a lack of spine -- reflected the degree to which Gaddafi had alienated his peers, especially Saudi Arabia. When the quixotic colonel bothered to attend Arab summits, it was usually to insult the Saudi king and other veteran rulers.

The Arab League decision gave a regional seal of approval that Western nations regarded as vital for military action.

Moreover, two Arab states - Qatar and the United Arab Emirates - soon said they would participate in enforcing a no-fly zone, and a third, Lebanon, co-sponsored a United Nations resolution to authorize the use of force. Arab diplomats said Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa, a former Egyptian foreign minister with presidential ambitions, played the key role in squeezing an agreement out of the closed-door meeting.

Syria, Sudan, Algeria and Yemen were all against any move to invite foreign intervention in an Arab state. But diplomats said that by couching the resolution as an appeal to the U.N. Security Council, Moussa maneuvered his way around Article VI of the Arab League's statutes requiring that such decisions be taken unanimously. It was he who announced the outcome, saying Gaddafi's government had lost legitimacy because of its "crimes against the Libyan people".

The African Union, in which Gaddafi played an active but idiosyncratic role, condemned the Libyan leader's crackdown but rejected foreign military intervention and created a panel of leaders to try to resolve the conflict through dialogue.

However, all three African states on the Security Council - South Africa, Nigeria and Gabon - voted for the resolution. France acted as if it had AU support anyway. Sarkozy invited the organization's secretary-general, Jean Ping, to the Elysee palace for a showcase summit of coalition countries on the day military action began, and he attended, providing African political cover for the operation.

 

OBAMA DECIDES

Having failed to win either EU or G8 backing for a no-fly zone, and with the United States internally divided and holding back, France and Britain were in trouble in their quest for a U.N. resolution despite the Arab League support. Gaddafi's forces had regrouped and recaptured a swathe of the western and central coastal plain, including some key oil terminals, and were advancing fast on Benghazi, a city of 700,000 and the rebels' stronghold. If international intervention did not come within days, it would be too late. Gaddafi's troops would be in the population centers, making surgical air strikes impossible without inflicting civilian casualties.

In the nick of time, Obama came off the fence on March 15 at a two-part meeting of his National Security Council. Hillary Clinton participated by telephone from Paris, Susan Rice by secure video link from New York. Both were deeply aware of the events of the 1990s, when Bill Clinton's administration, in which Rice was an adviser on Africa, had failed to prevent genocide in Rwanda, and only intervened in Bosnia after the worst massacre in Europe since World War Two.

They reviewed what was at stake now. There were credible reports that Gaddafi forces were preparing to massacre the rebels. What signal would it send to Arab democrats if the West let him get away with that, and if Mubarak and Ben Ali, whose armies refused to turn their guns on the people, were overthrown while Gaddafi, who had used his airforce, tanks and artillery against civilian protesters, survived in office?

The president overruled doubters among his military and national security advisers and decided the United States would support an ambitious U.N. resolution going beyond just a no-fly zone, on the strict condition that Washington would quickly hand over leadership of the military action to its allies. "Within days, not weeks," one participant quoted him as saying.

A senior administration official, speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity, said the key concern was to avoid any impression that the United States was once again unilaterally bombing an Arab country. Asked what had swung Washington toward agreeing to join military action in Libya, he said: "It's more that events were evolving and so positions had to address the change of events."

"The key elements were the Arab League statement, the Lebanese support, co-sponsorship of the actual resolution as the Arab representative on the Security Council, a series of conversations with Arab leaders over the course of that week, leading up to the resolution. All of that convinced us that the Arab countries were fully supportive of the broad resolution that would provide the authorization necessary to protect civilians and to provide humanitarian relief, and then the (March 19) gathering in Paris, confirmed that there was support for the means necessary to carry out the resolution, namely the use of military force," the official said.

When Rice told her French and British counterparts at the United Nations that Washington now favored a far more aggressive Security Council resolution, including air and sea strikes, they first feared a trap. Was Obama deliberately trying to provoke a Russian veto, a French official mused privately.

"I had a phone call from Susan Rice, Tuesday 8 p.m., and a phone call from Susan Rice at 11 p.m., and everything had changed in three hours," a senior Western envoy told Reuters. "On Wednesday morning, at the (Security) Council, in a sort of totally awed silence, Susan Rice said: 'We want to be allowed to strike Libyan forces on the ground.' There was a sort of a bit surprised silence."

 

THE VOTE

Right up to the day of the vote, when Juppe took a plane to New York to swing vital votes behind the resolution, Moscow's attitude was uncertain. So too were the three African votes. British and French diplomats tried desperately to contact the Nigerian, South African and Gabonese ambassadors but kept being told they were in a meeting.

"There was drama right up to the last minute," another U.N. diplomat said. That day, March 17, Clinton had just come out of a television studio in Tunis, epicenter of the first Arab democratic revolution, when she spoke to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on a secure cellphone. Lavrov, who had strongly opposed a no-fly zone when they met in Geneva on February 28 and remained skeptical when they talked again in Paris on March 14, told her Moscow would not block the resolution. The senior U.S. official denied that Washington had offered Russia trade and diplomatic benefits in return for acquiescence, as suggested by a senior non-American diplomat. However, Obama telephoned President Dimitry Medvedev the following week and reaffirmed his support for Russia's bid to join the World Trade Organization, which U.S. ally Georgia is blocking.

China too abstained, allowing the resolution to pass with 10 votes in favor, five abstentions and none against. It authorized the use of "all necessary measures" - code for military action -- to protect the civilian population but expressly ruled out a foreign occupation force in any part of Libya. The United States construes it to allow arms sales to the rebels. Most others do not.

Reuters reported exclusively on March 29 that Obama had signed a secret order authorizing covert U.S. government support for rebel forces. The White House and the Central Intelligence Agency declined comment. Clinton said no decision had been taken on whether to arm the rebels.

 

ARAB JITTERS, COLD TURKEY

No sooner had the first cruise missiles been fired than the Arab League's Moussa complained that the Western powers had gone beyond the U.N. resolution and caused civilian casualties. His outburst appeared mainly aimed at assuaging Arab public opinion, particularly in Egypt, and he muted his criticism after telephone calls from Paris, London and Washington.

Turkey, the leading Muslim power in NATO with big economic interests in Libya, bitterly criticized the military action in an Islamic country. The Turks were exasperated to see France, the most vociferous adversary of its EU membership bid, leading the coalition. Sarkozy, who alternated on a brief maiden visit to Ankara on February 25 between trying to sell Turkish leaders French nuclear power plants and telling them bluntly to drop their EU ambitions, further angered Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan by failing to invite Turkey to the Paris conference on Libya.

Italy, the former colonial power which had Europe's biggest trade and investment ties with Libya, had publicly opposed military action until the last minute, but opened its air bases to coalition forces as soon as the U.N. resolution passed. However, Rome quickly demanded that NATO, in which it had a seat at the decision-making table, should take over command of the whole operation. Foreign Minister Franco Frattini threatened to take back control of the vital Italian bases unless the mission was placed under NATO.

But Turkey and France were fighting diplomatic dogfights at NATO headquarters. Ankara wanted to use its NATO veto put the handcuffs on the coalition to stop offensive operations. France wanted to keep political leadership away from the U.S.-led military alliance to avoid a hostile reaction in the Arab world.

The United States signaled its determination to hand over operational command within days, not weeks, as Obama had promised, and wanted tried-and-trusted NATO at the wheel.

It took a week of wrangling before agreement was reached for NATO to take charge of the entire military campaign. In return, France won agreement to create a "contact group" including Arab and African partners, to coordinate political efforts on Libya's future. Turkey was assuaged by being invited to a London international conference that launched that process.

That enabled the United States to lower its profile and Obama to declare that Washington would not act alone as the world's policeman "wherever repression occurs". While the president promised to scale back U.S. involvement to a "supporting role", the military statistics tell a different tale. As of March 29, the United States had fired all but 7 of the 214 cruise missiles used in the conflict and flown 1,103 sorties compared to 669 for all other allies combined. It also dropped 455 of the first 600 bombs, according to the Pentagon.

For all the showcasing of Arab involvement, only six military aircraft from Qatar had arrived in theater by March 30. They joined French air patrols but did not fly combat missions, a military source said. Sarkozy announced that the United Arab Emirates would send 12 F16 fighters , but NATO and UAE officials refused to say when they would arrive. Britain's Cameron spoke of unspecified logistical contributions from Kuwait and Jordan. The main Arab contribution is clearly political cover rather than military assets.

 

CASUALTY LIST

While the duration and the outcome of the war remain uncertain, some political casualties are already visible.

Unless the conflict ends in disaster, Germany and its chancellor and foreign minister - particularly the latter - are set to emerge as losers. "I can tell you there are people in London and Paris who are asking themselves whether this Germany is the kind of country we would like to have as a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council. That's a legitimate question which wasn't posed before," a senior European diplomat told Reuters. German officials brush aside such talk, saying Berlin would have the backing of its western partners and needs support from developing and emerging countries more in tune with its abstention on the Libya resolution.

Merkel has moved quickly to try to limit the damage. She attended the Paris conference and went along with an EU summit statement on March 25 welcoming the U.N. resolution on which her own government had abstained a week earlier. She also offered NATO extra help in aerial surveillance in Afghanistan to free up Western resources for the Libya campaign.

A second conspicuous casualty has been the European Union's attempt to build a common foreign, security and Defense policy, and the official meant to personify that ambition, High Representative Catherine Ashton. Many in Paris, London, Brussels and Washington have drawn the conclusion that European Defense is an illusion, given Germany's visceral reticence about military action. Future serious operations are more likely to be left to NATO, or to coalitions of the willing around Britain and France. By general agreement, Ashton has so far had a bad war. Despite having been among the first European officials to embrace the Arab uprisings and urge the EU to engage with democracy movements in North Africa, she angered both the British and French by airing her doubts about a no-fly zone and the Germans by subsequently welcoming the U.N. resolution. Unable to please everyone, she managed to please no one.

As for Sarkozy, whether he emerges as a hero or a reckless adventurer may depend on events beyond his control in the sands of Libya. Justin Vaisse, a Frenchman who heads the Center for the Study of the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution think-tank in Washington, detected an undertone of "Francophobia and Sarkophobia" among U.S. policy elites as the war began. "Either the war will go well, and he will look like a far-sighted, decisive leader, or it will go badly and reinforce the image of a showboating cowboy driving the world into war," Vaisse said. The jury is still out.

(Additional reporting by Emmanuel Jarry in Paris, Arshad Mohammed, David Alexander and Mark Hosenball in Washington, David Brunnstrom in Brussels, Lou Charbonneau and Patrick Worsnip at the United Nations, Peter Apps in London, Andreas Rinke and Sabine Siebold in Berlin, Yasmine Saleh in Cairo, Simon Cameron-Moore in Istanbul and Maria Golovnina in Tripoli; writing by Paul Taylor; editing by Simon Robinson and Sara Ledwith)

    Special report: The West's unwanted war in Libya, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-libya-decisions-idUSTRE73011H20110401

 

 

 

 

 

Rebels cheer cracks in Gaddafi rule

 

TRIPOLI | Fri Apr 1, 2011
1:30am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Rebels cheered the defection of a Libyan minister as a sign that Muammar Gaddafi's rule was crumbling, but U.S. officials warned he was far from beaten and made clear they feared entanglement in another painful war.

After former Libyan foreign minister Moussa Koussa arrived in Britain, London urged others around Gaddafi to follow suit. "Gaddafi must be asking himself who will be the next to abandon him," Foreign Secretary William Hague said.

Soon afterwards Ali Abdussalam Treki declined to take up his appointment by Gaddafi as U.N. ambassador, condemning the "spilling of blood" in Libya.

But reports of defections of more senior Gaddafi aides remained unconfirmed.

Asked about an Al Jazeera TV report that he was one of several who had fled to Tunisia, top oil official Shokri Ghanem told Reuters by phone late on Thursday: "This is not true, I am in my office and I will be on TV in a few minutes."

Koussa's defection however raised the spirits of rebel fighters who were put to headlong retreat in a counter-attack by Gaddafi forces this week.

"We are beginning to see the Gaddafi regime crumble," rebel spokesman Mustafa Gheriani said in the eastern town of Benghazi.

However, despite almost two weeks of Western air strikes, Gaddafi's troops have used superior arms and tactics to push back rebels trying to edge westward along the coast from their eastern stronghold of Benghazi toward the capital Tripoli.

News that U.S. President Barack Obama had authorized covert operations in Libya raised the prospect of wider support for the rebels.

But Obama's order is likely to alarm countries already concerned that air strikes on infrastructure and troops by the United States, Britain and France go beyond a U.N. resolution with the stated aim only of protecting civilians.

U.S. government sources told Reuters U.S. intelligence operatives were on the ground in Libya before Obama signed the order, to contact opponents of Gaddafi and assess their capabilities. There has been no CIA comment.

 

"MISSION CREEP"

"I can't speak to any CIA activities but I will tell you that the president has been quite clear that in terms of the United States military there will be no boots on the ground," U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said.

"I am preoccupied with avoiding mission creep and avoiding having an open-ended, very large-scale American commitment," he later told the Senate Armed Services Committee. "We know about Afghanistan; we know about Iraq."

He said it should not be up to Washington to train or assist rebels or do nation-building if Gaddafi were be to ousted.

The top U.S. military officer said Gaddafi's forces were not close to collapse. "We have actually fairly seriously degraded his military capabilities," Admiral Mike Mullen said. "That does not mean he's about to break from a military standpoint."

Inside Gaddafi's heavily fortified compound in the capital Tripoli, crowds of supporters have gathered every night to form a human shield to protect him against the air strikes.

On Thursday, they danced and chanted patriotic songs late into the night as soldiers manning anti-aircraft guns watched the sky over the capital from the back of their pickup trucks.

"We are not afraid, not afraid, not afraid. We will always protect our leader. I want to say to Muammar Gaddafi: I love you so much!" said Zuhra, a teenage girl at the rally.

A Libyan government spokesman said Gaddafi and all his sons would stay on "until the end."

Gates said Gaddafi's removal was "not part of the military mission" by coalition forces and Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini said Western military action would not oust him.

The top Vatican official in the Libyan capital cited witnesses on Thursday saying at least 40 civilians had been killed in air strikes on Tripoli.

NATO said it was investigating but had no confirmation of the report. Libya's state news agency, citing military sources, said Western air strikes had hit a civilian area in the capital overnight, but did not mention casualties.

Britain said it was focusing air strikes around Misrata, which has been under siege from government forces for weeks. Rebels say snipers and tank fire have killed dozens of people.

About 1,000 people are believed to have been killed in clashes between supporters and opponents of Gaddafi since the uprising against his 41-year-old rule began on February 17, the British government said.

The rag-tag forces fighting Gaddafi say they desperately need more arms and ammunition to supplement supplies grabbed from government depots. The United States, France and Britain have raised the possibility, but say no decision has been taken.

NATO, which took over formal command of the air campaign on Thursday, said it would enforce a U.N. arms embargo on all sides. "We are there to protect the Libyan people, not to arm the people," NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in Stockholm.

In what Britain's Guardian newspaper said was a sign Gaddafi's inner circle was looking for an exit strategy, it said Libya had sent a senior aide to son Saif al-Islam to London for talks with British officials.

A British Foreign Office spokeswoman neither confirmed nor denied the report, but added: "In any contact that we do have, we make it clear that Gaddafi has to go."

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said she is aware people close to Gaddafi have been trying to make contact.

However, rebels were wary of any attempt by Koussa, who defected to Britain on Wednesday, to negotiate immunity, saying Gaddafi and his entourage must be held accountable.

"We want to see them brought to justice," senior rebel national council official Abdel Hameed Ghoga told Reuters.

While British officials hope Koussa will provide military and diplomatic intelligence, Scottish officials and campaigners want him to shed light on the 1988 airliner bombing over Lockerbie in Scotland, for which a Libyan citizen was convicted.

 

(Additional reporting by Mark Hosenball, William Maclean, Adrian Croft, Maria Golovnina, Edmund Blair, Ibon Villelabeitia, Lamine Chikhi, Hamid Ould Ahmed, Marie-Louise Gumuchian, Avril Ormsby, Aly Eldaly, Niklas Pollard and Karolina Tagaris; Writing by Andrew Roche; editing by Alison Williams)

    Rebels cheer cracks in Gaddafi rule, R, 1.4.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/01/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110401

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan defector to face questions on Lockerbie

 

LONDON | Thu Mar 31, 2011
3:40pm EDT
Reuters
By Michael Holden

 

LONDON (Reuters) - Scottish authorities said on Thursday they wanted to interview defecting Libyan foreign minister Moussa Koussa over the 1988 Lockerbie bombing, pleasing victims' relatives.

Koussa, also the former spy chief for Muammar Gaddafi, fled to Britain on Wednesday, parting ways with the Libyan leader over what a friend of Koussa called Gaddafi's attacks on civilians in his conflict with rebels.

Families representing some of the 270 people killed when Pan Am Flight 103 exploded over the Scottish town of Lockerbie said no deals should be done to protect Koussa.

"This could be all the evidence that we wanted given to us on a silver platter," Frank Duggan, president of the Victims of Pan Am 103 group in the United States, told Reuters.

While British officials are hoping that he will provide vital military and diplomatic intelligence, campaigners want him to shed light on the bombing which killed 259 people, mostly Americans, on the plane and 11 on the ground.

"He was the head of the Libyan intelligence services so if Libya is responsible for the bombing of Pan Am 103 then Mr Koussa is too," Pamela Dix, whose brother was one of those killed, told Reuters. "He should not be a free man in this country."

Noman Benotman, a senior analyst at Britain's Quilliam think tank, said his friend Koussa was "very positive to cooperate not just with the UK government, but Europe as well."

When asked by Channel 4 News if Koussa was ready to face justice, Benotman replied: "Of course, without a doubt, trust me on that.

"But the point is there is no official case against him -- there's a lot of rumors and a lot of loose talk in the media here and there, but as far as I am concerned there is no legal issue, he is not being attached to any terrorist act."

 

NO IMMUNITY

Abdel Basset al-Megrahi, a former Libyan agent, was sentenced to life in prison in 2001 for his part in blowing up the airliner but was released by the Scottish government in 2009 when he was judged by doctors to be terminally ill with prostate cancer.

Koussa played a key role in the release of Megrahi, who is still alive.

British Foreign Secretary William Hague said Koussa would not be given immunity from prosecution. Prime Minister David Cameron said police and prosecutors would be free to pursue any evidence.

Cameron has repeatedly condemned Megrahi's release and criticized the policy of Britain's former Labour government to restore diplomatic ties and business links in return for Gaddafi ending his attempts to obtain banned weapons.

"(Former Prime Minister) Tony Blair ... chose British business interests effectively over uncovering the truth around Lockerbie," Dix said. "So David Cameron is going to have to deliver. I will be expecting a great deal and I will not be expecting deals to be done."

 

(Additional reporting by Michelle Nichols in New York and Avril Ormsby in London; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

    Libyan defector to face questions on Lockerbie, R, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-libya-moussa-lockerbie-idUSTRE72U4E020110331

 

 

 

 

 

Yemen protesters remember dead with talks stalled

 

SANAA | Thu Mar 31, 2011
2:46pm EDT
By Mohammed Ghobari and Mohamed Sudam

 

SANAA (Reuters) - Yemenis on Thursday commemorated dozens of people killed in weeks of street protests demanding President Ali Abdullah Saleh resign, while efforts continued to negotiate his exit from power within the next year.

Weeks of protests in Sanaa and elsewhere have brought Saleh's 32-year-old rule to the verge of collapse but the United States and Saudi Arabia, an important financial backer of its turbulent, poverty-stricken neighbor where al Qaeda militants flourish, are worried over who might succeed their ally.

A senior Western diplomat said Saleh, whose comments have at times sounded like he was preparing to leave office soon and at others as if he intends to see out his term, appeared to be agonizing over his options.

"My guess is that he is very torn about all of these things and that what you hear from him is functions of inner turmoil," he told Reuters.

On Tuesday, Saleh held talks with Mohammed al-Yadoumi, head of the Islamist Islah party, once a partner in his government. Saleh was looking for avenues to stay on as president while new parliamentary and presidential elections are organised by the end of the year, an opposition source said.

The talks have stalled and it is not clear how they can restart. Saudi authorities have deflected Yemeni government efforts to involve them in mediation. Protesters camped outside Sanaa University since early February are insisting that Saleh, who has said he will not run for re-election in 2013, leave soon.

Groups calling themselves the Youth Revolution said on Wednesday they wanted corruption trials, the return of "stolen public and private property," release of political detainees, dissolution of the security forces and the closure of the Information Ministry -- steps taken in Tunisia and Egypt after similar uprisings removed entrenched leaders.

On Thursday, the protest swelled to tens of thousands who came to remember about 82 protesters killed so far, including 52 shot by snipers on March 18. "The people want the butcher to face trial!" they chanted.

Some wore white tunics with the words "future martyr" written on them to stress their resolve to wait Saleh out.

"The best scenario would be that there is an agreement and that the two parties go into the parliament and begin the implementation of their agreement," the diplomat said.

The opposition says it believes Saleh is maneuvering to avoid curbs on his family's future political activities and secure a guarantee they will not be prosecuted for corruption.

Security forces fired tear gas to put down a protest rally on Thursday in the northwestern province of Hajjah, witnesses and opposition sources told Reuters. At least two protesters were wounded by gunfire, they said.

Tribe members opposed to Saleh attacked three electricity pylons in the central province of Maarib, triggering power outages of up to two hours in parts of the capital and across most of the country, officials said.

 

BULWARK OF STABILITY

Washington has long regarded Saleh as a bulwark of stability who can keep al Qaeda from extending its foothold in the Arabian Peninsula country, which many see as close to disintegration.

Yemen's al Qaeda wing claimed responsibility for a foiled attempt in late 2009 to blow up an airliner bound for Detroit, and for U.S.-bound explosive packages sent in October 2010.

On Wednesday, al Qaeda preacher Anwar al-Awlaki, a senior figure in the group's Yemen wing, welcomed revolts across the Arab world which he said would give Islamists greater scope to speak out.

U.S. officials have said they like working with Saleh, who has allowed unpopular U.S. air strikes in Yemen against al Qaeda. Saleh, in power since 1978, has said the U.S. ambassador in Sanaa was involved in talks to find a solution.

Saleh has talked of civil war if he steps down without ensuring that power passes to "safe hands." He has warned against a coup after senior generals were among allies to turn against him in the past week.

Opposition parties say they can handle the militant issue better than Saleh, who they say has made deals with militants in the past to avoid provoking Yemen's Islamists.

"I think Yemenis would be capable of freeing Yemen of terror within months," Sheikh Hamid al-Ahmar, a key tribal figure who belongs to the Islah party, told Reuters this week.

Al-Ahmar said Western powers were effectively prolonging Saleh's time in office through their public comments expressing concern over who could succeed him.

"We don't need that much support. But support like what was done in Egypt would be enough to finish things," he said, referring to U.S. comments in favor of protesters shortly before Hosni Mubarak stepped down in February.

 

(Additional reporting by Cynthia Johnston; writing by Andrew Hammond; Editing by Mark Heinrich)

    Yemen protesters remember dead with talks stalled, R, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-yemen-idUSTRE72T1Z920110331

 

 

 

 

 

Syria's Assad takes steps towards reforms

 

Thu, Mar 31 2011
DAMASCUS | Thu Mar 31, 2011
12:43pm EDT

 

DAMASCUS (Reuters) - Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, facing a wave of protests demanding greater freedoms, took steps on Thursday toward addressing grievances including lifting emergency law and granting disenfranchised Kurds rights.

Assad, who drew international criticism for failing to spell out reforms in his first public comments on Wednesday since unrest swept Syria, also ordered an investigation into protest deaths in the flashpoint city of Deraa and the port of Latakia.

Inspired by popular revolts elsewhere in the Arab world, the unrest has presented the gravest challenge to Assad's 11-year rule in Syria, which maintains an anti-Israel alliance with Shi'ite Iran and supports militant groups Hezbollah and Hamas.

It was doubtful that Assad's gestures would soon defuse the unprecedented outbreak of public discontent in one of the Middle East's most tightly controlled countries.

Online activists have called on protesters to demonstrate across the country on what they have dubbed the "Friday of Martyrs" until their demands for democratization are met.

In the past, Assad has set up committees to investigate contentious issues but no announcements were made after the initial formation. Officials have repeatedly said a draft law on allowing political parties and lifting emergency law were on the agenda of Assad's Baath Party, but they never materialized.

Repealing emergency law, in force since Assad's Baath Party took power in a coup nearly 50 years ago, has been a central demand of protests in which 61 people have been killed.

Critics, diplomats and Syrian officials doubted Assad would abolish the omnipresent law, used to snuff out any opposition, justify arbitrary arrest and give free rein to the security apparatus, without replacing it with similar legislation.

The state news agency SANA said on Thursday the panel would study and prepare "legislation including protecting the nation's security and the citizen's dignity and fighting terrorism, paving the way for lifting the emergency law."

It said the committee would complete its work by April 25, but did not elaborate.

Syrian officials in Assad's inner circle had said last week a decision had been taken to abolish emergency legislation.

But Assad, in a speech to parliament on Wednesday, made no reference to rescinding the law, or set a timetable for mooted reforms including legislation on political parties, media freedom and fighting corruption.

    Syria's Assad takes steps towards reforms, R, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-syria-idUSTRE72N2MC20110331

 

 

 

 

 

Timeline: Saleh's 32-year rule in Yemen

 

Thu Mar 31, 2011
12:10pm EDT
Reuters

 

(Reuters) - Here is a timeline of President Ali Abdullah Saleh's 32-year rule in Yemen:

July 1978 - Saleh takes power in then-North Yemen.

February 1979 - Saleh crushes an attempt to overthrow him.

May 1990 - Pro-Western North Yemen and socialist South Yemen merge after 300 years of separation to form a new republic dominating the strategic entrance to the Red Sea.

-- North Yemeni leader Saleh proclaims unification in Aden after the parliaments of both states elect him president.

July 1994 - North Yemen declares the almost three-month Yemeni civil war over after gaining control of Aden, its southern foe's last bastion.

-- Sanaa declares that former vice-president Ali Salem al-Baidh and his supporters who tried to secede from a four-year merger with the north have been defeated, assuring unity.

-- Southern leaders led by Baidh, who set up a breakaway southern state on May 21, are forced to flee into exile.

October 2000 - The bombing of USS Cole in Aden harbor kills 17 sailors and blows hole in navy vessel's hull.

November 2001 - Saleh declares support for U.S. President George W. Bush's "war on terror."

February 2008 - Fragile truce is signed with North Yemen's Houthis, a Zaidi Shi'ite tribe, but the four-year revolt soon resumes in the northwest region of Saada. Saleh unilaterally declares war over in July 2008. Full-scale fighting resumes a year later.

January 2009 - Al Qaeda's Yemeni and Saudi wings merge in a new group called al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), led by Nasser al-Wahayshi.

November 2009 - Saudi Arabia launches a military offensive against Yemeni rebels after a cross-border incursion. The Houthi deny that infiltrators entered Saudi territory, calling the offensive against the group "unjustified."

January 2010 - Meeting of Western and Gulf foreign ministers in London aims to bolster Yemen's fight against al Qaeda.

February 2010 - Yemen and northern Shi'ite rebels agree to a truce aimed at ending the war.

February 3, 2011 - A day of anti-government protests brings more than 20,000 people onto the streets in Sanaa.

March 2, 2011 - The opposition presents Saleh with a plan for smooth transition of power, offering him a graceful exit.

-- Saleh says he will draw up a new constitution to create a parliamentary system of government. An opposition spokesman swiftly rejects the proposal.

March 18 - Snipers kill 52 protesters among crowds that flocked to a sit-in at Sanaa University after Friday prayers. The killings prompt Saleh to declare a state of emergency.

March 20 - Saleh fires his government.

March 21 - Senior army commanders say they have switched support to pro-democracy activists, including Saleh ally General Ali Mohsen, commander of the northwest military zone.

March 22 - Opposition groups reject Saleh's offer to leave office after organizing parliamentary elections by January 2012.

March 23 - Saleh offers to step down by the end of 2011. He also proposes to hold a referendum on a new constitution, then a parliamentary election and presidential vote.

March 25 - Saleh says he is ready to cede power to stop more bloodshed in Yemen, but only to what he calls "safe hands" as thousands rally against him in "Day of Departure" protests.

March 26 - Saleh says he is prepared to step down if allowed a dignified departure.

March 27 - Saleh convenes his party for crisis talks.

March 29 - Saleh holds talks with Mohammed al-Yadoumi, head of the Islamist Islah party, once a partner in his government.

-- At the talks Saleh makes a new offer, proposing he stays in office until elections are held but transferring his powers to a caretaker government, an opposition source says.

-- The opposition promptly rejects this offer, calling it "an attempt to prolong the survival of regime."

March 31 - Thousands of Yemenis commemorate around 82 people who have been killed in the protests demanding Saleh resign.

    Timeline: Saleh's 32-year rule in Yemen, NYT, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-yemen-events-idUSTRE72U4VX20110331

 

 

 

 

 

Gaddafi forces sow landmines in east Libya

 

BENGHAZI, Libya | Thu Mar 31, 2011
4:20am EDT
Reuters
By Angus MacSwan

 

BENGHAZI, Libya (Reuters) - Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's forces have sown land mines in areas around the city of Ajdabiyah, adding a dangerous new element to the war on the eastern front, human rights and mine experts said on Thursday.

The mines include Brazilian-made anti-personnel mines and Egyptian-made anti-tank mines.

Two minefields were discovered by monitors in the days following last Saturday's retreat from Ajdabiyah by Gaddafi's troops and appear to be have been laid during their 10-day occupation of the crossroads town 150 km (90 miles) south of the rebel capital Benghazi.

His forces have since reversed the retreat with a counter-attack and were at the gates of Ajdabiyah once again on Thursday.

The first field was sown around electricity pylons a few yards off the Ajdabiyah-Benghazi road in an area of sand near the town's Eastern Gate, Peter Bouckaert, a Human Rights Watch monitor in Benghazi, told Reuters.

An electrical repair truck hit a mine there on Monday and then another as men tried to pull it out, he said. There were no casualties.

Mine clearers marked out 24 anti-tank mines and 30 to 40 anti-personnel mines, he said, adding that many vehicles and people on foot pass by the area.

A second field with a similar number of mines was found near a clutch of buildings about a kilometer away.

The use of landmines brings a dangerous new dimension to the conflict that has been fought over 100s of kilometers up and down Libya's main coastal highway linking the east and the west.

The rebel army, made up largely of untrained volunteers and a cavalcade of supporters, is highly undisciplined and is scattered over a wide area behind the vanguard.

Bouckaert said his team had also found stocks of mines abandoned by Gaddafi's forces.

"We found 12 warehouses of anti-vehicle mines in Benghazi, tens of thousands of them," he said.

They also came across 35 warehouses full of munitions in Ajdabiyah. They held no stocks of landmines but had vast quantities of artillery shells, mortar bombs and anti-tank missiles.

Libya has not signed the 1997 Mines Ban Treaty, which in any case does not prohibit the use of anti-vehicle mines.

"The only mines that are banned are the anti-personnel mines so they can put as many anti-tank mines as they like. It's part of the game," said an international mines expert, who asked not to be identified to protect the confidentiality of his mission.

 

(Editing by Giles Elgood)

    Gaddafi forces sow landmines in east Libya, R, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-libya-east-landmines-idUSTRE72U1KX20110331

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. captures major Guatemalan drug trafficker

 

GUATEMALA CITY | Thu Mar 31, 2011
12:32am EDT
Reuters

 

GUATEMALA CITY (Reuters) - U.S. and Guatemalan agents captured Guatemala's top drug trafficker on Wednesday as the United States pitches in to help curb drug cartels' expanding reach in Central America.

Soldiers and police in helicopters swooped into Guatemala's second largest city, Quetzaltenango, and arrested Juan Ortiz-Lopez in his home, where he appeared to be only lightly guarded by two men, the Guatemalan interior ministry said.

Ortiz-Lopez, 41, is considered Guatemala's most important drug smuggler by the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration, an indictment by a U.S. prosecutor said.

Heavily armed agents landed at the air force base in Guatemala City with Ortiz-Lopez, handcuffed and wearing a leather jacket, and escorted him and two bodyguards to court.

The suspects are accused of smuggling tonnes of cocaine through Guatemala to Mexico and the United States over the past decade, according to the U.S. indictment.

"This is the capture of a big fish," Guatemala's Interior Minister Carlos Menocal told a news conference.

He said Ortiz-Lopez and his associates were likely to be extradited to the United States.

Ortiz-Lopez's capture follows the arrest in October of his henchman, Mauro Solomon, in another joint operation as Washington tries to stop Guatemala from being sucked deeper into Mexico's drugs wars.

Guatemala is struggling to prevent Mexican cartels from destabilizing parts of the country, a poor but democratic U.S. trading partner and a major coffee and sugar exporter.

Officials worry that Central America's weak governments do not have the capacity to contain the spreading threat of cartels as their armies and police are no match for gangs equipped with rocket launchers and semi-automatic weapons.

President Barack Obama announced $200 million in fresh funds for the drug fight in Central America this month during a trip to neighboring El Salvador. Until now, most U.S. aid is for Mexico, where turf wars between the gangs have killed more than 36,000 people over the past four years.

 

(Reporting by Mike McDonald in Guatemala City and Kevin Gray in Miami; writing by Robin Emmott. Editing by Christopher Wilson)

    U.S. captures major Guatemalan drug trafficker, R, 31.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/31/us-guatemala-drugs-idUSTRE72T7X620110331

 

 

 

 

 

Reuters correspondent and photographer missing in Syria

 

LONDON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
6:35pm EDT
Reuters

 

LONDON (Reuters) - Two Reuters journalists are missing in Syria.

Diplomatic sources said on Wednesday that correspondent Suleiman al-Khalidi, a Jordanian national based in Amman, had been detained by the Syrian authorities in Damascus on Tuesday.

Photographer Khaled al-Hariri, a Syrian based in Damascus, has not been in contact with colleagues since Monday.

A Syrian official said authorities were working to establish what had happened to the two men.

"Thomson Reuters is deeply concerned about the whereabouts of our colleagues Khaled al-Hariri and Suleiman al-Khalidi," Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler said.

"We call upon the Syrian authorities to help us urgently in ensuring their safe and timely release. Reuters remains committed to reporting from the Middle East and we are working round the clock to protect our staff in these challenging times."

Khalidi, who has worked for Reuters for more than 20 years in Jordan, Kuwait, Syria and Iraq, was last seen in the old city of Damascus on Tuesday. He has not answered his mobile telephone since shortly after 2 p.m. (1200 GMT) on Tuesday.

Hariri, who has also worked for Reuters for more than 20 years, was last seen arriving at the Reuters bureau in Damascus on Monday morning. He has not been in touch since then and has not answered his mobile telephone.

Their disappearance follows the detention in Syria of two Reuters television journalists, producer Ayat Basma and cameraman Ezzat Baltaji. They were held incommunicado for two days before being released by Syrian authorities on Monday.

Both Lebanese, they were expelled to Lebanon. They had been working in Syria since the previous week.

Reuters correspondent Khaled Yacoub Oweis, a Jordanian who had been based in Damascus, was expelled from Syria on Friday for what a Syrian Information Ministry official described as his "unprofessional and false" coverage of events.

Reuters said it stood by its coverage from Syria, where nearly two weeks of protests have posed the biggest challenge to President Bashar al-Assad's 11-year rule.

Also on Wednesday, the Libyan government expelled a Reuters correspondent from Tripoli. Two weeks ago, Saudi Arabia expelled the Reuters foreign correspondent from Riyadh.

 

(Reporting by Dominic Evans, editing by Alastair Macdonald)

    Reuters correspondent and photographer missing in Syria, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-syria-reuters-idUSTRE72T75B20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Libya's foreign minister defects, arrives in Britain

 

LONDON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
6:26pm EDT
Reuters
By William Maclean and Avril Ormsby

 

LONDON (Reuters) - Libyan Foreign Minister Moussa Koussa, one of Muammar Gaddafi's closest advisers and a former spy chief, flew to Britain on Wednesday and a close friend said he defected because of attacks by Gaddafi forces on civilians.

The move was "a significant blow" to Gaddafi, a British government source told Reuters.

Koussa is one of the most senior members of Gaddafi's inner circle to defect -- a major setback for the Libyan leader who faces a revolt against his 41-year rule in the North African oil producing desert state as well as Western air strikes.

Koussa, who was involved in talks that led to the freeing by the British government of the man convicted over the 1988 Lockerbie bombing, is resigning his post and the British government said it hoped more senior figures would join him.

"He travelled here under his own free will. He has told us he is resigning his post," a Foreign Office spokesman said in a statement. "We are discussing this with him and we will release further detail in due course."

He was reported to be being debriefed by British intelligence and foreign ministry officials.

"Koussa is one of the most senior figures in Gaddafi's government and his role was to represent the regime internationally -- something that he is no longer willing to do," the spokesman said.

"We encourage those around Gaddafi to abandon him and embrace a better future for Libya that allows political transition and real reform that meets the aspirations of the Libyan people," the Foreign Office said.

Koussa arrived at Farnborough airport in southern England on a flight from Tunisia, Britain's Foreign Office said.

 

SIGNIFICANT BLOW

Koussa is the highest profile of a number of Libyan ministers and ambassadors who have resigned in recent weeks, some of them joining the opposition to Gaddafi.

The British government source described the decision by Koussa, as "clearly a significant blow to the Gaddafi regime."

Noman Benotman, a friend and senior analyst at Britain's Quilliam think tank, said Koussa had defected.

"He wasn't happy at all. He doesn't support the government attacks on civilians," he said. "He's seeking refuge in Britain and hopes he will be treated well."

The Libyan government had said Koussa was traveling on a diplomatic mission and denied he had defected after Tunisia's news agency reported he had flown to London from Tunisia.

Tunisia's TAP news agency had reported on Monday that Koussa had crossed into Tunisia from Libya. TAP said on Wednesday he took off from the Tunisian airport of Djerba, bound for Britain.

Koussa was the architect of a dramatic shift in Libya's foreign policy that brought the country back to the international community after years of sanctions.

British Foreign Secretary William Hague has kept in contact with Koussa during the mounting crisis in Libya.

Hague told the BBC last month he had called the Libyan foreign minister the previous day "because you still have to communicate to them directly, personally: this situation is unacceptable."

Earlier on Wednesday, Britain said it was expelling five Libyan diplomats to protest at the Libyan government's actions and because they could pose a threat to national security.

 

(Additional reporting by Souhail Karam, Adrian Croft, Maria Golovnina and Marie-Louise Gumuchian; Editing by Louise Ireland)

    Libya's foreign minister defects, arrives in Britain, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-koussa-idUSTRE72T6UM20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Netanyahu confirms Gaza man held by Israel

 

JERUSALEM | Wed Mar 30, 2011
5:41pm EDT
By Allyn Fisher-Ilan and Dan Williams

 

JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Wednesday that a Palestinian man from Gaza held by Israel after what relatives called an overseas abduction was a Hamas member who had given "valuable information."

Addressing questions from around the world, including from Arab countries, on a live YouTube forum, Netanyahu defended Israel's detention of engineer Dirar Abu Sisi, said to have disappeared last month in Ukraine, as being legal.

"Abu Sisi is a Hamas man. He is being held in detention in Israel. It is a legal arrest, "Netanyahu said, replying to a question from an Israeli reporter who moderated the forum.

"He has provided valuable information, that is all I can say," Netanyahu added.

Relatives of Abu Sisi, an engineer and manager of the main power plant in Hamas-ruled Gaza, say he was abducted while aboard a train in Ukraine, where authorities say the disappearance is under investigation.

Israeli officials confirmed some weeks later that Abu Sisi is in custody but have refused further comment, citing court-issued gag orders. Sources in Gaza have said he was not known to have political affiliations to Hamas.

Smadar Ben-Natan, an Israeli lawyer for Abu Sisi, accused Israel in an interview of trying to concoct charges against her client, linking his detention to efforts to gather intelligence on Hamas and on an Israeli soldier held by the group.

Abu Sisi denies having any connection to the soldier, Gilad Shalit. No mention of the soldier was made in allegations lodged against Abu Sisi in closed-door remand hearings, Ben-Natan told Israel's Army Radio.

 

COVER-UP?

The court sessions had led her to believe "they are trying to cover up the mistake" of seizing him, she said.

"When someone came along who they thought was senior (in Hamas) and was located outside the Gaza Strip, they got their hands on him, without this matter being really justified, in retrospect," Ben-Natan said.

"Instead of confessing and saying, 'Sorry, turns out what we thought was a mistake, we are sorry, go home, Sir,' they are trying to find what they can blame him with so that it doesn't became clear this whole matter was one big farce," she added.

German newspaper Der Spiegel on Tuesday quoted an unnamed source as saying Israel may have suspected Abu Sisi of knowing the whereabouts of Shalit, held since a 2006 cross-border raid.

Netanyahu would not answer any questions about whether Abu Sisi was being questioned or had given any details about Shalit.

But he laid out some of Israel's negotiating position when asked about the prospect of swapping Palestinian prisoners for Shalit.

Netanyahu said he was willing to release some 450 prisoners as the Islamists want, but would not agree that 150 of those whom Israel accuses of involvement in lethal attacks could return to the West Bank, saying they had to go to Gaza or abroad.

"We are taking a lot of action (on the case), and only a small amount of this is known (published)," Netanyahu added.

Abu Sisi was scheduled to appear at another remand hearing on Thursday. Ben-Natan, an Israeli, said she expected to know then "how the state intends to indict (him), if at all."

 

(Editing by Andrew Roche)

    Netanyahu confirms Gaza man held by Israel, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-palestinians-israel-detainee-idUSTRE72T7AC20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Obama authorizes

secret support for Libya rebels

 

WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
4:12pm EDT
By Mark Hosenball

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama has signed a secret order authorizing covert U.S. government support for rebel forces seeking to oust Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, government officials told Reuters on Wednesday.

Obama signed the order, known as a presidential "finding", within the last two or three weeks, according to four U.S. government sources familiar with the matter.

Such findings are a principal form of presidential directive used to authorize secret operations by the Central Intelligence Agency. The CIA and the White House declined immediate comment.

News that Obama had given the authorization surfaced as the President and other U.S. and allied officials spoke openly about the possibility of sending arms supplies to Gaddafi's opponents, who are fighting better-equipped government forces.

The United States is part of a coalition, with NATO members and some Arab states, which is conducting air strikes on Libyan government forces under a U.N. mandate aimed at protecting civilians opposing Gaddafi.

In interviews with American TV networks on Tuesday, Obama said the objective was for Gaddafi to "ultimately step down" from power. He spoke of applying "steady pressure, not only militarily but also through these other means" to force Gaddafi out.

Obama said the U.S. had not ruled out providing military hardware to rebels. "It's fair to say that if we wanted to get weapons into Libya, we probably could. We're looking at all our options at this point," the President told ABC News anchor Diane Sawyer.

U.S. officials monitoring events in Libya say that at present, neither Gaddafi's forces nor the rebels, who have asked the West for heavy weapons, appear able to make decisive gains.

While U.S. and allied airstrikes have seriously damaged Gaddafi's military forces and disrupted his chain of command, officials say, rebel forces remain disorganized and unable to take full advantage of western military support.

 

SPECIFIC OPERATIONS

People familiar with U.S. intelligence procedures said that Presidential covert action "findings" are normally crafted to provide broad authorization for a range of potential U.S. government actions to support a particular covert objective.

In order for specific operations to be carried out under the provisions of such a broad authorization -- for example the delivery of cash or weapons to anti-Gaddafi forces -- the White House also would have to give additional "permission" allowing such activities to proceed.

Former officials say these follow-up authorizations are known in the intelligence world as "'Mother may I' findings."

In 2009 Obama gave a similar authorization for the expansion of covert U.S. counter-terrorism actions by the CIA in Yemen. The White House does not normally confirm such orders have been issued.

Because U.S. and allied intelligence agencies still have many questions about the identities and leadership of anti-Gaddafi forces, any covert U.S. activities are likely to proceed cautiously until more information about the rebels can be collected and analyzed, officials said.

"The whole issue on (providing rebels with) training and equipment requires knowing who the rebels are," said Bruce Riedel, a former senior CIA Middle East expert who has advised the Obama White House.

Riedel said that helping the rebels to organize themselves and training them how use weapons effectively would be more urgent then shipping them arms.

According to an article speculating on possible U.S. covert actions in Libya published early in March on the website of the Voice of America, the U.S. government's broadcasting service, a covert action is "any U.S. government effort to change the economic, military, or political situation overseas in a hidden way."

 

ARMS SUPPLIES

The article, by VOA intelligence correspondent Gary Thomas, said covert action "can encompass many things, including propaganda, covert funding, electoral manipulation, arming and training insurgents, and even encouraging a coup."

U.S. officials also have said that Saudi Arabia and Qatar, whose leaders despise Gaddafi, have indicated a willingness to supply Libyan rebels with weapons.

Members of Congress have expressed anxiety about U.S. government activates in Libya. Some have recalled that weapons provided by the U.S. and Saudis to mujahedeen fighting Soviet occupation forces in Afghanistan in the 1980s later ended up in the hands of anti-American militants.

There are fears that the same thing could happen in Libya unless the U.S. is sure who it is dealing with. The chairman of the House intelligence committee, Rep. Mike Rogers, said on Wednesday he opposed supplying arms to the Libyan rebels fighting Gaddafi "at this time."

"We need to understand more about the opposition before I would support passing out guns and advanced weapons to them," Rogers said in a statement.

 

(Additional reporting by Susan Cornwell; Editing by David Storey)

    Obama authorizes secret support for Libya rebels, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-usa-order-idUSTRE72T6H220110330

 

 

 

 

 

House intel chief

opposes arming Libyan rebels

 

WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
4:02pm EDT
Reuters
By Susan Cornwell

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The influential chairman of the House of Representatives' intelligence committee said on Wednesday he opposes supplying arms to the rebels fighting Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

"As we publicly debate next steps on Libya, I do not support arming the Libyan rebels at this time," Representative Mike Rogers said in a statement. "We need to understand more about the opposition before I would support passing out guns and advanced weapons to them."

The United States is taking part in a multinational coalition conducting air strikes aimed at protecting civilian from attacks by Gaddafi's forces.

Obama says the objective of the U.S. and allied campaign is to apply steady pressure on the Libyan leader so that he will ultimately step down from power.

Some lawmakers, like Republican Senator John McCain, have called on Washington to arm the Libyan rebels, and Obama has not rejected the option.

"I'm not ruling it in, I'm not ruling it out," he told NBC in an interview on Tuesday.

But Rogers, a Republican whose position means he is briefed on intelligence matters, did rule it out -- for now. He said not enough was known about the rebels, and the wrong decision could "come back to haunt us."

"It's safe to say what the rebels stand against, but we are a long way from an understanding of what they stand for," Rogers said.

On Tuesday, NATO operations commander Admiral James Stavridis said intelligence has shown "flickers" of al Qaeda or Hezbollah presence among the Libyan rebels. Other U.S. officials denied these groups were significantly involved.

"We don't have to look very far back in history to find examples of the unintended consequences of passing out advanced weapons to a group of fighters we didn't know as well as we should have," Rogers said. "Even if you think you know them, you can't guarantee that those weapons won't later fall into the hands of bad actors."

The United States helped arm guerrillas against Soviet occupiers in Afghanistan in the 1980s, only to have some of the fighters later join the Taliban now battling U.S. forces.

 

'NEXT LOGICAL STEP'

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on Tuesday that arming the rebels was allowed under the U.N. Security Council resolution authorizing the military intervention in Libya.

"Arming the Libyan rebels is a logical next step if the goal is Gaddafi's fall," said Daniel Byman, director of Georgetown University's Security Studies Program.

"However, it increases the political risks, as the Libyan rebels are not a known group (and) it increases coalition 'ownership' of the problem, making it harder to walk away should additional problems emerge," Byman said.

But while Britain appears to be open to the idea of arming the rebels, France is more cautious, analysts say. French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe has made clear a new U.N. resolution would be required -- a measure unlikely to get necessary Chinese or Russian support.

That means the issues might threaten to fracture the fragile coalition now acting in Libya.

Debate continues about what arming the rebels might entail. McCain, for one, has said the United States should provide them with intelligence, resources, and training.

"We need to take every responsible measure to help the Libyan opposition change the balance of power on the ground," he said on Tuesday on the Senate floor.

A U.S. military official said the prospect of arming rebels, however notional at this stage, was not front and center at the moment at the Pentagon.

"The thing we're focused on right now is the transition to NATO control" of the Libya campaign, he said on condition of anonymity.

 

(Additional reporting by Missy Ryan; editing by Doina Chiacu and Mohammad Zargham)

    House intel chief opposes arming Libyan rebels, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-usa-arms-idUSTRE72T5KM20110330

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. and Mexico offer rewards

over shooting of U.S. agents

 

WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
2:44pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. and Mexican governments on Wednesday announced multimillion dollar rewards for information leading to the arrest and conviction of those responsible for the shooting of two U.S. immigration agents.

The United States issued a statement saying it offered a reward of up to $5 million while the Mexican government offered 10 million pesos ($839,000). Both countries set up telephone hotlines for individuals to call if they have information.

In February, two unarmed U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents were driving in an armored vehicle on a highway from San Luis Potosi to Mexico City when they were ambushed in broad daylight by suspected drug gang members.

One ICE agent, Jaime Zapata, was killed and another agent, Victor Avila, was wounded in the leg in one of the more brazen attacks by drug cartels as they battle with authorities who are trying to crack down on drug and weapons trafficking.

Mexican authorities have already detained more than 30 people in connection with the shooting, including a suspected money man for the Zetas drug cartel arrested earlier this month.

U.S. authorities have traced one of the weapons used in the shooting back to a Texas man who bought the gun last year. He and two others have since been charged by prosecutors for illegally buying guns for others, though they have not been charged for anything related to the shooting in Mexico.

 

(Reporting by Jeremy Pelofsky, editing by Deborah Charles)

    U.S. and Mexico offer rewards over shooting of U.S. agents, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-mexico-usa-shooting-idUSTRE72T4QT20110330

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. dismisses Assad's speech, conspiracy theory

 

WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
2:31pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The State Department dismissed a speech by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on Wednesday as lacking substance, saying it was easier to see conspiracy theories than to meet popular demand for reforms.

In the speech, Assad defied calls to lift a decades-old emergency law and said Syria was the target of a foreign conspiracy to stir up protests in which more than 60 people have been killed.

State Department spokesman Mark Toner said it for the Syrian people to judge the speech but he broadly dismissed it, including Assad's assertion that Syria was subject "to a big conspiracy, whose threads extend from countries near and far."

"It's far too easy to look for conspiracy theories (than to) respond in a meaningful way to the call for reform," Toner told reporters in his daily briefing.

"We expect they (the Syrian people) are going to be disappointed. We feel the speech fell short with respect to the kind of reforms that the Syrian people demanded and what President Assad's own advisers suggested was coming," he said.

"It's clear to us that it didn't really have much substance to it and didn't talk about specific reforms, as was ... suggested in the run up to the speech," he said.

 

(Editing by Vicki Allen)

    U.S. dismisses Assad's speech, conspiracy theory, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-syria-usa-idUSTRE72T5MV20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis: Rebel limitations pose quandary for West in Libya

 

BRUSSELS | Wed Mar 30, 2011
1:40pm EDT
By David Brunnstrom

 

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The swings in fortune in the Libyan conflict that have seen dramatic rebel advances from the east followed by equally dramatic retreats, in part reflect the country's wide-open desert terrain.

It is not without precedent: rapid advances by British, German and Italian forces in Libya during World War Two also resulted in over-extended supply lines leaving them vulnerable to counter-attack.

But for the present-day Western military intervention in Libya, this is only part of the problem.

The international coalition appears divided over the critical issue of whether to arm rebel fighters -- a move that could mark the beginning of deeper involvement in another conflict in the Arab world -- which some doubt will work.

"The rebels really haven't shown so far that they are a competent fighting force," said Marko Papic of political risk consultancy Stratfor. "Their military capacity is extremely low and this explains this back and forth going on.

"While they do have some experienced members among them, these seem mostly to spend their time trying to stay alive from the gunfire of the less experienced members," he said.

"So it's not clear that giving the rebels complex weapons will achieve anything -- for a start, it's not clear they would know how to use them."

 

RAPID REVERSAL

Quick rebel gains at the start of their uprising in February suggested leader Muammar Gaddafi would quickly be toppled. That thinking was spurred again when Western powers began air strikes 11 days ago, allowing rebels to regain ground.

But subsequent reverses have exposed the rebels' military limitations and have also shown Gaddafi and his forces to be more resilient and tactically adept than expected, leaving the West in a quandary.

A conference of 40 governments and international bodies in London on Tuesday agreed to press a NATO-led aerial bombardment until Gaddafi complies with a U.N. resolution to end violence against civilians.

It also set up a contact group of 20 countries and organizations, including Arab states, the African Union and the Arab League, to coordinate international support for an orderly transition to democracy.

But it remains far from clear how this can be achieved.

Barak Seener, a Middle East expert at London's Royal United Services Institute, said the rebels should be given military training and "game changing" weapons such as anti-tank and anti-aircraft systems.

"It is clear that Gaddafi will not leave his position as a result of any negotiations, or because President Obama declares that he must go," he said.

Seener also said Western policy should go beyond the existing U.N. mandate to protect civilians, instead allowing the "targeting and decapitation of the Gadaffi regime."

U.S. President Barack Obama said on Tuesday he had agreed to provide communications equipment, medical supplies and potentially transportation aid to the rebels, but he has yet to decide whether to provide military hardware.

"I'm not ruling it in, I'm not ruling it out," he told NBC while on a trip to New York.

 

REBELS' DEMANDS

Analysts said that while the British also appeared open to the idea of arming the rebels, France was more cautious, with its Foreign Minster Alain Juppe making clear a new U.N. resolution would be required -- something unlikely to get necessary Russian or Chinese support.

NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, having to maintain a consensus among 28 allies, said NATO had no mandate to arm the rebels.

Rebels returning from the frontline have no doubts.

They say they have been overwhelmed by Gaddafi's superior firepower and need heavier weapons than their Kalashnikov rifles, rocket-propelled grenades, truck-mounted machine guns and light rockets.

Rebel spokesmen say they particularly need anti-tank missiles, more ammunition and communications equipment.

Training is clearly a pressing need, with most fighters lacking tactical experience and oblivious to basic requirements such as reconnaissance or protection for their flanks -- something that has caught them out in recent days.

Some fighters say they have had a day or two of training from military defectors, but most have not. They would have more ammunition if they did not keep firing into the air.

While some fighters say they do have officers, they are hard to detect and do not seem able to keep much discipline.

Decisions are often made after heated arguments or by following whoever shouts loudest and despite the courage of some, the tendency is to flee in disarray when the Gaddafi forces start firing in a sustained way.

In some cases supply lines have been so over-stretched or are non-existent that advancing rebels have had to scoop petrol from abandoned filling stations using plastic bottles attached to string as they have no other fuel supplies.

Daniel Keohane of the Institute for Security Studies said that while there were clearly divisions among Western governments over how to proceed, he would be surprised if Western special forces were not already trying to advise the rebels on how to organize themselves.

However, arming them covertly was a different proposition and politically difficult.

"This has to be seen as a Libya victory, not a coalition victory," he said. "I find it hard to see how the coalition can agree politically to arming the rebels, but without arms I can't see how the rebels can win."

One possible option would be for Arab states such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar or Egypt to provide arms, Keohane said.

"That would be a politically more acceptable route -- it would be Arabs helping Arabs. Even if it happens to be Western technology, it would be much more politically acceptable than the Americans directly doing this," he said.

Brigadier Ben Barry of the International Institute for Strategic Studies said the rebels were so disorganized that providing them with better weapons would make little difference in the short term.

"What might have greater effect is deployment of teams of trainers and advisers to assist the rebels in better co-ordinating their efforts. Capability could be provided by Special Forces, which should ideally be from Muslim and Arab states," he said.

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan; editing by Luke Baker and Elizabeth Piper)

    Analysis: Rebel limitations pose quandary for West in Libya, NYT, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-military-idUSTRE72T5FV20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Syrian Leader Blames Turmoil on ‘Conspiracy’

 

March 30, 2011
The New York Times
By MICHAEL SLACKMAN

 

CAIRO — In his first address to the nation after bloody protests and calls for reform, President Basher al-Assad blamed a broad conspiracy from beyond his borders on Wednesday for Syria’s turmoil and offered no concessions to ease his authoritarian regime’s grip on public life.

To apparently choreographed cries of support and applause, Mr. Assad appeared only briefly before the country’s Parliament for what had been billed as a major speech that would define his response to the biggest challenge facing the government’s authority in decades.

The speech had been highly anticipated inside and outside Syria for signs that Mr. Assad would lift or ease the state of emergency that has underpinned his Baath Party’s hold on power since 1963. But he made no reference to any such action and the speech seemed likely to dismay protesters who have been demanding reform.

Mr. Assad’s appearance had been forecast as an attempt to calm tensions after government forces repeatedly opened fire on demonstrators in recent days, killing dozens of people as Syrians clamored for the same reforms that have become the rallying cry of many across the Arab world.

Smiling and looking relaxed, Mr. Assad spoke of “the plots that are being hatched against our country” and said they represented a “test of our unity.”

“We are for reform and we are for meeting the people’s demands,” Mr. Assad said, referring to legislative changes under consideration for years but not carried out because of what he called a series of regional crises. “The first priority was to the stability of Syria, to maintain stability,” he said.

He added: “We are not in favor of chaos and destruction.”

He acknowledged that “Syrian people have demands that have not been met,” but said that those grievances were “used as a cover to dupe the people to go to the streets.” He added that “some of them had good intentions.”

“It is not a secret now that Syria is being subject to a conspiracy,” he said. “The timing and shape depends on what is happening in other Arab countries. “

But he insisted that his regime would not be pressured into what he described as premature change.

Mr. Assad was speaking the day after his cabinet resigned in what was seen as a significant — if primarily symbolic — gesture in a nation where the leadership rarely responds to public pressure and where decisions are made not by the cabinet but by the president and his inner circle, including multiple security services.

Mr. Assad initially boasted that his nation was immune to the popular unrest that has swept the region. But events in Syria have played out much as they have in other countries — moving from denial to a bloody crackdown to efforts at appeasement. Now he has little room to maneuver in terms of offering concessions without undermining his leadership and that of his allies.

“The emergency law is a cornerstone of Bathes rule, and once it goes everything else might go with it,” said Kari Emilee Biter, a researcher at the Institute for International and Strategic Relations in Paris. “Things could collapse for them if they’re serious about lifting it: liberation of political prisoners, multiple parties, no more harassing activists. People are going to use this to air more and more grievances.”

The resignation of the cabinet came as the government worked hard to restore its credibility after thousands marched against it around the country and the military took up positions in cities in the north and south. Tens of thousands of government supporters rallied in Damascus, the capital, on Tuesday, waving flags and pictures of Mr. Assad. The government apparently bused many of them in and pressured others to attend the rally.

Government supporters poured into the Square of the Seven Seas in Damascus, with thousands standing under a 45-foot-long portrait of the president on the Syrian national bank building. They chanted, “Only God, Syria and Bashar!” and “With our soul, with our blood, we will redeem you, Bashar.”

As the crowds dispersed early in the afternoon a sense of carnival prevailed, with smiling children and couples holding hands and eating ice cream. Cars around the city honked their horns in support of Mr. Assad and stern young men sat atop microbuses, clutching pictures of the president. Similar rallies were held in major cities, with the noticeable exception of Latakia — a northwestern coastal town where a sit-in by hundreds of protesters continued Tuesday — and Dara’a in the south. The military’s presence has been heavily felt in both cities after recent violence.

The protests began more than a week ago in Dara’a, after the police arrested a group of young people for scrawling antigovernment graffiti. The ripples were felt nationwide after government forces fired on demonstrators. Protesters set fire to party offices in several towns, toppled a statue of the former president, Hafez al-Assad, Mr. Assad’s father, and tore down billboards of the current president, actions that have been unheard of in the police state.


Liam Stack contributed reporting from Cairo, an employee of The New York Times from Damascus, Syria and Alan Cowell from Paris.

    Syrian Leader Blames Turmoil on ‘Conspiracy’, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/31/world/middleeast/31syria.html

 

 

 

 

 

Nicaragua says will represent Libya at U.N.

 

MANAGUA | Wed Mar 30, 2011
12:44am EDT
Reuters

 

MANAGUA (Reuters) - A former Nicaraguan leftist foreign minister who has been a sharp critic of U.S. governments will represent Libya at the United Nations after its delegate was denied a visa, Nicaragua said on Tuesday.

As governments and international bodies agreed to press on with a NATO-led aerial bombardment of Libyan forces, Nicaragua said Miguel D'Escoto Brockmann, who once called former U.S. President Ronald Reagan "the butcher of my people," would replace senior Libyan diplomat Ali Abdussalam Treki.

The government of leftist President Daniel Ortega, a former U.S. Cold War foe who has forged ties with Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, said it had sent a letter to U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon to inform him of the decision.

The Nicaraguan government said in a statement that D'Escoto has flown to the U.N. headquarters in New York to "support our Libyan brothers in their diplomatic battle to enforce respect for its sovereignty."

Some Western media have reported that Gaddafi's children have urged the Libyan leader to seek exile in Nicaragua. Ortega said last month he telephoned Gaddafi several times to offer him support.

A former president of the U.N. General Assembly, D'Escoto was foreign minister in Ortega's Sandinista administration that ruled Nicaragua from 1979-90, during which time it fought against an insurgency by U.S.-backed Contra rebels. He was born in Los Angeles and ordained as a Roman Catholic priest.

(Reporting by Ivan Castro; Editing by Bill Trott)

    Nicaragua says will represent Libya at U.N., R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-nicaragua-idUSTRE72T0SQ20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Obama wants to curb U.S. oil imports by a third

 

WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 30, 2011
10:07am EDT
By Alister Bull

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama will set an ambitious goal on Wednesday to cut U.S. oil imports by a third over 10 years, focusing on energy security amid high gasoline prices that could stall the country's economic recovery.

Obama will outline his strategy in a speech after spending days explaining U.S.-led military action in Libya, where fighting, accompanied by popular unrest elsewhere in the Arab world, has helped push gasoline prices toward $4 a gallon.

Discussing the speech, the Democratic president said the country must increase its energy independence.

"What we were talking about was breaking the pattern of being shocked at high prices and then, as prices go down, being lulled into a trance, but instead let's actually have a plan," Obama told party activists in New York late on Tuesday.

"Let's, yes, increase domestic oil production, but let's also invest in solar and wind and geothermal and biofuels and let's make our buildings more efficient and our cars more efficient. Not all of that work is done yet, but I'm not finished yet. We've got more work to do," Obama said.

The White House says this is a deliberate turn toward energy security and will be followed by other events to highlight his strategy.

"He'll be laying out the goal ... that in a little over a decade from now we'll reduce the amount of oil we import from the rest of the world by about a third," a senior administration official told reporters in Washington.

Obama will lay out four areas to help reach his target of curbing U.S. dependence on foreign oil -- lifting domestic energy production, encouraging the use of more natural gas in vehicles like city buses, making cars and trucks more efficient, and encouraging biofuels.

 

U.S. LOVE OF DRIVING CHEAPLY

Analysts and experts said Obama's goal was ambitious, and not surprising.

"All U.S. presidents since the early 1970s have outlined ambitious plans to reduce their reliance on imported oil. It is not the first time and probably won't be the last," said John Sfakianakis, chief economist at the Banque Saudi Fransi.

Truly reforming U.S. energy use would involve sweeping changes, including possibly fuel taxes to encourage Americans to change their habits, analysts said.

"The whole U.S. model is based on you having your car and being able to travel from A to B cheaply," said Harry Tchilinguirian, the head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas.

While polls show Americans have mixed feelings about getting entangled in a third Muslim country, with the United States still engaged in Iraq and Afghanistan, they are clearly worried by high gas prices before the summer driving season.

The latest measures of consumer confidence have also been dented by rising energy prices, which sap household spending and could derail the U.S. recovery if prices stay high enough for a long time, hurting Obama's re-election prospects.

A Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday showed that 48 percent of American voters disapprove of Obama's job performance, and 50 percent think he does not deserve to be re-elected in 2012, compared with 42 percent who approve and 41 percent who feel he does deserve to be re-elected.

Those were his lowest ratings ever, Quinnipiac said.

Voters also oppose the U.S. involvement in Libya by 47-41 percent, according to the survey, which was concluded on Monday, as Obama addressed the nation about Libya. It said voters say 58-29 percent Obama has not clearly stated U.S. goals there.

"The president certainly understands the extra burden that rising gas prices put on millions of Americans already going through a tough time," the administration official said.

Some analysts reckon Obama may tap America's emergency oil stockpiles if U.S. oil prices hit $110 a barrel. Prices were hovering just under $105 a barrel in late Tuesday trade.

Over half of the petroleum consumed by the United States is imported, with Canada and Mexico the two largest suppliers, followed by Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.

The Department of the Interior estimates millions of acres (hectares) of U.S. energy leases are not being exploited by oil companies and the White House wants that to change.

This argument also helps the administration push back against Obama's Republican opponents, who claim he is tying the hands of the U.S. energy industry by denying leases and restricting offshore drilling in the wake of the 2010 BP Gulf of Mexico oil spill.

"Part of our plan is to give new and better incentives to promote rapid, responsible development of these resources," the official said, but declined to go into greater detail before Obama speaks speech at 11:20 a.m. (1520 GMT).

In addition, the official said Obama will set a goal to break ground "on at least four commercial-scale cellulosic or advanced bio refineries over the next two years."

 

(Additional reporting by Tim Gardner and Patricia Zengerle; Editing by Eric Walsh and Vicki Allen)

    Obama wants to curb U.S. oil imports by a third, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-obama-energy-idUSTRE72S3C820110330

 

 

 

 

 

Uganda says would consider Gaddafi asylum

 

KAMPALA | Wed Mar 30, 2011
9:36am EDT
Reuters
By Elias Biryabarema

 

KAMPALA (Reuters) - Uganda would consider an asylum application from Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, as it would for anyone seeking refuge in the east African country, a minister said on Wednesday.

Al Arabiya television reported that Uganda would welcome Gaddafi after Western and other states suggested the Libyan leader should go into exile to end the conflict in his country.

The television channel did not give further details.

"Those are rumors. I have just been in a cabinet meeting with all the ministers and yes we discussed Libya but there was nothing on asylum that we discussed," Henry Okello Oryem, junior Minister for Foreign Affairs, told Reuters.

"However, if Gaddafi does apply for asylum in Uganda, we'll consider his application like we do for all those who seek refuge in Uganda," he said.

Uganda is a member of the African Union ad hoc committee trying to mediate a resolution of the Libyan conflict after the United Nations authorized air strikes to protect Libyan civilians from forces loyal to Gaddafi.

The United States, Britain and Qatar, which joined others at a meeting on Libya in London on Tuesday, suggested Gaddafi and his family could be allowed to go into exile if they took up the offer quickly to end six weeks of bloodshed.

 

FRUSTRATIONS, GRUDGES

Gaddafi has been a driving force behind the African Union, his largesse has extended Libya's economic reach throughout sub-Saharan Africa and he has some close friends in power.

But analysts say many African leaders have become frustrated with Gaddafi's erratic behavior, some still harbor grudges over past meddling in internal conflicts and others may not want to tarnish their images further by giving him a home.

Gaddafi's relations with Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni have been chequered at best over the years.

Museveni put out a statement on March 20 analyzing the Libyan crisis. In the article, Museveni detailed five mistakes Gaddafi had made in his relations with sub-Saharan Africa -- and Uganda in particular.

These included Gaddafi's support for the late Ugandan dictator Idi Amin -- Museveni detailed the time a Libyan air force plane had tried to bomb his rebel troops in 1979.

Museveni also criticized Gaddafi's stance on the African Union, saying African leaders had been forced to oppose the Libyan leader's "illogical position" on pushing for a United States of Africa.

The Ugandan president did, however, say Gaddafi's influence had been positive to the extent he maintained an independent foreign policy and resisted outside interference, for example when giving Museveni some weapons in 1981.

He also praised Gaddafi for being one of the few secular leaders in the Arab world and reiterated that the Libyan leader should negotiate with the opposition.

Uganda's capital Kampala is home to one of sub-Saharan Africa's largest mosques, named after Gaddafi after the Libyan government funded its construction.

Uganda, which is also a close ally of Washington, said on Tuesday it had taken control of Libya's majority stake in Uganda Telecom, the latest move to freeze Libyan assets in the east African nation in compliance with U.N. sanctions.

 

(Additional reporting by Dina Zayed in Cairo; Editing by David Clarke)

    Uganda says would consider Gaddafi asylum, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-uganda-idUSTRE72T2OY20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Egypt's military issues interim constitution

 

CAIRO | Wed Mar 30, 2011
9:35am EDT
Reuters

 

CAIRO (Reuters) - Egypt's military rulers on Wednesday issued an interim constitution under which the transitional administration will run the country until elections allow power to be returned to an elected government.

The decree, read by a member of the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, confirmed that the military would hold presidential powers until a new head of state is elected.

The interim constitution's 62 articles included amended sections of the old constitution that were approved by a referendum on March 19 and which open the door to a competitive presidential election.

 

(Reporting by Dina Zayed and Tom Perry)

    Egypt's military issues interim constitution, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-egypt-constitution-idUSTRE72T38I20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Russia speaks out against arming Libyan rebels

 

MOSCOW | Wed Mar 30, 2011
8:14am EDT
Reuters
By Steve Gutterman

 

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia warned the West on Wednesday against arming rebels battling Muammar Gaddafi's forces and said Libyans must forge their political future without any outside interference.

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's remarks were the latest criticism of the military action by a Western coalition, which Moscow says has gone beyond the mandate of the U.N. Security Council resolution authorizing the use of force.

They also indicated that as the United States and Europe press for Gaddafi's eventual exit, Moscow does not want to stand aside and watch the West shape a future government of a country where Russia's arms, energy and railway companies had contracts.

With Western leaders saying they were not ruling out arming the rebels, Lavrov emphasized Russia's opposition.

"Not long ago the French foreign minister announced that France is ready to discuss weapons supplies to the Libyan opposition with its coalition partners," Lavrov told a news conference after talks with his Austrian counterpart.

"Right away, NATO Secretary-General (Anders) Fogh Rasmussen said the Libyan operation is being conducted to protect the population, not to arm it. We fully agree with the NATO secretary-general on this," Lavrov said.

British Prime Minister David Cameron said on Wednesday that Britain does not rule out supplying arms to the Libyan rebels but has not taken a decision to do so.

Russia, a veto-wielding permanent U.N. Security Council member, backed sanctions against Gaddafi's government and abstained in the vote on the resolution authorizing military action to enforce no-fly zones, allowing it to pass.

However, Russia has said the resolution gave the coalition too much leeway and has expressed concern about possible civilian deaths. Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, one of the most outspoken critics of the Western intervention, likened it to "medieval calls for crusades."

Lavrov said on Wednesday that Moscow might have supported the resolution if it had set clearer limits on military action.

In line with the resolution, which called for a ceasefire and dialogue, he said Russia sees "a ceasefire and the immediate start of talks" as a priority.

Turning to the future, Lavrov said "the Libyan sides must agree on what the Libyan state should be."

"It's clear that it will be a different regime, and it's clear that it should be a democratic regime, but Libyans themselves must decide without influence from outside."

Russia has made similar statements about other nations swept up in a wave of opposition to authoritarian governments across the Arab world.

Facing accusations of a rollback of democracy since Putin came to power in 2000, Russia vocally criticizes what it calls Western meddling in the internal affairs of sovereign states.

    Russia speaks out against arming Libyan rebels, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-russia-idUSTRE72T2PC20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Libya rebels flee oil town under Gaddafi bombardment

 

TRIPOLI | Wed Mar 30, 2011
8:23am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina and Michael Georgy

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Libyan rebels pulled out of the oil town of Ras Lanuf on Wednesday under heavy bombardment from Muammar Gaddafi's forces, showing up their weakness without Western air strikes to tip the scales in their favor.

The rapid reverse comes just two days after the rebels raced westwards along the all-important coastal road in hot pursuit of the government army that had its tanks and artillery demolished in five days of aerial bombardment in the town of Ajdabiyah.

Gaddafi's army first ambushed the insurgent pick-up convoy outside the "brother leader's" hometown of Sirte, then outflanked them through the desert, a maneuver requiring the sort of discipline entirely lacking in rag-tag rebel force.

On the offensive, government tanks and artillery have unleashed a fierce bombardment on towns and cities which has usually forced rebels to swiftly flee. That tactic appears to have worked once again in Ras Lanuf, an oil terminal town, 375 km (230 miles) east of the capital Tripoli.

"Gaddafi hit us with huge rockets. He has entered Ras Lanuf," rebel fighter Faraj Muftah told Reuters after pulling out of Ras Lanuf. "We were at the western gate in Ras Lanuf and we were bombarded," said a second fighter, Hisham.

Scores of rebel 4x4 pick-ups raced east, away from Ras Lanuf, a Reuters journalist saw.

 

AIR STRIKES

Without Western air strikes, the rebels seem unable to make advances or even hold their positions against Gaddafi's armor.

As the rebels retreated, a Reuters correspondent heard aircraft, then a series of loud booms near Ras Lanuf, but it was unclear if the sounds were the sonic boom of the jets or bombs.

But a fighter returning from Ras Lanuf, Ahmed, also told Reuters: "The French planes came and bombed Gaddafi's forces."

France was the first member of the international coalition to announce that it had launched air strikes on Libya and rebels commonly credit most air strikes to French aircraft.

A conference of 40 governments and international bodies agreed to press on with a NATO-led aerial bombardment of Libyan forces until Gaddafi complied with a U.N. resolution to end violence against civilians.

The Pentagon said on Tuesday 115 strike sorties had been flown against Gaddafi's forces in the previous 24 hours, and 22 Tomahawk cruise missiles had been fired.

Britain said two of its Tornado fighter-bombers had attacked a government armored vehicle and two artillery pieces outside the besieged western town of Misrata.

Libya's official Jana official news agency said air strikes by forces of "the crusader colonial aggression" hit residential areas in the town of Garyan, about 100 km (60 miles) south of Tripoli, on Tuesday. It said several civilian buildings were destroyed and an unspecified number of people were wounded.

U.N. Security Council Resolution 1973 sanctions air power to protect Libyan civilians, not to provide close air support to rebel forces. That would also require troops on the ground to guide in the bombs, especially in such a rapidly changing war.

Air strikes alone may not be enough to stop the pendulum swing of Libyan desert civil warfare turning into a stalemate.

The United States and France have raised the possibility of arming the rebels, though both stressed no decision had yet been taken. "I'm not ruling it in, I'm not ruling it out," U.S. President Barack Obama told NBC.

It is not clear however if the amateur army of teachers, lawyers, engineers, students and the unemployed know even how to properly use the weapons they already have -- mostly looted from government arms depots.

 

LACK OF FOOD

Aid agencies are increasingly worried about a lack of food and medicines, especially in towns such as Misrata where a siege by Gaddafi's forces deprives them of access.

"It is difficult to even get water in from wells outside the town because of the positions of the forces," said Abdulrahman, a resident of Zintan in the west, cut off by pro-Gaddafi forces.

The U.N. refugee agency said it had reports of thousands of families living in makeshift shelters cut off from assistance.

Protection of civilians remains the most urgent goal of the air strikes, and British Prime Minister David Cameron accused Gaddafi's supporters of "murderous attacks" on Misrata.

A series of powerful explosions rocked Tripoli on Tuesday and state television said several targets in the Libyan capital had come under attack in rare daytime strikes.

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan, Alexander Dziadosz, Edmund Blair, Maria Golovnina, Michael Georgy, Ibon Villelabeitia, Lamine Chikhi, Hamid Ould Ahmed, Marie-Louise Gumuchian, Andrew Quinn, David Brunnstrom, Steve Holland and Alister Bull; Writing by Jon Hemming; Editing by Giles Elgood)

    Libya rebels flee oil town under Gaddafi bombardment, R, 30.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110330

 

 

 

 

 

Washington in Fierce Debate on Arming Libyan Rebels

 

March 29, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER, ELISABETH BUMILLER and STEVEN LEE MYERS

 

WASHINGTON — The Obama administration is engaged in a fierce debate over whether to supply weapons to the rebels in Libya, senior officials said on Tuesday, with some fearful that providing arms would deepen American involvement in a civil war and that some fighters may have links to Al Qaeda.

The debate has drawn in the White House, the State Department and the Pentagon, these officials said, and has prompted an urgent call for intelligence about a ragtag band of rebels who are waging a town-by-town battle against Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi, from a base in eastern Libya long suspected of supplying terrorist recruits.

“Al Qaeda in that part of the country is obviously an issue,” a senior official said.

On a day when Libyan forces counterattacked, fears about the rebels surfaced publicly on Capitol Hill on Tuesday when the military commander of NATO, Adm. James G. Stavridis, told a Senate hearing that there were “flickers” in intelligence reports about the presence of Qaeda and Hezbollah members among the anti-Qaddafi forces. No full picture of the opposition has emerged, Admiral Stavridis said. While eastern Libya was the center of Islamist protests in the late 1990s, it is unclear how many groups retain ties to Al Qaeda.

The French government, which has led the international charge against Colonel Qaddafi, has placed mounting pressure on the United States to provide greater assistance to the rebels. The question of how best to support the opposition dominated an international conference about Libya on Tuesday in London.

While Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said the administration had not yet decided whether to actually transfer arms, she reiterated that the United States had a right to do so, despite an arms embargo on Libya, because of the United Nations Security Council’s broad resolution authorizing military action to protect civilians.

In a reflection of the seriousness of the administration’s debate, Mr. Obama said Tuesday that he was keeping his options open on arming the rebels. “I’m not ruling it out, but I’m also not ruling it in,” Mr. Obama told NBC News. “We’re still making an assessment partly about what Qaddafi’s forces are going to be doing. Keep in mind, we’ve been at this now for nine days.”

But some administration officials argue that supplying arms would further entangle the United States in a drawn-out civil war because the rebels would need to be trained to use any weapons, even relatively simple rifles and shoulder-fired anti-armor weapons. This could mean sending trainers. One official said the United States might simply let others supply the weapons.

The question of whether to arm the rebels underscores the difficult choices the United States faces as it tries to move from being the leader of the military operation to a member of a NATO-led coalition, with no clear political endgame. It also carries echoes of previous American efforts to arm rebels, in Angola, Nicaragua, Afghanistan and elsewhere, many of which backfired. The United States has a deep, often unsuccessful, history of arming insurgencies.

Mr. Obama pledged on Monday that he would not commit American ground troops to Libya and said that the job of transforming the country into a democracy was primarily for the Libyan people and the international community. But he promised that the United States would help the rebels in this struggle.

In London, Mrs. Clinton and other Western leaders made it clear that the NATO-led operation would end only with the removal of Colonel Qaddafi, even if that was not the stated goal of the United Nations resolution.

Mrs. Clinton — who met for a second time with a senior opposition leader, Mahmoud Jibril — acknowledged that as a group, the rebels were largely a mystery. “We don’t know as much as we would like to know and as much as we expect we will know,” she said at a news conference.

In his testimony, Admiral Stavridis said, “We are examining very closely the content, composition, the personalities, who are the leaders of these opposition forces.”

The coalition members discussed other ways to help the rebels, like humanitarian aid and money, Mrs. Clinton said. Some of the more than $30 billion in frozen Libyan funds may be channeled to the opposition.

But a spokesman for the rebels, Mahmoud Shammam, said they would welcome arms, contending that with weaponry they would already have defeated Colonel Qaddafi’s forces. “We ask for political support more than arms,” Mr. Shammam said, “but if we have both, that would be good.”

So far, the rebels have obtained arms from defecting Qaddafi loyalists, as well as from abandoned ammunitions depots.

A European diplomat said France was adamant that the rebels be more heavily armed and was in discussions with the Obama administration about how France would bring this about. “We strongly believe that it should happen,” said the diplomat, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.

Senator Carl Levin, a Michigan Democrat and chairman of the Armed Services Committee, said he had had conversations with two senior administration officials about this issue. Mr. Levin said he was most concerned about how the rebels would use the weapons after a cease-fire. “Would they stop fighting if they had momentum, or would they be continuing to use those weapons?” he asked.

Gene A. Cretz, the American ambassador to Libya, said last week that he was impressed by the democratic instincts of the opposition leaders and that he did not believe that they were dominated by extremists. But he acknowledged that there was no way to know if they were “100 percent kosher, so to speak.”

Bruce O. Riedel, a former C.I.A. analyst and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, said some who had fought as insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan were bound to have returned home to Libya. “The question we can’t answer is, Are they 2 percent of the opposition? Are they 20 percent? Or are they 80 percent?” he said.

Even if the administration resolves these concerns, military officials said it was unclear to them how an effort to arm the rebels would be carried out.

They said the arms most likely to be of use were relatively light and simple shoulder-fired anti-armor weapons for defense against tanks, as well as rifles like Soviet AK-47s and communications equipment. Although these weapons are not especially sophisticated, months, if not years, of on-the-ground training would still be necessary.

Even with training, anti-armor weapons and rifles would allow the rebels only to consolidate their gains and hold the territory they have, said Nathan Freier, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

One crucial voice, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates has experience in the unintended consequences of arming rebels: As a C.I.A. official in the late 1980s, he funneled weapons to the Islamic fundamentalists who ousted the Soviets from Kabul. Some later became the Taliban fighting the United States in Afghanistan.


Mark Landler and Elisabeth Bumiller reported from Washington, and Steven Lee Myers from London.

    Washington in Fierce Debate on Arming Libyan Rebels, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/30/world/africa/30diplo.html

 

 

 

 

 

Still Crusading, but Now on the Inside

 

March 29, 2011
The New York Times
By SHERYL GAY STOLBERG

 

WASHINGTON — Samantha Power took the podium at Columbia University on Monday night sounding hoarse and looking uncomfortable. In two hours, President Obama would address the nation on Libya and Ms. Power, the fiery human rights crusader who now advises Mr. Obama on foreign policy, did not want to get out in front of the boss.

“I’m not going to talk much about Libya,” she began, though when it came time for questions she could not help herself. “Our best judgment,” she said, defending the decision to establish a no-fly zone to prevent atrocities, was that failure to do so would have been “extremely chilling, deadly and indeed a stain on our collective conscience.”

That the president used almost precisely the same language was hardly a surprise. For nearly 20 years, since her days as a young war correspondent in Bosnia, Ms. Power has championed the idea that nations have a moral obligation to prevent genocide. Now, from her perch on the National Security Council, she is in a position to make that case to the commander in chief — and to watch him translate her ideas into action.

“She is clearly the foremost voice for human rights within the White House,” said Kenneth Roth, executive director of Human Rights Watch, “and she has Obama’s ear.”

The Irish-born Ms. Power, 40, functions as kind of an institutional memory bank on genocide; her 2002 book on the topic, “A Problem from Hell,” won the Pulitzer Prize. While she was by no means alone in advocating military intervention in Libya — Hillary Rodham Clinton, the secretary of state, was a pivotal voice — the president’s decision to pursue that course is something of a personal triumph for her.

It is also a public relations headache. Critics say Ms. Power is pushing the United States into another Iraq. (Ms. Power, like Mr. Obama, was a vocal opponent of that war.) American Thinker, a conservative blog, complains that Mr. Obama has “outsourced foreign policy” to Ms. Power.

Ms. Power, who declined an interview, is trying to maintain a low profile, still seared, perhaps, by the memory of how she flamed out as an Obama campaign adviser by calling Mrs. Clinton “a monster.” The women have patched it up — the late diplomat Richard C. Holbrooke, friend to Mrs. Clinton and mentor to Ms. Power, arranged a reconciliation — and Ms. Power arrived at the White House determined to “stay in her lane,” in the words of one friend, and avoid headlines.

Yet for all her efforts to shun the spotlight, there has long been a whiff of celebrity about her. Aside from her Pulitzer and two Ivy League degrees (Yale undergraduate, Harvard Law), she has posed in an evening gown for Men’s Vogue and once played basketball with George Clooney. The Daily Beast calls her “the femme fatale of the humanitarian assistance world.”

When she married the constitutional law scholar Cass Sunstein — he now runs the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs — Esquire dubbed them “The Fun Couple of the 21st Century” and photographed them on the squash court, in tennis whites.

She arrived in Bosnia as a freelance journalist at age 22, “a flame-haired, freckled girl with guts,” in the words of one reporter who knew her. Diplomats admired her intellect and passion. She was not shy about haranguing American officials for what she saw as the United States’ failure to act.

“She would argue that the failure of the Clinton administration to engage in airstrikes against the Serbs, and to take military action to stop the genocide was immoral,” said Peter W. Galbraith, ambassador to Croatia at the time.

He recently turned the tables on Ms. Power, sending her an e-mail in which he warned her not to let Libya become “Obama’s Rwanda,” a reference to former President Bill Clinton, who has expressed deep regret over failing to intervene to prevent atrocities there. Mr. Galbraith said Ms. Power, having learned the lesson that “when you’re inside government, you live with constraints,” did not reply.

Ms. Power is sensitive to any notion that she has outsize influence with the president; the White House took pains on Tuesday to say that her speech echoed the president’s, not the other way around.

The United States did not go to war in Libya because “there was some dramatic meeting in the Oval Office where everybody tried to persuade the president not to do this, and Samantha rolled in with her flowing red hair and said, ‘Mr. President, I stand here alone in telling you that history calls upon you to perform this act,’ ” said Tom Malinowski of Human Rights Watch, a friend.

Mr. Obama sought her out in early 2005, when he was a new senator and had just read her book. After a four-hour dinner, they found themselves so much in sync that she volunteered to take a leave from her Harvard professorship to work for him.

The book argues that genocides — in places like Armenia, Nazi Germany, Cambodia and Rwanda — have occurred because governments averted their eyes and individuals made conscious choices not to intervene. “The most common response,” Ms. Power wrote, “is, ‘We didn’t know.’ This is not true.”

As a journalist, she was one of the first to chronicle the bloody ethnic cleansing in Sudan. In 2004, on assignment for The New Yorker, she visited refugee camps in Chad and slipped into rebel-held areas in Darfur, to interview survivors and see villages that were burned to the ground. Some experts say her work helped persuade President George W. Bush to apply the label genocide to the situation.

But if Ms. Power was able to prick the collective conscience of elected officials as an outsider, on the inside she has confronted the difficulties of making policy in a complex environment with competing demands.

She has been successful in urging the Obama administration to embrace Congressional legislation calling for the arrest of the leader of the Lord’s Resistance Army, which enslaves children as guerrilla fighters. As of last year, the White House has a full-time staff member devoted to monitoring atrocities — a position Ms. Power pushed for. But in Darfur, violence has escalated as the administration has shifted its attention to south Sudan.

On Libya, Ms. Power’s critics — and even some admirers — suggest she may be helping to set a precedent that will invariably fail. “I think what she is doing is good,” said Bill Nash, a retired Army general who commanded forces in Bosnia. “But I suspect it is more black and white to her than the real world portrays.”

In her long-scheduled speech at Columbia on Monday night, Ms. Power did not dwell on such questions. Rather, she gave a bland recitation of Mr. Obama’s human rights policy. When it was over, she was mobbed by book-toting autograph-seekers. When she spied a gaggle of reporters, she cupped her hands to her temples and lowered her head as if to say: no questions.

    Still Crusading, but Now on the Inside, NYT, 29.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/30/world/30power.html

 

 

 

 

 

Looking for Luck in Libya

 

March 29, 2011
The New York Times
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN

 

There is an old saying in the Middle East that a camel is a horse that was designed by a committee. That thought came to my mind as I listened to President Obama trying to explain the intervention of America and its allies in Libya — and I don’t say that as criticism. I say it with empathy. This is really hard stuff, and it’s just the beginning.

When an entire region that has been living outside the biggest global trends of free politics and free markets for half a century suddenly, from the bottom up, decides to join history — and each one of these states has a different ethnic, tribal, sectarian and political orientation and a loose coalition of Western and Arab states with mixed motives trying to figure out how to help them — well, folks, you’re going to end up with some very strange-looking policy animals. And Libya is just the first of many hard choices we’re going to face in the “new” Middle East.

How could it not be? In Libya, we have to figure out whether to help rebels we do not know topple a terrible dictator we do not like, while at the same time we turn a blind eye to a monarch whom we do like in Bahrain, who has violently suppressed people we also like — Bahraini democrats — because these people we like have in their ranks people we don’t like: pro-Iranian Shiite hard-liners. All the while in Saudi Arabia, leaders we like are telling us we never should have let go of the leader who was so disliked by his own people — Hosni Mubarak — and, while we would like to tell the Saudi leaders to take a hike on this subject, we can’t because they have so much oil and money that we like. And this is a lot like our dilemma in Syria where a regime we don’t like — and which probably killed the prime minister of Lebanon whom it disliked — could be toppled by people who say what we like, but we’re not sure they all really believe what we like because among them could be Sunni fundamentalists, who, if they seize power, could suppress all those minorities in Syria whom they don’t like.

The last time the Sunni fundamentalists in Syria tried to take over in 1982, then-President Hafez al-Assad, one of those minorities, definitely did not like it, and he had 20,000 of those Sunnis killed in one city called Hama, which they certainly didn’t like, so there is a lot of bad blood between all of them that could very likely come to the surface again, although some experts say this time it’s not like that because this time, and they could be right, the Syrian people want freedom for all. But, for now, we are being cautious. We’re not trying nearly as hard to get rid of the Syrian dictator as we are the Libyan one because the situation in Syria is just not as clear as we’d like and because Syria is a real game-changer. Libya implodes. Syria explodes.

Welcome to the Middle East of 2011! You want the truth about it? You can’t handle the truth. The truth is that it’s a dangerous, violent, hope-filled and potentially hugely positive or explosive mess — fraught with moral and political ambiguities. We have to build democracy in the Middle East we’ve got, not the one we want — and this is the one we’ve got.

That’s why I am proud of my president, really worried about him, and just praying that he’s lucky.

Unlike all of us in the armchairs, the president had to choose, and I found the way he spelled out his core argument on Monday sincere: “Some nations may be able to turn a blind eye to atrocities in other countries. The United States of America is different. And, as president, I refused to wait for the images of slaughter and mass graves before taking action.”

I am glad we have a president who sees America that way. That argument cannot just be shrugged off, especially when confronting a dictator like Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi. But, at the same time, I believe that it is naïve to think that we can be humanitarians only from the air — and now we just hand the situation off to NATO, as if it were Asean and we were not the backbone of the NATO military alliance, and we’re done.

I don’t know Libya, but my gut tells me that any kind of decent outcome there will require boots on the ground — either as military help for the rebels to oust Qaddafi as we want, or as post-Qaddafi peacekeepers and referees between tribes and factions to help with any transition to democracy. Those boots cannot be ours. We absolutely cannot afford it — whether in terms of money, manpower, energy or attention. But I am deeply dubious that our allies can or will handle it without us, either. And if the fight there turns ugly, or stalemates, people will be calling for our humanitarian help again. You bomb it, you own it.

Which is why, most of all, I hope President Obama is lucky. I hope Qaddafi’s regime collapses like a sand castle, that the Libyan opposition turns out to be decent and united and that they require just a bare minimum of international help to get on their feet. Then U.S. prestige will be enhanced and this humanitarian mission will have both saved lives and helped to lock another Arab state into the democratic camp.

Dear Lord, please make President Obama lucky.

    Looking for Luck in Libya, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/30/opinion/30friedman.html

 

 

 

 

 

Intelligence on Libya rebels shows "flickers" of Qaeda

 

Tue, Mar 29 2011
WASHINGTON | Tue Mar 29, 2011
6:42pm EDT
Reuters
By Missy Ryan and Susan Cornwell

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Intelligence on the rebels battling Libya's Muammar Gaddafi has shown "flickers" of al Qaeda or Hezbollah presence, NATO's operations commander said, but U.S. officials said there were no indications militant groups are playing a significant role in Libya.

"We are examining very closely the content, composition, the personalities, who are the leaders of these opposition forces," Admiral James Stavridis, NATO's supreme allied commander for Europe and commander of U.S. European Command, said in testimony to a U.S. Senate hearing on Tuesday.

But several national security officials quickly and firmly denied that al Qaeda or Hezbollah were significantly involved.

"If anyone thinks there are vast numbers of al-Qaeda terrorists running the rebel movement in Libya, then Churchill never smoked a cigar in his life," one of the officials said.

"No one's saying there isn't a relative smattering of bad guys in Libya. After all, there always have been goons in the country," the official told Reuters.

"But let's get real here. This is, at its core, an anti-Gaddafi uprising rooted in major opposition to a repressive regime that has brutalized its own people for decades."

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice agreed that any al Qaeda involvement with the rebels was limited.

Asked whether she had seen any evidence to support Stavridis' assessment, Rice told Fox News: "I would like to think I'm reading much of the same stuff and no."

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also made clear the wisps of information on al Qaeda and Hezbollah that Stavridis had alluded to were not based on hard intelligence.

"We do not have any specific information about specific individuals from any organization who are part of this, but of course, we're still getting to know those who are leading the Transitional National Council," she said in London after a conference on Libya.

Gaddafi's troops on Tuesday reversed the westward charge of rebel forces as world powers met in London more than a week after the United States and other nations launched a military campaign aimed at protecting Libyan civilians.

 

"SMALL NUMBERS"

"Think in terms of very small numbers of Libyan rebels being affiliated with al-Qaeda," a U.S. official familiar with internal government reporting told Reuters. "While there are some limited connections, don't think that the rebels are somehow being led by al Qaeda. That's just not the case."

Even as the rebels struggle against Gaddafi's better-armed, better-organized troops, Stavridis said the Libyan leader was likely to go if the coalition brought a range of military power to bear against him.

"If we work all the elements of power, we have a more than reasonable chance of Gaddafi leaving, because the entire international community is arrayed against him," he said.

Two national security officials and a former White House counterterrorism expert said they could not confirm, and were puzzled by, Stavridis' assertion that intelligence showed possible involvement of Hezbollah with Libyan rebels.

Juan Zarate, a former counterterrorism advisor on the National Security Council under President George W. Bush, said he had no information to confirm Hezbollah involvement and it would be "incongruous" with what U.S. experts generally understand to be the makeup of Libyan rebel forces.

"I would find it unlikely at this stage that we have hard and fast evidence" that these groups are involved in a significant way in Libya, Zarate told Reuters.

Senators' questions at the hearing about the make-up of the Libyan opposition reflected skepticism in Congress about the Obama administration's preparedness for a campaign that came together quickly after weeks of speculation about whether the United States would intervene.

It also underscores worries about who might take over in Libya if Gaddafi does go.

"It's premature to say what is our exit strategy until we have a little more clarity moving forward," Stavridis said.

The Libya campaign has also intensified fears in Congress about the high cost of military activities overseas.

The war in Afghanistan, for example, costs the United States around $9 billion a month. Stavridis said the Libya mission had cost "hundreds of millions of dollars" so far.

 

(Additional reporting by Mark Hosenball. Writing by Missy Ryan; editing by Christopher Wilson)

    Intelligence on Libya rebels shows "flickers" of Qaeda, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-usa-intelligence-idUSTRE72S43P20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Obama vows U.S. forces won't get bogged down in Libya

 

WASHINGTON | Tue Mar 29, 2011
6:30pm EDT
By Matt Spetalnick and Patricia Zengerle

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama told Americans on Monday that U.S. forces would not get bogged down trying to topple Muammar Gaddafi but stopped short of spelling out how the military campaign in Libya would end.

In a nationally televised address, Obama -- accused by many lawmakers of failing to explain the U.S. role in the Western air assault on Gaddafi's loyalists -- said he had no choice but to act to avoid "violence on a horrific scale" against the Libyan people.

"We had a unique ability to stop that violence, an international mandate for action, a broad coalition prepared to join us," he said in his fullest defense of his strategy since air strikes began 10 days ago. "We also had the ability to stop Gaddafi's forces in their tracks."

But Obama set strict limits on his willingness to apply U.S. military might, making clear Washington would not act as the world's policeman "wherever repression occurs," a sign he would avoid armed entanglement in other Middle East hotspots.

He pledged the United States would scale back its involvement to a "supporting role," with NATO taking over full command from American forces on Wednesday, but offered no prediction of when -- or how -- the mission would end.

Obama vowed to work with allies to hasten the day when Gaddafi leaves power but said he would not use force to remove him -- as former President George W. Bush did in ousting Saddam Hussein in the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Obama, elected in 2008, had strongly opposed the Iraq war.

"We went down that road in Iraq," Obama told military officers at the National Defense University in Washington. "That is not something we can afford to repeat in Libya."

He spoke on the eve of a 35-nation conference in London to tackle the crisis in the North African oil-exporting country and weigh political options for ending Gaddafi's 41-year rule.

 

COUNTERING CRITICISM

Obama sought to counter criticism at home that he lacked clear objectives or an exit strategy in launching the Libya mission, but he left unanswered the question of how long U.S. forces would be involved and how they would eventually leave.

Obama's challenge was to define the limited purpose and scope of the U.S. mission in Libya for Americans preoccupied with domestic economic concerns and weary of costly wars in two other Muslim countries, Iraq and Afghanistan.

"We will deny the regime arms, cut off its supply of cash, assist the opposition and work with other nations to hasten the day when Gaddafi leaves power," Obama said.

But he acknowledged "it may not happen overnight" and said Gaddafi may be able to cling to power. "Broadening our military mission to include regime change would be a mistake," he said.

Experts say failure to dislodge Gaddafi could lead to a bloody stalemate and require prolonged Western-led military action to protect civilians.

But Steven Cook of the Council on Foreign Relations think tank said coalition forces were trying to create an opportunity where Libyan rebels, who have made recent gains on the battlefield, "have at least a fighting chance to engage in their own regime change."

Obama's words were not enough to mollify Republican opponents who accuse him of failing to lead in global crises ranging from Middle East unrest to Japan's nuclear emergency.

"Americans still have no answer to the fundamental question: what does success in Libya look like?" said Brendan Buck, spokesman for House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner.

Obama is struggling to balance foreign policy challenges like Libya with his domestic priorities of jobs and the economy, considered crucial to his 2012 re-election chances.

Obama's prime-time speech came a day after NATO agreed to assume full responsibility for military operations in Libya,

The alliance's decision gave a boost to Obama's effort to show Americans he was making good on his commitment to limit U.S. military involvement. NATO will take charge of air strikes that have targeted Gaddafi's military infrastructure as well as a no-fly zone and an arms embargo.

Most polls show Americans divided over the Libya mission and believe on balance that the Obama administration and its allies do not have a clear goal in taking military action.

 

(Additional reporting by Alister Bull, Steve Holland, Arshad Mohammed and Susan Cornwell; Editing by David Storey and Todd Eastham)

    Obama vows U.S. forces won't get bogged down in Libya, R, 29.3.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-usa-idUSTRE72A6EC20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis: Outlines of "Obama doctrine" in sight, details fuzzy

 

WASHINGTON | Tue Mar 29, 2011
4:50pm EDT
By Matt Spetalnick

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama may have seized the initiative with his lofty defense of military action in Libya but he has left more questions than answers about his emerging "Obama doctrine" and what it means for other crises in the Middle East.

Embedded in Obama's televised response to critics of his Libya policy on Monday night was an attempt to set forth his rationale for intervening militarily in some conflicts but not in others.

Obama used his speech to outline part of a broader Middle East strategy that aides have been crafting for weeks to try to counter complaints that his administration has struggled to keep pace with turmoil sweeping the Arab world.

But he was short on specifics and failed to even mention Yemen, Syria or Bahrain, the latest hotspots where popular revolts threatening autocratic rulers could have major implications for U.S. policy.

"It's still a work in progress," said Stephen Grand, a Middle East expert at the Brookings Institution in Washington. "Obama is clearly trying to work out an approach that puts him on the right side of history."

While declaring Libya a "unique" case for limited use of U.S. military power to avert a potential massacre by Muammar Gaddafi's loyalists, Obama sought to stake out more of a middle ground on wider Middle East policy.

The message was that the United States supports protesters' democratic aspirations but will take military action only in concert with allies -- to uphold U.S. interests and deeply held values or where there was an overwhelming humanitarian need.

But, mindful of an American public occupied with domestic economic concerns and weary of wars in two Muslim countries, that was tempered by Obama's insistence that the United States would not act as the world's human rights policeman.

And his refusal to allow U.S. forces to seek "regime change" in Libya further underscored that his new doctrine carried strict limits.

 

DOCTRINE TESTED

Some analysts said Obama's nuanced approach could send mixed signals to an already troubled region and his speech quickly drew criticism from the left and the right.

Conservatives say Obama's reliance on multilateralism weakens U.S. global leadership. He has rejected the go-it-alone approach of his predecessor, George W. Bush, who was disdained internationally for the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq.

"The Obama doctrine is still full of chaos and questions," former Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin told Fox News. "U.S. interests can't just mean validating some kind of post-American theory of intervention where we wait for the Arab League and the United Nations to tell us 'Thumbs up, America, you can go now, you can act'."

Liberal lawmaker Dennis Kucinich chided Obama for justifying the decision to join the allied air campaign at least in part on Gaddafi's threats.

"Remember, that's what George Bush did. He said Iraq had weapons of mass destruction," Kucinich told MSNBC. "We've got to be careful about slipping into these wars."

Obama's emerging new policy is already facing a serious test in Yemen, Syria and Bahrain, each of which poses different challenges. What they have in common, however, is that the United States is monitoring events closely while avoiding any talk of a Libya-style military intervention.

Washington has relied so far on sharp prodding of Yemen's government, an ally against al Qaeda, for sweeping political reform and has all but acquiesced to Saudi intervention in Bahrain to help quell a Shi'ite revolt against Sunni rule.

Direct U.S. action seems even less likely in Syria, where the White House has denounced a government crackdown but is keeping hands-off in a country that has had a vexed relationship with Washington.

 

(Editing by Cynthia Osterman.)

    Analysis: Outlines of "Obama doctrine" in sight, details fuzzy, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-obama-mideast-doctrine-idUSTRE72S6LO20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Gaddafi troops reverse Libyan rebel charge

 

TRIPOLI | Tue Mar 29, 2011
9:42am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina and Michael Georgy

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Muammar Gaddafi's better armed and organised troops reversed the westward charge of Libyan rebels as world powers met in London on Tuesday to plot the country's future without the "brother leader."

Ahead of the conference, President Barack Obama told Americans in a televised address that U.S. forces would not get bogged down trying to topple Gaddafi, but he stopped short of spelling out how the military campaign in Libya would end.

The United States is scaling back to a "supporting role" to let NATO take full command from U.S. forces on Wednesday, but air strikes by U.S., French and British planes remain key to smashing Gaddafi's armor and facilitating rebel advances.

It took five days of allied air strikes to pulverize Libyan government tanks around the town of Ajdabiyah before Gaddafi's troops fled and the rebels rushed in and began their 300-km (200-mile), two-day dash across the desert to within 80 km (50 miles) of the Gaddafi loyalist stronghold of Sirte.

But the rebel pick-up truck cavalcade was first ambushed, then outflanked by Gaddafi's troops. The advance stopped and government forces retook the small town of Nawfaliyah, 120 km (75 miles) east of Sirte.

"The Gaddafi guys hit us with Grads (rockets) and they came round our flanks," Ashraf Mohammed, a 28-year-old rebel wearing a bandolier of bullets, told a Reuters reporter at the front.

 

REBELS ON THE RUN

The sporadic thud of heavy weapons could be heard as dozens of civilian cars sped eastwards away from the fight.

One man stopped his car to berate the rebels.

"Get yourselves up there and stop posing for pictures," he shouted, but met little response.

Later, a hail of machinegun and rocket fire hit rebel positions. As the onslaught began, rebels leapt behind sand dunes to fire back but gave up after a few minutes, jumped into their pick-up trucks and sped off back down the road to the town of Bin Jawad. Shells landed near the road as they retreated.

Without air strikes it appears the rebels are not able to hold ground or make advances. The battle around Sirte, Gaddafi's birthplace, will show if the rebels have reached their limit.

Reports that some Nawfaliyah residents had fought alongside government troops are an ominous sign for world powers hoping for a swift end to Gaddafi's 41-year rule.

Obama said he had no choice but to act to avoid "violence on a horrific scale" against the Libyan people.

Gaddafi accused Western powers of massacres of Libyan civilians in alliance with rebels he said were al Qaeda members.

"Stop your brutal and unjust attack on our country ... Hundreds of Libyans are being killed because of this bombardment. Massacres are being mercilessly committed against the Libyan people," he said in a letter to world leaders carried by Libya's official news agency.

"We are a people united behind the leadership of the revolution, facing the terrorism of al Qaeda on the one hand and on the other hand terrorism by NATO, which now directly supports al Qaeda," he said.

The rebels deny any al Qaeda links and on Tuesday promised free and fair elections if Gaddafi is forced from power.

More than 40 governments and international organisations met in London on Tuesday to set up a steering group, including Arab states, to provide political guidance for the response to the war and coordinate long-term support to Libya.

Both Britain and Italy suggested Gaddafi might be allowed to go into exile to bring a quick end to the six-week civil war, but the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice said there was no evidence the Libyan leader was prepared to leave.

 

NO REGIME CHANGE MISSION

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton met the opposition Libyan National Council envoy Mahmoud Jebril before the London talks. A senior U.S. official said the two could discuss releasing $33 billion in frozen Libyan assets to the opposition.

Such meetings also help Washington better understand the rebel leadership, its military forces and the problems they face, the official said, though Obama pledged once again that U.S. ground forces would not be deployed to help them out.

"We will deny the regime arms, cut off its supply of cash, assist the opposition and work with other nations to hasten the day when Gaddafi leaves power," Obama said, but the United States would not use force to topple him, as it had in the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq.

"To be blunt, we went down that road in Iraq," Obama said.

The United States though has not ruled out arming the rebels, ambassador Rice said.

"Over the long term, as the president said, there are other things that are at our disposal that perhaps will assist in speeding Gaddafi's exit," she told CBS television.

In western Libya, rebels and forces loyal to Gaddafi both claimed control over parts of Misrata and fighting appeared to persist in the fiercely contested city, Libya's third largest.

Gaddafi's forces launched another attempt to seize control of Misrata on Tuesday, said a rebel spokesman in the city which has been under siege for more than a month.

Government troops "tried an hour ago to get into the town through the eastern gate. The youths are trying to push them back. Fighting is still taking place now. Random bombardment is continuing," the spokesman, called Sami, told Reuters by telephone from the city. "Eight civilians were killed and several others wounded last night."

Another rebel spokesman, in Benghazi, said 124 civilians had been killed in the past nine days of fighting in Misrata, based on numbers obtained from hospitals in the city.

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan, Alexander Dziadosz, Edmund Blair, Maria Golovnina, Michael Georgy, Ibon Villelabeitia, Lamine Chikhi, Hamid Ould Ahmed, Marie-Louise Gumuchian, Andrew Quinn and David Brunnstrom; Writing by Jon Hemming; Editing by Giles Elgood)

    Gaddafi troops reverse Libyan rebel charge, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Mother "offered cash" if Libya woman changes story

 

LONDON | Tue Mar 29, 2011
12:01am EDT
Reuters

 

LONDON (Reuters) - The mother of a Libyan woman who said she had been raped by pro-government militiamen said she had been asked to convince her daughter to retract the allegations in return for her freedom and cash or a new home.

Eman al-Obaidi burst into a hotel full of foreign journalists in Tripoli on Saturday and told them, weeping, how she had been held for two days and raped by 15 militiamen loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

After being intimidated by security men and hotel staff, who also beat journalists trying to interview her in the restaurant of the hotel, she was bundled into a car and driven away.

Her allegations have not been independently verified. The government said on Sunday Obaidi had been released and she was with her family.

Her mother, Aisha Ahmad, told journalists she had been contacted by the authorities about her daughter and how she could be freed.

"Last night at 3, they called from Gaddafi's compound and asked me to convince my daughter Eman to change what she said, and we will set her free immediately and you can take anything you and your children would ask for," she said, according to Britain's Sky News, which broadcast her interview with an English translation late on Monday.

"Money, new home, just ask your daughter to change what she has said. I told my daughter, keep silent," she said, holding a picture of Obaidi to the camera.

It was not immediately clear when the interview was filmed.

Ahmad said Obaidi had been "mistreated by those criminals and cheaters, Gaddafi and his followers".

"Eman was kidnapped in front of the camera," she said.

"She was trying to appear to the world, she wanted to tell them what was happening in Misrata, in Benghazi and the east. She wanted to reveal that."

Wadad Omar, who said she was her cousin, said on Sunday that Obaidi was first arrested after taking part in a protest in the early days of the uprising in the western city of Zawiyah. The revolt erupted in mid-February.

Residents in Benghazi, bastion of the insurgency against Gaddafi, staged a demonstration in support of Obaidi on Sunday.

 

(Additional reporting by Karolina Tagaris; Writing by Alison Williams; Editing by Daniel Magnowski)

    Mother "offered cash" if Libya woman changes story, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-woman-mother-idUSTRE72S0LK20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Powers meet in UK to map path for Libya future

 

TRIPOLI/LONDON | Tue Mar 29, 2011
4:01am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina and Adrian Croft

 

TRIPOLI/LONDON (Reuters) - World powers meet on Thursday to try to lay the groundwork for a Libya without Muammar Gaddafi after President Barack Obama said U.S. forces would not get bogged down trying to topple the Libyan leader.

British Prime Minister David Cameron and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who led the drive for a muscular intervention in the conflict, called on Monday for Gaddafi to go and for his followers to abandon him before it was "too late".

"We call on all Libyans who believe that Gaddafi is leading Libya into a disaster to take the initiative now to organize a transition process," they said in a statement.

Emboldened by Western-led air strikes against Gaddafi's troops, rebels took the town of Nawfaliyah and pushed west toward Sirte, Gaddafi's home town and an important military base, in the sixth week of an uprising against his 41-year rule.

Rebels fired mortars and heavy machineguns in sporadic clashes with loyalist forces in the oil-producing state.

Further west, rebels and forces loyal to Gaddafi both claimed control over parts of Misrata and fighting appeared to persist in the fiercely contested third largest city.

Arab and Libyan media said late on Monday that coalition forces had bombed west and south of the capital Tripoli.

Libyan state television said a leather factory was struck when "colonial and crusader aggressors" bombed Surman, some 70 km (45 miles) west of Tripoli.

 

"SPLINTER"

The London meeting is expected to set up a high-level steering group, including Arab states, to provide political guidance for the international response to the crisis and coordinate long-term support to Libyans.

Britain has invited Mahmoud Jebril, a member of the rebel Libyan National Council, to London although he is not formally invited to the conference, a diplomatic source said.

Some 40 governments and international organizations will discuss stepping up humanitarian aid, and call for a political process to enable Libyans to choose their own future.

In a nationally televised speech, Obama said NATO would take over full command of military operations from the United States on Wednesday.

Obama vowed to work with allies to hasten Gaddafi's exit from power but said he would not use force to topple him -- as his predecessor President George W. Bush did in ousting Saddam Hussein in the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq.

"To be blunt, we went down that road in Iraq," Obama told an audience of military officers in Washington. "But regime change there took eight years, thousands of American and Iraqi lives, and nearly a trillion dollars. That is not something we can afford to repeat in Libya."

Broadening the Libya military mission to include regime change would be a mistake, Obama said, and "if we tried to overthrow Gaddafi by force, our coalition would splinter," making it likely U.S. ground troops would have to be deployed.

He did not specify how long U.S. forces would be involved or how they would eventually exit the conflict.

Obama's challenge was to define the limited purpose and scope of the U.S. mission in Libya for Americans preoccupied with domestic economic concerns and weary of costly wars in two other Muslim countries, Iraq and Afghanistan.

Going beyond the specifics of the U.N. resolution that mandated intervention could also risk losing international and Arab support.

Western-led air strikes began on March 19, two days after the U.N. Security Council authorized "all necessary measures" to protect civilians from Gaddafi's forces.

 

QATAR RECOGNITION

As the diplomatic activity increased ahead of the London conference, Italy proposed a deal including a ceasefire, exile for Gaddafi and dialogue between rebels and tribal leaders.

The rebel leadership has ruled out compromise with Gaddafi's followers.

"We have had a vision from the very beginning and the main ingredient of this vision is the downfall of the Gaddafi regime," spokesman Hafiz Ghoga told reporters in the rebel stronghold of Benghazi in eastern Libya.

Qatar became the first Arab country on Monday to recognize the rebels as the people's legitimate representative, in a move that may presage similar moves from other Gulf states. Libyan state television called the move "blatant interference."

Since the start of the Western-led bombing, the volunteer force of rebels has pressed half-way along the coast from its stronghold of Benghazi toward Tripoli and regained control of major oil terminals in the OPEC state.

The United States has given a green light to sales of crude oil from rebel-held territory, giving a potential boost to the rebels who would not be subject to U.S. sanctions.

But U.S. Vice Admiral Bill Gortney said their battlefield gains in recent days were tenuous.

While the U.S. military is not communicating officially with opposition forces, Gortney said, the United States was seeking to piece together a more complete picture of who they are and where they are positioned.

"We would like a much better understanding of the opposition," he said. "We're trying to fill in those knowledge gaps."

He said the United States had no confirmed report of any civilian casualty caused by coalition forces.

As the rebels pressed on in the east, Gaddafi's troops were patrolling an area near the center of Misrata after shelling the previously rebel-controlled western city for days. The government said it had "liberated" Misrata and declared a ceasefire there.

Gaddafi soldiers manned checkpoints and took up positions on rooftops. Some housefronts were smashed, smoke rose from several areas and gunfire rang out across the city.

Several civilians approached a group of journalists, some of them woman and children waving green flags. "Misrata is ours, there are still some bad guys in other parts, but Gaddafi is winning, the city is ours," resident Abduq Karim said.

Soldiers were manning checkpoints and green Libyan flags flapped in the wind. Militiamen fired AK-47 rifles defiantly into the air. "If they come to Sirte, we will defend our city," said Osama bin Nafaa, 32, a policeman.

 

(Additional reporting by Angus MacSwan, Alexander Dziadosz, Edmund Blair, Maria Golovnina, Michael Georgy, Ibon Villelabeitia, Lamine Chikhi, Mariam Karouny, Joseph Nasr, Marie-Louise Gumuchian, Steve Gutterman, Matt Spetalnick and Alister Bull; Writing by Alison Williams; Editing by Sanjeev Miglani)

    Powers meet in UK to map path for Libya future, R, 29.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110329

 

 

 

 

 

Arabs Will Be Free

 

March 28, 2011
The New York Times
By ROGER COHEN

 

LONDON — Three Middle Eastern countries have been conspicuous for their stability in the storm. They are Turkey, Lebanon and Israel. An odd mix, you might say, but they have in common that they are places where people vote.

Democracy is a messy all-or-nothing business. That’s why I love it. You can no more be a little bit democratic than a little bit pregnant.

Yes, citizens go to the polls in Turkey, Lebanon and Israel and no dictator gets 99.3 percent of the vote. They are lands of opportunity where money is being made and where facile generalizations, for all their popularity, miss the point. Turkey has not turned Islamist, Lebanon is not in the hands of Hezbollah, and Israel is still an open society.

All three countries, of course, are also wracked by division and imperfection; but then two great merits of democracy are that it finesses division and does not aspire to perfection.

Speaking of Hezbollah, remember all that alarm a couple of months back when a Hezbollah-backed businessman, Najib Mikati, emerged as prime minister? After that, Lebanon introduced the Libyan no-fly-zone resolution at the United Nations — a rare, if little noted, example of the United States and a Hezbollah-supported government in sync.

Talk to Hezbollah: That’s obvious. It’s no terrorizing monolith. Mikati is struggling with the give-and-take of Lebanese politics. Life goes on in the freewheeling way that has long drawn repressed, frustrated Arabs to Beirut.

Hezbollah is a political party with a militia. That’s a big problem. Israel’s ultra-Orthodox Shas party has an outsized influence over Israel because of coalition politics. That’s a problem. The Muslim Brotherhood will loom large in a free Egypt because it has an organizational head start. That may be a problem. Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party is a brilliant political machine with a ruthless bent. That’s a problem, too.

These are problems of different sizes. But give me all these problems so long as they present themselves within open (or opening) systems. They are far preferable to the cowed conformity common to the terrorized societies of the now doomed Arab Jurassic Park, where despots do their worst.

It’s over: Enough of the nameless graves that whisper of horror, enough of the 20th-century police states in the 21st-century. Yes, it’s over for Ben Ali and for Mubarak. It’s over for Qaddafi, yes it is. How far it’s over for the other Arab despots and autocrats, whether of the oxymoronic “republics” or the royals, will depend on how far they can get out in front of their citizens’ demand to be heard.

You see, you can’t do Hama any more. You can’t do the Iraqi marshes. Perhaps you can kill dozens, but not tens of thousands. These despots relied on the limitlessness of their terror. It had to be as absolute as their contempt for the law.

But now people know. They communicate through the clampdowns. They are Facebook-nimble. The despots gaze into their gilded mirrors and, to their horror, see not themselves but the people who will be silenced no longer. They wonder then if their own myriad agents can be trusted. They are caught in their own web. They flail; they have gone too far to turn back but cannot go forward.

Bashar al-Assad, the embattled Syrian president, was about to say something Sunday, before deciding not to. He was trained in west London as an eye doctor. He’d better stop thinking Hama — where his father murdered at least 10,000 — and start thinking Hammersmith.

Questions swirl. Who are the Libyan rebels? Who are the angry of Latakia? The Arab transitions will be long and bumpy — like those that brought representative government to Latin America and Central Europe and wide swathes of Asia — but now that fear has been overcome, they are irreversible.

Here’s who the protesters are: people like Asmaa Mahfouz, 26, the Egyptian woman who on Jan. 18 made a video urging citizens to go to Tahrir Square on Jan. 25 — the demonstration that would start the revolution. She said then: “We’ll go down and demand our rights, our fundamental human rights. I won’t even talk about any political rights. We just want our human rights and nothing else.” And she said people “don’t have to come to Tahrir Square, just go down anywhere and say it, that we are free human beings.” And: “This is enough!”

People are being born throughout the Middle East. They are discovering their capacity to change things, their inner “Basta!” That’s how the Arab spring began on Dec. 17 in the little town of Sidi Bouzid in Tunisia — with a fruit peddler’s “enough” to humiliation. In my end is my beginning.

Three months later the genie is not only out of the bottle, it’s shattered the bottle. I said of Libya in an earlier column: Be ruthless or stay out. So now the West is in, be ruthless. Arm the resurgent rebels. Incapacitate Qaddafi. Do everything short of putting troops on the ground. Qaddafi, as President Obama has said, “must leave.” So that Libya can be an Arab country that is imperfect but open.

    Arabs Will Be Free, NYT, 28.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/opinion/29iht-edcohen29.html

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Gives Its Air Power Expansive Role in Libya

 

March 28, 2011
The New York Times
By ERIC SCHMITT

 

WASHINGTON — Even as President Obama on Monday described a narrower role for the United States in a NATO-led operation in Libya, the American military has been carrying out an expansive and increasingly potent air campaign to compel the Libyan Army to turn against Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi.

When the mission was launched, it was largely seen as having a limited, humanitarian agenda: to keep Colonel Qaddafi from attacking his own people. But the White House, the Pentagon and their European allies have given it the most expansive possible interpretation, amounting to an all-out assault on Libya’s military.

A growing armada of coalition warplanes, armed with more precise information about the location and abilities of Libyan Army units than was known a week ago, have effectively provided the air cover the ragtag opposition has needed to stave off certain defeat in its de facto eastern capital, Benghazi.

Allied aircraft are not only dropping 500-pound bombs on Libyan troops, they are also using psychological operations to try to break their will to fight, broadcasting messages in Arabic and English, telling Libyan soldiers and sailors to abandon their posts and go back to their homes and families, and to defy Colonel Qaddafi’s orders.

The Obama administration has been reluctant to call the operation an actual war, and it has sought to emphasize the involvement of a dozen other countries, particularly Italy, Britain and France. In his speech on Monday night, Mr. Obama, as he has in the past, portrayed the mission as a limited one, and described the United States’ role as “supporting.”

But interviews in recent days offer a fuller picture of American involvement, and show that it is far deeper than discussed in public and more instrumental to the fight than was previously known.

From the air, the United States is supplying much more firepower than any other country. The allies have fired nearly 200 Tomahawk cruise missiles since the campaign started on March 19, all but 7 from the United States. The United States has flown about 370 attack missions, and its allied partners have flown a similar number, but the Americans have dropped 455 precision-guided munitions compared with 147 from other coalition members.

Besides taking part in the airstrikes, the American military is taking the lead role in gathering intelligence, intercepting Libyan radio transmissions, for instance, and using the information to orchestrate attacks against the Libyan forces on the ground. And over the weekend the Air Force quietly sent three of its most fearsome weapons to the operation.

The strategy for White House officials nervous that the Libya operation could drag on for weeks or months, even under a NATO banner, is to hit Libyan forces hard enough to force them to oust Colonel Qaddafi, a result that Mr. Obama has openly encouraged.

“Certainly, the implied though not stated goal here is that the Libyan Army will decide they’re fighting for a losing cause,” said Gen. John P. Jumper, a retired Air Force chief of staff. “You’re probably dealing with a force that may not be totally motivated to continue this for the long haul.”

Ten days into the assault, the officials said that Libya’s formidable integrated air defense has been largely obliterated, and that the operation was shifting to a new phase devised to put even more pressure on the country’s armored columns and ground troops.

For the Americans, six tank-killing A-10 Warthogs that fire laser-guided Maverick missiles or 30-millimeter cannons arrived on the scene this weekend. The United States also deployed two B-1B bombers, as well as two AC-130 gunships, lumbering aircraft that orbit over targets at roughly 15,000 feet, bristling with 40-millimeter and 105-millimeter cannons. The gunships’ weapons are so precise that they could operate against Libyan forces in cities, which so far have been off limits for fear of civilian casualties.

On Sunday, allied warships and submarines fired six Tomahawk cruise missiles at the headquarters of the Libyan 32nd Brigade, based in Tripoli and commanded by one of the Libyan leader’s sons, Khamis Qaddafi. Colonel Qaddafi has used the brigade in the past for internal repression.

“This is one of Qaddafi’s most loyal units and are also one of the most active in terms of attacking innocent people,” Vice Adm. William E. Gortney, the director of the military’s joint staff, told reporters on Monday.

Despite this increased pressure on Libya’s elite forces, Admiral Gortney insisted that the military was not going beyond the mandate of the United Nations resolution.

“I would definitely not say mission creep,” he said.

Over all, commanders say they are trying to create havoc among the Libyan forces, cutting off their logistic pipeline, severing their communications back to headquarters in Tripoli, and stoking fear within the ranks with round-the-clock attacks.

“You want to create confusion at the front, go in after command and control at the rear and supply lines in between and ammunition facilities anywhere that we can find them,” Admiral Gortney said Monday, describing the overall effect the campaign is trying to achieve.

On Sunday, an EC-130J Commando Solo aircraft broadcast messages in English and Arabic, to warn Libyan armed forces. “Libyan sailors, leave your ship immediately,” the message warned. “Leave your equipment and return to your family or your home. The Qaddafi regime forces are violating a United Nations resolution ordering the end of hostilities in your country.”

Air commanders provided an example of the role of American intelligence-gathering. Air Force eavesdropping planes intercept communications from Libyan troops and relay that information to a Global Hawk drone flying high overhead. The Global Hawk zooms in on the location of armored forces and determines rough coordinates. In some cases, the drones are the first to detect moving targets. The Global Hawk sends the coordinates to analysts at a ground station, who pass the data on to the command center for targeting. The command center beams the coordinates to an E-3 Sentry Awacs command-and-control plane, which in turn directs F-16 and Harrier jets and other warplanes to their targets.

“Our message to the regime troops is simple: Stop fighting, stop killing your own people, stop obeying the orders of Colonel Qaddafi,” Admiral Gortney said last week. “To the degree that you defy these demands, we will continue to hit you and make it more difficult for you to keep going.”

    U.S. Gives Its Air Power Expansive Role in Libya, NYT, 28.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/us/29military.html

 

 

 

 

 

President Obama on Libya

 

March 28, 2011
The New York Times

 

President Obama made the right, albeit belated, decision to join with allies and try to stop Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi from slaughtering thousands of Libyans. But he has been far too slow to explain that decision, or his long-term strategy, to Congress and the American people.

On Monday night, the president spoke to the nation and made a strong case for why America needed to intervene in this fight — and why that did not always mean it should intervene in others.

Mr. Obama said that the United States had a moral responsibility to stop “violence on a horrific scale,” as well as a unique international mandate and a broad coalition to act with. He said that failure to intervene could also have threatened the peaceful transitions in Egypt and Tunisia, as thousands of Libyan refugees poured across their borders, while other dictators would conclude that “violence is the best strategy to cling to power.”

Mr. Obama could report encouraging early progress on the military and diplomatic fronts. Washington and its allies have crippled or destroyed Colonel Qaddafi’s anti-aircraft defenses, peeled his troops back from the city of Benghazi — saving potentially thousands of lives — and allowed rebel forces to retake the offensive.

Just as encouragingly, this military effort that was galvanized internationally — the United Nations Security Council authorized “all necessary measures” to protect civilians in Libya — will soon be run internationally. Last weekend, the United States handed over responsibility for enforcing the no-flight zone to NATO. And the alliance is now preparing to take command of the entire mission, with the support of (still too few) Arab nations.

To his credit, Mr. Obama did not sugarcoat the difficulties ahead. While he suggested that his goal, ultimately, is to see Colonel Qaddafi gone, he also said that the air war was unlikely to accomplish that by itself.

Most important, he vowed that there would be no American ground troops in this fight. “If we tried to overthrow Qaddafi by force,” he said, “our coalition would splinter.” He said “regime change” in Iraq took eight years and cost thousands of American and Iraqi lives. “That is not something we can afford to repeat in Libya.”

Instead, he said the United States and its allies would work to increase the diplomatic and military pressure on Colonel Qaddafi and his cronies. A meeting on Tuesday with allies and members of the Libyan opposition is supposed to develop that strategy along with ways to help the rebels build alternate, and we hope humane and competent, governing structures. That needs to start quickly.

To hold their ground and protect endangered civilians, let alone advance, the rebels will likely need air support for quite some time. Mr. Obama was right not to promise a swift end to the air campaign. At the same time, he should not overestimate the patience of the American people or the weariness of the overstretched military.

And as Washington reduces its military role, others, inside and outside NATO, will need to increase theirs. Within NATO, unenthusiastic partners like Germany and Turkey need to at least stay out of the way even if they continue to stand aside from the fighting.

The president made the right choice to act, but this is a war of choice, not necessity. Presidents should not commit the military to battle without consulting Congress and explaining their reasons to the American people.

Fortunately, initial coalition military operations have gone well. Unfortunately, it is the nature of war that they will not always go well. Mr. Obama needs to work with Congress and keep the public fully informed. On Monday, he made an overdue start on that.

    President Obama on Libya, NYT, 28.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/opinion/29tue1.html

 

 

 

 

 

Obama Cites Limits of U.S. Role in Libya

 

March 28, 2011
he New York Times
By HELENE COOPER

 

WASHINGTON — President Obama defended the American-led military assault in Libya on Monday, saying it was in the national interest of the United States to stop a potential massacre that would have “stained the conscience of the world.”

In his first major address since ordering American airstrikes on the forces and artillery of Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi nine days ago, Mr. Obama emphasized that the United States's role in the assault would be limited, but said that America had the responsibility and the international backing to stop what he characterized as a looming genocide in the Libyan city of Benghazi.

“I refused to wait for the images of slaughter and mass graves before taking action,” Mr. Obama said.

At the same time, he said, directing American troops to forcibly remove Colonel Qaddafi from power would be a step too far, and would “splinter” the international coalition that has moved against the Libyan government.

“To be blunt, we went down that road in Iraq,” Mr. Obama said, adding that “regime change there took eight years, thousands of American and Iraqi lives, and nearly a trillion dollars. That is not something we can afford to repeat in Libya.”

Speaking in the early evening from the National Defense University in Washington, Mr. Obama said he had made good on his promise to limit American military involvement against Colonel Qaddafi’s forces — he did not use the word “war” to describe the action — and he laid out a more general philosophy for the use of force.

But while Mr. Obama described a narrower role for the United States in a NATO-led operation in Libya, the American military has been carrying out an expansive and increasingly potent air campaign to compel the Libyan Army to turn against Colonel Qaddafi.

The president said he was willing to act unilaterally to defend the nation and its core interests. But in other cases, he said, when the safety of Americans is not directly threatened but where action can be justified — in the case of genocide, humanitarian relief, regional security or economic interests — the United States should not act alone. His statements amounted both to a rationale for multilateralism and another critique of what he has all along characterized as the excessively unilateral tendencies of the administration of George W. Bush.

“In such cases, we should not be afraid to act — but the burden of action should not be America’s alone,” Mr. Obama said. “Because contrary to the claims of some, American leadership is not simply a matter of going it alone and bearing all of the burden ourselves. Real leadership creates the conditions and coalitions for others to step up as well; to work with allies and partners so that they bear their share of the burden and pay their share of the costs; and to see that the principles of justice and human dignity are upheld by all.”

Mr. Obama never mentioned many of the other nations going through upheaval across the Arab world, including Yemen, Syria and Bahrain, but left little doubt that his decision to send the United States military into action in Libya was the product of a confluence of particular circumstances and opportunities.

He did not say how the intervention in Libya would end, but said the United States and its allies would seek to drive Colonel Qaddafi from power by means other than military force if necessary.

Speaking for 28 minutes, Mr. Obama addressed a number of audiences. To the American public, he tried to offer reassurance that the United States was not getting involved in another open-ended commitment in a place that few Americans had spent much time thinking about. To the democracy protesters across the Middle East, he vowed that the United States would stand by them, even as he said that “progress will be uneven, and change will come differently in different countries,” a partial acknowledgment that complex relations between the United States and different Arab countries may make for different American responses in different countries.

“The United States will not be able to dictate the pace and scope of this change,” Mr. Obama said. But, he added, “I believe that this movement of change cannot be turned back, and that we must stand alongside those who believe in the same core principles that have guided us through many storms: our opposition to violence directed against one’s own citizens; our support for a set of universal rights, including the freedom for people to express themselves and choose their leaders; our support for governments that are ultimately responsive to the aspirations of the people.”

The president’s remarks were timed to coincide with the formal handover of control over the Libya campaign to NATO, scheduled for Wednesday. But in the wake of criticism from Congressional representatives from both sides of the aisle that Mr. Obama overstepped his authority in ordering the strikes without first getting Congressional approval — and the return of lawmakers to Washington after their spring recess — Mr. Obama had another audience: Congress.

Mr. Obama said that he authorized the military action only “after consulting the bipartisan leadership of Congress,” which White House officials have maintained is sufficient for what they have described as a limited military campaign.

Whether his comments will do much to calm the criticism on Capitol Hill remains unclear. Some liberals remain unsettled by the fact of another war in a Muslim country, initiated by a Democratic president who first came to national prominence as an opponent of the Iraq war, even as others backed the use of force to avert a potential massacre.

Some Republicans continued to criticize Mr. Obama for moving too slowly, while another strain of conservative thought argued that the intervention was overreach, a military action without a compelling national interest.

“Since the allied military campaign began in Libya, President Obama’s seeming uncertainty about the parameters and details of our engagement has only inspired a similar uncertainty among the American people,” Representative Tom Price, Republican of Georgia, said in a statement after the speech. “The president’s speech this evening offered very little to diminish those concerns.”

From the start, Mr. Obama has been caught between criticism that he did not do enough and that he had done too much. He continued to try to explain some seeming contradictions on Monday evening, including that while the United States wants Colonel Qaddafi out, it would not make his departure a goal of the military action.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, he said, will attend a meeting in London on Tuesday where the international community will try to come up with a separate plan to pressure Colonel Qaddafi to leave.

“I know that some Americans continue to have questions about our efforts in Libya,” Mr. Obama acknowledged. “Qaddafi has not yet stepped down from power, and until he does, Libya will remain dangerous.”

But, he said, “if we try to overthrow Qaddafi by force, our coalition would splinter. We would likely have to put U.S. troops on the ground, or risk killing many civilians from the air. The dangers to our men and women in uniform would be far greater. So would the costs and our share of the responsibility for what comes next.”

Aaron David Miller, a State Department Middle East peace negotiator during the Clinton administration, said Mr. Obama described a doctrine that, in essence, can be boiled to this: “If we can, if there’s a moral case, if we have allies, and if we can transition out and not get stuck, we’ll move to help. The Obama doctrine is the ‘hedge your bets and make sure you have a way out’ doctrine. He learned from Afghanistan and Iraq.”

White House officials said the American strikes in Libya did not set a precedent for military action in other Middle East trouble spots. “Obviously there are certain aspirations that are being voiced by each of these movements, but there’s no question that each of them is unique,” Deputy National Security Adviser Denis McDonough said on Monday. “We don’t get very hung up on this question of precedent.”

But the question of precedent is one that Mr. Obama is clearly still grappling with. “My fellow Americans, I know that at a time of upheaval overseas — when the news is filled with conflict and change — it can be tempting to turn away from the world,” he said.

But, his conclusion was ambiguous at best: “Let us look to the future with confidence and hope not only for our own country, but for all those yearning for freedom around the world.”

    Obama Cites Limits of U.S. Role in Libya, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/world/africa/29prexy.html

 

 

 

 

 

Analyst view: Obama sets out Libya strategy

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
8:57pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama set out his strategy for Libya in a televised address on Monday, seeking to refute criticism that he was slow to explain the scope of the mission and his exit plan.

Here is reaction from analysts to Obama's speech.

 

KENNETH POLLACK, MIDDLE EAST EXPERT, SABAN CENTER AT THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

"It was mostly intended for a domestic audience. That was always the target. I think it answered the bell for the domestic audience. I think internationally there was only ever so much it was going to do. I think it probably did convince people overseas that the president has a good grasp on why he decided to commit the United States to Libya, what he's seeking to do there, how he's planning to do it."

"I think that he did convince them 'Look you know, I'm not planning to make a bigger American investment in Libya but by the same token I'm also not intending to just simply leave Gaddafi in power forever.' And I think that those are ultimately the major issues."

MICHAEL WOOLFOLK, SENIOR CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BNY MELLON

"Certainly President Obama's words were positive but market players are skeptical as to whether or not Obama himself really has any significant impact on market behavior or market sentiment."

 

STEPHEN FLANAGAN, NATIONAL SECURITY EXPERT, CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

"He showed that in fact there was fairly deliberate and decisive action, that this took place over a matter of a few weeks as opposed to a year in the case of Bosnia."

"He made clear that this wasn't open-ended ... In the back of the speech the makings of an Obama doctrine on the use of force where he was saying that we will both defend our values and our interests..."

"I thought it was a very clear statement of how he views and prioritizes the defending of our core interests, our other interests and values when they are threatened."

"It is reminiscent a bit of a speech that President Clinton gave in the aftermath of the Kosovo crisis when people were saying 'Well why Kosovo and not elsewhere and is this an open-ended commitment?'"

 

WILLIAM LARKIN, FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO MANAGER, CABOT MONEY MANAGEMENT

"I think that people are going to look at the facts that come out of the Middle East. I think that my takeaway is that it was very clear to me that this was: 'Lesson learned by the American people.' Don't do it alone, the initial passing it over to NATO to do the heavy lifting, they're hopefully going to take care of this situation. It's progress. He's being very transparent about his tactics. All those are positives. The market is going to like that."

 

STEVEN COOK, MIDDLE EAST EXPERT, COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS

"He did what he set out to do, which is to explain why we're doing it. I thought he raised all the right points -- why Libya but not other places, which is the thing that's been dogging him most recently."

"It may not satisfy everybody but I think it was pretty effective -- the fact that Gaddafi was going to steamroll over Benghazi ... He raised the humanitarian issue very effectively."

"All in all it was good. The part that was a little bit shaky from my perspective was when he divorced the military objectives from the political objectives."

"Publicly they're not going to say that they're involved in regime change. But in essence what he said by leveling the playing field and allowing Libyans to take matters into their own hands, they're creating an opportunity where Libyans have at least a fighting chance to engage in their own regime change."

 

SHARON STARK, CHIEF FIXED INCOME STRATEGIST, STERNE AGEE

"Investors decided to flock to the safety of bonds when this all started and I think now that the president has said the immediate crisis is over you won't see that massive exodus out of equities into bonds. However, the situation is still fragile enough that it wouldn't take much for investors to do that again."

 

(Reporting by Tabassum Zakaria, Joanne Allen and Eric Walsh; Editing by John O'Callaghan)

    Analyst view: Obama sets out Libya strategy, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/29/us-libya-usa-view-idUSTRE72S04020110329

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The President delivers an address

at the National Defense University in Washington, DC

to update the American people on the situation in Libya,

including the actions we've taken with allies and partners

to protect the Libyan people

from the brutality of Moammar Qaddafi,

the transition to NATO command and control,

and our policy going forward.

President Obama's Speech on Libya

Monday, March 28, 2011

YouTube > White House

28 March 2011

YouTube

http://www.youtube.com/user/whitehouse#p/u/12/cVW6jBbD5Q8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Obama seeks to define Libya goals and exit plan

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
7:55pm EDT
Reuters
By Matt Spetalnick and Alister Bull

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama told Americans on Monday the United States would work with its allies to hasten the day when Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi leaves power, but would not use force to topple him.

In a nationally televised address, Obama -- accused by many lawmakers of failing to explain the U.S. role in the Western air campaign against Gaddafi's loyalists -- made the case for his decision to intervene militarily in the Libya conflict.

But he also underscored the limits of U.S. military action as he sought to counter criticism that he lacked clear objectives and a credible exit strategy in the conflict.

"I can report that we have stopped Gaddafi's deadly advance," Obama told military officers at the National Defense University in Washington, 10 days after ordering U.S. participation in Western-led air strikes.

"We will deny the regime arms, cut off its supply of cash, assist the opposition, and work with other nations to hasten the day when Gaddafi leaves power," Obama said.

But he added that "it may not happen overnight" and acknowledged that Gaddafi may be able to cling to power. "Broadening our military mission to include regime change would be a mistake," he said.

Obama spoke on the eve of a 35-nation conference in London to tackle the crisis in the North African oil-exporting country and weigh political options for ending Gaddafi's 41-year rule.

Obama's challenge was to define the limited purpose and scope of the U.S. mission in Libya for Americans preoccupied with domestic economic concerns and weary of costly wars in two other Muslim countries, Iraq and Afghanistan.

But his words may not be enough to mollify Republican opponents who say he has failed to lead in recent global crises ranging from Middle East unrest to Japan's nuclear emergency.

Obama's prime-time speech came a day after NATO agreed to assume full responsibility for military operations in Libya, ending uncertainty about who would take over the lead from U.S. forces. He said the handover would take place on Wednesday.

The alliance's decision gave a boost to Obama's effort to show Americans he was making good on his commitment to limit the U.S. military's involvement in Libya. NATO will take charge of air strikes that have targeted Gaddafi's military infrastructure as well as a no-fly zone and an arms embargo.

The White House also hopes Obama can score political points at home from gains on the battlefield by Libyan rebels emboldened by the Western air assault on Gaddafi's loyalists.

    Obama seeks to define Libya goals and exit plan, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-usa-idUSTRE72A6EC20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Obama, European leaders agree Gaddafi should leave

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
7:14pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama and his British, French and German counterparts agreed on Monday that Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi has lost the legitimacy to rule and should leave power, the White House said.

Obama also said in a videoconference with French President Nicolas Sarkozy, British Prime Minister David Cameron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel that the United States will provide supporting capabilities to the coalition effort in Libya, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said in a statement.

 

(Reporting by Patricia Zengerle, editing by Will Dunham)

    Obama, European leaders agree Gaddafi should leave, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-usa-call-idUSTRE72R70H20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Israel eases steps to revoke citizenship

 

JERUSALEM | Mon Mar 28, 2011
6:07pm EDT
By Allyn Fisher-Ilan

 

JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Israel passed a law on Monday that eases the process of revoking citizenship in a step denounced as a move to threaten primarily its Arab minority.

The amendment to a so-called "Citizenship Law" was the latest in a list of parliamentary measures taken this past month that civil rights activists denounce as undemocratic but Israeli rightists see as essential to the Jewish state's defense.

The measure, which passed by a vote of 37 to 11 after a stormy debate, empowers Israeli judges to deny citizenship privileges to anyone convicted of espionage or committing violence with nationalist motives.

An official explanatory text said that the law was intended to "expand the possibility of denying citizenship and empowers the court that convicts someone of crimes of acts of terror," espionage or treason to be stripped of citizenship.

Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, whose ultra-nationalist party sponsored the measure, proclaimed victory after the vote, saying he had fulfilled a pledge to voters to crack down on any "citizen who sides with the enemy."

Israel's Association for Civil Rights issued a statement in protest saying that "in a democracy you don't deny citizenship" and that the measure sends a "humiliating and discriminatory message that citizenship for Israeli Arabs is not automatic."

Israel has seldom revoked citizenship privileges in the past, and the measure's passage now seemed symbolic of how increasingly Israeli rightists see the nation's Arabs as well as leftist critics as a threat to their embattled country's future.

Israeli Arabs, who make up about a fifth of Israel's population, are descendants of Palestinians who remained in what is now Israel when hundreds of thousands were driven away or fled in a 1948 war over Israel's establishment.

Unlike Palestinians living in territory Israel captured in a 1967 war, Israeli Arabs are fully enfranchised though many complain of discrimination. A small number of them have been charged with crimes linked to Palestinian militancy.

 

"DEMOGRAPHIC WAR"

Arab lawmakers, who number about a dozen in Israel's 120-member Knesset, gave angry speeches against the measure.

"This is another law intended to wage demographic war against us," Hanna Sweid, of the Democratic Movement for Change, said, referring to those Israeli ultra-nationalists who have voiced fears of Jews being outnumbered by Arabs in the future.

Punctuating the debate was an argument between right-wing lawmaker Anastasia Michaeli and Arab legislator Afa Aghbaria who called her a "shiksa," a Yiddish word for a non-Jewish woman -- challenging her Jewish credentials which entitled her to automatic Israeli citizenship.

Michaeli, a Russian immigrant, is a convert to Judaism.

Israel's parliament has passed and debated a list of measures denounced as undemocratic and anti-Arab this month by civic rights campaigners.

A law passed a week ago would penalize those engaging in public denunciations of Israel's founding as a "nakba," the Arabic word for catastrophe.

Yet another permits small communities to exclude anyone seen as unsuitable from their midst, including Arabs who constitute a majority in some of the regions where the law applies.

A proposal to investigate funding for left-wing groups was shelved, though, after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stepped in, answering critics who called it a blow to free speech.

Also last week, ultra-nationalist lawmaker Danny Danon held a hearing to upbraid the Jewish-American "J-Street," saying the group, which critises Jewish settlement-building in occupied land, should be shunned as "pro-Palestinian, not pro-Israeli."

David Gilo, a J-Street leader, rejected the charge. "We are Zionists and care about Israel," Gilo told the Knesset panel.

 

(Editing by Mark Heinrich)

    Israel eases steps to revoke citizenship, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-israel-parliament-arabs-idUSTRE72R6OH20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Bahrain opposition says 250 detained, 44 missing

 

DUBAI | Mon Mar 28, 2011
2:26pm EDT
Reuters

 

DUBAI (Reuters) - Bahrain's leading Shi'ite opposition party Wefaq said on Monday 250 people have been detained and 44 others went missing since a security crackdown crushed weeks of protests, more than double last week's figures.

Earlier this month, Bahrain's Sunni rulers, the al-Khalifa family, imposed martial law and called in troops from fellow Sunni-ruled Gulf neighbors, including top oil exporter Saudi Arabia, to quell weeks of unrest during pro-democracy protests led by mostly Shi'ite demonstrators.

Separately, military prosecutors banned media from reporting about suspects and cases linked to the martial law, state news agency BNA reported on Monday.

The severity of the crackdown, which banned all public gatherings and spread masked security forces across the city to man checkpoints, stunned Bahrain's majority Shi'ites and angered the region's non-Arab Shi'ite power Iran.

Wefaq said many Bahrainis, mostly Shi'ites, were being arrested at checkpoints or in house raids. In other cases, family members report that relatives simply do not return home, Wefaq member Mattar Ibrahim Mattar told Reuters by telephone.

"We have around 250 confirmed arrested and 44 who are missing, though that number fluctuates when people reappear after hiding from police," said Mattar, a parliamentarian before Wefaq resigned over the use of force against protesters.

"Just today and yesterday, we got calls from 35 families saying they lost contact with their relatives when they passed through a checkpoint," Mattar said. "We don't know what's happened to them, authorities won't say. In these conditions, we actually have to hope they were arrested."

Bahraini officials were not immediately available to comment on Wefaq's estimated number of those missing or arrested.

More than 60 percent of Bahrainis are Shi'ites and most are calling for a constitutional monarchy, but demands by hardliners for the overthrow of the monarchy have alarmed minority Sunnis, who fear unrest serves Iran, just across Gulf waters.

Wefaq says most of those who were detained or went missing were not activists, though many political leaders were arrested in the days immediately following the March 16 crackdown.

A few of those who went missing turned up dead last week.

 

(Reporting by Erika Solomon; Editing by Louise Ireland)

    Bahrain opposition says 250 detained, 44 missing, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-bahrain-arrests-idUSTRE72R41B20110328

 

 

 

 

 

U.S.: Libyan rebel oil sales must avoid Gaddafi firms

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
12:54pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Crude oil sales by Libyan rebels would not be subject to U.S. sanctions if they are completed outside of the National Oil Corp or any other entity connected to Muammar Gaddafi's regime, a Treasury Department official said on Monday.

The rebels, who regained control of a number of oil fields and terminals in eastern Libya over the weekend, would have to establish payment systems that do not utilize Libya's central bank or involve any other government entity, the official told Reuters.

"The rebels are not part of the government of Libya. They are not subject to the sanctions," the official said.

The Treasury on February 25 banned U.S. transactions with Libya's state oil producer, the central bank and other state entities in an effort to cut off revenues to Gaddafi's regime.

It later put another 14 NOC subsidiaries on its blacklist, which also seeks to freeze any Gaddafi regime assets under U.S. jurisdiction.

With the backing of Western air strikes, Libyan rebels trying to overthrow Gaddafi have retaken the main oil terminal cities in eastern Libya, including Es Sider, Ras Lanuf, Brega, Zueitina and Tobruk. They were advancing toward Gaddafi's hometown of Sirte on Monday.

Essentially, the rebels would have to establish separate, clear control of oil fields and terminal facilities and demonstrate that no revenues are flowing to the Gaddafi regime, the Treasury official said.

The official declined to comment on a Libyan plan announced on Sunday that would have Gulf oil producer Qatar market crude produced from eastern Libyan fields that are no longer under Gaddafi's control.

Ali Tarhouni, who is in charge of economic, financial and oil matters for the rebels, said output from the east Libya oil fields under rebel control was running at about 100,000 to 130,000 barrels per day. Prior to the political unrest, Libya was producing about 1.6 million barrels per day, or almost 2 percent of world output.

The official emphasized that the Treasury has not altered any of the sanctions on Gaddafi's regime, which involve freezes on some $32 billion in assets. But the sanctions do not apply to Libyan entities that are outside of the government and outside of Gaddafi's control.

 

(Reporting by David Lawder; Editing by Leslie Adler)

    U.S.: Libyan rebel oil sales must avoid Gaddafi firms, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-oil-treasury-idUSTRE72R3UU20110328

 

 

 

 

 

White House urges Syria respect rights of demonstrators

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
11:56am EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States expects the Syrian government to respect the rights of Syrians to demonstrate peacefully, Denis McDonough, President Barack Obama's deputy national security adviser, said on Monday.

 

(Reporting by Steve Holland, Editing by Sandra Maler)

    White House urges Syria respect rights of demonstrators, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-syria-usa-idUSTRE72Q1X920110328

 

 

 

 

 

Reuters journalists freed in Syria

 

BEIRUT | Mon Mar 28, 2011
10:48am EDT
Reuters

 

BEIRUT (Reuters) - Two Reuters journalists were released by Syrian authorities on Monday, two days after they were detained in Damascus.

Television producer Ayat Basma and cameraman Ezzat Baltaji returned to their home base in Lebanon and said they were well.

"Reuters is concerned that its journalists were detained and held incommunicado for so long. We are delighted by their release and look forward to welcoming Ayat and Ezzat back," Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler said.

"We would like to thank everyone who helped us resolve the issue."

Basma and Baltaji, both Beirut-based Lebanese nationals, traveled to neighboring Syria on Thursday. Mass protests there over the last two weeks have posed the biggest challenge to President Bashar al-Assad's 11-year rule.

A Syrian official said the journalists were detained and questioned because they did not have a permit to work in Syria and had filmed "in an area where filming is not permitted."

They had last contacted colleagues on Saturday evening and their whereabouts had been unclear until shortly before they were released on Monday.

Basma, who has also reported from Tunisia, Egypt and Iraq, has been with Reuters since February 2007. Baltaji has worked for the company since April 2008.

On Friday Syrian authorities withdrew the accreditation of a Reuters foreign correspondent based in Damascus, saying he filed "unprofessional and false" coverage of events in Syria.

Reuters said it stood by its coverage.

 

(Editing by Alastair Macdonald)

    Reuters journalists freed in Syria, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-syria-reuters-idUSTRE72R3U920110328

 

 

 

 

 

Egypt confirms to hold national election in September

 

CAIRO | Mon Mar 28, 2011
10:23am EDT
By Marwa Awad

 

CAIRO (Reuters) - Egypt will hold a parliamentary election in September, its military rulers said on Monday, setting a date that analysts said would suit well-organised Islamists and remnants of former leader Hosni Mubarak's party.

The ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces said emergency laws that have helped crush political life for decades would be lifted before elections, but did not say when, and approved a law easing restrictions on political party formation.

"It is a challenge for the new forces that came up as a result of the revolution," said Mustapha al-Sayyid, a political scientist, referring to the timetable for elections. "This period is relatively short for these parties."

Many secular reform groups have been calling on the military, which has governed since Mubarak was deposed on February 11, to extend the transitional period to allow political life to recover from decades of oppression.

The Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist group formally banned under Mubarak, has emerged as the country's best organised political force. Other fledgling groups are trying to organize.

"Parliamentary elections will be in September," said Mamdouh Shaheen, a member of the ruling military council. A date for a presidential election, which will follow the legislative polls, had yet to be set, he added in a news conference.

The elections are major milestones on the path set by the military in a transition that will end with the army relinquishing power to a civilian, elected government.

"The time is short but we will work with all our capacities to take part," said Abou Elela Mady, leader of the recently licensed Wasat Party (Center Party). "It doesn't give us a full opportunity but it's a good start."

The Brotherhood has voiced support for quick elections. But it has sought to reassure Egyptians worried about its relative strength by saying it will not seek the presidency or a parliamentary majority.

 

PARTIES "NEED YEARS, NOT MONTHS"

The Islamist group and other reformists are discussing the idea of entering the legislative election in an alliance to produce a "revolutionary majority" that will take the lead in drafting a new constitution once the parliament is elected.

The military suspended the constitution and dissolved parliament after Mubarak stepped down. Shaheen said the army would issue a constitutional decree that will provide a legal basis for its rule in the coming days.

The military council said the state of emergency which has been in force since the assassination of President Anwar Sadat in 1981 would also be lifted before any elections were held.

"We have said before that parliamentary or presidential polls will not be held while emergency law is still in force," Shaheen said.

The military council also approved a law that will ease restrictions on the formation of political parties.

Under the new law, Shaheen said new parties would need the approval of 5,000 members from at least 10 of Egypt's 29 provinces, increasing the number of signatures from 1,000 outlined in a draft law approved by cabinet last week.

The Brotherhood is one of the groups expected to now begin steps toward forming a political party.

A plethora of new parties are expected to apply for an official license from a committee formerly headed by a leading figure in Mubarak's party. Under the new law, it will be headed by a judge.

"The September date is not too soon," said Amr Hashem of the Al Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies.

"The argument that parties will need more time to prepare is wanting. Parties will need years, not months, so any delay we are talking about now is not going to make that much of a difference," he said.

 

(Additional reporting by Dina Zayed and Tom Perry; Writing by Tom Perry; Editing by Louise Ireland)

    Egypt confirms to hold national election in September, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-egypt-election-idUSTRE72R1OT20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan government announces ceasefire in Misrata

 

RABAT | Mon Mar 28, 2011
10:14am EDT
Reuters

 

RABAT (Reuters) - Libya's Foreign Ministry declared a ceasefire in Misrata on Monday, the Libyan news agency said, referring to the western town where rebels earlier said government forces gained control of part of the city.

"The Foreign Ministry ... announces that anti-terrorism units have stopped firing at the armed terrorist groups that have been terrorizing," the Jana agency quoted the ministry as saying.

"The city of Misrata now enjoys security and tranquility and public services have started to recover their ability to provide customary services to all citizens."

"The Foreign Ministry thus emphasizes Libya's commitment to the ceasefire: it stands."

 

(Reporting by Souhail Karam, writing by Adam Tanner)

    Libyan government announces ceasefire in Misrata, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-misrata-ceasefire-idUSTRE72R3G720110328

 

 

 

 

 

Rebels advance on eve of Libya crisis talks

 

BIN JAWAD, Libya | Mon Mar 28, 2011
10:13am EDT
By Angus MacSwan

 

BIN JAWAD, Libya (Reuters) - Rebels advanced toward the birthplace of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi on Monday, streaming west along the main coastal road in pick-up trucks mounted with machineguns.

Russia criticized the Western-led air strikes that have turned the tide of Libya's conflict, saying these amounted to taking sides in a civil war and breached the terms of a United Nations Security Council resolution.

On the eve of 35-nation talks in London, Italy proposed a political deal to end the Libya crisis, including a quick ceasefire, exile for Gaddafi and dialogue between rebels and tribal leaders.

Emboldened by the Western-led air strikes against Gaddafi's forces, the rebels have quickly reversed earlier losses and regained control of all the main oil terminals in the east of the OPEC member country.

"We want to go to Sirte today. I don't know if it will happen," said 25-year-old rebel fighter Marjai Agouri as he waited with 100 others outside Bin Jawad with three multiple rocket launchers, six anti-aircraft guns and around a dozen pick-up trucks with machineguns mounted on them.

But the rapid advance is stretching rebel supply lines.

"We have a serious problem with petrol," said a volunteer fighter waiting to fill his vehicle in the oil town of Ras Lanuf.

Al Jazeera said the rebels had seized the town of Nawfaliyah from forces loyal to Gaddafi, extending their advance westwards toward his hometown of Sirte, about 120 km (75 miles) away.

However a Reuters correspondent who was about 15 km (10 miles) west of Bin Jawad on the road to Nawfaliyah heard a sustained bombardment on the road ahead.

"This is the frontline. The army has stopped over there, we are stopping here," Mohammed al-Turki, 21, a fighter at a rebel checkpoint, told Reuters, pointing to the road ahead where the sounds of blasts were coming from.

Western-led air strikes began on March 19, two days after the U.N. Security Council authorized "all necessary measures" to protect civilians from Gaddafi's forces. But since the outset, the mission has faced questions about its scope and aims, including the extent to which it will actively back the rebel side and whether it might target Gaddafi himself.

Russia, which abstained in the U.N. vote, said Western attacks on Gaddafi's forces amounted to taking sides with the rebels.

"We consider that intervention by the coalition in what is essentially an internal civil war is not sanctioned by the U.N. Security Council resolution," Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told a news conference.

Russian oil company Tatneft is expected to book $100 million of losses on capital expenditure in Libya as a result of the conflict, a company source told Reuters.

NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen told the BBC: "We are there to protect civilians -- no more, no less." France, which dropped the first bombs of the campaign nine days ago, said the coalition was strictly complying with U.N. terms.

Qatar became the first Arab country to recognize the rebels -- now in the sixth week of their uprising against Gaddafi's 41-year rule -- as the sole legitimate representative of the Libyan people. [nLDE72R0XH]

Contradicting a rebel claim to have captured Sirte, Reuters correspondent Michael Georgy reported from the city that the situation was normal. He had seen some police and military, but no signs of any fighting.

Soldiers were manning checkpoints and green Libyan flags flapped in the wind. Militiamen fired AK-47 rifles defiantly into the air. "If they come to Sirte, we will defend our city," said Osama bin Nafaa, 32, a policeman.

As Gaddafi's hometown and an important military base, Sirte -- about half-way along the coast from the rebel stronghold of Benghazi to Tripoli -- has great symbolic and strategic value. If it fell, the rebels would gain a psychological boost and the road toward the capital would lie open.

As the rebels pressed forward in the east, they reported attacks by Gaddafi's forces in the west.

Gaddafi loyalists now control part of Misrata, the country's third largest city, a rebel spokesman said. The government in Tripoli said it had "liberated" Misrata from rebels.

A rebel spokesman in another western town, Zintan, said forces loyal to Gaddafi bombarded the town with rockets early on Monday, Al Jazeera reported.

The Defense Ministry in London said British Tornado aircraft attacked and destroyed Libyan government ammunition bunkers in the Sabha area of Libya's southern desert in the early hours of Monday.

Libya's state news agency Jana said the raids caused several casualties.

 

CHANGE OF COMMAND

On Sunday, NATO agreed to take full command of military operations in Libya after a week of heated negotiations. The United States, which led the initial phase, had sought to scale back its role in another Muslim country after the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

An alliance spokeswoman said on Monday the transition would take a couple of days.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Western air strikes had "eliminated" Gaddafi's ability to move his heavy weapons. He also raised the possibility that Gaddafi's government could splinter and said an international conference in London on Tuesday would discuss political strategies to help bring an end to his rule.

Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini told reporters he had discussed Rome's proposals for a political deal on Libya with Germany, France and Sweden and expected to do so with Turkey later on Monday, ahead of Tuesday's 35-nation talks.

He said an African country could offer Gaddafi asylum, and ruled out that the Libyan leader would remain in power.

"Gaddafi must understand that it would be an act of courage to say: 'I understand that I have to go'," Frattini added. "We hope that the African Union can find a valid proposal."

Libya accused NATO of "terrorizing" and killing its people as part of a global plot to humiliate and weaken it.

The government says Western-led air attacks have killed more than 100 civilians, a charge denied by the coalition which says it is protecting civilians from Gaddafi's forces and targeting only military sites to enforce a no-fly zone.

 

(Additional reporting by Alexander Dziadosz, Edmund Blair, Maria Golovnina, Michael Georgy, Ibon Villelabeitia, Tom Pfeiffer, Lamine Chikhi, Mariam Karouny, Joseph Nasr, Marie-Louise Gumuchian and Steve Gutterman; Writing by Mark Trevelyan; Editing by Giles Elgood)

    Rebels advance on eve of Libya crisis talks, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Syrian forces fire to disperse Deraa protest

 

DAMASCUS | Mon Mar 28, 2011
9:47am EDT
Reuters

 

DAMASCUS (Reuters) - Syrian forces opened fire to disperse hundreds of protesters in Deraa calling for an end to emergency laws on Monday, but demonstrators regrouped despite a heavy troop deployment, a witness said.

At least 61 people have been killed in 10 days of anti-government protests in the southern city, posing the most serious challenge to President Bashar al-Assad's rule.

Assad has yet to respond to the demonstrations, which have spread to the port city of Latakia and Hama, but Vice President Farouq al-Shara said Assad would announce important decisions in the next 48 hours.

The demonstrators in Deraa had converged on a main square chanting: "We want dignity and freedom" and "No to emergency laws", the witness said. He said security forces fired in the air for several minutes, but protesters returned when they stopped.

Security forces had in recent days reduced their presence in the poor, mostly Sunni city, but residents said on Monday they had returned in strength.

"(Security forces) are pointing their machine guns at any gatherings of people in the area near the mosque," said a trader, referring to the Omari Mosque which has been a focal point of demonstrations in the city.

Abu Tamam, a Deraa resident whose house overlooks the mosque, said soldiers and central security forces had a presence "almost every meter". Another resident from the Jawabra tribe said snipers had repositioned on many key buildings.

"No one dares to move," he said, speaking before Monday's demonstration began.

Such demonstrations would have been unthinkable a couple of months ago in Syria, where the Baath Party has been in power for nearly 50 years but now faces the wave of Arab revolutionary sentiment which has toppled leaders in Egypt and Tunisia.

"IMPORTANT DECISIONS"

Vice President Shara said Assad would announce important decisions that will "please the Syrian people" in the next two days, according to Lebanese Hezbollah's al-Manar television. Syria has close links to Shi'ite Hezbollah and Shi'ite Iran.

Assad, 45, sent in troops to the key port city of Latakia on Saturday, signaling the government's growing alarm about the ability of security forces to keep order there.

The government has said 12 people were killed in clashes between "armed elements" -- whom they blame for the violence -- citizens and security forces. Rights activists have said at least six people had been killed in two days of clashes.

State television showed on Sunday deserted streets in Latakia, littered with rubble and broken glass and two burned-out, gutted buses. Latakia is inhabited by a potentially volatile mix of Sunni Muslims, Christians and the minority Alawites who constitute Assad's core support.

Assad has pledged to look into granting greater political and media freedoms but this has failed to dampen the protest movement now in its 11th day.

In an attempt to placate protesters, authorities have freed 260 mostly Islamist prisoners. They also released political activist Diana Jawabra and 15 others arrested for taking part in a silent protest.

 

(Writing by Yara Bayoumy in Beirut; Editing by Jon Hemming)

    Syrian forces fire to disperse Deraa protest, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-syria-idUSTRE72N2MC20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Obama faces challenge of defining Libya strategy

 

WASHINGTON | Mon Mar 28, 2011
8:23am EDT
By Matt Spetalnick

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama faces the challenge on Monday of convincing Americans he has clear military aims and a U.S. exit strategy in the Libya conflict as he seeks to counter growing congressional criticism.

In a high-stakes televised address, Obama -- accused by many lawmakers of failing to explain the U.S. role in the Western air campaign against Libya's Muammar Gaddafi -- will try to define the mission's purpose and scope.

His task was made easier when NATO agreed on Sunday to assume full responsibility for military operations in Libya, ending uncertainty about who would lead the allied effort.

Obama is expected to hail the alliance's decision as proof he is making good on his pledge that the United States -- with its forces entangled in Iraq and Afghanistan -- will play only a limited role in a war in a third Muslim country. Rebel gains on the battlefield in Libya could also give him a boost.

But Obama still must reassure an American public preoccupied with domestic economic concerns that intervention in Libya serves U.S. national interests and also overcome doubts that he has a clear idea of an end game.

"I know how concerned people are, and obviously the president will speak to the country Monday night to answer a lot of those concerns," U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told CBS News' "Face the Nation."

Coalition allies will also be listening closely. Obama's speech, scheduled for 7:30 p.m. EDT comes just one day before a high-level conference in London billed as a discussion of political strategies to end Gaddafi's 41-year authoritarian rule of his oil-exporting North African nation.

 

CRITICISM

Obama's address to the American people marks his boldest move to seize back control of the Libya debate in Washington.

Republicans have been the most outspoken in their complaints that he has failed to communicate thoroughly the mission's goals, and some have chided him for not seeking congressional approval. While most fellow Democrats are still backing him, some see a lack of a coherent exit plan.

"This policy has been characterized by confusion, indecision and delay," Republican Senator John McCain told Fox News on Sunday. "It's no wonder that Americans are confused as to exactly what our policy is because on one hand they say it's humanitarian, on the other hand they say Gaddafi must go."

White House officials defend Obama's cautious approach as necessary to forge a coalition, including Arab support, and deny any failure to articulate U.S. objectives.

Obama has said the purpose of the U.N.-approved military action was to protect civilians, not to oust Gaddafi. However, he has made no secret of his desire to see Gaddafi go.

What remains unclear, however, is what happens if Gaddafi stays in power despite a no-fly zone and air strikes.

Obama has yet to address that scenario -- aside from reiterating that U.S. ground forces would not be used -- and it was not known how far he would go in his speech at the military's National Defense University in Washington.

Though allied bombing of Gaddafi's forces has helped Libya's rebel army reverse the military losses of their five-week-old insurgency, analysts see the risk of a bloody stalemate that could prolong Western military support.

Despite that, Secretary of Defense Bob Gates told NBC's "Meet the Press" the United States would begin reducing its role in the Libya no-fly zone in the next week or so.

In an admission that could provide further ammunition for Obama's critics, Gates said Libya was not in itself a vital U.S. interest but defended the intervention on humanitarian grounds and because of the threat of a Libyan refugee crisis further destabilizing neighboring Egypt and Tunisia.

Recent polls show more Americans backing Obama's use of air power in Libya than those opposing it. But experts say unless the United States finds a quick exit, Obama could see Libya emerge as an issue in his 2012 re-election campaign.

Obama is struggling to balance his handling of world crises with his domestic priorities of jobs and the economy, considered crucial to his re-election chances.

 

(Additional reporting by Arshad Mohammed; Editing by Eric Walsh)

    Obama faces challenge of defining Libya strategy, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-libya-usa-idUSTRE72A6EC20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Army says Mubarak, family forced to stay in Egypt

 

CAIRO | Mon Mar 28, 2011
8:18am EDT
Reuters

 

CAIRO (Reuters) - Former Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and his family are not allowed to leave the country, the military council to which he handed power on February 11 said on Monday.

The military denied reports that Mubarak had left to Saudi Arabia, adding: "He and his family are subject to forced residency in Egypt."

 

(Writing by Tom Perry)

    Army says Mubarak, family forced to stay in Egypt, R, 28.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/28/us-egypt-mubarak-idUSTRE72R2KB20110328

 

 

 

 

 

Syria Tries to Ease Deep Political Crisis

 

March 27, 2011
The New York Times
By MICHAEL SLACKMAN

 

CAIRO — The Syrian government tried to ease a grave political crisis on Sunday by blaming armed gangs for killing 12 people in the northwestern port city of Latakia in previous days and promising to soon lift a draconian emergency law that allows the government to detain people without charges.

Despite an announcement that the president, Bashar al-Assad, would address the nation on Sunday night, he stayed out of sight, as he has during more than a week of unrest that is threatening his own 11-year presidency and more than 40 years of his family’s iron-fisted rule. At least 61 people have died during crackdowns on protesters in several cities.

The capital, Damascus, was quiet throughout the day, offering a veneer of calm at a time of great uncertainty. Speculation over high-level conflicts swirled as Syrians retreated to their homes, fearful of more protests and more bloodshed. There were rumors of cracks within the insular and opaque leadership of the nation, while the government sent out competing messages of compromise and crackdowns.

There was also confusion over what, if anything, the government was planning regarding the emergency law. A government official told reporters in Damascus that it would soon be repealed. But the official did not explain what it would mean to remove the emergency law, in place since 1963, given that so many other laws restrict freedoms and grant immunity to the secret police.

“What will change is nothing,” said Radwan Ziadeh, a Syrian human rights activist and legal expert now teaching at George Washington University.

What was certain was that the crisis was far from resolved by sunset on Sunday.

The coastal town of Latakia was sealed off by security services and the military one day after witnesses and human rights groups reported that government forces opened fire on demonstrators. That flare-up of violence came after days of protests in the south, starting in the city of Dara’a, where government forces also opened fire, killing dozens. The protests began after the police arrested and held a group of young people who scrawled antigovernment graffiti.

Details of the unrest, as well as exact numbers of the dead, are uncertain because the government has blocked foreign reporters from entering or working in Syria.

But human rights groups reported that the death toll nationwide was 61 even before the killing began on Saturday.

“Yesterday was a terrifying situation in Latakia,” said Mr. Ziadeh, who said he had stayed in close touch with events in Syria. “More than 21 have been killed.”

The Assad family has wielded power through a complex alliance of intersecting interests between the Assads’ minority Alawite sect and other religious minorities, including Christians, and an elite Sunni business class.

The rush of revolts may be especially unnerving to the leadership because they have occurred in two strongholds of the leadership. Dara’a is a majority Sunni tribal region that has long been a base of support for the elite; it is the home of key leaders in the military and the government, including the vice president, Farouk al-Sharaa.

Latakia is one of the few places in the country that has an Alawite majority. If the unrest spreads to major cities, where there are Sunni majorities, analysts said, the entire system could become unhinged, as happened in Tunisia and Egypt, where the presidents were forced from power.

“It’s over; it’s just a question of time,” said a Western diplomat in Damascus, speaking on the condition of anonymity in accordance with diplomatic protocol. “It could be a slow burn, or Qaddafi-esque insanity over the next few days. It’s very tense here, very tense. You can feel it in the air.”

The crisis is the second, and most serious, to test President Assad, 45. Mr. Assad’s brother Basil had been the heir apparent to their father, Hafez, but he died in a car accident. At first, Bashar al-Assad, a British-educated eye doctor then only 34, was seen as a potential agent of change after his father’s heavy-handed rule, which relied on brute force and co-option.

But many promises of change have stalled, especially political change. The Baath Party under Mr. Assad preserved its monopoly on power, and the state still functions with at least five intelligence services, a military court and a state security court, and Article 16, which, according to Mr. Ziadeh, says, “Employees of intelligence services should not be held accountable for their crimes committed during their job.”

Still, the solidarity of the government itself is in question.

“There are people in the regime who want to open fire on the protesters, who want to beat them, who want to do anything they can to suppress them,” said Michel Kilo, a prominent intellectual and dissident. “But there are other people in power who say no. There are people in power who say that the protesters’ demands are legitimate.”

Ammar Qurabi, the chairman of Syria’s National Association for Human Rights, said that, in his view, elite opinion in Syria was divided along three axes: “Security opinion, government opinion and Baath Party opinion.”

Speaking in Cairo, he cited the example of Al Watan newspaper, owned by Rami Makhlouf, a cousin of President Assad. Mr. Qurabi heard that last week the editor, Rabah Abdorabo, was called in to the Ministry of Media and told to stop printing that day’s issue of the paper. Half an hour after he left, he was called in to the secret police, who ordered him to keep printing.

The official Syrian Arab news agency, SANA, reported that at least 10 people were killed in Latakia by “armed gangs.” Government supporters were dispatched to provide the government’s account, which denied that government forces opened fire. In phone conversations with people in Syria, many said they were too frightened to talk, and others rescinded earlier condemnations of the government’s use of violence.

“They were an armed gang that came to steal things and cause destruction,” said Mohammed Habash, a moderate Islamist cleric and a member of Parliament, repeating the government line after having earlier deplored the use of violence. “The people dead were a part of that gang. It has no connection to political activism in Syria.”

Mr. Ziadeh said that government had threatened people, and offered himself as an example. Though he lives in the United States now, his family is in Syria, and he said Saturday night he received an e-mail “saying I am a traitor and I have to be careful about my mother. It was terrifying.”

In Damascus, the government’s chief spokeswoman, Bouthiana Shaaban, told reporters that the president would soon move to lift the emergency law, though she did not say when. But experts on Syria said that while lifting the law was a primary demand of the demonstrators, that alone would not provide room for freedom of speech, assembly and political activity.

“Syria has many laws on the books that would allow police to arrest people who cause trouble for the regime or who assemble without permits,” said Joshua M. Landis, an expert on Syria and director of the Middle East Studies Center at the University of Oklahoma.


Liam Stack contributed reporting from Cairo. A reporter in Damascus also contributed.

    Syria Tries to Ease Deep Political Crisis, NYT, 27.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/middleeast/28syria.html

 

 

 

 

 

Gates and Clinton Unite to Defend Libya Intervention,

and Say It May Last Awhile

 

March 27, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER and THOM SHANKER

 

WASHINGTON — Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates acknowledged Sunday that the unrest in Libya did not pose an immediate threat to the United States. Even so, he and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said the Obama administration was justified in taking military action to avert a massacre there that could have altered the course of the popular revolts roiling the Arab world.

The comments by President Obama’s two top national security officials, made on multiple political talk shows on Sunday, offered a striking illustration of the complex calculus that Mr. Obama faced in committing the military to impose a no-fly zone over Libya — one of the greatest gambles of his presidency.

It was a rare joint appearance by Mr. Gates and Mrs. Clinton, improbable allies who started out with sharply different views of what to do about Libya but have converged in the belief that the brutality of Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi demanded a military response.

Both officials acknowledged that the operation could drag on for months or even into next year.

Practically completing each other’s sentences, Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Gates projected the kind of unified message prized by the Obama White House. But that unity came only after a fraught internal debate, in which they and other senior officials had to weigh humanitarian values against national interests.

Their joint appearance laid the groundwork for a speech to the nation by Mr. Obama on Monday night, as the administration tries to answer critics in Congress and elsewhere who say that the president has failed to explain the scope, command structure and objective of the mission.

And the open-ended nature of the campaign drew fresh criticism from Republicans, including Senator Richard G. Lugar of Indiana, the ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

Mr. Gates and Mrs. Clinton said the allied airstrikes had scored early successes, sealing off the skies over Libya and averting a rout of the rebels by Colonel Qaddafi’s forces in the eastern city of Benghazi. Rebels are pushing Qaddafi forces back toward the capital, Tripoli, they said.

On the key question of whether Libya constituted the kind of vital national interest that would normally justify military intervention, Mr. Gates offered a blunt denial — one that hinted at the debate among Mr. Obama’s advisers about whether to push for a no-fly zone.

“No, I don’t think it’s a vital interest for the United States, but we clearly have interests there, and it’s a part of a region which is a vital interest for the United States,” Mr. Gates said on “This Week” on ABC.

When Mr. Gates repeated that answer on the NBC program “Meet the Press,” Mrs. Clinton jumped in to clarify that the United States was obliged to act after allies like Britain and France, for whom Libya is a vital national interest, had requested that the international community respond.

“Let’s be fair here,” she said. “They didn’t attack us, but what they were doing and Qaddafi’s history and the potential for the disruption and instability was very much in our interests, as Bob said, and seen by our European friends and our Arab friends as very vital to their interests.”

For all that, Mrs. Clinton emphasized that the administration did not view the Libya intervention as a precedent. Speaking on the CBS program “Face the Nation,” she ruled out military action in Syria, where security forces killed dozens of protesters on Friday. She noted that lawmakers who visited Syria described President Bashar al-Assad as a reformer, in contrast to Colonel Qaddafi.

“There’s a difference between calling out aircraft and indiscriminately strafing and bombing your own cities,” she said, “and police actions that frankly have exceeded the use of force that any of us would want to see.”

Indeed, the administration has watched violent crackdowns in Bahrain, Yemen and other Arab countries without intervening. Only after Colonel Qaddafi launched a ferocious counterstrike against rebel forces did Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Gates stake out their different positions.

Mrs. Clinton, hearing the growing chorus of calls for a no-fly zone, particularly in the Arab world, argued for a stronger international response. Mr. Gates, worried about the overstretched military getting entangled in another war, warned Congress about the risks and costs of a no-fly zone.

Mr. Gates said his remarks were not intended to derail the push for a no-fly zone, as many in Washington believed at the time, but to debunk arguments that it would be a surgical operation.

“I said, ‘Let’s call a spade a spade,’ ” Mr. Gates told reporters last week. “It was that a no-fly zone begins with an attack on Libya. I think that was a pretty accurate statement. What I’ve tried to do is really just make clear what is involved in this, and that it is a complex undertaking.”

Officials close to Mrs. Clinton said she, too, made a point of telling Arab officials like Amr Moussa, the secretary general of the Arab League, that a no-fly zone would require destroying Libya’s air defenses. She developed her views about no-fly zones from the 1990s, when Bill Clinton, who was then the president, worked with European countries to impose one over Kosovo.

The relationship between Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Gates was cemented during the debate over Afghanistan, when they both argued for about 30,000 additional troops — the position that Mr. Obama would later adopt.

It has proved remarkably resilient, officials close to both of them say, weathering strains over the leak of confidential State Department cables from a Pentagon computer system and harsh public criticism of the military’s conduct from a former State Department spokesman, Philip J. Crowley.

Mr. Gates, officials said, was outraged when Mr. Crowley said that the military had mistreated Pfc. Bradley Manning, who is charged with giving cables to the antisecrecy group WikiLeaks. Mrs. Clinton quickly forced Mr. Crowley out, defusing any potential friction.

She and Mr. Gates will share the burden of selling the Libya policy at home and abroad, though with differences. When Mr. Gates was asked on ABC about NATO taking over command from the United States, he said, “Hillary’s been more engaged with that diplomacy than I have.”

Mrs. Clinton planned to travel to London on Tuesday to work out other details with Britain, France and other coalition members. Mr. Gates is just back from a trip to Russia, Egypt, Israel and Jordan, during which he encountered criticism by Russian leaders that the operation was killing civilians in Libya.

Mr. Gates said that the United States had no proof of civilian deaths from the airstrikes, and he made a startling charge. “We do have a lot of intelligence reporting about Qaddafi taking the bodies of people he’s killed and putting them at the site where we’ve attacked,” he said.

    Gates and Clinton Unite to Defend Libya Intervention, and Say It May Last Awhile, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/africa/28policy.html

 

 

 

 

 

Libyans Call Woman Who Claimed Gang Rape a Prostitute

 

March 27, 2011
The New York Times
By DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK

 

TRIPOLI, Libya — The Libyan authorities on Sunday attacked the character and credibility of a Libyan woman who burst into a hotel full of foreign journalists to say that she had been abducted and raped by militia members working for Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi, calling her “a known prostitute and a thief.”

The woman, Eman al-Obeidy, has become well known in Libya and around the world since the episode at the hotel on Saturday.

She told journalists that she had been raped by 15 men and displayed large bruises on her face and legs, as well as deep scratches. But as she tried to talk, security officials and people who had previously appeared to be hotel workers raced to silence her, at one point even attempting to place a coat over her head.

Her pursuers scuffled with journalists attempting to interview, photograph and protect her. Security officials ultimately dragged her screaming from the hotel and drove her away. But her accusations were heard and the scuffle seen on television networks and Web sites worldwide.

And the experience she described was consistent with longstanding reports of human rights abuses in Libya under the Qaddafi government.

Ms. Obeidy’s mother, Aisha Ahmed, a resident of the rebel-held town of Tobrok, told The Washington Post that Ms. Obeidy was a 26-year-old law student in Tripoli. “I am very happy, very proud,” her mother said, calling Ms. Obeidy a hero.

Ms. Obeidy’s parents reportedly said government officials had called them early Sunday to offer her money and a new house if she recanted. Relatives reached through a rebel activist late Sunday declined to talk.

A cousin, Wadad Omar, told Reuters that Ms. Obeidy worked in the tourism industry, and said that three other women, all lawyers, were abducted with her at a checkpoint outside Tripoli and were missing. As she was dragged from the hotel Ms. Obeidy screamed that others with her were in captivity.

Musa Ibrahim, a government spokesman, has cycled through a series of contradictory characterizations of Ms. Obeidy and her case. He initially suggested that she appeared drunk and may have fabricated her story, or “her fantasies.”

Later on Saturday, he said that police detectives had found her sane, sober and in good health. He called her complaints credible and said detectives were investigating them. And he said she would be offered a chance to meet again with journalists.

On Sunday, however, Mr. Ibrahim told reporters that detectives had learned she was a prostitute, with “a whole file of prostitution cases and petty theft.”

“The girl is not what she pretended to be,” he said. “This is her line of work. She has known these boys for years.”

“I can’t see anything political about her situation,” he added, “The men have been questioned, but since she is refusing the medical examination they can’t prove the rape case.” Asked at a press conference about his earlier statements, Mr. Ibrahim declined to repeat them, saying he now wanted to protect her privacy, “without talking about people’s previous crimes, their lifestyles.”

He said that she had been released to relatives in Tripoli, but that could not be confirmed.

In Benghazi, the center of the rebellion challenging Colonel Qaddafi’s four decades in power, residents held a rally supporting Ms. Obeidy. “Eman, you are not alone,” one sign read.

In Tripoli, several residents said they had heard about the episode from satellite news channels. Some said they did not believe that in Libya’s traditional culture a woman would speak so openly of a sexual crime. But others said they believed her. They pointed to her brutal treatment as an example of Colonel Qaddafi’s tight grip on the capital.

    Libyans Call Woman Who Claimed Gang Rape a Prostitute, NYT, 27.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/africa/28tripoli.html

 

 

 

 

 

Libya says NATO "terrorizing" its civilians

 

TRIPOLI | Sun Mar 27, 2011
7:19pm EDT
Reuters

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Libya accused NATO on Sunday of "terrorizing" and killing its people as part of a global plot to humiliate and weaken the North African country.

The government says Western-led air attacks have killed more than 100 civilians, a charge denied by the coalition which says it is protecting civilians from Gadaffi's forces and targeting only military sites to enforce a no-fly zone.

"The terror people live in, the fear, the tension is everywhere. And these are civilians who are being terrorized every day," said Mussa Ibrahim, a Libyan government spokesman.

"We believe the unnecessary continuation of the air strikes is a plan to put the Libyan government in a weak negotiating position. NATO is prepared to kill people, destroy army training camps and army checkpoints and other locations."

Earlier on Sunday, NATO officials said the alliance had agreed to take command of military operations in Libya.

Ibrahim acknowledged that rebel forces in the east were advancing westwards but declined to give any details on the retreat of government troops.

"The rebels are making their advances," he said.

"(Western nations) are starving the Libyan population, (they want) to put Libya on its knees, to beg for mercy.

"It's a very simple plan. We can see it happening in front of our eyes. They are not trying to protect civilians."

Ibrahim said three Libyan civilian sailors were killed in a coalition air strike on a fishing harbor in the city of Sirte on Saturday.

 

(Writing by Maria Golovnina)

    Libya says NATO "terrorizing" its civilians, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-nato-idUSTRE72Q2VR20110327

 

 

 

 

 

NATO to take full command of Libya operations

 

BRUSSELS | Sun Mar 27, 2011
5:44pm EDT
By David Brunnstrom

 

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - NATO agreed on Sunday to take full responsibility for coalition military operations in Libya, ending a week of heated negotiations over the command structure.

The decision, which could take up to 72 hours to implement, puts the 28-member military alliance in charge of operations to target Muammar Gaddafi's military infrastructure and protect civilians, as well as implementing a no-fly zone and an arms embargo.

"NATO allies have decided to take on the whole military operation in Libya under the United Nations Security Council resolution," said Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen.

"Our goal is to protect civilians and civilian-populated areas under threat from the Gaddafi regime. NATO will implement all aspects of the U.N. resolution. Nothing more, nothing less."

The operations will be led by Canadian General Charles Bouchard, NATO said.

The decision had been delayed by disagreements between NATO members France and Turkey over political control of the mission, resulting in days of divisive discussion.

French President Nicholas Sarkozy had wanted to restrict NATO's responsibility to the military "machinery" needed to coordinate the air campaign, while political control remained in the hands of the members of the coalition.

Turkey instead wanted to be able to use its NATO veto to limit allied operations against Libya's infrastructure and avoid casualties among Muslim civilians.

Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said on Thursday Turkey's fears had been addressed and the command of military operations would be transferred completely to NATO. But it still took three more days of talks to reach an agreement.

NATO taking charge will encourage participation from more countries in the alliance which had been reluctant to join in the operation, a senior U.S. administration official said. NATO will also seek the participation of neighboring Arab countries.

"You will be able to rely on a great number of allies who up to this point, while wanting to participate in the operation were unwilling to do so until it came under NATO," the official told reporters on condition of anonymity.

 

U.S. NOW PART OF MUCH LARGER EFFORT

"So what we will see now is more countries participating, and that will allow the United States to be part of a much larger effort, rather than having to take the lead. That's why we wanted to hand it off in a matter of days, and we've now done that," the official said.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said on U.S. television the United States would begin reducing the military forces it had committed to the Libya mission "beginning this week or within the next week or so."

NATO has said its no-fly zone in Libya, which it agreed to enforce on Thursday, would be "impartial," banning flights both by Gaddafi's forces and his opponents. The arms embargo would be enforced in a similar way, applying to both sides.

With anti-Gaddafi rebel forces apparently back on the advance, analysts said the Western-led military operation could get complicated if the rebels started to approach Tripoli.

Daniel Keohane of the European Institute for Security Studies said fighting there could result in large numbers of casualties, including an increased risk of civilian casualties from any air strikes.

"If rebel forces were seen to be seeking revenge on Gaddafi supporters, it could cause huge political problems for the alliance," he said, "because the U.N. mandate to protect civilians should apply across the board."

Keohane said the risk of causing civilian casualties in towns like Tripoli could lead to disputes in the NATO council as to what is a legitimate target. "It will be very difficult to determine who is who and when protecting civilians becomes taking sides," he said. "That will be the key question."

Asked whether rebel forces could become NATO targets if their operations threatened civilians, the senior U.S. administration official responded: "Right now all the threatening and the striking of civilians is being done by Gaddafi forces, and that's the focus. But our mission is clear, it's about protecting civilians."

Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and Davutoglu are both expected to attend a conference in London on Tuesday along with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton at which further aspects of the political leadership of the operation to end Gaddafi's 41-year rule will be discussed.

 

(Additional reporting by Tabassum Zakaria in Washington, Editing by Ralph Boulton and Todd Eastham)

    NATO to take full command of Libya operations, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-nato-idUSTRE72Q19V20110327

 

 

 

 

Hit by shortages, Tripoli fearful of tomorrow

 

TRIPOLI | Sun Mar 27, 2011
4:55pm EDT
By Maria Golovnina

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Outside the impenetrable walls of Muammar Gaddafi's compound in Tripoli, fuel shortages and endless queues are compounding an atmosphere of gloom in a city already worn out by weeks of conflict.

Rebel forces are advancing fast toward Gaddafi's biggest stronghold, and ordinary people in the capital -- regardless of their political views -- are fearful of what is to come.

Tripoli lives to the sound of explosions and anti-aircraft gunfire as Western air strikes continue, and the new reality has emboldened some to express their frustrations more openly.

"The situation is getting worse and worse. I am a simple person. I don't know why," said Radwan, a man in his 40s, as he lined up to buy fuel at a petrol station in central Tripoli.

"Everything is hard. There is a problem with food, even with bread. You can't buy bread easily. I buy flour and I make my own bread. I am worried. There is a serious problem."

At one Tripoli filling station, hundreds of honking cars formed a queue of more than one kilometer long on Sunday. Exhausted motorists waited for hours to fill up their tanks.

A makeshift sign at another gas station said: "There is no petrol today. God knows when."

Most people waited patiently, the engines of their cars switched off. Some sat in the shade of large trees, smoking. One car ran out of petrol in the middle of a coastal motorway, and a group of passersby helped the driver push it along.

The picture was similar in other parts of Tripoli and nearby towns. Supply networks for basic goods have been disrupted by weeks of fighting. A refugee exodus out of Libya also means that bakeries do not have the manpower to make enough bread.

Libya is an OPEC oil exporter and has its own refineries, but the sector has been severely disrupted by the conflict. A lot of its oil refining infrastructure has been damaged, and production of oil and oil products has dropped sharply.

State TV has been assuring people that fuel reserves are sufficient, but an energy official admitted to Reuters last week Libya needed to import more supplies to deal with the shortages.

Seeking to topple Gaddafi and buoyed by Western air strikes, rebel forces have been pushing fast toward western Libya in past days, retaking land abandoned by the retreating army.

 

ANGRY

Perched on the Mediterranean coast and home to up to two million people, Tripoli is Libya's most heavily fortified city, where dissent is not tolerated by Gaddafi's feared militiamen.

Yet, some of its inhabitants were visibly angry when approached by journalists on Sunday.

"Television says Britain and France want to take away our oil, but I am standing here, I can't buy any petrol for my car," said one man lining up to buy petrol. "Where is the oil? What oil are they talking about?"

Another man, Sufiyah, rubbing his bloodshot eyes after a sleepless night of waiting in a petrol station queue, added: "I've been waiting since 4 a.m. There is no petrol. I am so tired. And yes, I am angry. A lot of people are."

The turmoil has also disrupted food supplies in the desert nation which depends on imports to cover domestic food demand.

Standing in line for rationed bread in one neighborhood, Fatima, a woman in her 20s, said it was particularly difficult to buy cooking oil, sugar and other refined products.

"Before it was normal but now there are shortages. It started with the crisis a month ago, and it's getting worse," said Fatima. She said that in her view prices for key food items like rice and flour had gone up by at least a third.

She said she was only allowed to buy one bagful of bread for her family per visit. Shops in Tripoli appear to be well stocked but many are closed.

The price of bread itself has changed little, people said, with shortages caused mainly by the exodus of migrant workers.

"Before there was a lot of bread, now there isn't. We have no workers now, so it's difficult to make enough bread," said Adil Mohamed Ali, a young man working at the bakery.

Ali Salim, a young taxi driver, said he did not know what to expect but blamed foreign countries for all the trouble.

"I have waited for four hours already. I have to do this every day. I am a taxi driver," he said. "No one knows what's next. Tomorrow it can all change. It's all because of the foreign countries who are interfering."

 

(Editing by Mark Heinrich)

    Hit by shortages, Tripoli fearful of tomorrow, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-tripoli-queues-idUSTRE72Q2IZ20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Two Reuters TV journalists missing in Syria

 

LONDON | Sun Mar 27, 2011
2:19pm EDT
Reuters

 

LONDON (Reuters) - Two Reuters television journalists have been missing in Syria since Saturday night, when they were due to return to Lebanon.

Beirut-based producer Ayat Basma and cameraman Ezzat Baltaji had been expected to cross into Lebanon by road at approximately 1830 GMT (2:30 p.m. ET) on Saturday, where they had arranged for a taxi to pick them up from the border.

The last known contact was at 1722 GMT (1:22 p.m. ET), when Baltaji sent a phone message to a colleague in Beirut in which he said: "We will leave now."

Basma and Baltaji, both Lebanese nationals, travelled to Syria on Thursday afternoon. Mass protests that erupted 10 days ago have posed the biggest challenge to President Bashar al-Assad's 11-year rule.

The two journalists have been unreachable by telephone since Saturday night.

Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler said: "Reuters is deeply concerned about our two Reuters television colleagues who went missing in Syria on Saturday. We have reached out to the relevant authorities in Syria and have asked for their help in securing our colleagues' safe return home."

A Syrian official told Reuters on Sunday that authorities were working on resolving the issue.

A senior Reuters editor plans to travel to Damascus to discuss the matter formally with Syrian officials.

Basma, who has gone on reporting assignments in Tunisia, Egypt and Iraq, has been with Reuters since February 2007. Baltaji has worked for the company since April 2008.

On Friday, Syrian authorities withdrew the accreditation of Reuters text correspondent Khaled Yacoub Oweis, saying he had filed "unprofessional and false" coverage of events in Syria.

Reuters said it stood by its coverage from Syria, where more than a week of protests have spread from the south to other parts of the country.

Reuters, part of New York-based Thomson Reuters, the leading information provider, employs some 3,000 journalists worldwide.

Reporting in English, Arabic and more than a dozen other languages, Reuters has had bureaux across the Middle East for well over a century.

 

(Editing by Kevin Liffey)

    Two Reuters TV journalists missing in Syria, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-syria-reuters-idUSTRE72Q27E20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Israel deploys first anti-rocket system near Gaza

 

BEERSHEBA, Israel | Sun Mar 27, 2011
10:15am EDT
Reuters
By Dan Williams

 

BEERSHEBA, Israel (Reuters) - Israel deployed a long-anticipated rocket shield outside the Gaza Strip on Sunday but cautioned Israelis under fire from the Hamas-run territory that they would not be completely protected.

The positioning of Iron Dome just north of Beersheba, a southern city twice hit by rockets during this month's flare-up of cross-border violence, was described by the military as an "acceleration" of the system's scheduled field evaluations.

Firing radar-guided missiles from a truck-sized launcher, Iron Dome is designed to track and blow up incoming threats in mid-air. Its development was stepped up after the 2006 Lebanon war and defense officials say it has aced several live trials.

But some experts have carped at what they see as needless delays and government protectionism in choosing Iron Dome -- produced by a state arms firm and partly underwritten by U.S. defense grants -- over ready alternatives available abroad.

"I do not want to create an illusion that the Iron Dome system, which we are deploying for the first time today, will provide a full or comprehensive response," Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told his cabinet in Jerusalem.

"The real response to the missile threat is in the combination of offensive and deterrent measures with defensive measures, and with a firm stance by the government and public."

Netanyahu spoke shortly after Israel killed two members of Islamic Jihad, a Palestinian guerrilla group behind much of the recent rocket fire, in a Gaza air strike.

Hamas, the Islamist movement that controls Gaza and whose forces also took part in the fighting, said on Saturday shooting from the coastal enclave would cease if Israel held fire too.

 

GRIM OUTLOOK

Brigadier-General Doron Gavish, Israel's air defense chief, said whatever lull ensued was irrelevant to Iron Dome planning.

"We will carry out our evaluations regardless," he told reporters in the arid hillocks against the backdrop of Beersheba's bustling white apartment blocks.

"Regrettably, the way things look now, we will be required to provide our services for a long time hence."

He would not comment on the protective radius provided by the Beersheba battery. But its positioning suggested it could cover Sderot, an Israeli town on the Gaza border that has borne the brunt of almost a decade of mortar bomb and rocket attacks.

A second Iron Dome battery is due to be set up near the port of Ashkelon this week, Israeli media said. According to Gavish, each unit can be dismantled and ferried out "within hours," allowing for mobile responses over a large swathe of territory.

Industrial sources put the base price of each Iron Dome battery at about $50 million, with each interception costing $25,000.

That raised the prospect of the outgunned Palestinians taxing Israeli budgets with salvoes of the mostly inaccurate and homemade rockets that are sometimes worth just a few hundred dollars each. But rockets that hit Beersheba were factory-grade.

Gavish said the "missile versus missile" calculus was misplaced and "the real test is what damage is caused by a rocket that goes unintercepted."

Iron Dome's operators say it is designed to intercept only rockets that are about to hit residential areas, and ignore those on a harmless trajectory.

 

(Editing by Mark Heinrich)

    Israel deploys first anti-rocket system near Gaza, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-palestinians-israel-rocketshield-idUSTRE72Q1HT20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Rebels push west as air strikes hit Gaddafi forces

 

UQAYLA, Libya | Sun Mar 27, 2011
10:00am EDT
Reuters
By Angus MacSwan

 

UQAYLA, Libya (Reuters) - Libyan rebels pushed west on Sunday to recapture more territory abandoned by Muammar Gaddafi's retreating forces, weakened by Western air strikes.

Emboldened by their capture of the strategic town of Ajdabiyah with the help of foreign warplanes on Saturday, the rebels advanced unchallenged to Ras Lanuf, a rebel fighter told Reuters on the road toward the oil terminal town.

The speed of the rebel advance suggests a rapid retreat by Gaddafi's forces after they lost Ajdabiyah, which had been an important gateway for the better-armed government troops to the rebel-held east.

In Brega, an oil town west of Ajdabiyah, rebel fighters were distributing water from trucks to residents or picking over debris of ammunition boxes and tank parts abandoned by the Gaddafi forces. There were long queues at fuel stations.

A man who said he worked for the state-owned Sirte Oil Company but refused to give his name said Gaddafi troops had passed through without stopping and there had been no fighting.

The rebels' advance is a rapid reversal of two weeks of losses and indicates that Western air strikes are shifting the battlefield dynamics in their favor.

As the front line moved toward the heartland of Gaddafi's support, government forces pounded Misrata in the west with tank, mortar and artillery fire on Saturday. Witnesses said the shelling halted after coalition aircraft appeared overhead.

A Misrata resident told Reuters by phone the humanitarian situation in the city was very bad, but that rebels had said they would fight until the city was freed from Gaddafi.

"It is quiet right now, apart from occasional exchanges of fire... In comparison with yesterday it is calm. Yesterday we had western coalition bombing of Gaddafi's positions, particularly near the air base about 10 km (six miles) from the city," a resident called Sami said.

"Misrata has been under siege for 38 days. Not much food, water is a rarity and people are obliged to use wells to get water. We have problems with medicines."

A rebel in Misrata told Reuters Gaddafi was putting all his weight into attacking Misrata so he could control the whole of the west of the country after losing all the east.

Libyan government spokesman Mussa Ibrahim told reporters in the capital Tripoli that Gaddafi was directing his forces but appeared to suggest the leader might be moving around the country so as to keep his whereabouts a mystery.

"He is leading the battle. He is leading the nation forward from anywhere in the country," said Ibrahim.

"He has many offices, many places around Libya. I assure you he is leading the nation at this very moment and he is in continuous communication with everyone around the country."

Asked if Gaddafi was constantly on the move, Ibrahim said: "It's a time of war. In a time of war you act differently."

 

"NOWHERE TO HIDE"

Capturing Ajdabiyah was a big morale boost for rebels a week after air strikes began to enforce a U.N.-mandated no-fly zone.

"This is a victory from God," said Ali Mohamed, a 53-year-old teacher in the rebel stronghold of Benghazi.

"Insha'allah, we will be victorious. After two days, we will be in Tripoli," he said.

Fouzi Dihoum, a catering company employee, said the rebels could push forward because the area between Ajdabiya and Sirt was desert in which Gaddafi forces were easy targets for planes.

"There is nowhere to hide. It's an open area," he said.

Libyan state television was on Sunday broadcasting pop songs and images of palm trees, wheatfields and vast construction projects completed in Gaddafi's four decades in power.

Gaddafi himself has not been shown on television since he made a speech on Wednesday and his sons Saif al-Islam and Khamis -- who earlier in the conflict spoke regularly to foreign media -- have been out of sight even longer.

Internet social networks and some Arabic-language media have reported that Khamis, commander of the elite 32nd brigade, was killed by a disaffected air force pilot who, according to the reports, flew his plane into the Gaddafi compound in Tripoli.

There has been no confirmation and Libyan officials say such reports are part of a deliberate campaign of misinformation.

Last week Libyan officials said nearly 100 civilians had been killed in coalition strikes, but U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates dismissed the assertion.

NATO ambassadors meet on Sunday to discuss plans for broadening the alliance mandate to take full command of military operations, including attacks on ground targets.

U.S. President Barack Obama, criticized by U.S. politicians across the spectrum for failing to communicate the goals of the air campaign, told Americans that the military mission in Libya was clear, focused and limited.

He said it had already saved countless civilian lives.

 

(Additional reporting by Alexander Dziadosz, Maria Golovnina, Michael Georgy, Ibon Villelabeitia, Lamine Chikhi, Mariam Karouny and Patricia Zengerle; Writing by Tom Pfeiffer and Ibon Villelabeitia; Editing by Andrew Roche)

    Rebels push west as air strikes hit Gaddafi forces, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Yemen ruling party, Saleh to meet for crisis talks

 

SANAA | Sun Mar 27, 2011
9:56am EDT
Reuters
By Cynthia Johnston

 

SANAA (Reuters) - Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh's ruling party will meet for crisis talks on Sunday after Saleh said he was ready to hand over power on condition he be allowed to leave with dignity.

Saleh, who is under pressure from tens of thousands of Yemenis gathered in the streets demanding his departure after 32 years in power, is expected to attend and update senior party members on his talks with the opposition.

Late on Saturday, Saleh said he was prepared to step down within hours. But a deal did not appear imminent since the opposition had hardened their demands.

"I could leave power ... even in a few hours, on condition of maintaining respect and prestige," Saleh said in a televised interview. "I have to take the country to safe shores ... I'm holding on to power in order to hand it over peaceably."

Yet Saleh also appeared to warn against any sudden transition by saying Yemen could slide into a civil war and fragment along regional and tribal lines .

"Yemen is a time bomb and if we and our friendly countries don't have a return to dialogue, there will be a destructive civil war," he said.

Saleh has been an ally of the United States and Saudi Arabia by keeping at bay a Yemen-based resurgent wing of Al Qaeda in a country that is close to collapse, with rebels in the north, secessionists in the south and grinding poverty everywhere.

More than 80 people have been killed since protests started in January, inspired by popular revolts in Tunisia and Egypt, to demand the departure of Saleh, a serial political survivor of civil war as well as separatist, rebel and militant attacks.

On Sunday, Al Arabiya television said six soldiers were killed in an ambush by Al Qaeda militants in the south of the country.

Opposition parties have been talking with Saleh about a transition but have so far rebuffed any of his concessions.

"We still have a very big gap," said Yassin Noman, the rotating head of Yemen's opposition coalition. "I think he is maneuvering."

Western countries are concerned that Yemen-based al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) could take advantage of any power vacuum arising from a rocky transition if Saleh steps down.

AQAP claimed responsibility for the foiled attempt in late 2009 to blow up a jetliner bound for Detroit and for U.S.-bound cargo bombs sent in October 2010.

 

TURNING TIDES

The concessions offered by Saleh have included a promise to step down in 2013 when his term ends, and most recently his proposal to transfer power after the drafting of a new constitution and parliamentary and presidential elections by the end of the year.

The tide appeared to turn against Saleh after March 18 when plainclothes snipers loyal to the president fired into an anti-government crowd, killing 52 people.

The violence led to defections including military commanders such as General Ali Mohsen, ambassadors, lawmakers, provincial governors and tribal leaders, some from his own tribe.

Saleh said the defections were mainly by Islamists and that some had returned to his side. He said Mohsen had been acting emotionally because of Friday's bloodshed but that security forces were not behind the deaths.

A source close to Mohsen, who has thrown his weight behind protesters, said he and Saleh had weighed a deal in which both would leave the country, taking their sons and relatives with them to pave the way for a civilian transitional government.

"I'm not looking for a home in Jeddah or Paris," Saleh said on Saturday, vowing to stay in Yemen.

Yemen, a country of 23 million with an acute water shortage and dwindling oil reserves, is widely viewed a the next country in the region to see a change in leadership.

A revolt in Bahrain has been quieted by an army show of force on the streets after a state of emergency was declared. Syria has erupted with protests in recent days.

 

(Reporting by Cynthia Johnston; Writing by Reed Stevenson; Editing by Sonya Hepinstall)

    Yemen ruling party, Saleh to meet for crisis talks, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-yemen-idUSTRE72M92520110327

 

 

 

 

 

Clinton rules out U.S. involvement in Syria for now

 

WASHINGTON | Sun Mar 27, 2011
9:26am EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on Sunday the United States would not now get involved in Syria in the same way as it has in Libya, telling CBS's "Face the Nation with Bob Schieffer" program in an interview broadcast on Sunday that each case is unique.

Speaking on the same program in an interview that was also taped on Saturday, U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said the United States had seen signs that Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's forces were retreating to the west because of U.S. air strikes on his armor, logistics and supply chain.

 

(Editing by Sandra Maler)

    Clinton rules out U.S. involvement in Syria for now, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-usa-cbs-idUSTRE72Q1AB20110327

 

 

 

 

 

France's floating frontline against Libya's Gaddafi

 

ABOARD AIRCRAFT CARRIER CHARLES DE GAULLE, March 27 | Sun Mar 27, 2011
8:57am EDT
Reuters
By Elizabeth Pineau

 

ABOARD AIRCRAFT CARRIER CHARLES DE GAULLE, March 27 (Reuters) - Dressed in a khaki uniform and protective helmet, a French pilot emerges from the Rafale fighter jet that just landed on the deck of the Charles de Gaulle carrier, back from another mission over Libya.

A dozen mechanics scramble to assess the plane: the fuel specialists wear red, the maintenance crew green and the on-deck traffic controllers wear yellow, barking orders that have earned them the French nickname "yellow dogs."

A Hawkeye radar plane is next to land, soon to be replaced by another on the night flight.

"It never stops," says a lieutenant.

The Charles de Gaulle is a week into its mission to enforce a no-fly zone over Libya and protect civilians from forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

The coalition air strikes seem to have helped the rebels turn the tide against his forces, but Gaddafi says they have killed civilians.

French forces said on Saturday that they had destroyed seven Libyan aircraft -- five planes and two helicopters -- in the western town of Misrata, where pro-Gaddafi units have mounted an assault to try to oust rebels.

 

FROM AFGHANISTAN TO LIBYA

The nuclear-powered Charles de Gaulle is France's only operational aircraft carrier. Its 2,000 sailors have had little rest since a previous mission supporting the decade-old campaign in Afghanistan ended in February.

A map of Libya has replaced the contours of Afghanistan on the walls and monitors of the carrier's radar room.

"At least we're being put to good use," said Jordan, a quartermaster. It is business as usual for most sailors, he added, even if officers "up there" might be feeling the stress.

For now, officers are satisfied with the mission's progress, though they are wary of Gaddafi's ability to surprise.

"This isn't a mission that is particularly problematic, aside from the fact that we have no room for error," said the carrier's commander Jean-Philippe Rolland.

As for the pilots, the mission has become almost like home.

"Getting into the cockpit is like getting into bed at night," said a Super Etendard fighter pilot.

"It's a place we know very well."

Even at night, the Charles de Gaulle is abuzz with activity.

"It's an airfield, an airport, an airbase, a city of 2,000 people, two nuclear reactors, all in a tin can," a sailor said.

Although officers have the luxury of using the carrier's lifts, sailors are forced to run up and down between decks.

In a world without windows, morale is kept up in recreation areas, where telephones, the Internet and television offer contact with the outside world.

"In four months on the Indian Ocean, I only had four people sent home for psychological reasons," the chief medic said.

 

(Writing by Lionel Laurent; editing by Elizabeth Piper)

    France's floating frontline against Libya's Gaddafi, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-france-libya-carrier-idUSTRE72Q16K20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Israeli air strike kills 2 Palestinian militants

 

GAZA | Sun Mar 27, 2011
6:22am EDT
Reuters

 

GAZA (Reuters) - Israeli aircraft killed two Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip on Sunday as tensions remained high despite signals on both sides of the border of a readiness to return to a de facto ceasefire.

Islamic Jihad, a militant group that has been launching rockets into Israel over the past week, said the two men killed in the air strike belonged to the movement. There was no immediate Israeli military comment.

Israeli raids in Gaza killed five militants and four civilians last week, a declared response to cross-border rocket attacks.

More than 70 projectiles have struck Israel since the border heated up, causing no serious casualties but disrupting the pace of life in the south of the country.

Gaza militants say their rocket and mortar attacks are in response to Israeli air raids in the territory, which is controlled by Hamas Islamists.

In public remarks to his cabinet on Sunday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel has "no desire to escalate the situation," noting the frontier had been relatively quiet since the end of the December 2008-January 2009 Gaza war.

But he said: "We will not hesitate to use the might of the Israel Defense Forces against those who attack our citizens."

On Saturday, Gaza militant groups indicated they would halt rocket fire if Israel stopped its attacks.

Hamas spokesman Ismail Rudwan said militant leaders were "committed as long as the occupation (Israel) was committed" to abide by an earlier de facto truce.

 

(Reporting by Nidal al-Mughrabi; Writing by Jeffrey Heller; Editing by Elizabeth Fullerton)

    Israeli air strike kills 2 Palestinian militants, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-israel-palestinians-violence-idUSTRE72Q0JH20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Pope calls for suspension of use of arms in Libya crisis

 

VATICAN CITY | Sun Mar 27, 2011
6:18am EDT
Reuters

 

VATICAN CITY (Reuters) - Pope Benedict on Sunday called for the "suspension of the use of arms" in the Libya crisis, an appeal that appeared to include the use of outside force.

Speaking at his Sunday blessing, he said he was addressing his appeal to "international bodies," and "those who hold military and political responsibility."

    Pope calls for suspension of use of arms in Libya crisis, R, 27.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-libya-pope-idUSTRE72Q0PP20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Unrest in Syria and Jordan Poses New Test for U.S. Policy

 

March 26, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER

 

WASHINGTON — Even as the Obama administration defends the NATO-led air war in Libya, the latest violent clashes in Syria and Jordan are raising new alarm among senior officials who view those countries, in the heartland of the Arab world, as far more vital to American interests.

Deepening chaos in Syria, in particular, could dash any remaining hopes for a Middle East peace agreement, several analysts said. It could also alter the American rivalry with Iran for influence in the region and pose challenges to the United States’ greatest ally in the region, Israel.

In interviews, administration officials said the uprising appeared to be widespread, involving different religious groups in southern and coastal regions of Syria, including Sunni Muslims usually loyal to President Bashar al-Assad. The new American ambassador in Damascus, Robert Ford, has been quietly reaching out to Mr. Assad to urge him to stop firing on his people.

As American officials confront the upheaval in Syria, a country with which the United States has icy relations, they say they are pulled between fears that its problems could destabilize neighbors like Lebanon and Israel, and the hope that it could weaken one of Iran’s key allies.

The Syrian unrest continued on Saturday, with government troops reported to have killed more protesters.

With 61 people confirmed killed by security forces, the country’s status as an island of stability amid the Middle East storm seemed irretrievably lost.

For two years, the United States has tried to coax Damascus into negotiating a peace deal with Israel and to moving away from Iran — a fruitless effort that has left President Obama open to criticism on Capitol Hill that he is bolstering one of the most repressive regimes in the Arab world.

Officials fear the unrest there and in Jordan could leave Israel further isolated. The Israeli government was already rattled by the overthrow of Egypt’s leader, Hosni Mubarak, worrying that a new government might not be as committed to Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty with Israel.

While Israel has largely managed to avoid being drawn into the region’s turmoil, last week’s bombing of a bus in Jerusalem, which killed one person and wounded 30, and a rain of rocket attacks from Gaza, have fanned fears that the militant group Hamas is trying to exploit the uncertainty.

The unrest in Jordan, which has its own peace treaty with Israel, is also extremely worrying, a senior administration official said. The United States does not believe Jordan is close to a tipping point, this official said. But the clashes, which left one person dead and more than a hundred wounded, pose the gravest challenge yet to King Abdullah II, a close American ally.

Syria, however, is the more urgent crisis — one that could pose a thorny dilemma for the administration if Mr. Assad carries out a crackdown like that of his father and predecessor, Hafez al-Assad, who ordered a bombardment in 1982 that killed at least 10,000 people in the northern city of Hama. Having intervened in Libya to prevent a wholesale slaughter in Benghazi, some analysts asked, how could the administration not do the same in Syria?

Though no one is yet talking about a no-fly zone over Syria, Obama administration officials acknowledge the parallels to Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi. Some analysts predicted the administration will be cautious in pressing Mr. Assad, not because of any allegiance to him but out of a fear of what could follow him — a Sunni-led government potentially more radical and Islamist than his Alawite minority government.

Still, after the violence, administration officials said Mr. Assad’s future was unclear. “Whatever credibility the government had, they shot it today — literally,” a senior official said about Syria, speaking on the condition that he not be named.

In the process, he said, Mr. Assad had also probably disqualified himself as a peace partner for Israel. Such a prospect had seemed a long shot in any event — Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has shown no inclination to talk to Mr. Assad — but the administration kept working at it, sending its special envoy, George J. Mitchell, on several visits to Damascus.

Mr. Assad has said that he wants to negotiate a peace agreement with Israel. But with his population up in arms, analysts said, he might actually have an incentive to pick a fight with its neighbor, if only to deflect attention from the festering problems at home.

“You can’t have a comprehensive peace without Syria,” the administration official said. “It’s definitely in our interest to pursue an agreement, but you can’t do it with a government that has no credibility with its population.”

Indeed, the crackdown calls into question the entire American engagement with Syria. Last June, the State Department organized a delegation from Microsoft, Dell and Cisco Systems to visit Mr. Assad with the message that he could attract more investment if he stopped censoring Facebook and Twitter. While the administration renewed economic sanctions against Syria, it approved export licenses for some civilian aircraft parts.

The Bush administration, by contrast, largely shunned Damascus, recalling its ambassador in February 2005 after the assassination of a former Lebanese prime minister, Rafik Hariri. Many Lebanese accuse Syria of involvement in the assassination, a charge it denies.

When Mr. Obama named Mr. Ford as his envoy last year, Republicans in the Senate held up the appointment for months, arguing that the United States should not reward Syria with closer ties. The administration said it would have more influence by restoring an ambassador.

But officials also concede that Mr. Assad has been an endless source of frustration — deepening ties with Iran and the Islamic militant group Hezbollah; undermining the government of Saad Hariri in Lebanon; pursuing a nuclear program; and failing to deliver on promises of reform.

Some analysts said that the United States was so eager to use Syria to break the deadlock on Middle East peace negotiations that it had failed to push Mr. Assad harder on political reforms.

“He’s given us nothing, even though we’ve engaged him on the peace process,” said Andrew J. Tabler, who lived in Syria for a decade and is now at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “I’m not saying we should give up on peace talks with Israel, but we cannot base our strategy on that.”

The United States does not have the leverage with Syria it had with Egypt. But Mr. Tabler said the administration could stiffen sanctions to press Mr. Assad to make reforms.

Other analysts, however, point to a positive effect of the unrest: it could deprive Iran of a reliable ally in extending its influence over Lebanon, Hezbollah and the Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza.

That is not a small thing, they said, given that Iran is likely to benefit from the fall of Mr. Mubarak in Egypt, the upheaval in Bahrain, and the resulting chill between the United States and Saudi Arabia.

“There’s much more upside than downside for the U.S.,” said Martin S. Indyk, the vice president for foreign policy at the Brookings Institution. “We have an interest in counterbalancing the advantages Iran has gained in the rest of the region. That makes it an unusual confluence of our values and interests.”

    Unrest in Syria and Jordan Poses New Test for U.S. Policy, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/27/world/middleeast/27diplomacy.html

 

 

 

 

 

Six dead in port city as Syrian crisis grows

 

DERAA, Syria | Sat Mar 26, 2011
10:40pm EDT
Reuters

 

DERAA, Syria (Reuters) - Syrian security forces have killed six people in two days of anti-government protests in the key port city of Latakia, reformist activists living abroad told Reuters on Saturday.

President Bashar al-Assad, facing his deepest crisis in 11 years in power after security forces fired on protesters on Friday in the southern town of Deraa, freed 260 prisoners in an apparent bid to placate a swelling protest movement.

But the reports from Latakia, a security hub in the northwest, suggested unrest was still spreading.

There were reports of more than 20 deaths in protests on Friday, mainly in the south, and medical officials say dozens have now been killed over the past week around Deraa alone.

Such demonstrations would have been unthinkable a couple of months ago in this most tightly controlled of Arab countries.

Bouthaina Shaaban, a senior adviser to Assad, told the official news agency that Syria was "the target of a project to sow sectarian strife to compromise Syria and (its) unique coexistence model."

Syrian rights activist Ammar Qurabi told Reuters in Cairo: "There have been at least two killed (in Latakia) today after security forces opened fire on protesters trying to torch the Baath party building."

"I have been in touch with people in Syria since last night, using three cell phones and constantly sitting online. Events are moving at an extremely fast pace."

Exiled dissident Maamoun al-Homsi told Reuters by telephone from Canada: "I have the name of four martyrs who have fallen in Latakia yesterday."

The state news agency quoted a government source as saying security forces had not fired at protesters but that an armed group had taken over rooftops and fired on citizens and security forces, killing five people since Friday.

In Damascus and other cities, thousands of Assad's supporters marched or and drove around, waving flags, to proclaim their allegiance to the Baath party.

 

GRAFFITI

The unrest in Syria came to a head after police detained more than a dozen schoolchildren for scrawling graffiti inspired by pro-democracy protests across the Arab world.

President Assad made a public pledge on Thursday to look into granting greater freedom and lifting emergency laws dating back to 1963, but failed to dampen the protests.

On Saturday a human rights lawyer said 260 prisoners, mostly Islamists, had been freed after serving at least three-quarters of their sentences.

Amnesty International put the death toll in and around Deraa in the past week at 55 at least. In Sanamein, near Deraa, 20 protesters were shot dead on Friday, a resident told Al Jazeera.

One unidentified doctor told CNN television that snipers had been shooting people in Deraa from atop government buildings.

"We had 30 people got shot in the head and the neck and we had hundreds of people got wounded," he said.

"We put two wounded in an ambulance sending them to the hospital. We had security forces stop the ambulances, get the wounded outside the ambulance and shoot them, and said: 'Now you can take them to the hospital'."

Some of the dead protesters were buried on Saturday in Deraa and nearby villages, residents said.

Several thousand mourners prayed over the body of 13-year-old Seeta al-Akrad in Deraa's Omari mosque, scene of an attack by security forces earlier in the week.

Police were not in evidence when they marched to a cemetery chanting: "The people want the downfall of the regime," a refrain heard in uprisings from Tunisia to Egypt and Yemen.

Emboldened by the lack of security presence, the mourners also chanted: "Strike, strike, until the regime falls!"

Abu Jassem, a Deraa resident, said: "We were under a lot of pressure from the oppressive authority, but now when you pass by (the security forces), nobody utters a word. They don't dare talk to the people. The people have no fear any more."

 

ALAWITES

In nearby Tafas, mourners in the funeral procession of Kamal Baradan, killed on Friday in Deraa, set fire to Baath party offices and the police station, residents said.

There were also protests on Friday in Damascus and in Hama, a northern city where in 1982 the forces of president Hafez al-Assad, Bashar's father, killed thousands of people and razed much of the old quarter to put down an armed uprising by the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood.

Syria's establishment is dominated by members of the minority Alawite sect, an offshoot of Shi'ite Islam, a fact that causes resentment among the Sunni Muslims who make up some three-quarters of the population. Latakia is mostly Sunni Muslim but has significant numbers of Alawites.

Edward Walker, a former U.S. ambassador to Egypt, said sectarian friction made many in the establishment wary of giving ground to demands for political freedoms and economic reforms.

"They are a basically reviled minority, the Alawites, and if they lose power, if they succumb to popular revolution, they will be hanging from the lamp posts," he said.

"They have absolutely no incentive to back off."

 

EXISTENTIAL STRUGGLE

Asked if there could be a crackdown on the scale of Hama, Faysal Itani, deputy head of Middle East and North Africa Forecasting at Exclusive Analysis, said this was a "real risk."

"For a minority regime this is an existential struggle," he said. "If the unrest continues at this pace, the Syrian army is not going to be able to maintain cohesion."

Many believed a tipping point had been reached.

"The Syrian regime is attempting to make promises such as a potential lifting of the state of emergency, which has been in place since 1963, a record in the Arab world," Bitar said.

"But if this happens it will be the end of a whole system, prisoners will have to be released, the press will be free ... when this kind of regime considers relaxing its grip, it also knows that everything could collapse."

Central Bank Governor Adeeb Mayaleh said the central bank was ready to supply the market with foreign currency liquidity, hinting at rising demand for U.S. dollars.

Syria has a close alliance with Iran and links to the Palestinian Islamist militant group Hamas and the Lebanese Shi'ite political and military group Hezbollah.Its allies in the region have yet to comment on the unrest.

"Syria is Iran's main ally in the Arab world. A fall of the regime would have consequences for Hezbollah and Hamas ... I'm not sure that the region's big powers would allow such a big shock," said Karim Emile Bitar, research fellow at the Institute for International and Strategic Relations in Paris.

Syrian border police were stopping a number of Syrians entering from Lebanon, a Lebanese security source said.

 

(Reporting by a Reuters correspondent in Deraa, Yara Bayoumy in Beirut, Arshad Mohammed in Washington, Lionel Laurent in Paris, William Maclean in London; Dina Zayed in Cairo; Writing by Peter Millership and Kevin Liffey; editing by Ralph Boulton)

    Six dead in port city as Syrian crisis grows, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/27/us-syria-idUSTRE72N2MC20110327

 

 

 

 

 

Libya may be placing corpses at bombed sites: Gates

 

WASHINGTON | Sat Mar 26, 2011
7:25pm EDT
Reuters

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. intelligence reports suggest that Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's forces have placed the bodies of people they have killed at the sites of coalition air strikes so they can blame the West for the deaths, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said in a television interview on Saturday.

"We do have a lot of intelligence reporting about Gaddafi taking the bodies of the people he's killed and putting them at the sites where we've attacked," Gates said according to interview excerpts released by CBS News' "Face the Nation with Bob Schieffer" program, which will air on Sunday.

A U.S.-led coalition began air strikes against Libya a week ago to establish a no-fly zone over the oil-exporting North African country and to try to prevent Gaddafi from using his air force to attack people rebelling against his rule.

Last week Libyan officials said nearly 100 civilians had been killed in the coalition strikes, but Western military officials at the time denied any civilians had been killed.

"The truth of the matter is we have trouble coming up with proof of any civilian casualties that we have been responsible for," Gates said in the television interview.

Asked if Gaddafi's days were numbered, Gates replied: "I wouldn't be hanging any new pictures if I were him."

U.S. officials have said the goal of the military action is to protect civilians, not to topple Gaddafi, though they have made no secret of their desire for him to leave power.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, appearing on the same program, said there were signs that Gaddafi's aides were becoming increasingly nervous.

"The people around him, based on all of the intelligence and all of the outreach that we ourselves are getting from some of those very same people, demonstrate an enormous amount of anxiety," she said according to the interview excerpts.

 

(Editing by Christopher Wilson)

    Libya may be placing corpses at bombed sites: Gates, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-libya-usa-bodies-idUSTRE72P2JU20110326

 

 

 

 

 

Egypt's prime minister vows to stamp out corruption

 

CAIRO | Sat Mar 26, 2011
4:40pm EDT
By Dina Zayed

 

CAIRO (Reuters) - Egypt's Prime Minister Essam Sharaf vowed Saturday to press a fight against corruption, responding to public pressure to speed up investigations into alleged graft by allies of ousted President Hosni Mubarak.

He also defended a draft law banning strikes, denying criticism from human rights groups that it curtails freedom of expression and the right to protest.

Prosecutors have been investigating graft allegations against former officials and businessmen after an uprising toppled Mubarak last month, but many Egyptians protest that several of the former leader's allies have yet to be arrested.

"The government has not and will not cover up corruption regardless of its nature or identity. We will stamp it out no matter where it is. That is a vow from the government to the people of this nation," Sharaf said in a televised statement.

"There is no place for those who were the enemies of the January 25 revolution in this new era," he said.

The cabinet was formed by Egypt's interim military rulers to try to meet protesters' demands for the removal of officials linked to Mubarak.

Sharaf said the cabinet had been successful in its first three weeks. It had overseen the first free and fair vote, redeployed police forces, dissolved Egypt's state security apparatus and started trading in the stock exchange, he said.

But human rights groups have criticized it for approving a draft law, valid as long as Egypt's state of emergency is in force, that bans strikes for damaging the economy. It extends to those who organize strikes.

Human Rights Watch said it was a betrayal of Egypt's revolution and curtailed the people's right to demonstrate.

"It is quite shocking, really, that a transitional government meant to replace a government ousted for its failure to respect free speech and assembly is now itself putting new restrictions on free speech and assembly," the group said.

Sharaf denied the law would mean a restriction of freedoms: "You are the ones who move us forward, so how can some of you think that we may deny you of a legitimate right that is guaranteed by the law."

The cabinet has to tread a fine line as it works to meet the expectations of workers while restarting an economy that nearly ground to a halt during weeks of protests, analysts say.

Sharaf, whose government faces a growing budget deficit, has said continued protests and strikes were a "continued distraction" from the real task of rebuilding the country.

"We are trying to protect the revolution. Let us put our hands together," Sharaf said. "We cannot achieve protecting the revolution without cooperation and pushing the wheel of production forward."

 

(editing by Elizabeth Piper)

    Egypt's prime minister vows to stamp out corruption, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-egypt-premier-idUSTRE72P28C20110326

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The President [ Brack Obama ]

says that thanks to our men and women in uniform,

the military mission in Libya is succeeding

even as responsibility is transferred to our NATO allies and partners.

YouTube > White House > Your weekly address

March 26, 2011

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j2S2J4jXATk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Obama seeks to reassure

Americans about Libya

 

Sat, Mar 26 2011
WASHINGTON | Sat Mar 26, 2011
2:55pm EDT
By Patricia Zengerle and Steve Holland

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama sought to reassure Americans about U.S. military involvement in Libya on Saturday, saying the mission is limited and the United States will not intervene everywhere there is a crisis.

Obama, accused by many U.S. lawmakers of failing to explain U.S. objectives in Libya, used his weekly radio and Web address to speak about his Libyan policy and plans a Monday night address to the American people to explain it further.

So far, polls show Americans back the president for using U.S. air power and cruise missiles to attack Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's air defenses and other targets aimed at supporting Libyan rebels and protecting civilians from government forces.

A Reuters-Ipsos poll in recent days said 60 percent of Americans back him on Libya, although only 17 percent saw him as a strong and decisive leader. A Gallup poll put American support for his Libyan move at 47 percent, with 37 percent disapproving.

"We're succeeding in our mission," Obama said. "Because we acted quickly, a humanitarian catastrophe has been avoided and the lives of countless civilians -- innocent men, women and children -- have been saved."

Easing some pressure on Obama, NATO is expected to take over command and control of the week-old allied military operation this weekend from the United States.

"Our military has provided unique capabilities at the beginning, but this is now a broad, international effort," he said, noting that Arab partners like Qatar and the United Arab Emirates have committed aircraft.

Obama was cautious on the potential for U.S. intervention elsewhere, as Americans now see news reports of unrest convulsing Syria and Yemen.

"As commander in chief, I face no greater decision than sending our military men and women into harm's way. And the United States should not -- and cannot -- intervene every time there's a crisis somewhere in the world," he said.

 

TROUBLESOME OUTCOMES

Analyst Larry Sabato, a University of Virginia political science professor, said Obama was late in explaining what is at stake in Libya to Americans weary of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

"The long and short of it is he's getting around now to what he should've done before military action began," he said.

Sabato said Obama, who plans to seek re-election in 2012, faces potentially troublesome outcomes in Libya.

"We've been lucky there have been no American or allied casualties. But that could change. The cost could mount, and this could turn into a stalemate," he said.

Ipsos pollster Julia Clark the cost of the war could become an issue if it rises.

"Americans still prioritize the economy as the biggest issue right now," she said. "Foreign aid is among the least popular expenditures for taxpayer dollars."

Obama said the role of U.S. forces has been clear and focused and limited in what he described as a "broad, international effort." He stressed again that no U.S. ground forces would go into Libya.

Members of Congress -- from both the left and right -- have criticized Obama for failing to communicate thoroughly the goals of the military operation. Some have assailed him for failing to seek congressional approval for the action, others for embarking on another military mission in a Muslim country when the United States is already embroiled in the Iraq and Afghan wars.

Obama reiterated that Gaddafi must stop attacking civilians, pull back his forces and allow humanitarian assistance to reach those who need it. He said Gaddafi has lost the confidence of the Libyan people and the legitimacy to rule, but did not call directly for Gaddafi's removal, which Washington has said repeatedly is not the purpose of the military mission.

 

(Editing by Doina Chiacu)

    Obama seeks to reassure Americans about Libya, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-libya-obama-idUSTRE72O55320110326

 

 

 

 

 

Yemen general is feared player: WikiLeaks

 

DUBAI | Sat Mar 26, 2011
2:40pm EDT
Reuters

 

DUBAI (Reuters) - The top Yemeni general backing pro-democracy protesters is, like Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh, a crafty survivor who has wielded power for his own benefit, according to U.S. diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks.

General Ali Mohsen, a powerful figure close to Saleh, threw his support behind the democracy movement earlier this week and sent in troops to protect protesters in the capital of Sanaa, where they have gathered in the tens of thousands to pressure Saleh into giving up his grip on power after 32 years.

Yet as far back as 2005, Thomas Krajeski, then the U.S. ambassador in Sanaa, painted a picture in diplomatic cables of a brutal military commander likely to back a more radical Islamic political agenda and draw little public support.

"Ali Mohsen's name is mentioned in hushed tones among most Yemenis, and he rarely appears in public," Krajeski wrote in a cable obtained by Reuters. "Ali Mohsen... is generally perceived to be the second most powerful man in Yemen. Those that know him say he is charming and gregarious."

Noting Mohsen's role in ruling Yemen with an "iron fist," the cable said he controls at least half of Yemen's military. Despite its detail and strong opinions, other parts of the cable contained key inaccuracies, such as Mohsen's estimated age as well as the region he commands.

The United States and Saudi Arabia have long relied on Saleh to try and stop al Qaeda from using Yemen as a base to plot attacks on both countries. The impoverished Arabian Peninsula country is deeply divided, and was already on the brink of becoming a failed state before protests erupted in January, inspired by uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt.

After Mohsen's defection on March 21, Saleh reacted by warning against a "coup" that would lead to civil war and beefed up his personal security for fear of an assassination attempt.

Days later, Mohsen told Reuters that he had no desire to take power or hold office, and that he wanted to spend the rest of his life in "tranquility, peace and relaxation far from the problems of politics and the demands of the job."

The diplomatic cable also indicates that Mohsen would be viewed by the public as an unpalatable successor to Saleh.

"Ali Mohsen would likely face domestic as well as international opposition if he sought the presidency... Yemenis generally view him as cynical and self-interested."

One reason, according to the U.S. ambassador at the time, was because of his side business in smuggling.

"A major beneficiary of diesel smuggling in recent years, he also appears to have amassed a fortune in the smuggling of arms, food staples, and consumer products," his cable said.

Although the opposition welcomed Mohsen's support earlier this week, they are also wary of his loyalties, which fall along the country's tribal and ideological fault lines.

Northern Shi'ite rebels see Mohsen as a ruthless military leader who led the military campaign against them in a bloody civil war. Leftists and southerners worry that their goals for democracy will be overtaken in a military power struggle, while the Islamist opposition is thought to view Mohsen more favorably.

More than likely, Krajeski wrote in the cable, Mohsen would try and orchestrate a transition where he could anoint Saleh's successor: "If he holds true to form, Mohsen would likely prefer to play kingmaker, choosing another loyal military officer to hold the presidency."

 

(Reporting by Reed Stevenson)

    Yemen general is feared player: WikiLeaks, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-yemen-general-idUSTRE72P1WV20110326

 

 

 

 

 

Egypt must scrap law banning strikes: rights group

 

CAIRO | Sat Mar 26, 2011
11:33am EDT
Reuters
By Dina Zayed

 

CAIRO (Reuters) - An Egyptian draft law that imposes prison sentences for some strike action violates international laws on freedom of assembly and must be scrapped, Human Rights Watch said on Saturday.

Last week, Egypt's military-backed government approved the draft law, which is valid for as long as Egypt's state of emergency is in force, saying the strikes were damaging the economy. It extends to those who organize strikes.

"This virtually blanket ban on strikes and demonstrations is a betrayal of the demands of Tahrir protesters for a free Egypt," said Sarah Leah Whitson, Middle East and North Africa director at Human Rights Watch.

"Any genuine transition toward democracy must be based on respect for the basic rights of the people, including their right to demonstrate," she said in a statement which demanded the immediate reversal of the decision to ban strikes.

Some workers have pressed protests to demand better wages and working conditions after a popular uprising toppled Hosni Mubarak from power. Some strikes have disrupted the economy and hit Egypt's vital tourist industry, economic analysts say.

Egypt's government, facing a growing budget deficit, has said the law was not meant to outlaw peaceful demonstrations, but was meant to stop any "counter-revolution" from hijacking Egypt's revolution.

The rights group said the law had "overbroad and vague provisions" that did not meet "narrowly permitted grounds for limits on public assembly under international law."

Rights groups are concerned the provisions would give security forces sweeping powers of arrest. They have criticized the arrests of hundreds of peaceful protesters on charges of disrupting public order.

They say the military has detained and in some cases tortured protesters, later bringing them to trial before military courts.

Egypt's interim military rulers have promised to lift decades-old emergency laws but have not given a timeframe.

"It's quite shocking, really, that a transitional government meant to replace a government ousted for its failure to respect free speech and assembly is now itself putting new restrictions on free speech and assembly," the group said.

 

(Editing by Elizabeth Piper)

    Egypt must scrap law banning strikes: rights group, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-egypt-protest-ban-idUSTRE72P1CY20110326

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan rebels rout Gaddafi forces in strategic town

 

AJDABIYAH, Libya | Sat Mar 26, 2011
9:47am EDT
Reuters
By Angus Macswan

 

AJDABIYAH, Libya (Reuters) - Libyan rebels backed by allied air strikes recaptured the strategic eastern town of Ajdabiyah on Saturday, pushing out Muammar Gaddafi's forces.

Rebel fighters danced on tanks, waved flags and fired in the air by buildings riddled with bulletholes after an all-night battle that suggested the tide is turning against Gaddafi's forces in the east.

A Reuters correspondent saw half a dozen wrecked tanks near the eastern entrance to the town and the ground strewn with empty shell casings. There were also signs of heavy fighting at the western gate, the last part of the town taken from government troops.

"Everything was destroyed last night by our forces," said rebel fighter Sarhag Agouri. Witnesses and rebel fighters said the whole town was in rebel hands by late morning.

Capturing Ajdabiyah is a big morale boost for the rebels after two weeks spent on the back foot.

Gaddafi's better-armed forces halted an early rebel advance near the major oil export terminal of Ras Lanuf and pushed them back to their stronghold of Benghazi until Western powers struck Gaddafi's positions from the sea and air.

Air strikes on Ajdabiyah on Friday afternoon seem to have been decisive.

The African Union said it was planning to facilitate talks to help end the war, but NATO said its operation could last three months, and France said the conflict would not end soon.

In Washington, a U.S. military spokeswoman said the coalition fired 16 Tomahawk cruise missiles and flew 153 air sorties in the past 24 hours attacking Gaddafi's artillery, mechanized forces and command and control infrastructure.

Western governments hope the raids, launched a week ago with the aim of protecting civilians, will shift the balance of power in favor of the Arab world's most violent popular revolt.

In Tripoli, explosions were heard early on Saturday, signaling possible new strikes by warplanes or missiles.

 

GADDAFI OFFERS PROMOTIONS

Libyan state television was broadcasting occasional, brief news reports of Western air strikes. Mostly it showed footage -- some of it grainy images years old -- of cheering crowds waving green flags and carrying portraits of Gaddafi.

Neither Gaddafi nor his sons have been shown on state television since the Libyan leader made a speech from his Tripoli compound on Wednesday.

State TV said the "brother leader" had promoted all members of his armed forces and police "for their heroic and courageous fight against the crusader, colonialist assault."

The United States said Gaddafi's ability to command and sustain his forces was diminishing.

Officials and rebels said aid organisations were able to deliver some supplies to the western city of Misrata but were concerned because of government snipers in the city center.

Gaddafi's forces shelled an area on the outskirts of the city, killing six people including three children, a rebel said.

Misrata has experienced some of the heaviest fighting between rebels and Gaddafi's forces since an uprising began on February 16.

At African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, AU commission chairman Jean Ping said on Friday the organization was planning to facilitate peace talks in a process that should end with democratic elections.

It was the first statement by the AU, which had opposed any form of foreign intervention in the Libya crisis, since the U.N. Security Council imposed a no-fly zone last week and air strikes began on Libyan military targets.

But in Brussels, a NATO official said planning for NATO's operation assumed a mission lasting 90 days, although this could be extended or shortened as required.

France said the mission could go on for weeks.

 

(Reporting by Mohammed Abbas in Benghazi, Tim Castle in London, Maria Golovnina and Michael Georgy in Tripoli; writing by Tom Pfeiffer and Myra MacDonald; editing by Andrew Roche)

    Libyan rebels rout Gaddafi forces in strategic town, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110326

 

 

 

 

 

Gaza rockets strike Israel anew after lull

 

JERUSALEM | Sat Mar 26, 2011
9:07am EDT
Reuters

 

JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Two rockets fired from the Gaza Strip landed in Israel on Saturday after a brief lull in violence along a frontier where tension has risen this week.

An Israeli general responded with a warning that Israel would not allow its citizens to remain under repeated fire and Gaza's Islamist Hamas rulers should "come to their senses" to prevent an escalation of hostilities.

Witnesses and a military spokeswoman said one rocket damaged an Israeli home before dawn while the other fell harmlessly in an open area. There were no casualties.

There were no immediate claims of responsibility issued by any of the militant groups in Gaza, a small, coastal Palestinian territory sealed off by Israel.

Israel launched a series of air strikes in Gaza this week in response to rocket fire, killing five militants and four civilians, and Prime Minister Benjamin has threatened a lengthy "exchange of blows" if the violence goes on.

Major General Tal Russo, the Israeli commander on the Gaza front, said as he visited troops on Saturday there were signs Hamas was losing its grip over other militant factions in Gaza. "There is anarchy," he said.

Asked whether he thought the situation could escalate into another war, Russo replied: "We are prepared for any possibility, the goal is we won't in the end permit a situation where it is impossible for civilians to live here."

Russo added: "The other side is showing a shortness of memory and I hope they come to their senses."

A 22-day Gaza war launched in late 2008 killed about 1,400 people in Gaza as well as 13 Israelis. Hamas had largely withheld rocket fire at Israel since then until this past week, though other militant groups continued shootings sporadically.

The Israeli military said on Friday it would soon deploy an "Iron Dome" interceptor missile shield to try and prevent further rocket hitting Israeli towns in its south, where some schools have been shut due to the days of rocket fire.

 

(Writing by Allyn Fisher-Ilan; editing by Mark Heinrich)

    Gaza rockets strike Israel anew after lull, R, 26.3.2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-palestinians-israel-idUSTRE72P13L20110326

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan woman brutally silenced after accusing Gaddafi forces of rape

Journalists try to intervene as Benghazi woman fleeing sexual assault is taken away by government officials

 

Saturday 26 March 2011
Guardian.co.uk
Ian Black in Tripoli
16.34 GMT
This article was published on guardian.co.uk at 16.34 GMT on Saturday 26 March 2011.
A version appeared on p14 of the Main section section of the Observer on Sunday 27 March 2011.
It was last modified at 17.14 GMT on Saturday 26 March 2011.

 

It was just another breakfast time at Tripoli's smart Rixos Al Nasr hotel, sleepy foreign journalists helping themselves to cereals, rolls and terrible coffee in the restaurant, looking out over a neat garden unusual in the dour capital city.

But the Groundhog Day conversations – more overnight coalition air strikes against Muammar Gaddafi's forces, rebel advances in the east, how to escape the minders – were suddenly interrupted when a distraught woman burst in to describe how she had been repeatedly raped by government militiamen.

Iman al-Obeidi was quickly manhandled and arrested by security officials – an extraordinary spectacle for the journalists staying in the luxurious hotel-cum-media centre, hemmed in by severe restrictions on their movements and fed barely credible information.

The scene – filmed by several of those present – unfolded when Obeidi entered the Ocaliptus dining room and lifted up her abaya (dress) to show a slash and bruises on her right leg. "Look what Gaddafi's men have done to me," she screamed. "Look what they did, they violated my honour."

Distraught and weeping, she was surrounded by reporters and cameramen. Libyan minders pushed and lashed out at the journalists, one of them drawing a gun, another smashing a CNN camera. Two waitresses grabbed knives and threatened Obeidi, calling her "a traitor to Gaddafi".

Obeidi said she had been arrested at a checkpoint in the capital because she is from Benghazi, stronghold of the anti-Gaddafi rebellion in the east. "They swore at me and they filmed me. I was alone. There was whisky. I was tied up. They peed on me." She said she had been raped by 15 men and held for two days.

Charles Clover of the Financial Times, who tried to protect her, was pushed, thrown to the floor and kicked, and Channel 4 correspondent Jonathan Miller was punched.

Obeidi was frogmarched, struggling, into the lobby and driven away, shouting: "They say they are taking me to hospital but they are taking me to jail." Minders again tried to stop journalists taking pictures. It was impossible to verify her account. Musa Ibrahim, a government spokesman, said he had been told Obeidi, apparently in her 30s, was drunk and suffered from "mental problems".

The incident made a powerful impression on journalists who have heard of, and occasionally seen, brutality but are subject to stringent controls to prevent them reporting independently and have a frustrating sense of being manipulated for crude propaganda purposes by the authorities.

"There was a desperate sense of our failure to prevent the thugs taking her away," C4's Miller said afterwards. "There was nothing more that we could have done as we were overtly threatened by considerable physical force."

An American TV cameraman said: "I think she probably was raped, otherwise I can't see her having the courage to put herself at such risk to let us know what the regime is doing. We see the fear in people all the time. But this is the most blatant example of the vicious way the regime treats the Libyan people."

It is clear from snatched conversations and anecdotal evidence that hundreds of Libyans have been detained in Tripoli, Zawiya and elsewhere since the uprising began five weeks ago, with many families still unaware of their whereabouts.

Libya's media strategy is to highlight the violent nature of the rebellion, insisting it is inspired by al-Qaida, and to emphasise that coalition air attacks – mandated by the UN to protect civilians – are causing civilian casualties. But foreign media have not been allowed to visit hospitals and have been escorted to only two sites hit in the last week.

The first was a naval base in central Tripoli, where there were no casualties. The second was a farm on the outskirts of nearby Tajura, damaged by fragments of what one expert said was a US-made Harm anti-radar missile, and where one person was slightly injured.

Visible military targets – such as a mobile radar station on the adjacent coastal road – appear to have been surgically destroyed.

Journalists have also been taken to see two mass funerals of purported victims of the attacks, where large crowds chant pro-Gaddafi slogans and slogans attacking what Libyans call the "colonialist-crusader aggression".

John Simpson, the BBC's foreign affairs editor, was warned by Libyan officials after questioning in a broadcast whether coffins seen at a funeral on Thursday contained the bodies of civilian victims. It is thought 18 air cadets were killed in an air strike on a Tajura military installation, the number corresponding to charred bodies shown to photographers in a hospital mortuary.

But no distinction has been made between civilian and military casualties. The government said on Thursday that "nearly 100" civilians had been killed. No names of the dead or injured have been published. The US and Britain say there are no confirmed civilian casualties.

"I am on a short leash because they really objected to my questioning whether the coffins we saw contained civilians," Simpson said. "All I said was that it was impossible to verify, but they took that as a great insult."

Other journalists have received anonymous threats. "I have read your stories and the penalty for carelessness is death," one American correspondent was warned by email.

The Rixos is in a secluded compound 20 minutes from the centre of Tripoli. Journalists who have managed to leave it or another hotel without minders are detained by police or turned back at roadblocks. Taxi drivers face arrest if caught picking up journalists.

Libyan officials insist journalists comply with the rules for their own safety but are evidently frustrated that their message is not getting across. "This is an extremely tense time," said Ibrahim. "Our soldiers are being killed. People in Libya are very angry, very bitter. They know the news from Ajdabiya. They know the coalition forces are not protecting civilians. They know the rebels came from Benghazi to Ajdabiya and that we are withdrawing. No one is investigating this."

    Libyan woman brutally silenced after accusing Gaddafi forces of rape, G, 26.3.2011, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/mar/26/libya-woman-silenced-accusing-gaddafi-forces-rape

 

 

 

 

 

Libyan Woman Struggles to Tell Media of Her Rape

 

March 26, 2011
The New York Times
By DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK

 

TRIPOLI, Libya — A Libyan woman burst into the hotel housing the foreign press in Tripoli on Saturday morning in an attempt to tell journalists that she had been raped and beaten by members of Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi’s militia. After struggling for nearly an hour to resist removal by Colonel Qaddafi’s security forces, she was dragged away from the hotel screaming.

“They say that we are all Libyans and we are one people,” said the woman, who gave her name as Eman al-Obeidy, barging in during breakfast at the hotel dining room. “But look at what the Qaddafi men did to me.” She displayed a broad bruise on her face, a large scar on her upper thigh, several narrow and deep scratch marks lower on her leg, and marks that seemed to come from binding around her hands and feet.

She said she had been raped by 15 men. “I was tied up, and they defecated and urinated on me,” she said. “They violated my honor.”

She pleaded for friends she said were still in custody. “They are still there, they are still there,” she said. “As soon as I leave here, they are going to take me to jail.”

For the members of the foreign news media here at the invitation of the government of Colonel Qaddafi — and largely confined to the Rixos Hotel except for official outings — the episode was a vivid reminder of the brutality of the Libyan government and the presence of its security forces even among the hotel staff. People in hotel uniforms, who just hours before had been serving coffee and clearing plates, grabbed table knives and rushed to physically restrain the woman and to hold back the journalists.

Ms. Obeidy said she was a native of the rebel stronghold of Benghazi who had been stopped by Qaddafi militia on the outskirts of Tripoli. After being held for about two days, she said, she had managed to escape. Wearing a black robe, a veil and slippers, she ran into the hotel here, asking specifically to speak to the Reuters and The New York Times. “There is no media coverage outside,” she yelled at one point.

“They swore at me and they filmed me. I was alone. There was whiskey. I was tied up,” she told Michael Georgy of Reuters, the only journalist who was able to speak with her briefly. “I am not scared of anything. I will be locked up immediately after this.” She added: “Look at my face. Look at my back.” Her other comments were captured by television cameras.

A wild scuffle began as journalists tried to interview, photograph and protect her. Several journalists were punched, kicked and knocked on the floor by the security forces working in tandem with people who until then had appeared to be members of the hotel staff. A television camera belonging to CNN was destroyed in the struggle, and security forces seized a device that a Financial Times reporter had used to record her testimony. A plainclothes security officer pulled out a revolver.

Two members of the hotel staff grabbed table knives to threaten both Ms. Obeidy and the journalists.

“Turn them around, turn them around,” a waiter shouted, trying to block the foreign news media from having access to Ms. Obeidy. A woman who worked at the hotel coffee bar shouted: “Why are you doing this? You are a traitor!” Then she briefly forced a dark coat over Ms. Obeidy’s head.

There was a prolonged standoff behind the hotel as the security officials apparently restrained themselves because of the presence of so many journalists, but Ms. Obeidy was ultimately forced into a white car and taken away.

“Leave me alone,” she shouted as one man tried to cover her mouth with his hand.

“They are taking me to jail,” she yelled, trying to resist the security guards, according to Reuters. “They are taking me to jail.”

Questioned about her treatment, Khalid Kaim, the deputy foreign minister, promised that she would be treated in accordance with the law. Musa Ibrahim, a government spokesman, said she appeared to be drunk and mentally ill. “Her safety of course is guaranteed,” he said, adding that the authorities were investigating the case, including the possibility that her reports of abuse were “fantasies.”

Charles Clover of The Financial Times, who had put himself in the way of the security forces trying to apprehend her, was put into a van and driven to the border shortly afterward. He said that the night before he had been told to leave because of what Libyan government officials said were inaccuracies in his reports.

 

 

 

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: March 26, 2011


An earlier version of this article misstated the surname of a Financial Times reporter. He is Charles Clover, not Glover.

    Libyan Woman Struggles to Tell Media of Her Rape, NYT, 26.3.2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/27/world/middleeast/27tripoli.html

 

 

 

 

 

Woman cries for help, says abused by Gaddafi men

 

TRIPOLI | Sat Mar 26, 2011
9:01am EDT
Reuters
By Maria Golovnina and Michael Georgy

 

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - A weeping Libyan woman made a desperate plea for help on Saturday, slipping into a Tripoli hotel full of foreign journalists to show bruises and scars she said had been inflicted on her by Muammar Gaddafi's militiamen.

"Look at what Gaddafi's militias did to me," Eman al-Obaidi screamed with tears in her eyes, pulling up her coat to show blood on her upper leg in the restaurant of the hotel.

After being intimidated by security men and hotel staff, who also beat journalists trying to interview her, she was eventually bundled into a car and driven away.

Her face heavily bruised, she said she had been arrested at a checkpoint in Tripoli because she was from the city of Benghazi, bastion of the insurgency against Gaddafi's rule.

"They swore at me and they filmed me. I was alone. There was whiskey. I was tied up," she said, weeping and stretching out her arms to show scars. "They peed on me. They violated my honor."

Obaidi, who appeared to be in her 30s and was wearing a loose black coat and slippers, said she had been raped by 15 men and held for two days.

Her story could not be independently verified. It was unclear whether she had escaped or had been released.

"Investigators phoned me and said she was drunk, that she could be suffering mentally," Libya's government spokesman Mussa Ibrahim told reporters, citing a preliminary report.

"We are checking who she is, who her father is, who her brothers and sisters are, whether she was really abused or whether it's fantasies."

Deputy Foreign Minister Khaled Kaim, speaking alongside Ibrahim, said he would look into the incident. "I am sure whe will be treated according to the law," he said.

 

"LOOK AT MY FACE"

"I am not scared of anything. I will be locked up immediately after this," Obaidi shouted. "Look at my face. Look at my back. All of my body is bruised."

As she spoke, sobbing and shaking, hotel staff and plainclothes security men tried to push and intimidate her. She ran from one table to another in the hotel restaurant.

In the ensuing scuffle, one hotel staff member grabbed a table knife and yelled: "You traitor. How dare you say that?"

A man in civilian clothes took out a gun.

A foreign journalist who was trying to get away from the scene with a camera on which he had recorded footage of the scuffle was thrown to the ground and kicked.

One Western television crew had their camera broken.

Obaidi was eventually forced into a garden outside the hotel. Journalists trying to get to her were pushed away.

"Leave me alone," she shouted at security men, as one man tried to cover her mouth with his hand.

She was then dragged to a parking lot and bundled into a white car. Security men said they were taking her to hospital.

"They are taking me to jail," she yelled, struggling with the security guards. "They are taking me to jail."

Tripoli is Gaddafi's biggest stronghold, full of loyal militiamen who crack down on any form of dissent as Gaddafi's troops battle rebel forces in other parts of the country.

International human rights groups say Gaddafi loyalists have been enforcing their rule by arresting thousands of people. Libyan officials say they only arrest people linked to armed gangs or al Qaeda militants.

But as Western powers press on with air raids which they say are designed to protect civilians against Gaddafi's forces, people in the capital have become more outspoken in their criticism of the state.

 

(Writing by Maria Golovnina; editing by Andrew Roche)

    Woman cries for help, says abused by Gaddafi men, R, 26.3.2011,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/26/us-libya-woman-idUSTRE72P0SN20110326

 

 

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