History > 2011 > USA > Politics > President / White House (III)
Robert Ariail
Herald-Journal
Spartanburg, SC
Cagle
18 August 2011
After
Struggle on Detainees,
Obama Signs Defense Bill
December
31, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER
HONOLULU
— President Obama, after objecting to provisions of a military spending bill
that would have forced him to try terrorism suspects in military courts and
impose strict sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, signed the bill on Saturday.
He said that although he did not support all of it, changes made by Congress
after negotiations with the White House had satisfied most of his concerns and
had given him enough latitude to manage counterterrorism and foreign policy in
keeping with administration principles.
“The fact that I support this bill as a whole does not mean I agree with
everything in it,” Mr. Obama said in a statement issued in Hawaii, where he is
on vacation. “I have signed this bill despite having serious reservations with
certain provisions that regulate the detention, interrogation and prosecution of
suspected terrorists.”
The bill authorizes $662 billion in military spending through 2012. It is a
smaller amount than the Pentagon had asked for, but it does not impose the
radical cuts that the military faces in coming years.
The White House had said that the legislation could lead to an improper military
role in overseeing detention and court proceedings and could infringe on the
president’s authority in dealing with terrorism suspects. But it said that Mr.
Obama could interpret the statute in a way that would preserve his authority.
The president, for example, said that he would never authorize the indefinite
military detention of American citizens, because “doing so would break with our
most important traditions and values as a nation.” He also said he would reject
a “rigid across-the-board requirement” that suspects be tried in military courts
rather than civilian courts.
Congress dropped a provision in the House version of the bill that would have
banned using civilian courts to prosecute those suspected of having ties to Al
Qaeda. It also dropped a new authorization to use military force against Al
Qaeda and its allies.
Civil liberties groups, including the American Civil Liberties Union, still
oppose the law, in part because of its authorization of military detention camps
overseas. But Mr. Obama’s signature is likely to settle, at least for now, the
battle between the White House and Congress over executive authority in the
treatment of detainees.
The White House also wrestled with Congress over requirements that the United
States punish foreign financial firms that purchase Iranian oil, including
through Iran’s central bank. Such a step would greatly increase the pressure on
Iran over its nuclear program.
But the administration feared that if the measures were imposed too hastily,
they could disrupt the oil market, driving up prices and alienating countries,
including close allies, that the United States is seeking to enlist in its
pressure campaign against Iran.
Under the terms of the bill, Mr. Obama can delay sanctions by six months to
assess their impact on oil prices. The president can also apply to Congress for
a waiver exempting a country’s financial firms from sanctions, if he determines
that the country significantly reduced its purchases of Iranian oil in the
preceding 180 days. Or he can apply for a waiver exempting a country on national
security grounds.
Senate Republicans, who pushed for the tougher sanctions, said it would be
difficult for Mr. Obama to invoke a waiver, since it could make him look weak on
Iran in an election year. But the administration said it was committed to
imposing the sanctions.
“We have to do it in a timely way and phased way to avoid repercussions to the
oil market, and make sure the revenues to Iran are reduced,” said an
administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity. “But we believe
we can do that.”
After Struggle on Detainees, Obama Signs Defense Bill, NYT, 31.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/01/us/politics/obama-signs-military-spending-bill.html
The
Middle-Class Agenda
December
19, 2011
The New York Times
Earlier
this month, President Obama delivered his first unabashed 2012 campaign speech.
Unlike his opponents, Mr. Obama acknowledged the ravages of income equality, the
hollowing out of the American middle class. There is no hyperbole in the urgency
he conveyed about “a make-or-break moment for the middle class, and for all
those who are fighting to get into the middle class.”
The challenge for Mr. Obama is to translate the plight of the middle class into
an agenda for broad prosperity. Congress’s inability to cleanly extend even
emergency measures though 2012 — including the temporary payroll tax cut and
federal unemployment benefits — underscores the difficulty. The alternative is
continued decline.
Recent government data show that 100 million Americans, or about one in three,
are living in poverty or very close to it. Of 13.3 million unemployed Americans
now searching for work, 5.7 million have been looking for more than six months,
while millions more have given up altogether. Even a job is no guarantee of
middle-class security. The real median income of working-age households has
declined, from $61,600 in 2000 to $55,300 in 2010 — the result of abysmally slow
job growth even before the onset of the recession.
Economic growth alone, even if it accelerated, would not be enough to restore
the middle class. Mr. Obama refuted the Republican notion that market forces
alone can ensure broad prosperity, when the economic health of American families
also depends on government action.
It was a speech that called out for a plan. Here are the elements that matter
most:
CREATING
GOOD JOBS Despite Republican obstructionism, Mr. Obama must continue to offer
stimulus bills that include spending for public works, high-tech manufacturing
and an infrastructure bank. He must stress that obstruction costs jobs — the
bill recently filibustered by Republicans would have created an estimated 1.9
million jobs in 2012. The Republican stance also endangers future prosperity by
denying needed infrastructure upgrades and making it likely that international
competitors will outstrip America in jobs and technology.
In particular, Mr. Obama needs to debunk the notion that job creation is at odds
with environmental protection. Republicans have portrayed opposition to the
Keystone XL oil pipeline as a job killer. The truth is, oil addiction and the
failure to invest in new energy sources will be far bigger job killers. What’s
needed is a plan to create millions of clean energy jobs and to link those jobs
to workers in fossil fuel industries who otherwise would be displaced. The
climate bill that died in 2010 would have begun that transformation; the need to
try again only becomes more pressing with each passing year.
At the same time, Mr. Obama cannot ignore that most of the fast-growing
occupations in America are lower-paying service jobs, like home health care and
food service, in which it’s all but impossible to make a living. To lift wages
requires generous tax credits for low earners, a higher minimum wage, and
guaranteed health care so that wages are not consumed by medical costs. Job
training efforts must also focus on the service sector, helping to build
so-called career ladders, say, from home health aid to licensed vocational
nurse.
STOPPING
FORECLOSURES In his Kansas speech, Mr. Obama said banks “should be working to
keep responsible homeowners in their homes.” That’s too weak. The banks have
never made an all-out effort to help homeowners and unless compelled to do so,
they never will, because, in many cases, they can make more by foreclosing
rather than by modifying troubled loans.
Federal agencies can keep working with some state attorneys general and try to
settle with banks over foreclosure abuses in exchange for a commitment from them
to modify some $20 billion worth of troubled loans, or they can conduct a
thorough federal investigation into the banks’ conduct during the mortgage
bubble, looking for a far bigger settlement. The market is beset with $700
billion of negative equity; potential bank abuses are unexplored; the public is
demanding accountability. Mr. Obama should opt for a thorough federal inquiry.
In the meantime, an antiforeclosure plan that is up to the scale of the problem
would include unrelenting political pressure for principal write-downs of
underwater loans, expanded refinancings for borrowers in high-rate loans, and
forbearance for unemployed homeowners.
REGULATING THE BANKS Mr. Obama said banks are fighting the Dodd-Frank reform
“every inch of the way.”
The question is what he will do to fight back. A good start would be for him to
tell the American public whether the law is capable of performing as intended.
Is he confident that a major bank on the verge of failure could be successfully
dismantled? Is he sure that risky bank trading will be sufficiently curtailed?
If he is not confident that the law can work as intended, he must ensure better
implementation or call for a revamp of the statute itself.
He can also personally advance specific Dodd-Frank provisions. Republicans are
intent on destroying the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau; Mr. Obama
should try to recess appoint his nominee to lead the bureau, Richard Cordray,
whom Republicans recently filibustered. Mr. Obama must make clear that he
supports a strong Dodd-Frank disclosure rule on the ratio of the pay of chief
executives to that of rank-and-file employees. Such disclosure is crucial to
changing the corporate norms that have allowed for unjustifiably vast pay
discrepancies.
RAISING
TAXES, REDUCING THE DEFICIT Tax reform is essential. But there is no way to
build public consensus for broad reform without first reversing the lavish tax
breaks for the rich. In addition to letting the high-end Bush-era tax cuts
expire at the end of 2012, Mr. Obama could call for all forms of income to be
taxed at the same rates, rather than allowing lower rates for investment income,
which flows mostly to wealthy Americans. Income tax rates also need to be
adjusted at the top of the scale, so that the affluent, say, couples with
taxable income of $400,000 a year, are not paying the same top rate as
multimillionaires.
Mr. Obama should also drop his opposition to a financial transactions tax. That
stance may have made sense when the banks were reeling from the financial
crisis, but it is now at odds with a stated desire to rein in the financial
sector and raise needed revenue.
Mr. Obama has more than established his willingness to cut the deficit, agreeing
to spending cuts that, in fact, are too deep for the weak economy. Now he needs
to dominate the deficit debate, not by trying to meet Republican demands for
ever more spending cuts, but by explaining that more cuts would undermine the
recovery. In the near term, high-end tax increases are a better way to control
the deficit. They are less of a drag on economic activity than broad tax
increases or federal spending cuts.
More jobs. Fewer foreclosures. Less financial risk. Progressive taxation. Those
policies will give the middle class a fighting chance. But the list is not
exhaustive. The pillars of a healthy middle class also include public education,
Social Security, unions, child care, affirmative action and, not least, campaign
finance reform, since inequality is reinforced by the political power of the
wealthy.
The Middle-Class Agenda, NYT, 19.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/20/opinion/the-middle-class-agenda.html
Life
Goes On, and On ...
December
17, 2011
The New York Times
By JAMES ATLAS
A FRIEND
calls from her car: “I’m on my way to Cape Cod to scatter my mother’s ashes in
the bay, her favorite place.” Another, encountered on the street, mournfully
reports that he’s just “planted” his mother. A third e-mails news of her
mother’s death with a haunting phrase: “the sledgehammer of fatality.” It feels
strange. Why are so many of our mothers dying all at once?
As an actuarial phenomenon, the reason isn’t hard to grasp. My friends are in
their 60s now, some creeping up on 70; their mothers are in their 80s or 90s.
Ray Kurzweil, the author of “The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend
Biology,” believes that we’re close to unlocking the key to immortality. Perhaps
within this century, he prophesies, “software-based humans” will be able to
survive indefinitely on the Web, “projecting bodies whenever they need or want
them, including virtual bodies in diverse realms of virtual reality.” Neat, huh?
But for now, it’s pretty much dust to dust, the way it’s always been — mothers
included. (Most of our fathers are long gone, alas. Women live longer than men.)
It’s the ones who aren’t dead who should baffle us. My own mother, for instance,
still goes to the Boston Symphony and attends a weekly current events class at
Brookhaven, her “lifecare living” center (can’t we find a less technocratic
word?) near Boston. She writes poems in iambic pentameter for every occasion. At
94, she’s hardly anomalous: there are plenty of nonagenarians at Brookhaven.
Ninety is the new old age. As Dr. Muriel Gillick, a specialist in geriatrics and
palliative care at Harvard Medical School, says, “If you’ve made it to 85 then
you have a reasonable chance of making it to 90.” That number has nearly tripled
in the last 30 years. And if you get that far... it’s been estimated that there
will be eight million centenarians by 2050.
It won’t end there. Scientists are closing in on the mechanism of what are
called “senescent cells,” which cause the tissue deterioration responsible for
aging. Studies of mice suggest that targeting these cells can slow down the
process. “Every component of cells gets damaged with age,” Leonard Guarente, a
biology professor at M.I.T., explained to me. “It’s like an old car. You have to
repair it.” We’re not talking about immortality, Professor Guarente cautions.
Biotechnology has its limits. “We’re just extending the trend.” Extending the
trend? I can hear it now: 110 is the new 100.
Is this a good thing or a bad thing? On the debit side, there’s the ... debit.
The old-age safety net is already frayed. According to some estimates, Social
Security benefits will run out by 2037; Medicare insurance is guaranteed only
through 2024. These projected shortfalls are in part the unintended consequence
of the American health fetish. The ad executives in “Mad Men” firing up Lucky
Strikes and dosing themselves with Canadian Club didn’t have to worry. They’d be
dead long before it was time to collect.
Then there’s the question of whether reaching 5 score and 10 is worth it — the
quality-of-life question. Who wants to end up — as Jaques intones in “As You
Like It” — “sans teeth, sans eyes, sans taste, sans everything”? You may live to
be as old as Methuselah, who lasted 969 years, but chances are you’ll feel it.
Worse — it’s no longer a rare event — you can outlive your children. Reading the
obituary of Christopher Ma, a Washington Post executive who had been a college
classmate of mine, I was especially sad to see that Chris was survived by his
wife, a daughter, a son, a brother, two sisters and “his mother, Margaret Ma of
Menlo Park, Calif.” Can anything more tragic befall a parent than to be
predeceased by a child?
These are the perils old people suffer. What about us, the boomers, now
ourselves elderly children? One challenge my entitled generation faces is that
many of our long-lived parents are running through their retirement money, which
leaves the burden of supporting them to us. (To their credit, it’s a burden that
often bothers our parents, too.) And the cost of end-stage health care is huge —
a giant portion of all medical expenses in this country are incurred in the last
months of life. Meanwhile, our prospects of retirement recede on the horizon.
Also, elder care is stressful and time consuming. The broken hips, the trips to
the E.R., the bill paying and insurance paperwork demand patience. A paper
titled “Personality Traits of Centenarians’ Offspring” suggests this cohort
scores high marks “extraversion, openness, agreeableness and conscientiousness.”
But even the well-adjusted find looking after old parents tough.
In the mid-’80s, when the idea of the “sandwich generation” was born — boomers
saddled with the care of aging parents while raising their own children — it
seemed like a problem we would eventually outgrow. Twenty-five years later,
we’re still sandwiched, and some of those caught in the middle feel the squeeze.
So what’s the good part? Time spent with an elderly parent can offer an
opportunity for the resolution of “unfinished business,” a chance to indulge in
last-act candor. A college classmate writes in our 40th-reunion book of
ministering to her chronically ill mother and being “moved by how the twists and
turns of complicated health care have deepened our relationship.” I hear a lot
about late-in-life bonding between parent and child.
My mother needs a minor operation. “I’ve outlasted my time,” she says as she’s
wheeled into surgery. “Anyway, you’re too old to have a mother.” Thanks, Ma.
What about Rupert Murdoch? His mother is 102. Also, if I’m too old to have a
mother, why do I still feel like a child?
Two weeks later, Mom comes to Vermont to recuperate. My father, who died a
decade ago at 87, is buried in the field behind our house (hope this is legal).
His gravestone reads “Donald Herman Atlas 1913-2001,” and it has an epitaph from
his favorite poet, T. S. Eliot, carved in italics: “I grow old ... I grow old
.../ I shall wear the bottoms of my trousers rolled.” Mom likes to visit him
there. Standing over Dad’s grave, she carries on a dialogue of one. “I thought
I’d have joined you by now, Donny, but I’m a tough old bird.” As she heads back
up to the house, she turns and waves. “À bientôt.” See you soon.
Not so fast, Mom. I still have issues.
James Atlas
is the author of “My Life in the Middle Ages: A Survivor’s Tale.”
Life Goes On, and On ..., NYT, 17.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/18/opinion/sunday/old-age-life-goes-on-and-on.html
Iraq, a War Obama Didn’t Want, Shaped His Foreign Policy
December 17, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER
WASHINGTON — President Obama has made good on his campaign
pledge to end the Iraq war, portraying the departure of the last troops as a
chance to turn to nation-building at home.
But from Afghanistan to the Arab Spring, from China to counterterrorism, the
lessons of that war still hang over the administration’s foreign policy —
shaping, and sometimes limiting, how the president projects American power in
the world.
The war that Mr. Obama never wanted to fight has weighed on internal debates,
dictated priorities and often narrowed options for the United States, according
to current and former administration officials.
Most tangibly, the swift American drawdown in Iraq will influence how the United
States handles the endgame in Afghanistan, where NATO forces have agreed to hand
over security and pull out by 2014. The fact that the troops are leaving Iraq
without a wholesale breakdown in security, some analysts said, may embolden a
war-weary administration to move up the timetable for getting out of
Afghanistan.
It has also shifted the balance of power in Washington, from the military
commanders, who were desperate to leave a residual force of soldiers in Iraq,
toward Mr. Obama’s civilian advisers, who are busy calculating how getting them
all home by Christmas might help their boss’s re-election bid.
“There used to be a hot debate over even setting a timetable,” said Benjamin J.
Rhodes, a deputy national security adviser. While he cautioned that Iraq is not
a perfect precedent for Afghanistan, “there should be no doubt about our
commitment to follow through on the timelines we set in Afghanistan,” he said.
Mr. Rhodes, who wrote Mr. Obama’s foreign policy speeches during his 2008
campaign, said Iraq was a “dramatically underrepresented element of the way in
which people look at Obama’s foreign policy.” As a candidate whose opposition to
the war helped define him, Mr. Rhodes said, “Senator Obama constructed an entire
argument of foreign policy, based on Iraq.”
His argument had two central pillars: that Iraq had taken the United States’ eye
off the real battle in Afghanistan, and that it had diminished the United
States’ standing in the world. This led directly to two of the administration’s
most significant foreign policy and national security projects: Mr. Obama’s
lethal counterterrorism strategy and his recent series of diplomatic and
military initiatives in Asia.
The drone strikes and commando raids that the president recently boasted had
killed “22 out of 30 top Al Qaeda leaders,” including Osama bin Laden, were
honed in the night raids by American troops on militants in Iraq.
Mr. Obama’s emphasis on restoring the United States’ place in Asia grew out of a
post-Iraq “strategic rebalancing” pushed by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham
Clinton and the national security adviser, Thomas E. Donilon. The war, they
contend, sucked American time and resources from other parts of the world,
allowing China to expand its sway throughout much of the Pacific Rim.
In the early days of his presidency, as Mr. Obama weighed more troop deployments
in Afghanistan, he was still heavily influenced by commanders like Gen. David H.
Petraeus, who was fresh off his successful “surge” in Iraq and pressed for an
ambitious counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan.
“Here was a general who, in Petraeus’s case, had turned around a situation
dramatically in Iraq, and was offering to do it again,” said Bruce O. Riedel,
who ran the White House’s initial policy review on Afghanistan.
By 2011, however, Mr. Obama had developed his own views about the use of
military force. His reluctant intervention in Libya — only after receiving the
imprimatur of the Arab League, and then with limited military engagement — bore
the hallmarks of a post-Iraq operation. In Syria, where a dictator in the
Baathist tradition of Saddam Hussein has killed his own people, the United
States has not considered a no-fly zone, let alone broader military
intervention.
“The larger legacy of Iraq was that the U.S. military cannot shape outcomes,”
said Vali Nasr, a former senior adviser in the State Department. “That led to
skittishness on our part about using the military.”
Mr. Obama made much of his commitment to a multilateral foreign policy, in
contrast to President George W. Bush’s unilateral invasion of Iraq. That, his
advisers say, grew out of a conviction the United States needed to work with
others and forge consensus to restore its moral standing.
But it also reflects a sober economic reality: with more than $800 billion in
costs from the Iraq war — and nearly $450 billion from Afghanistan — the United
States can no longer afford another big, go-it-alone military campaign.
“The impulse toward multilateralism is more complicated,” said Dennis B. Ross,
who until last month was one of Mr. Obama’s senior Middle East advisers. “There
is a desire, understandably, for our actions to have greater legitimacy on the
world stage. But there is also an interest in burden-sharing and sharing the
cost as well.”
Some analysts argue that the administration’s multilateral approach owes less to
Iraq than it does to traditional Democratic Party philosophy.
“No doubt, Iraq contributed to his view that we should wield power less, should
not act without U.N. resolutions and multilateral support, and should try to
‘engage’ with hostile regimes, but I suspect the president held those views
years earlier,” said Elliott Abrams, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign
Relations who worked in the George W. Bush and Reagan administrations.
“That’s pretty standard stuff on the left,” he added. “Iraq made them more
central to his actions as president, but I doubt it taught him much.”
The Bush administration had hoped that Iraq would be a catalyst for democratic
change across the Arab world. But there is little evidence that Iraq prepared
the United States for the political changes that swept over the Middle East and
North Africa this spring, eight years after American troops toppled Mr. Hussein.
The Obama administration’s initial response to the upheaval in Egypt and
elsewhere was halting, as it balanced its support for the protesters with its
fear of losing strategic allies. Mr. Rhodes said Iraq’s legacy was visible in
the administration’s insistence on homegrown, rather than externally imposed,
democratic change. That is likely to mean coming to terms with rulers it views
as less than ideal, like the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist parties,
which made striking gains in Egypt’s recent parliamentary elections.
“Iraq has taught us we can live with Islamists,” Mr. Nasr said. “We can live
with a Maliki in Egypt,” he said, referring to Iraq’s Shiite prime minister,
Nuri Kamal al-Maliki. “Iraq exorcised the way we latched on to secular
dictators.”
Iraq, a War Obama Didn’t Want, Shaped His
Foreign Policy, NYT, 17.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/18/us/politics/iraq-war-shaped-obamas-foreign-policy-white-house-memo.html
Obama Praises Troops as He Ends the War He Opposed
December 14, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
FORT BRAGG, N.C. — President Obama observed the end of the war
in Iraq on Wednesday before an audience of those who fought in it, telling a
crowd of returning war veterans that the nearly nine years of conflict in Iraq,
a war now indelibly imprinted on the national psyche, had come to a close.
“As your commander in chief, and on behalf of a grateful nation, I’m proud to
finally say these two words,” Mr. Obama told a crowded hangar at this famed
North Carolina army base that is home to the 82nd Airborne Division: “Welcome
home.”
Calling it a “historic moment,” Mr. Obama, who has over the years of his
presidency had his ups and down with his own military leaders, if not the
enlisted men and women, infused his remarks with far more accolades for the
military than the usual few that he dispenses to local politicians at the
beginning of most of his standard speeches.
This time, he thanked the “legendary” 82nd Airborne Division. He thanked senior
enlisted leaders. And the Sky Dragons of the 18th Airborne Corps. And the
Special Operations Forces. And military families. In fact, the president wrapped
himself in all of the storied patriotism and history of the country’s armed
forces, congratulating the assembled troops for the job they did in Iraq — a war
which he himself never approved.
It was a tough balance to strike. Mr. Obama had to speak of legendary battles in
places like Falluja without referencing the weapons of mass destruction that
were never found; he noted the sectarian violence without bringing up the years
of fear that gripped the United States and the rest of the world back in 2004,
2005 and 2006, when it looked as if the American invasion of Iraq would engulf
an already volatile region.
“We remember the early days — the American units that streaked across the sands
and skies of Iraq,” Mr. Obama said. “In battles from Nasiriya to Karbala to
Baghdad, American troops broke the back of a brutal dictator in less than a
month.”
And yet, Mr. Obama said, “we know too well the heavy costs” of the Iraq War:
“Nearly 4,500 Americans have made the ultimate sacrifice, including 202 fallen
heroes from here at Fort Bragg. 202.”
The speech was the latest in a series of public appearances orchestrated by the
White House to signal the end of the conflict and to drive home the point that
Mr. Obama fulfilled one of his 2008 presidential campaign promises. At times
somber, at times ebullient — there were plenty of “Hooahs” during his speech —
the president tried to project an understanding of what the people, who have
seen their family members go off to fight a war that most Americans came to
oppose, have been through.
“There have been missed birthday parties and graduations,” Mr. Obama said.
“There are bills to pay and jobs that have to be juggled with picking up the
kids. For every soldier that goes on patrol, there are the husbands and wives,
mothers and fathers, sons and daughters praying that they come back.”
Mr. Obama made the trip to Fort Bragg, his first since taking office, as both
the commander in chief who has brought soldiers home and as a presidential
candidate. He brought along his wife, Michelle, who has been working with
veterans’ families since Mr. Obama took office. At times, the visit seemed like
a campaign swing.
While he eschewed any of the usual criticism of Republicans and never even
mentioned the names of either of the front-runners in the Republican primaries,
Newt Gingrich or Mitt Romney, Mr. Obama spent a long 20 minutes after his speech
pressing the flesh. He plunged deep into the crowd of army fatigues and burgundy
berets — signifying active-duty service members — seeming determined to shake
hands with each and everyone there.
Mr. Obama’s campaign advisers see North Carolina, a traditionally red state that
Mr. Obama unexpectedly won in 2008, as a potential key to the president’s
re-election path.But Fort Bragg and neighboring Fayetteville, with its large
African-American population full of veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan, will need
to join urban areas like Charlotte, Greensboro and Raleigh-Durham in turning out
for Mr. Obama if the president is to have a chance of repeating that unlikely
victory next year.
On Tuesday, Jim Messina, Mr. Obama’s campaign manager, presented reporters with
a slide show mapping out several Obama pathways to victory next year. One
crucial path, he said, included winning North Carolina and Virginia — both
states that John Kerry lost in 2004, but that Mr. Obama won in 2008. Already,
the Obama campaign has opened up operations in North Carolina, and it is banking
on the state’s changed demographics, including an influx of young,
college-educated people. The Obama campaign is also hoping for high turnout
among African-Americans, who make up 22 percent of the state’s population and 41
percent of Fayetteville’s population.
Charlotte will host the Democratic National Convention next September.
Meanwhile, Mitt Romney has already taken out television advertisements here in
North Carolina, including one that ran this week, targeting Mr. Obama’s handling
of the economy.
Mr. Obama has been working hard to get credit for ending the Iraq war, a promise
that was a centerpiece of his 2008 campaign. But it remains to be seen whether
his successful completion of his promise to end the war will have much resonance
next year, as the country continues to struggle through the fragile economic
recovery.
Fort Bragg is home to a variety of troops, including the Army Special
Operations, the 18th Airborne Corps and the 82nd Airborne Division. Fort Bragg
soldiers have been in the thick of the fighting in the Iraqi theater from Day 1
of the American invasion in 2003.
“For all of the challenges that our nation faces, you remind us that there’s
nothing that we Americans can’t do when we stick together,” Mr. Obama said.
“It’s why the United States military is the most respected institution in our
land. It’s why you, the 9/11 generation, have earned your place in history.”
He concluded with “I am proud of you.”
Obama Praises Troops as He Ends the War He
Opposed, NYT, 14.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/15/us/at-fort-bragg-obama-showers-praise-on-troops-back-from-iraq.html
Obama in
Osawatomie
December 6,
2011
The New York Times
After months
of Republican candidates offering a cascade of bad ideas about the economy,
President Obama’s speech in Osawatomie, Kan., Tuesday came as a relief. He made
it clear that he was finally prepared to contest the election on the issues of
income inequality and the obligation of both government and the private sector
to enlarge the nation’s shrinking middle class.
The economic downturn, combined with ideological gridlock, has created a
“make-or-break moment” for the middle class and for those trying to enter it, he
said. Mr. Obama correctly framed the choice for voters: The country can return
to policies that stacked the deck for the wealthy and left everyone else to fend
for themselves, creating what he called “you’re on your own economics.” Or
elected officials can step in to keep competition fair and ensure the government
has enough money to protect the vulnerable and invest in education and research.
The speech felt an awfully long time in coming, but it was the most potent blow
the president has struck against the economic theory at the core of every
Republican presidential candidacy and dear to the party’s leaders in Congress.
The notion that the market will take care of all problems if taxes are kept low
and regulations are minimized may look great on a bumper sticker, but, he said:
“It doesn’t work. It has never worked.” Not before the Great Depression, not in
the ’80s, and not in the last decade.
The president repeated his calls for the rich to pay higher taxes, for financial
institutions to be more closely regulated and for education to become a national
mission. What set this speech apart was the newly forceful explanation of why
those policies are necessary. Incomes of the top 1 percent, he noted, have more
than doubled in the last decade while the average income has fallen by 6
percent.
The chances of a poor child making it into the middle class have severely
diminished since World War II, he said. That, he said, “flies in the face of
everything that we stand for.”
It is rare for a president to be so explicit about a national income gap, but it
is hardly “un-American” to think about it, as Newt Gingrich said recently. In
fact, it is a pressing issue that goes back more than a century. Mr. Obama spoke
in the same town where Theodore Roosevelt issued his call for a square deal in
1910. In demanding “a new nationalism,” Roosevelt supported strong government
oversight of business, a “graduated income tax on big fortunes,” an inheritance
tax and the primacy of labor over capital. For that, he was called a socialist
and worse, as Mr. Obama observed, having endured the same.
Mr. Obama was late to Roosevelt’s level of passion and action on behalf of the
middle class and the poor, having missed several opportunities to make the tax
burden more fair and demand real action on the housing crisis from the big banks
that he excoriated so effectively in his speech.
But he has fought energetically for a realistic plan to put Americans back to
work and has been stymied at every step by Republicans. That seems to have
burned away his old urge to conciliate and compromise, and he is now fully
engaged against the philosophy of his opponents.
Tuesday’s speech, in fact, seemed expressly designed to counter Mitt Romney’s
argument that business, unfettered, will easily restore American jobs and
prosperity. Teddy Roosevelt knew better 101 years ago, and it was gratifying to
hear his fire reflected by President Obama.
Obama in Osawatomie, NYT, 6.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/07/opinion/president-obama-in-osawatomie.html
Obama
Strikes Populist Chord
With
Speech on G.O.P. Turf
December 6,
2011
The New York Times
By A. G. SULZBERGER
OSAWATOMIE,
Kan. — Laying out a populist argument for his re-election next year, President
Obama ventured into the conservative heartland on Tuesday to deliver his most
pointed appeal yet for a strong governmental role through tax and regulation to
level the economic playing field.
“This country succeeds when everyone gets a fair shot, when everyone does their
fair share and when everyone plays by the same rules,” Mr. Obama said in an
address that sought to tie his economic differences with Republicans into an
overarching message.
Infusing his speech with the moralistic language that has emerged in the Occupy
protests around the nation, Mr. Obama warned that growing income inequality
meant that the United States was undermining its middle class and, “gives lie to
the promise that’s at the very heart of America: that this is the place where
you can make it if you try.”
“This is a make-or-break moment for the middle class, and all those who are
fighting to get into the middle class,” Mr. Obama told the crowd packed into the
gym at Osawatomie High School.
“At stake,” he said, “is whether this will be a country where working people can
earn enough to raise a family, build a modest savings, own a home, and secure
their retirement.”
Mr. Obama purposefully chose this hardscrabble town of 4,500 people, about 50
miles south of Kansas City, Kan., where Theodore Roosevelt once laid out the
progressive platform he called “the New Nationalism” to put forth his case for a
payroll tax cut and his broader arguments against the Republican economic agenda
in what his aides hoped would be viewed as a defining speech.
Though it was lacking in specific new policy prescriptions, the hourlong speech,
and the days of buildup that preceded it, marked the president’s starkest attack
on what he described as the “breathtaking greed” that contributed to the
economic turmoil still reverberating around the nation. At one point, he noted
that the average income of the top 1 percent — adopting the marker that has been
the focus of the Occupy movement — has gone up by more than 250 percent, to $1.2
million a year.
The new tack reflected a decision by the White House and the president’s
campaign aides that — with the economic recovery still lagging and Republicans
in Congress continuing to oppose the president’s jobs proposals — the best
course for Mr. Obama is to try to present himself as the defender of
working-class Americans and Republicans as defenders of a small elite.
Republicans, though, portrayed the visit to Osawatomie (pronounced
oh-suh-WAHT-ah-mee) as an effort by the president to paper over his failed
stewardship of the national economy. Though unemployment levels dropped to 8.6
percent last month, they remain higher than the level at which any president has
been re-elected since the Great Depression.
Mitt Romney, one of the contenders for the Republican presidential nomination,
dismissed the president’s address. “I thought, ‘In what way is he like Teddy
Roosevelt?’ ” Mr. Romney said. “Teddy Roosevelt founded the Bull Moose Party.
One of those words applies when the president talks about how he’s helped the
economy.”
The trip was Mr. Obama’s third out of Washington in as many weeks to press for
passage of the payroll tax break, which would reduce the how much employees pay
for Social Security to 3.1 percent from the already reduced level of 4.2
percent. Under the Democratic proposal, which Republicans have blocked, the cut
that would go to most working Americans would be offset in the budget by a 1. 9
percent surtax on those with modified adjusted gross incomes of more than $1
million. If Congress takes no action, the tax will revert back to 6.2 percent
next month.
In Washington, the two parties remained at an impasse in their efforts to write
legislation to extend the tax cut, with Senate Republicans rejecting the latest
Democratic proposal and House Republicans still writing their own plan.
Though the earlier speeches on the payroll tax took place in swing states, the
fact that the president brought the message to one of the most reliably
Republican states in the country shows that he and his party are increasingly
confident that they have found a message that resonates with voters.
This speech, however, was cast in broad historical terms, with Mr. Obama
declaring that that after a century of struggle to build it, the middle class
has been steadily eroded, even before the current economic turmoil, by
Republican policies intended to reduce the size and scope of government —
ranging from tax cuts for the wealthy to deregulation of Wall Street.
“Fewer and fewer of the folks who contributed to the success of our economy
actually benefited from that success,” he said. “Those at the very top grew
wealthier from their incomes and investments than ever before. But everyone else
struggled with costs that were growing and paychecks that weren’t — and too many
families found themselves racking up more and more debt.”
Mr. Obama sought to pre-empt a Republican response that he was engaging in class
warfare. “This isn’t about class warfare,” he said. “This is about the nation’s
welfare.”
The visit was unusual for its setting in a state that he lost decisively despite
his own family roots — his mother was born in Kansas. The vast majority of his
visits as president have been to swing states like Pennsylvania that are
expected to play an important role in next year’s election. But it was here, 101
years ago, that Theodore Roosevelt laid the intellectual framework for his
unsuccessful bid for a third term after leaving the Republican party. That
speech, which Mr. Obama referred to repeatedly, touched on many of the same
themes — often in similar language — like concentration of wealth and the need
for government to ensure a level playing field. Central to progress, Mr.
Roosevelt said, was the conflict between “the men who possess more than they
have earned and the men who have earned more than they possess.”
Mr. Obama, to laughter from those familiar with attacks against him, noted: “For
this, Roosevelt was called a radical, he was called a socialist, even a
communist.”
After the speech, one woman in the audience, Debra Harrison said the president
put voice to her concerns about this community, which has been eroded by job
losses and depopulation.
“We’re doing what the middle class has always done in this country,” said Ms.
Harrison, 51, who works at a nearby bank, shaking her head. “We work hard. We
teach our kids to work hard. But it’s very hard for us to keep our heads above
water these days. And it’s even harder for our kids.”
Helene Cooper
and Robert Pear contributed reporting.
Obama Strikes Populist Chord With Speech on G.O.P. Turf, NYT, 6.11.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/07/us/politics/
obama-strikes-populist-chord-with-speech-in-heartland.html
Text:
Obama’s Speech in Kansas
December 6,
2011
The New York Times
Following is a text of President Obama’s prepared remarks in Osawatomie,
Kan.,
as released by the White House on Tuesday:
Good
afternoon. I want to start by thanking a few of the folks who’ve joined us
today. We’ve got the mayor of Osawatomie, Phil Dudley; your superintendent, Gary
French; the principal of Osawatomie High, Doug Chisam. And I’ve brought your
former governor, who’s now doing an outstanding job as our Secretary of Health
and Human Services, Kathleen Sebelius.
It is great to be back in the state of Kansas. As many of you know, I’ve got
roots here. I’m sure you’re all familiar with the Obamas of Osawatomie.
Actually, I like to say that I got my name from my father, but I got my accent –
and my values – from my mother. She was born in Wichita. Her mother grew up in
Augusta. And her father was from El Dorado. So my Kansas roots run deep.
My grandparents served during World War II — he as a soldier in Patton’s Army,
she as a worker on a bomber assembly line. Together, they shared the optimism of
a nation that triumphed over a Depression and fascism. They believed in an
America where hard work paid off, responsibility was rewarded, and anyone could
make it if they tried — no matter who you were, where you came from, or how you
started out.
These values gave rise to the largest middle class and the strongest economy the
world has ever known. It was here, in America, that the most productive workers
and innovative companies turned out the best products on Earth, and every
American shared in that pride and success — from those in executive suites to
middle management to those on the factory floor. If you gave it your all, you’d
take enough home to raise your family, send your kids to school, have your
health care covered, and put a little away for retirement.
Today, we are still home to the world’s most productive workers and innovative
companies. But for most Americans, the basic bargain that made this country
great has eroded. Long before the recession hit, hard work stopped paying off
for too many people. Fewer and fewer of the folks who contributed to the success
of our economy actually benefitted from that success. Those at the very top grew
wealthier from their incomes and investments than ever before. But everyone else
struggled with costs that were growing and paychecks that weren’t – and too many
families found themselves racking up more and more debt just to keep up.
For many years, credit cards and home equity loans papered over the harsh
realities of this new economy. But in 2008, the house of cards collapsed. We all
know the story by now: Mortgages sold to people who couldn’t afford them, or
sometimes even understand them. Banks and investors allowed to keep packaging
the risk and selling it off. Huge bets – and huge bonuses – made with other
people’s money on the line. Regulators who were supposed to warn us about the
dangers of all this, but looked the other way or didn’t have the authority to
look at all.
It was wrong. It combined the breathtaking greed of a few with irresponsibility
across the system. And it plunged our economy and the world into a crisis from
which we are still fighting to recover. It claimed the jobs, homes, and the
basic security of millions – innocent, hard-working Americans who had met their
responsibilities, but were still left holding the bag.
Ever since, there has been a raging debate over the best way to restore growth
and prosperity; balance and fairness. Throughout the country, it has sparked
protests and political movements – from the Tea Party to the people who have
been occupying the streets of New York and other cities. It’s left Washington in
a near-constant state of gridlock. And it’s been the topic of heated and
sometimes colorful discussion among the men and women who are running for
president.
But this isn’t just another political debate. This is the defining issue of our
time. This is a make or break moment for the middle class, and all those who are
fighting to get into the middle class. At stake is whether this will be a
country where working people can earn enough to raise a family, build a modest
savings, own a home, and secure their retirement.
Now, in the midst of this debate, there are some who seem to be suffering from a
kind of collective amnesia. After all that’s happened, after the worst economic
crisis since the Great Depression, they want to return to the same practices
that got us into this mess. In fact, they want to go back to the same policies
that have stacked the deck against middle-class Americans for too many years.
Their philosophy is simple: we are better off when everyone is left to fend for
themselves and play by their own rules.
Well, I’m here to say they are wrong. I’m here to reaffirm my deep conviction
that we are greater together than we are on our own. I believe that this country
succeeds when everyone gets a fair shot, when everyone does their fair share,
and when everyone plays by the same rules. Those aren’t Democratic or Republican
values; 1% values or 99% values. They’re American values, and we have to reclaim
them.
You see, this isn’t the first time America has faced this choice. At the turn of
the last century, when a nation of farmers was transitioning to become the
world’s industrial giant, we had to decide: would we settle for a country where
most of the new railroads and factories were controlled by a few giant
monopolies that kept prices high and wages low? Would we allow our citizens and
even our children to work ungodly hours in conditions that were unsafe and
unsanitary? Would we restrict education to the privileged few? Because some
people thought massive inequality and exploitation was just the price of
progress.
Theodore Roosevelt disagreed. He was the Republican son of a wealthy family. He
praised what the titans of industry had done to create jobs and grow the
economy. He believed then what we know is true today: that the free market is
the greatest force for economic progress in human history. It’s led to a
prosperity and standard of living unmatched by the rest of the world.
But Roosevelt also knew that the free market has never been a free license to
take whatever you want from whoever you can. It only works when there are rules
of the road to ensure that competition is fair, open, and honest. And so he
busted up monopolies, forcing those companies to compete for customers with
better services and better prices. And today, they still must. He fought to make
sure businesses couldn’t profit by exploiting children, or selling food or
medicine that wasn’t safe. And today, they still can’t.
In 1910, Teddy Roosevelt came here, to Osawatomie, and laid out his vision for
what he called a New Nationalism. “Our country,” he said, “…means nothing unless
it means the triumph of a real democracy…of an economic system under which each
man shall be guaranteed the opportunity to show the best that there is in him.”
For this, Roosevelt was called a radical, a socialist, even a communist. But
today, we are a richer nation and a stronger democracy because of what he fought
for in his last campaign: an eight hour work day and a minimum wage for women;
insurance for the unemployed, the elderly, and those with disabilities;
political reform and a progressive income tax.
Today, over one hundred years later, our economy has gone through another
transformation. Over the last few decades, huge advances in technology have
allowed businesses to do more with less, and made it easier for them to set up
shop and hire workers anywhere in the world. And many of you know firsthand the
painful disruptions this has caused for a lot of Americans.
Factories where people thought they would retire suddenly picked up and went
overseas, where the workers were cheaper. Steel mills that needed 1,000
employees are now able to do the same work with 100, so that layoffs were too
often permanent, not just a temporary part of the business cycle. These changes
didn’t just affect blue-collar workers. If you were a bank teller or a phone
operator or a travel agent, you saw many in your profession replaced by ATMs or
the internet. Today, even higher-skilled jobs like accountants and middle
management can be outsourced to countries like China and India. And if you’re
someone whose job can be done cheaper by a computer or someone in another
country, you don’t have a lot of leverage with your employer when it comes to
asking for better wages and benefits – especially since fewer Americans today
are part of a union.
Now, just as there was in Teddy Roosevelt’s time, there’s been a certain crowd
in Washington for the last few decades who respond to this economic challenge
with the same old tune. “The market will take care of everything,” they tell us.
If only we cut more regulations and cut more taxes – especially for the wealthy
– our economy will grow stronger. Sure, there will be winners and losers. But if
the winners do really well, jobs and prosperity will eventually trickle down to
everyone else. And even if prosperity doesn’t trickle down, they argue, that’s
the price of liberty.
It’s a simple theory – one that speaks to our rugged individualism and healthy
skepticism of too much government. It fits well on a bumper sticker. Here’s the
problem: It doesn’t work. It’s never worked. It didn’t work when it was tried in
the decade before the Great Depression. It’s not what led to the incredible
post-war boom of the 50s and 60s. And it didn’t work when we tried it during the
last decade.
Remember that in those years, in 2001 and 2003, Congress passed two of the most
expensive tax cuts for the wealthy in history, and what did they get us? The
slowest job growth in half a century. Massive deficits that have made it much
harder to pay for the investments that built this country and provided the basic
security that helped millions of Americans reach and stay in the middle class –
things like education and infrastructure; science and technology; Medicare and
Social Security.
Remember that in those years, thanks to some of the same folks who are running
Congress now, we had weak regulation and little oversight, and what did that get
us? Insurance companies that jacked up people’s premiums with impunity, and
denied care to the patients who were sick. Mortgage lenders that tricked
families into buying homes they couldn’t afford. A financial sector where
irresponsibility and lack of basic oversight nearly destroyed our entire
economy.
We simply cannot return to this brand of your-on-your-own economics if we’re
serious about rebuilding the middle class in this country. We know that it
doesn’t result in a strong economy. It results in an economy that invests too
little in its people and its future. It doesn’t result in a prosperity that
trickles down. It results in a prosperity that’s enjoyed by fewer and fewer of
our citizens.
Look at the statistics. In the last few decades, the average income of the top
one percent has gone up by more than 250%, to $1.2 million per year. For the top
one hundredth of one percent, the average income is now $27 million per year.
The typical CEO who used to earn about 30 times more than his or her workers now
earns 110 times more. And yet, over the last decade, the incomes of most
Americans have actually fallen by about six percent.
This kind of inequality – a level we haven’t seen since the Great Depression –
hurts us all. When middle-class families can no longer afford to buy the goods
and services that businesses are selling, it drags down the entire economy, from
top to bottom. America was built on the idea of broad-based prosperity – that’s
why a CEO like Henry Ford made it his mission to pay his workers enough so that
they could buy the cars they made. It’s also why a recent study showed that
countries with less inequality tend to have stronger and steadier economic
growth over the long run.
Inequality also distorts our democracy. It gives an outsized voice to the few
who can afford high-priced lobbyists and unlimited campaign contributions, and
runs the risk of selling out our democracy to the highest bidder. And it leaves
everyone else rightly suspicious that the system in Washington is rigged against
them – that our elected representatives aren’t looking out for the interests of
most Americans.
More fundamentally, this kind of gaping inequality gives lie to the promise at
the very heart of America: that this is the place where you can make it if you
try. We tell people that in this country, even if you’re born with nothing, hard
work can get you into the middle class; and that your children will have the
chance to do even better than you. That’s why immigrants from around the world
flocked to our shores.
And yet, over the last few decades, the rungs on the ladder of opportunity have
grown farther and farther apart, and the middle class has shrunk. A few years
after World War II, a child who was born into poverty had a slightly better than
50-50 chance of becoming middle class as an adult. By 1980, that chance fell to
around 40%. And if the trend of rising inequality over the last few decades
continues, it’s estimated that a child born today will only have a 1 in 3 chance
of making it to the middle class.
It’s heartbreaking enough that there are millions of working families in this
country who are now forced to take their children to food banks for a decent
meal. But the idea that those children might not have a chance to climb out of
that situation and back into the middle class, no matter how hard they work?
That’s inexcusable. It’s wrong. It flies in the face of everything we stand for.
Fortunately, that’s not a future we have to accept. Because there’s another view
about how we build a strong middle class in this country – a view that’s truer
to our history; a vision that’s been embraced by people of both parties for more
than two hundred years.
It’s not a view that we should somehow turn back technology or put up walls
around America. It’s not a view that says we should punish profit or success or
pretend that government knows how to fix all society’s problems. It’s a view
that says in America, we are greater together – when everyone engages in fair
play, everyone gets a fair shot, everyone does their fair share.
So what does that mean for restoring middle-class security in today’s economy?
It starts by making sure that everyone in America gets a fair shot at success.
The truth is, we’ll never be able to compete with other countries when it comes
to who’s best at letting their businesses pay the lowest wages or pollute as
much as they want. That’s a race to the bottom that we can’t win – and shouldn’t
want to win. Those countries don’t have a strong middle-class. They don’t have
our standard of living.
The race we want to win – the race we can win – is a race to the top; the race
for good jobs that pay well and offer middle-class security. Businesses will
create those jobs in countries with the highest-skilled, highest-educated
workers; the most advanced transportation and communication; the strongest
commitment to research and technology.
The world is shifting to an innovation economy. And no one does innovation
better than America. No one has better colleges and universities. No one has a
greater diversity of talent and ingenuity. No one’s workers or entrepreneurs are
more driven or daring. The things that have always been our strengths match up
perfectly with the demands of this moment.
But we need to meet the moment. We need to up our game. And we need to remember
that we can only do that together.
It starts by making education a national mission – government and businesses;
parents and citizens. In this economy, a higher education is the surest route to
the middle class. The unemployment rate for Americans with a college degree or
more is about half the national average. Their income is twice as high as those
who don’t have a high school diploma. We shouldn’t be laying off good teachers
right now – we should be hiring them. We shouldn’t be expecting less of our
schools – we should be demanding more. We shouldn’t be making it harder to
afford college – we should be a country where everyone has the chance to go.
In today’s innovation economy, we also need a world-class commitment to science,
research, and the next generation of high-tech manufacturing. Our factories and
their workers shouldn’t be idle. We should be giving people the chance to get
new skills and training at community colleges, so they can learn to make wind
turbines and semiconductors and high-powered batteries. And by the way – if we
don’t have an economy built on bubbles and financial speculation, our best and
brightest won’t all gravitate towards careers in banking and finance. Because if
we want an economy that’s built to last, we need more of those young people in
science and engineering. This country shouldn’t be known for bad debt and phony
profits. We should be known for creating and selling products all over the world
that are stamped with three proud words: Made in America.
Today, manufacturers and other companies are setting up shop in places with the
best infrastructure to ship their products, move their workers, and communicate
with the rest of the world. That’s why the over one million construction workers
who lost their jobs when the housing market collapsed shouldn’t be sitting at
home with nothing to do. They should be rebuilding our roads and bridges; laying
down faster railroads and broadband; modernizing our schools – all the things
other countries are already doing to attract good jobs and businesses to their
shores.
Yes, businesses, not government, will always be the primary generator of good
jobs with incomes that lift people into the middle class and keep them there.
But as a nation, we have always come together, through our government, to help
create the conditions where both workers and businesses can succeed.
Historically, that hasn’t been a partisan idea. Franklin Roosevelt worked with
Democrats and Republicans to give veterans of World War II, including my
grandfather, the chance to go to college on the GI Bill. It was Republican
President Dwight Eisenhower, a proud son of Kansas, who started the interstate
highway system and doubled-down on science and research to stay ahead of the
Soviets.
Of course, those productive investments cost money. And so we’ve also paid for
these investments by asking everyone to do their fair share. If we had unlimited
resources, no one would ever have to pay any taxes and we’d never have to cut
any spending. But we don’t have unlimited resources. And so we have to set
priorities. If we want a strong middle class, then our tax code must reflect our
values. We have to make choices.
Today that choice is very clear. To reduce our deficit, I’ve already signed
nearly $1 trillion of spending cuts into law, and proposed trillions more –
including reforms that would lower the cost of Medicare and Medicaid.
But in order to actually close the deficit and get our fiscal house in order, we
have to decide what our priorities are. Most immediately, we need to extend a
payroll tax cut that’s set to expire at the end of this month. If we don’t do
that, 160 million Americans will see their taxes go up by an average of $1,000,
and it would badly weaken our recovery.
But in the long term, we have to rethink our tax system more fundamentally. We
have to ask ourselves: Do we want to make the investments we need in things like
education, and research, and high-tech manufacturing? Or do we want to keep in
place the tax breaks for the wealthiest Americans in our country? Because we
can’t afford to do both. That’s not politics. That’s just math.
So far, most of the Republicans in Washington have refused, under any
circumstances, to ask the wealthiest Americans to go the same tax rates they
were paying when Bill Clinton was president.
Now, keep in mind, when President Clinton first proposed these tax increases,
folks in Congress predicted they would kill jobs and lead to another recession.
Instead, our economy created nearly 23 million jobs and we eliminated the
deficit. Today, the wealthiest Americans are paying the lowest taxes in over
half a century. This isn’t like in the early 50s, when the top tax rate was over
90%, or even the early 80s, when it was about 70%. Under President Clinton, the
top rate was only about 39%. Today, thanks to loopholes and shelters, a quarter
of all millionaires now pay lower tax rates than millions of middle-class
households. Some billionaires have a tax rate as low as 1%. One percent.
This is the height of unfairness. It is wrong that in the United States of
America, a teacher or a nurse or a construction worker who earns $50,000 should
pay a higher tax rate than somebody pulling in $50 million. It is wrong for
Warren Buffett’s secretary to pay a higher tax rate than Warren Buffett. And he
agrees with me. So do most Americans – Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.
And I know that many of our wealthiest citizens would agree to contribute a
little more if it meant reducing the deficit and strengthening the economy that
made their success possible.
This isn’t about class warfare. This is about the nation’s welfare. It’s about
making choices that benefit not just the people who’ve done fantastically well
over the last few decades, but that benefits the middle class, and those
fighting to get to the middle class, and the economy as a whole.
Finally, a strong middle class can only exist in an economy where everyone plays
by the same rules, from Wall Street to Main Street. As infuriating as it was for
all of us, we rescued our major banks from collapse, not only because a full
blown financial meltdown would have sent us into a second Depression, but
because we need a strong, healthy financial sector in this country.
But part of the deal was that we would not go back to business as usual. That’s
why last year we put in place new rules of the road that refocus the financial
sector on this core purpose: getting capital to the entrepreneurs with the best
ideas, and financing to millions of families who want to buy a home or send
their kids to college. We’re not all the way there yet, and the banks are
fighting us every inch of the way. But already, some of these reforms are being
implemented. If you’re a big bank or risky financial institution, you’ll have to
write out a “living will” that details exactly how you’ll pay the bills if you
fail, so that taxpayers are never again on the hook for Wall Street’s mistakes.
There are also limits on the size of banks and new abilities for regulators to
dismantle a firm that goes under. The new law bans banks from making risky bets
with their customers’ deposits, and takes away big bonuses and paydays from
failed CEOs, while giving shareholders a say on executive salaries.
All that is being put in place as we speak. Now, unless you’re a financial
institution whose business model is built on breaking the law, cheating
consumers, or making risky bets that could damage the entire economy, you have
nothing to fear from these new rules. My grandmother worked as a banker for most
of her life, and I know that the vast majority of bankers and financial service
professionals want to do right by their customers. They want to have rules in
place that don’t put them at a disadvantage for doing the right thing. And yet,
Republicans in Congress are already fighting as hard as they can to make sure
these rules aren’t enforced.
I’ll give you one example. For the first time in history, the reform we passed
puts in place a consumer watchdog who is charged with protecting everyday
Americans from being taken advantage of by mortgage lenders, payday lenders or
debt collectors. The man we nominated for the post, Richard Cordray, is a former
Attorney General of Ohio who has the support of most Attorneys General, both
Democrat and Republican, throughout the country.
But the Republicans in the Senate refuse to let him do his job. Why? Does anyone
here think the problem that led to our financial crisis was too much oversight
of mortgage lenders or debt collectors? Of course not. Every day we go without a
consumer watchdog in place is another day when a student, or a senior citizen,
or member of our Armed Forces could be tricked into a loan they can’t afford –
something that happens all the time. Financial institutions have plenty of
lobbyists looking out for their interests. Consumers deserve to have someone
whose job it is to look out for them. I intend to make sure they do, and I will
veto any effort to delay, defund, or dismantle the new rules we put in place.
We shouldn’t be weakening oversight and accountability. We should be
strengthening them. Here’s another example. Too often, we’ve seen Wall Street
firms violating major anti-fraud laws because the penalties are too weak and
there’s no price for being a repeat offender. No more. I’ll be calling for
legislation that makes these penalties count – so that firms don’t see
punishment for breaking the law as just the price of doing business.
The fact is, this crisis has left a deficit of trust between Main Street and
Wall Street. And major banks that were rescued by the taxpayers have an
obligation to go the extra mile in helping to close that deficit. At minimum,
they should be remedying past mortgage abuses that led to the financial crisis,
and working to keep responsible homeowners in their home. We’re going to keep
pushing them to provide more time for unemployed homeowners to look for work
without having to worry about immediately losing their house. The big banks
should increase access to refinancing opportunities to borrowers who have yet to
benefit from historically low interest rates. And they should recognize that
precisely because these steps are in the interest of middle-class families and
the broader economy, they will also be in the banks’ own long-term financial
interest.
Investing in things like education that give everybody a chance to succeed. A
tax code that makes sure everybody pays their fair share. And laws that make
sure everybody follows the rules. That’s what will transform our economy. That’s
what will grow our middle class again. In the end, rebuilding this economy based
on fair play, a fair shot, and a fair share will require all of us to see the
stake we have in each other’s success. And it will require all of us to take
some responsibility to that success.
It will require parents to get more involved in their children’s education,
students to study harder, and some workers to start studying all over again. It
will require greater responsibility from homeowners to not take out mortgages
they can’t afford, and remember that if something seems too good to be true, it
probably is.
It will require those of us in public service to make government more efficient,
effective, and responsive to people’s needs. That’s why we’re cutting programs
we don’t need, to pay for those we do. That’s why we’ve made hundreds of
regulatory reforms that will save businesses billions of dollars. That’s why
we’re not just throwing money at education, but challenging schools to come up
with the most innovative reforms and the best results.
And it will require American business leaders to understand that their
obligations don’t just end with their shareholders. Andy Grove, the former CEO
of Intel put it best: “There’s another obligation I feel personally,” he said,
“given that everything I’ve achieved in my career and a lot of what Intel has
achieved…were made possible by a climate of democracy, an economic climate and
investment climate provided by…the United States.”
This broader obligation can take different forms. At a time when the cost of
hiring workers in China is rising rapidly, it should mean more CEOs deciding
that it’s time to bring jobs back to the United States – not just because it’s
good for business, but because it’s good for the country that made their
business and their personal success possible.
I think about the Big Three Auto companies who, during recent negotiations,
agreed to create more jobs and cars in America; who decided to give bonuses, not
just to their executives, but to all their employees – so that everyone was
invested in the company’s success.
I think about a company based in Warroad, Minnesota called Marvin Windows and
Doors. During the recession, Marvin’s competitors closed dozens of plants and
let go hundreds of workers. But Marvin didn’t lay off a single one of their four
thousand or so employees. In fact, they’ve only laid off workers once in over a
hundred years. Mr. Marvin’s grandfather even kept his eight employees during the
Depression.
When times get tough, the workers agree to give up some perks and pay, and so do
the owners. As one owner said, “You can’t grow if you’re cutting your lifeblood
– and that’s the skills and experience your workforce delivers.” For the CEO,
it’s about the community: “These are people we went to school with,” he said.
“We go to church with them. We see them in the same restaurant. Indeed, a lot of
us have married local girls and boys. We could be anywhere. But we are in
Warroad.”
That’s how America was built. That’s why we’re the greatest nation on Earth.
That’s what our greatest companies understand. Our success has never just been
about survival of the fittest. It’s been about building a nation where we’re all
better off. We pull together, we pitch in, and we do our part, believing that
hard work will pay off; that responsibility will be rewarded; and that our
children will inherit a nation where those values live on.
And it is that belief that rallied thousands of Americans to Osawatomie – maybe
even some of your ancestors – on a rain-soaked day more than a century ago. By
train, by wagon, on buggy, bicycle, and foot, they came to hear the vision of a
man who loved this country, and was determined to perfect it.
“We are all Americans,” Teddy Roosevelt told them that day. “Our common
interests are as broad as the continent.” In the final years of his life,
Roosevelt took that same message all across this country, from tiny Osawatomie
to the heart of New York City, believing that no matter where he went, or who he
was talking to, all would benefit from a country in which everyone gets a fair
chance.
Well into our third century as a nation, we have grown and changed in many ways
since Roosevelt’s time. The world is faster. The playing field is larger. The
challenges are more complex.
But what hasn’t changed – what can never change – are the values that got us
this far. We still have a stake in each other’s success. We still believe that
this should be a place where you can make it if you try. And we still believe,
in the words of the man who called for a New Nationalism all those years ago,
“The fundamental rule in our national life – the rule which underlies all others
– is that, on the whole, and in the long run, we shall go up or down together.”
I believe America is on its way up. Thank you, God bless you, and may God bless
the United States of America.
Text: Obama’s Speech in Kansas, NYT, 6.11.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/07/us/politics/text-obamas-speech-in-kansas.html
The
Wonky Liberal
December
5, 2011
The New York Times
By DAVID BROOKS
Republicans have many strong arguments to make against the Obama administration,
but one major criticism doesn’t square with the evidence. This is the charge
that President Obama is running a virulently antibusiness administration that
spews out a steady flow of job- and economy-crushing regulations.
In the first place, President Obama has certainly not shut corporate-types out
of the regulatory process. According to data collected by the Center for
Progressive Reforms, 62 percent of the people who met with the White House
office in charge of reviewing regulations were representatives of industry,
while only 16 percent represented activist groups. At these meetings, business
representatives outnumbered activists by more than 4 to 1.
Nor is it true that the administration is blindly doing the bidding of the
liberal activist groups. On the contrary, the White House Office of Information
and Regulatory Affairs and its administrator, Cass Sunstein, have been the
subject of withering attacks from the left. The organization Think Progress says
the office is “appalling.” Mother Jones magazine is on the warpath. The
Huffington Post published a long article studded with negative comments from
unions and environmental activists.
If you step back and try to get some nonhysterical perspective, you come to the
following conclusion: This is a Democratic administration. Many of the major
agency jobs are held by people who come out of the activist community who are
not sensitive to the costs they are imposing on the economy. President Obama has
a political and philosophical incentive to restrain their enthusiasm. He has,
therefore, supported a strong review agency in the White House that does
rigorous cost-benefit analyses to review proposed regulations and minimize their
economic harm.
This office, under Sunstein, is incredibly wonky. It is composed of career
number-crunchers of no known ideological bent who try to measure the trade-offs
inherent in regulatory action. Deciding among these trade-offs involves relying
on both values and data. This office has tried to elevate the role of data so
that every close call is not just a matter of pleasing the right ideological
army.
Over all, the Obama administration has significantly increased the regulatory
costs imposed on the economy. But this is a difference of degree, not of kind.
During the final year of their administrations, presidents generally issue tons
of new rules. Nineteen-eighty-eight, under Ronald Reagan, 1992, under George
H.W. Bush and 2008, under George W. Bush, were monster years for new
regulations. In his first years, Obama has not increased regulatory costs more
than Reagan and the Bushes did in their final years.
Data collected by Bloomberg News suggest that the Obama White House has actually
reviewed 5 percent fewer rules than George W. Bush’s did at a similar point in
his presidency. What has increased is the cost of those rules.
George W. Bush issued regulations over eight years that cost about $60 billion.
During its first two years, the Obama regulations cost between $8 billion and
$16.5 billion, according to estimates by the administration itself, and $40
billion, according to data collected, more broadly, by the Heritage Foundation.
That’s a significant step up, as you’d expect when comparing Republican to
Democratic administrations, but it is not a socialist onslaught.
Nor is it clear that these additional regulations have had a huge effect on the
economy. Over the past 40 years, small business leaders have eloquently
complained about the regulatory burden. And they are right to. But it’s not
clear that regulations are a major contributor to the current period of slow
growth.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics asks companies why they have laid off workers.
Only 13 percent said regulations were a major factor. That number has not
increased in the past few years. According to the bureau, roughly 0.18 percent
of the mass layoffs in the first half of 2011 were attributable to regulations.
Some of the industries that are the subject of the new rules, like energy and
health care, have actually been doing the most hiring. If new regulations were
eating into business, we’d see a slip in corporate profits. We are not.
There are two large lessons here. First, Republican candidates can say they will
deregulate and, in some areas, that would be a good thing. But it will not
produce a short-term economic rebound because regulations are not a big factor
in our short-term problems.
Second, it is easy to be cynical about politics and to say that Washington is a
polarized cesspool. And it’s true that the interest groups and the fund-raisers
make every disagreement seem like a life-or-death struggle. But, in reality,
most people in government are trying to find a balance between difficult
trade-offs. Whether it’s antiterrorism policy or regulatory policy, most
substantive disagreements are within the 40 yard lines.
Obama’s regulations may be more intrusive than some of us would like. They are
not tanking the economy.
The Wonky Liberal, NYT, 5.12.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/06/opinion/brooks-the-wonky-liberal.html
White
House Shooting Suspect’s Path to Extremism
November
20, 2011
The New York Times
By WILLIAM YARDLEY
IDAHO FALLS
— A referee lifted Oscar Ortega’s hand high into the clear Rocky Mountain night
last summer. Mr. Ortega had not yet been accused of trying to kill the
president. He had not yet told the world he was Jesus Christ. Not until the next
morning would all the blows to his body make him urinate blood.
That July night at the rodeo grounds in Pocatello, with 2,000 people watching
beneath the dry Western sky, the lazy kid who used to smoke too much dope was
lucid and devastating in his debut as a mixed martial arts fighter. For the
first time anyone could remember, he was an undisputed winner.
It was his first bout, and it would be his last.
“When his hand was raised in that ring,” said Eric King, who helped train Mr.
Ortega at the Y.M.C.A. here, “I think that was one of the brightest moments of
his life.”
The fight ended in the second round, with Mr. Ortega astride his prone opponent
in what is called a full mount, pummeling him in the face. Technical knockout,
the referee ruled. Mr. Ortega carried his infant son, Israel, in triumph.
Now he may spend the rest of his life in prison. The government says that on
Nov. 11, Oscar Ramiro Ortega-Hernandez, 21, rode past the Ellipse in Washington
in a black Honda Accord he bought with money he earned waiting tables at his
family’s small chain of Mexican restaurants here. Investigators say he slowed
down as he passed the White House and fired a semiautomatic rifle from the
passenger window. Bullets struck the White House near the residential quarters.
The president and Michelle Obama were out of town.
The federal charges accuse Mr. Ortega of attempting to assassinate President
Obama. They say acquaintances claim that Mr. Ortega was trying to kill Mr. Obama
because he considered him “the Antichrist.”
That a religious extremist from a small town in Idaho would try to kill a black
Democratic president might seem like cinematic stock. The state has long been
stereotyped as violently antigovernment and racist. Remember the white
supremacists of Hayden Lake? Remember Ruby Ridge? But many people here in Idaho
Falls say the cliché is empty this time.
Mr. Ortega is a Mexican-American whose family knows the sound of ethnic slurs
and worries mostly about its restaurant business, not politics. People here say
that the only thing that could have motivated Mr. Ortega was mental illness —
but that they did not realize the severity of it until it was too late.
“I kind of thought we should sit down and talk with him,” said Mr. Ortega’s
sister, Yesenia Hernandez, “but then he was already gone.”
The family reported Mr. Ortega missing on Oct. 31, eight days after he left on
what he said was a vacation to Utah; instead, it was a trip to the East Coast.
His family never heard from him, and still has not.
Family members and others said that while Mr. Ortega was behaving increasingly
strangely — he read a 45-minute speech at his 21st birthday party in October
that veered from supporting marijuana legalization to detailing the threat of
secret societies to expressing frustration with American foreign policy in
oil-producing countries — he never seemed violent.
They said that he could not have truly wanted to kill the president, but that he
may have wanted a larger audience. He read his speech to anyone who would
listen. In September, Mr. Ortega made a video in which he asked Oprah Winfrey to
let him appear on television with her.
“You see, Oprah, there is still so much more that God needs me to express to the
world,” he says. “It’s not just a coincidence that I look like Jesus. I am the
modern-day Jesus Christ that you all have been waiting for.”
Mr. Ortega’s behavior and the age at which it appears to have begun to suggest
that he has “a textbook case” of schizophrenia, said Dr. E. Fuller Torrey, who
researches the disease and is the founder of the Treatment Advocacy Center in
Arlington, Va.
Dr. Torrey recalled working at St. Elizabeths Hospital in Washington, a
psychiatric treatment center, in the 1970s and 1980s.
“These folks often end up in Washington as what we used to call ‘White House
cases,’ ” he said. “A White House case classically is someone who comes to the
guard at the White House and says they have a special message for the president,
or they try to go over the wall. We’ve seen dozens. They almost always have
paranoid schizophrenia, and they almost always respond to medication.” Among the
patients being treated there is John W. Hinckley Jr., who shot President Ronald
Reagan in 1981.
Mr. Ortega, he acknowledged, is accused of going much further than pestering a
guard or climbing a wall.
“I can guarantee you that in his mind, it all makes perfect sense,” Dr. Torrey
said. “If he’s Christ, Obama’s the Antichrist.”
Mr. Ortega had a lengthy arrest record in and near Idaho Falls, but the charges
were mostly misdemeanors, like under-age drinking, and rarely involved violence.
“He really did fly under the radar,” said Joelyn Hansen, a spokeswoman for the
Idaho Falls Police Department.
Now the entire town knows who he is.
“He seemed like a nice guy, but when he started talking, it was like, wow,” said
Ramon Bailey, a student at Idaho State University who made the video of Mr.
Ortega in September, after they met at the gym. Mr. Bailey was among several
people traveling to Washington this week to testify before a grand jury.
Jake Chapman is also scheduled to make the trip to Washington. The AK-47 that
Mr. Ortega is accused of using to fire on the White House was registered to Mr.
Chapman, who said in an interview that he is known to friends as “the gun guy.”
He said that he sold the gun to Mr. Ortega in March for $550 and that he
believed it was the first gun Mr. Ortega owned.
Mr. Chapman, 21, said he had not heard Mr. Ortega talk of taking violent action.
But more than a year ago, he recalled, Mr. Ortega and others watched an
antigovernment film on the Internet called “The Obama Deception,” which was
written, directed and produced by Alex Jones, a Texas-based conservative talk
show host who has espoused a number of conspiracy theories involving the federal
government.
Ms. Hernandez, who is two years older than her brother, said their family’s
house was popular when they were children because they had a trampoline and lots
of video games. She described her brother as friendly but said he began getting
into trouble in his teens and dropped out of high school in 10th grade.
After several of what she and their mother, Maria Hernandez, said were aimless
years, Mr. Ortega seemed to be maturing last year. He returned from a long visit
with relatives in Mexico shortly before the birth of his son last year. He and
his girlfriend, the boy’s mother, separated several months ago. In a brief
interview, the girlfriend requested anonymity, saying only, “I love him, and I
know who he truly is.”
In addition to his son, whom friends and family say he doted on, Mr. Ortega was
devoted to mixed martial arts. He started training about a year ago and learned
quickly, developing strong stand-up fighting skills and often volunteering to
help others.
After years of eating junk food and caring little about his health, he started
paying close attention to his diet, drinking protein shakes and eating more
fruit and meat. Like other mixed martial arts fighters, when it came time to
fight, he quickly dropped weight, getting to 154 from about 165 in a few days,
in order to qualify for a lighter division, his trainers said.
He had let his hair and beard grow long in the last year. He told some people
that it was part of his fighting identity, meant to intimidate. More recently,
he said it was because he was Jesus.
“You ever heard of Andrei Arlovski, the fighter?” asked Mr. King, the trainer.
“Oscar looked like him. But he also looked like Jesus.”
White House Shooting Suspect’s Path to Extremism, NYT, 20.11.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/21/us/oscar-ortega-white-house-shooting-suspect-struggled-with-mental-illness.html
In
Gunshots, a Trail of Threats Is Reported
November
17, 2011
The New York Times
By CHARLIE SAVAGE
WASHINGTON
— Federal authorities on Thursday charged a 21-year-old Idaho man with
attempting to assassinate President Obama — saying he had told one friend that
the president was “the Antichrist” and that he “needed to kill him,” according
to a complaint filed in federal court.
The man, Oscar Ramiro Ortega-Hernandez of Idaho Falls, who is accused of
spraying bullets from an assault rifle at the residential floors of the White
House last week, was also “convinced the federal government is conspiring
against him” and had become “increasingly more agitated” before he disappeared
from Idaho last month, the complaint said.
The complaint was filed in conjunction with a brief appearance by Mr.
Ortega-Hernandez in a federal courthouse in Pittsburgh on Thursday afternoon. He
had been arrested on Wednesday at a hotel near the town of Indiana, Pa., and
officials intend to bring him back to the District of Columbia to face the
assassination charge, which carries a maximum sentence of life in prison.
Mr. Ortega-Hernandez was shackled and dressed in a white prison-issue jumpsuit.
He spoke only briefly during the hearing, muttering “yes ma’am” when asked by a
magistrate judge if he understood his legal rights.
Law enforcement officials had been hunting for Mr. Ortega-Hernandez since Friday
night, after discovering evidence linked to his identity in a black Honda Accord
with an Idaho license plate. The car was found abandoned on the lawn of the
United States Institute of Peace, about seven blocks west of the White House and
near a bridge over the Potomac River.
Minutes earlier, at least two witnesses had seen the car pause on Constitution
Avenue in front of the Ellipse — a grassy field between the White House and the
Washington Monument — as gunshots were fired out of its passenger window, after
which the vehicle sped away, according to the complaint.
A search of the car found a Romanian-made semiautomatic rifle with a “large
scope” mounted on its top, nine spent cartridges, and large amounts of
ammunition of the same size as a bullet later found at the White House. Two of
Mr. Ortega-Hernandez’s acquaintances in Idaho said he owned such a weapon, the
complaint said.
On Wednesday, agents of the Federal Bureau of Investigation searched the area
around the White House and located “several confirmed bullet impact points on
the south side of the building on or above the second story,” where the first
family’s residential quarters are located.
President Obama and his wife, Michelle, were out of town at the time of the
shooting, just after 9 p.m.; it is not clear if the authorities have evidence
showing whether Mr. Ortega-Hernandez believed that the president was at home.
The Secret Service has declined to say whether the Obamas’ daughters, Sasha and
Malia, were in the residence.
The president, who is in Bali, Indonesia, declined to answer a reporter’s
shouted question about the shooting during an appearance on Friday morning. He
walked out of a room without responding. Aides traveling with the president have
referred all questions to the Secret Service.
It was not clear why it took so long to discover the bullets. But Daniel
Bongino, a former Secret Service agent with the presidential protection
division, said in an interview that the search for bullet damage on the building
and grounds would have been like looking for “a needle in a haystack” and was
most likely conducted slowly and methodically to avoid missing or damaging any
evidence.
Mr. Ortega-Hernandez’s family had reported him missing in Idaho Falls last
month, after he drove away in the Honda Accord, the complaint said. The Secret
Service has said it did not have Mr. Ortega-Hernandez on record as having made
any threats against the president. But after the shooting, several acquaintances
said he had been fixated on Mr. Obama.
Besides the one friend who told investigators that Mr. Ortega-Hernandez had said
he believed the president was the “Antichrist” and that he needed to kill him,
another friend said he stated “President Obama was the problem with the
government,” was “the devil,” and that he “needed to be taken care of.” The
second friend also said he appeared to be “preparing for something.”
Mr. Ortega-Hernandez has had legal problems in Idaho, Texas, and Utah, including
charges related to drug offenses, resisting arrest and assault on a police
officer, officials have said. He is said to be heavily tattooed, with the word
“Israel” on his neck and pictures of rosary beads and hands clasped in prayer on
his chest.
Investigators searching the car found, in addition to the rifle and ammunition,
brass knuckles, a baseball bat, a sales receipt from a purchase at a Wal-Mart in
northern Virginia about four hours before the shooting, and a black hooded
jacket with “LA” written in the style of the Los Angeles Dodgers’ team logo.
The complaint said Mr. Ortega-Hernandez had been photographed at least twice
earlier that day wearing the jacket — on a surveillance tape at the Wal-Mart,
and when the police in nearby Arlington County, Va., had stopped him a few hours
earlier because someone reported that he was acting suspiciously. He was on foot
and unarmed, and the police let him go.
Mr. Bongino, who left the Secret Service in May and is now running for a United
States Senate seat in Maryland, said the agency was very likely now conducting
an “exhaustive review” of its security procedures on the outer edge of the White
House complex.
He predicted that the review would focus more on the agency’s response — how it
was that the gunman had been able to get away rather than being apprehended
quickly — than on how someone had managed to shoot at the White House in the
first place.
“The Secret Service’s job is not to prevent every bad thing from happening,” he
said. “You can’t prevent bad people from doing bad things. What you can do is
stop bad outcomes. And that’s what they did — the structure did what it was
supposed to do, and stopped that round.”
Officials have said that reinforcements on the building and its windows stopped
the bullets from penetrating the interior. Still, one of the bullets apparently
struck a window overlooking the Truman balcony, where the Obamas sometimes go
outside to relax.
Mr. Bongino noted, however, that Mr. Obama was not home and no one was on the
balcony, so there would have been a lower level of security.
Leah Welch
contributed reporting from Pittsburgh,
and Jackie
Calmes from Bali, Indonesia.
In Gunshots, a Trail of Threats Is Reported, NT, 17.11.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/18/us/attempted-assassination-charge-in-shooting-at-white-house.html
President to Ease Student Loan Burden
for
Low-Income Graduates
October 25,
2011
The New York Times
By TAMAR LEWIN
President
Obama will announce new programs Wednesday to lower monthly loan payments for
some students graduating next year and thereafter and to let borrowers who have
a mix of direct federal loans and loans under the old Federal Family Education
Loan Program consolidate them at a slightly lower interest rate.
At a press briefing Tuesday afternoon, Melody Barnes, director of the Domestic
Policy Council, said the president would use his executive authority to expand
the existing income-based repayment program with a “Pay as You Earn” option that
would allow graduates to pay 10 percent of their discretionary income for 20
years and have the rest of their federal student loan debt forgiven. That plan
would start next year.
Most of the 450,000 low-income student-loan borrowers currently enrolled in
income-based payment must pay 15 percent of their discretionary income for 25
years before having their debt forgiven, although terms are easier for those in
public service.
The lower caps of the new program were scheduled to go into effect for new
borrowers in 2014, but, Ms. Barnes said, “because we know the frustration of
crushing loan burdens, we have to act now.”
Ms. Barnes noted that over the last month, more than 30,000 people had signed a
petition on the We the People platform at whitehouse.gov, asking for relief on
student debt.
“It’s a message heard loud and clear,” she said.
The high cost of college and the growing debt burden of student loans have
become increasingly potent political issues in recent years, high on the agenda
of Occupy Wall Street and related protests across the country.
And the annual College Board reports on college prices and student aid, to be
released Wednesday, make it clear that with the weak economy, the college
affordability problem is getting worse.
At public universities and community colleges, costs for the current academic
year increased more than 8 percent, lifted in part by steep tuition increases in
California, according to the “Trends in College Pricing 2011” report.
While California’s whopping increases — 21 percent at the four-year universities
and 37 percent at the community colleges — were extreme, declining state support
for higher education has brought hefty tuition increases at many public
universities nationwide. Arizona and Washington, for example, increased their
in-state tuition and fees by 17 percent and 16 percent.
This is the fifth consecutive year in which the public universities that serve
most students raised their tuition at a faster rate than the far more expensive
private universities. And over the last three decades, the report found, the
average tuition at four-year state universities almost quadrupled.
“It is not surprising, but we do have issues we have to face,” said Sandy Baum,
the economist who is co-author of the report. “Families are struggling because
their incomes are not increasing, but states are struggling too.”
Adjusted for inflation, state appropriations per full-time student are about 23
percent lower than they were a decade ago.
“Families and students are paying more but they’re getting less,” said Jane
Wellman, executive director of the Delta Cost Project, “because what we’re
willing to invest in this generation is less than what we were willing to invest
in my generation.”
At Tuesday’s press briefing, Secretary of Education Arne Duncan estimated that
the debt-consolidation program could help 6 million borrowers who carry both
direct federal loans and loans made under the Federal Family Education Loan
program, which ended last year. Under that program, private lenders received
federal subsidies to make federally guaranteed loans to students; despite
lobbying by the banking industry, the Obama Administration killed the program,
redirecting billions of dollars of subsidies into expanded Pell grants for
low-income students.
Between January and June, Mr. Duncan said, borrowers making payments on both
kinds of loans can consolidate them and get a half-percent interest-rate cut.
The savings to pay for the lower loan rate, he said, would come from the lower
cost of administering the combined loan.
Further information on the new programs will be available at 1-800-4fedaid
(1-800-433-3243) or studentaid.ed.gov.
The Obama administration has taken other steps toward college affordability. The
American Opportunity Tax Credit, introduced in 2009, expanded the tax benefits
for college costs. According to the College Board’s new “Trends in Student Aid
2011,” report, higher education tax credits and deductions grew to $14.7 billion
in 2009, from $6.6 billion in 2008. People with adjusted gross incomes of
$100,000 to $180,000 got 26 percent of those tax savings, compared with 18
percent a year earlier. At the other end of the spectrum, the credits are
available even to those who owe no taxes.
According to the College Board, average in-state tuition at public universities
this year is $8,244, up from $7,613 last year; with room and board, the average
total charge is $17,131, up from $16,162 last year. But the averages mask
enormous variation from state to state: the University of New Hampshire’s
tuition is more than $13,500, compared with $2,600 in Puerto Rico and $4,100 in
Wyoming.
At private nonprofit four-year colleges, the average tuition is $28,500 this
year, a 4.5 percent increase on last year’s $27,265. With room and board, the
average total charges are $38,589, up from $36,971 last year. And at community
colleges, the average tuition and fees are $2,963, up 8.7 percent from last
year’s $2,727.
Only about a third of full-time students pay for college without some grant aid,
whether in the form of a federal Pell grant, a state scholarship or aid from the
college itself.
Net tuition —the amount a student actually pays, after grants and tax savings—
is often sharply lower than the published price. In fact, the College Board
report said, net tuition at community colleges was low enough that, when grants
and tax savings are taken into account, the average student can pay nothing out
of pocket and have $810 left over for books and living expenses.
This year, the report said, full-time students at state universities receive an
average of about $5,750 in grants and tax benefits, while students at private
nonprofit colleges get about $15,530 and those at community colleges about
$3,770.
President to Ease Student Loan Burden for Low-Income
Graduates, NYT, 25.10.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/26/education/26debt.html
Obama
Says Facts Support Accusation of Iranian Plot
October 13,
2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
WASHINGTON
— President Obama vowed on Thursday to push for what he called the “toughest
sanctions” against Iran, saying that the United States had strong evidence that
Iranian officials were complicit in an alleged plot to kill the Saudi ambassador
to the United States.
In his first public remarks on the assassination scheme, Mr. Obama sought to
counter skepticism about whether Iran’s Islamic government directed an
Iranian-American car salesman to engage with a Mexican drug cartel to kill Saudi
Arabia’s ambassador to the United States and carry out other attacks. Mr. Obama
insisted that American officials “know that he had direct links, was paid by,
and directed by individuals in the Iranian government.”
“Now those facts are there for all to see,” Mr. Obama said. “We would not be
bringing forward a case unless we knew exactly how to support all the
allegations that are contained in the indictment.”
The president did not lay out any specific new sanctions against Iran; his
administration is considering a number of measures, but has limited leverage and
would have to muster international support to impose anything with real teeth.
While Mr. Obama made his remarks during a news conference in the White House
East Room with the South Korean president, Lee Myung-bak, the State Department
said that United States officials had been in direct contact with the government
of Iran over the accusations.
The State Department spokeswoman, Victoria Nuland, would provide no details. But
Thursday night a White House official said the contact had been made by the
United States ambassador to the United Nations, Susan E. Rice, who gave a letter
to her Iranian counterpart, Mohammad Khazaee.
In her remarks about the alleged plot, Ms. Nuland said: “When you look at these
details, it seems like something out of a movie. But as you begin to give more
detail on what we knew and when we knew it and how we knew it, it has
credibility.”
Mr. Obama said that the administration had reached out to allies and the
international community to build support. “We’ve laid the facts before them,” he
said. “And we believe that after people have analyzed them, there will not be a
dispute that this is in fact what happened.”
The president got some support from some allied governments on Thursday. The
Saudi foreign minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, told reporters at a news
conference in Vienna that “this dastardly act reflects the policies of Iran.”
The Saudi government has not yet decided whether to withdraw its ambassador from
Tehran in protest, he said.
In London, the British foreign secretary, William Hague, told the House of
Commons that the suspected plot “would appear to constitute a major escalation
in Iran’s sponsorship of terrorism outside its borders,” British news agencies
reported. He added that the British government was “in close touch with the U.S.
authorities and will work to agree an international response, along with the
U.S., the rest of the E.U. and Saudi Arabia.”
Iran escalated its rebuttal of the American charges, saying the claims about the
alleged plot were so ludicrous that even politicians and the media in the United
States were expressing skepticism about them.
Iran’s state-run media was dominated on Thursday by rejections of the American
charges. The foreign minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, called the charges part of a
“new propaganda campaign.” The official IRNA news agency quoted Iran’s supreme
leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as saying: “Repeating stupid and useless methods
by hopeless Western policy makers to create Iranophobia will not be fruitful and
they will fail again.”
While Mr. Obama echoed assertions by other administration officials that Iranian
officials were complicit in the alleged plot, he did not go as far as some
officials did on Wednesday when they told reporters that they had concluded that
the operation had been discussed at the highest levels of the Iranian
government.
Appearing next to the South Korean president, Mr. Lee, who was in Washington for
a state visit, Mr. Obama promised to “apply the toughest sanctions and continue
to mobilize the international community to make sure that Iran is further and
further isolated and pays a price for this kind of behavior.” He said that all
options were on the table — a diplomatic signal that he would not rule out
military strikes — but administration officials privately say it is highly
unlikely that the United States would respond with force.
Instead, the administration will try to persuade Russia, China, Europe and India
to endorse tougher sanctions against Tehran. Thus far, the United States has
prodded its international partners to put in place limited sanctions against
Iranian officials involved in the country’s nuclear program, as part of the
international effort to rein in Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.
But that strategy has, so far, had limited success, with Russia and China in
particular wary about going too far in a direction that officials say could hurt
commercial interests in those countries.
The United States does virtually no business with Iran, and that leaves American
officials with few meaningful options for unilateral action. Some lawmakers in
the United States are calling for Mr. Obama to try to increase pressure on Iran
by punishing Russian and Chinese companies that do business with Iran’s energy
industry. But the administration has resisted such a move, which would
undoubtedly deeply anger Moscow and Beijing.
White House officials said they were still weighing what additional sanctions
they would push for in light of the alleged plot. One possibility,
administration officials said, would be to target Iran’s central bank. But that
likely would provoke resistance because it would entangle other countries or
entities that do business with the central bank. Another possibility would be to
focus on members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps who are involved in the
country’s oil industry. But that could affect global oil markets.
Standing next to Mr. Obama in the White House East Room Thursday, Mr. Lee gave
him a measured vote of confidence on the suspected plot.
“We were deeply shocked when we read the reports on the attempt to harm the
Saudi envoy here in Washington, D.C.,” Mr. Lee said. “I and the Korean people
strongly condemn all forms of terrorism.”
Artin Afkhami
contributed reporting from Boston, Steven Lee Myers from Washington, and Rick
Gladstone from New York.
Obama Says Facts Support Accusation of Iranian Plot, NYT,
13.10.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/14/us/obama-calls-for-iran-sanctions-following-alleged-plot.html
The
Other War Haunting Obama
October
8, 2011
The New York Times
By MARVIN KALB
Marvin
Kalb is a former network correspondent and is an emeritus professor at Harvard
and a co-author of “Haunting Legacy: Vietnam and the American Presidency from
Ford to Obama.”
TEN years after the start of the war in Afghanistan, an odd specter haunts the
Obama White House — the specter of Vietnam, a war lost decades before. Like
Banquo’s ghost, it hovers over the White House still, an unwelcome memory of
where America went wrong, a warning of what may yet go wrong.
When the United States loses to a “raggedy-ass, little fourth-rate country,” as
Lyndon B. Johnson described his North Vietnamese foe, the loss leaves an
unshakable legacy. There is no escape from history. Every president since Gerald
R. Ford has had to weigh the consequences of the Vietnam defeat when he
considers committing troops to war.
Ford, for example, was concerned that the United States might be seen as a
“paper tiger” after the Communist victory in Vietnam on April 30, 1975. And so,
two weeks later, he decided to use overwhelming military force against a handful
of Cambodian boats that had seized an American merchant ship, the Mayaguez, in
an act that Ford denounced as “piracy.” In 1979, when Soviet troops swept into
Afghanistan, an angry Jimmy Carter organized an unofficial alliance to give the
Soviets “their Vietnam” (which Afghanistan became).
In 1984, when Ronald Reagan withdrew from Lebanon after 241 American servicemen
were murdered in their Beirut barracks by Islamic fanatics, he told a friend
that the American people had been “spooked” by Vietnam and that he didn’t want a
similar experience in the Middle East. By 1990, President George Bush was
willing to send a half-million-strong army to drive Iraq out of Kuwait, but he
did so under the Powell Doctrine, drawn from the Vietnam experience: get
Congress to approve; use huge firepower; get in and out on a timetable of your
choosing.
Of all the presidents since Vietnam, Mr. Obama may be the most fascinating,
because — unlike Bill Clinton and George W. Bush — he was too young to have
fought in Vietnam or to have gamed the system and avoided service in it (as both
Mr. Clinton and Mr. Bush did).
Barack Obama was 3 when Johnson escalated the war, and 13 when Ford ordered
Americans to leave Saigon. As David Axelrod, one of Mr. Obama’s political
advisers, explained, “the whole debate about Vietnam — that was not part of his
life experience.” Nevertheless, time and again, he has found himself entangled
in its complexities.
During his presidential campaign, he visited Iraq and Afghanistan accompanied by
two senators. What did they discuss on the long flights to and from the war
zones? Mr. Obama kept asking: What could we learn about Vietnam that should now
be applied in Afghanistan?
At his first National Security Council meeting, in January 2009, he stressed
that “Afghanistan is not Vietnam.” Nevertheless, it echoed. Recent intelligence
had suggested that only an increase in American military aid could eliminate the
chance of a Taliban triumph. Mr. Obama, a Democrat who had never served in the
military, did not want to be saddled with a defeat. He ramped up American troop
strength, linked the problems in Afghanistan to those in Pakistan and ordered a
total review of America’s war strategy. Bruce O. Riedel, a former C.I.A. officer
who wrote the review, kept running into the Vietnam legacy wherever he turned.
“Vietnam,” he recalled, “walked the halls of the White House.” And none of the
president’s close advisers saw Vietnam more as a cautionary tale than the late
Richard C. Holbrooke, a diplomat who had gripping memories of Saigon in the
early 1960s, when he worked there as a young Foreign Service officer.
In the summer of 2009, when the president ordered another review of his war
strategy, it was marked by bitter leaks and obvious distrust between the White
House and the Pentagon. At the heart of the disagreement was an old argument
about Vietnam, emerging from two radically different books. “Lessons in
Disaster,” by Gordon Goldstein, served as a lesson for the White House: America
blundered and lost because the president and his advisers knew nothing about
Vietnam. At the Pentagon, the best seller was Lewis Sorley’s “A Better War,”
which argued that Vietnam could have been won — if only the White House had not
lost heart and Congress had not cut funding.
As President Obama was considering a deeper American commitment to Afghanistan,
he would occasionally slip into an aide’s office, lean on his desk and wonder
aloud whether he was making the same mistakes Johnson had made. Finally, under
enormous pressure, he decided to send more than 30,000 additional troops to
Afghanistan while also announcing a July 2011 date to begin a withdrawal from
Afghanistan. In, but at the same time out.
Vietnam was like a terrier snapping at his heels. In his televised speech
announcing his decision, he made the point three times that any comparison
between Vietnam and Afghanistan was a “false reading of history,” and yet he was
the one raising the comparison.
That changed a bit as he began his re-election bid last spring: he dropped
explicit references to Vietnam, but it made little difference in his message. He
and his senior advisers still had Vietnam in the bloodstream of their
calculations, as they showed with code words or phrases.
When Mr. Obama announced that American troops now had a “clear mission,” he
evoked a time nearly 40 years ago when they didn’t. When he stressed the need
for an “exit strategy” in Afghanistan, he knew there had been none in Vietnam.
When he promised Americans that their nation’s military action against Muammar
el-Qaddafi’s Libya would be measured “in days, not weeks,” he signaled that he
knew the dangers of “mission creep.” And, when, months later, with the United
States still militarily engaged in Libya, Congress raised the question of
whether he was in violation of the 1973 War Powers Act, the real issue was
unchecked presidential power during wartime. Nixon had gotten away with it in
Vietnam. Now Mr. Obama was in Libya.
Journalists also used code words, like “quagmire” or “over-committed.” The
resonance was plain.
Up to Vietnam, the United States had never lost a war. The defeat was a
humiliation, and it stripped the country of its illusions of omnipotence. From
boundless self-confidence, Americans descended into self-doubt. Though
politicians still talk of American “exceptionalism” and “uniqueness,” and
although the United States remains a great power with enviable resources and
talents, it lives in a post-Vietnam world — grappling with the uncomfortable but
undeniable fact that L.B.J.’s “fourth-rate country” had routed it from Saigon in
unquestioned defeat.
Vietnam took a high toll, but perhaps, as the current anguished calculations
about Afghanistan indicate, it left the United States a more mature, sensible
and smarter country. Perhaps.
The Other War Haunting Obama, NYT, 8.10.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/09/opinion/sunday/the-vietnam-war-still-haunting-obama.html
Obama
Obliquely Warns Pakistan
About
Long-Term Relations
October 6,
2011
The New York Times
By RICK GLADSTONE
President
Obama cast some doubt on the long-term relationship between the United States
and Pakistan on Thursday, saying his administration was concerned about the
Pakistani government’s commitment to American interests because of ties between
anti-American militants in Afghanistan and Pakistan’s own intelligence agents.
At a news conference in Washington focused mostly on the American economy, Mr.
Obama said he was thankful for cooperation from Pakistan, which has allowed the
United States to use drones to strike at Qaeda cells ensconced along the
Pakistan-Afghanistan frontier. But he also obliquely criticized Pakistan over
its position regarding Afghanistan, where efforts to stabilize the country and
wind down the American-led war have been frustrated by what American and Afghan
officials have described Pakistan’s support for insurgent groups, including the
Taliban and their allies in the Haqqani network.
“I think that they have hedged their bets in terms of what Afghanistan would
look like,” Mr. Obama said. “And part of hedging their bets is having
interactions with some of the unsavory characters who they think might end up
regaining power in Afghanistan after coalition forces have left.”
The United States would “constantly evaluate” Pakistan’s cooperation, Mr. Obama
said. He added: “But there’s no doubt that, you know, we’re not going to feel
comfortable with a long-term strategic relationship with Pakistan if we don’t
think that they’re mindful of our interests as well.”
Mr. Obama’s remarks seemed to call into question whether the United States could
continue supplying Pakistan with billions of dollars in military and civilian
aid, as it has since 9/11, if its intelligence service could not be persuaded to
drop its support for militant groups long used as proxies against India and
Afghanistan.
Asked if he would be willing to cut off aid to Pakistan, recently ravaged by
flooding, Mr. Obama hesitated, however. The United States had a “great desire to
help the Pakistani people strengthen their own society and their own
government,” he said. “And so you know, I’d be hesitant to punish flood victims
in Pakistan because of poor decisions by their intelligence services.”
His remarks came against a backdrop of already heightened American tensions with
Pakistan, since Adm. Mike Mullen, the just-retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs
of Staff, told a Senate panel last month that the Haqqani network, a potent part
of the insurgency battling American forces in Afghanistan, was a “veritable arm”
of Pakistan’s spy agency. Admiral Mullen also accused the agency of supporting
an attack by Haqqani militants on the United States Embassy in Kabul, the Afghan
capital.
Mr. Obama said “what we’ve tried to persuade Pakistan of is that it is in their
interest to have a stable Afghanistan, that they should not be feeling
threatened by a stable, independent Afghanistan. We’ve tried to get
conversations between Afghans and Pakistanis going more effectively than they
have been in the past. But we’ve still got more work to do.”
Obama Obliquely Warns Pakistan About Long-Term Relations,
NYT, 6.10.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/world/asia/obama-obliquely-warns-pakistan-about-long-term-relations.html
A
Closed-Mouth Policy Even on Open Secrets
October 4,
2011
The New York Times
By SCOTT SHANE
WASHINGTON
— Speaking hours after the world learned that a C.I.A. drone strike had killed
Anwar al-Awlaki in Yemen, President Obama could still not say the words “drone”
or “C.I.A.”
That’s classified.
Instead, in an appearance at a Virginia military base just before midday Friday,
the president said that Mr. Awlaki, the American cleric who had joined Al
Qaeda’s branch in Yemen, “was killed” and that this “significant milestone” was
“a tribute to our intelligence community.”
The president’s careful language was the latest reflection of a growing
phenomenon: information that is public but classified.
The older and larger drone program in Pakistan, for instance, is a centerpiece
of American foreign policy, discussed daily in the news media — but it cannot be
mentioned at a public Congressional hearing. The State Department cables
published by WikiLeaks can be found on the Web with a few mouse clicks and have
affected relations with dozens of countries — but American officials cannot
publicly discuss them.
Underlying these paradoxes is a problem that government officials, notably
including Mr. Obama, have acknowledged and complained of for years: the gross
overclassification of information.
The security agencies have become a mammoth secrets factory, staffed today by
4.2 million people who hold security clearances — a total disclosed for the
first time last month, and far higher than even the biggest previous estimates.
Their incentives are so lopsided in favor of secrecy that a new report proposes
a surprising remedy: cash prizes for government workers who challenge improper
classification.
The secrecy compulsion often merely makes the government look silly, as when
obvious facts were excised from recent memoirs by former intelligence officers.
But it can also hinder public debate of some of government’s most hotly
contested actions.
Long before Friday’s drone strike, officials say, lawyers at the Central
Intelligence Agency, the Justice Department and the White House painstakingly
considered the legal justification for what amounted to the execution of an
American citizen without trial. But even since the strike, officials have been
willing to give only a brief summary of the government’s reasoning, refusing to
make public the classified written opinion of the Justice Department’s Office of
Legal Counsel, the authoritative arbiter of the law.
Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientists, who has tracked
government classification policies for two decades, said such secrecy about a
disputed policy is “a kind of self-inflicted autism that cuts decision makers
off from the input they need, both from inside the government and outside.”
After last week’s strike, he added, “any justification for withholding the
O.L.C. memo went away.”
The same closed-mouth approach has long applied to the drone campaign in
Pakistan, which is old news but remains a top-secret covert action program. In
June, at David H. Petraeus’s Senate confirmation hearing to become C.I.A.
director, Senator Roy D. Blunt, Republican of Missouri, told Mr. Petraeus, the
retiring Army general: “I want to talk a little bit about drones for a minute
and the use of drones.”
There was a murmur of concern; C.I.A drones, though common knowledge, are
unmentionable by government officials in public. Mr. Petraeus deftly dodged the
issue by speaking of the military’s drones in Afghanistan, whose existence is
not classified.
Administration officials said the drones are an especially delicate subject
today because they are entangled with the United States’ complex relations with
the governments of Pakistan and Yemen. But the same cannot be said of the
Justice Department’s decade-old legal opinion justifying the National Security
Agency’s program of wiretapping without warrants.
Matthew M. Aid, an intelligence historian, asked for that opinion two years ago
under the Freedom of Information Act. In August, he finally got a few sentences
of the 21-page opinion, written by John C. Yoo of the Bush Justice Department.
The rest was blanked out and remains secret.
Nor is the secrecy limited to counterterrorism. Jeffrey Richelson, an author of
books on intelligence, asked the C.I.A. last year for any reports by its Center
on Climate Change and National Security, which had drawn criticism from
Republicans in Congress. The agency said last month that all such material “is
currently and properly classified and must be denied in its entirety.”
In a report on overclassification to be released on Wednesday, the Brennan
Center for Justice at New York University’s law school concludes that
unnecessary classification has jeopardized national security by hindering
information sharing inside the government, and corroded democratic government by
stifling debate.
The report finds that the thousands of officials who classify information err on
the side of secrecy, to play it safe or to avoid public scrutiny of policies.
Among the remedies the report proposes, in addition to $50 or $100 prizes for
successfully challenging a secrecy ruling, is requiring officials to explain in
writing why they are classifying a document and asking agency inspectors general
to perform spot audits and punish improper classification.
The Obama administration’s record on transparency is mixed; it has set a record
for prosecuting leaks of classified information to the news media but has also
moved to reverse the tide of secrets. In December 2009, Mr. Obama ordered
agencies to update their rules to avoid overclassification, and Mr. Aftergood
said there were glimmers of progress.
For instance, he said, the Defense Department has canceled some 82 outdated
“classification guides,” written instructions on what should be secret. That
turns out to be only 4 percent of the department’s classification guides, he
said, but the review is not over.
“It’s movement,” Mr. Aftergood said. “Instead of the perennial growth of the
classification system, it’s shrinkage. It’s a start.”
A Closed-Mouth Policy Even on Open Secrets, NYT,
4.10.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/05/us/politics/awlaki-killing-is-awash-in-open-secrets.html
Supreme Court Is Asked to Rule on Health Care
September
28, 2011
The New York Times
By ADAM LIPTAK
WASHINGTON — The Obama administration asked the Supreme Court on Wednesday to
hear a case concerning the 2010 health care overhaul law. The development, which
came unexpectedly fast, makes it all but certain that the court will soon agree
to hear one or more cases involving challenges to the law, with arguments by the
spring and a decision by June, in time to land in the middle of the 2012
presidential campaign.
The Justice Department said the justices should hear its appeal of a decision by
a three-judge panel of the United States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit,
in Atlanta, that struck down the centerpiece of the law by a 2-to-1 vote.
“The department has consistently and successfully defended this law in several
courts of appeals, and only the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled it
unconstitutional,” the Justice Department said in a statement. “We believe the
question is appropriate for review by the Supreme Court.
“Throughout history, there have been similar challenges to other landmark
legislation, such as the Social Security Act, the Civil Rights Act and the
Voting Rights Act, and all of those challenges failed,” the statement continued.
“We believe the challenges to the Affordable Care Act — like the one in the 11th
Circuit — will also ultimately fail and that the Supreme Court will uphold the
law.”
On Monday, the administration announced that it would not seek review from the
full 11th Circuit. Its Supreme Court petition was not due until November.
The administration did not explain why it did not take routine litigation steps
that might have slowed the progress of the challenges enough to avoid a decision
in the current Supreme Court term. It did say in its brief that the 11th
Circuit’s decision striking down the central piece of a comprehensive regulatory
scheme created “a matter of grave national importance.”
The political calculus is complicated. A decision striking down President
Obama’s signature legislative achievement only months before the election would
doubtless be a blow. But a decision from a court divided along ideological lines
could further energize voters already critical of last year’s 5-to-4 campaign
finance decision, Citizens United.
A decision upholding the law might also both help and hurt Mr. Obama’s chances.
It would represent vindication, but it could also spur some voters to redouble
their efforts to elect candidates committed to repealing it.
The three federal courts of appeal that have issued decisions on the law so far
have all reached different conclusions, with one upholding it, a second — the
11th Circuit— striking it down in part, and a third saying that threshold legal
issues barred an immediate ruling. A fourth challenge to the law was heard last
week by the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
The views of the appeals court judges have not uniformly tracked the presumed
views of the presidents who appointed them. Judge Jeffrey S. Sutton, appointed
by President George W. Bush, joined the majority in a 2-to-1 decision of the
United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, in Cincinnati, which
upheld the law. Judge Frank M. Hull of the 11th Circuit was appointed by
President Bill Clinton and was an author of its majority opinion.
Also on Wednesday, two sets of plaintiffs who had won on the core issue in the
11th Circuit filed their own requests for Supreme Court review.
“Time is of the essence,” wrote Paul D. Clement, a former United States
solicitor general who represents 26 states that are challenging the law. “The
grave constitutional questions surrounding the A.C.A. and its novel exercise of
federal power will not subside until this court resolves them.”
The 11th Circuit, in a decision issued in August, ruled that a part of law
requiring the purchase of insurance — the so-called individual mandate — was an
unconstitutional exercise of Congressional power.
The majority decision, written by Chief Judge Joel F. Dubina and Judge Hull,
said, “We have not found any generally applicable, judicially enforceable
limiting principle that would permit us to uphold the mandate without
obliterating the boundaries inherent in the system of enumerated Congressional
powers.”
The United States solicitor general, Donald B. Verrilli Jr., disputed that
analysis in the administration’s brief. The law, he wrote, requires most people
to buy insurance “rather than rely on a combination of attempted self-insurance
and the back-stop of care paid for by other market participants.” The individual
mandate, he went on, “like the act as a whole, thus regulates economic conduct
that substantially affects interstate commerce.”
The 11th Circuit ruled against the 26 states and the other plaintiffs on two
points. It said its ruling on the individual mandate did not require “wholesale
invalidation” of the law, and it upheld the law’s expansion of the Medicaid
program.
The petition from the 26 states and a second one, from the National Federation
of Independent Business and two individuals, sought review on the issues they
had lost in the 11th Circuit. The administration’s brief and those of the
plaintiffs mostly addressed different questions and talked past one another.
Each side now has a chance to respond and tell the court its views about whether
the issues identified by its adversaries warrant review.
But almost all of the usual signs indicate that the court will agree to hear at
least one challenge to the law: a federal appeals court has struck down a major
piece of federal legislation, the lower courts are divided about its
constitutionality, and all sides, including the federal government itself, agree
that review is warranted.
It is less clear which case the justices will agree to hear. Also pending before
the justices is a petition from several individuals and the Thomas More Law
Center, which describes itself as a defender of “America’s Christian heritage
and moral values,” seeking review of the Sixth Circuit decision.
Nor is it clear which issues the justices will focus on. Simply agreeing to hear
a case does not guarantee that the Supreme Court will decide whether Congress
had the power under the Constitution’s commerce clause to enact the individual
mandate, the question at the heart of the challenges.
The court could agree with some lower courts that some or all of the plaintiffs
lack standing to sue or that the central issue is not yet ripe for decision. The
United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, in Richmond, Va., for
instance, ruled this month that it was premature to decide the central question,
citing a federal law allowing suits only after certain taxes and penalties are
due. The administration found itself in an awkward position on this question
before the Supreme Court, as it had initially pressed but later abandoned the
argument.
In Wednesday’s brief, Mr. Verrilli said the administration did not think it
should win on the Fourth Circuit’s theory. It nonetheless suggested that the
court consider the issue and perhaps appoint a lawyer to present arguments in
favor of it, as the court occasionally does when the parties agree on a
significant issue that could alter the outcome of the eventual decision.
Supreme Court Is Asked to Rule on Health Care, NYT,
28.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/29/us/justice-dept-asks-supreme-court-for-health-care-ruling.html
Obama
Turns Some Powers of Education Back to States
September
23, 2011
The New York Times
By SAM DILLON
With his
declaration on Friday that he would waive the most contentious provisions of a
federal education law, President Obama effectively rerouted the nation’s
education history after a turbulent decade of overwhelming federal influence.
Mr. Obama invited states to reclaim the power to design their own school
accountability and improvement systems, upending the centerpiece of the Bush-era
No Child Left Behind law, a requirement that all students be proficient in math
and reading by 2014.
“This does not mean that states will be able to lower their standards or escape
accountability,” the president said. “If states want more flexibility, they’re
going to have to set higher standards, more honest standards that prove they’re
serious about meeting them.”
But experts said it was a measure of how profoundly the law had reshaped
America’s public school culture that even in states that accept the
administration’s offer to pursue a new agenda, the law’s legacy will live on in
classrooms, where educators’ work will continue to emphasize its major themes,
like narrowing student achievement gaps, and its tactics, like using
standardized tests to measure educators’ performance.
In a White House speech, Mr. Obama said states that adopted new higher
standards, pledged to overhaul their lowest-performing schools and revamped
their teacher evaluation systems should apply for waivers of 10 central
provisions of the No Child law, including its 2014 proficiency deadline. The
administration was forced to act, Mr. Obama said, because partisan gridlock kept
Congress from updating the law.
“Given that Congress cannot act, I am acting,” Mr. Obama said. “Starting today,
we’ll be giving states more flexibility.”
But while the law itself clearly empowers Secretary of Education Arne Duncan to
waive its provisions, the administration’s decision to make the waivers
conditional on states’ pledges to pursue Mr. Obama’s broad school improvement
agenda has angered Republicans gearing up for the 2012 elections.
On Friday Congressional leaders immediately began characterizing the waivers as
a new administration power grab, in line with their portrayal of the health care
overhaul, financial sector regulation and other administration initiatives.
“In my judgment, he is exercising an authority and power he doesn’t have,” said
Representative John Kline, Republican of Minnesota and chairman of the House
education committee. “We all know the law is broken and needs to be changed. But
this is part and parcel with the whole picture with this administration: they
cannot get their agenda through Congress, so they’re doing it with executive
orders and rewriting rules. This is executive overreach.”
Mr. Obama made his statements to a bipartisan audience that included Gov. Bill
Haslam of Tennessee, a Republican, Gov. Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island, an
independent, and 24 state superintendents of education.
“I believe this will be a transformative movement in American public education,”
Christopher Cerf, New Jersey’s education commissioner under Gov. Chris Christie,
a Republican, said after the speech.
The No Child law that President George W. Bush signed in 2002 was a bipartisan
rewrite of the basic federal law on public schools, first passed in 1965 to help
the nation’s neediest students. The 2002 law required all schools to administer
reading and math tests every year, and to increase the proportion of students
passing them until reaching 100 percent in 2014. Schools that failed to keep
pace were to be labeled as failing, and eventually their principals fired and
staffs dismantled. That system for holding schools accountable for test scores
has encouraged states to lower standards, teachers to focus on test preparation,
and math and reading to crowd out history, art and foreign languages.
Mr. Obama’s blueprint for rewriting the law, which Congress has never acted on,
urged lawmakers to adopt an approach that would encourage states to raise
standards, focus interventions only on the worst failing schools and use test
scores and other measures to evaluate teachers’ effectiveness. In its current
proposal, the administration requires states to adopt those elements of its
blueprint in exchange for relief from the No Child law.
Mr. Duncan, speaking after Mr. Obama’s speech, said the waivers could bring
significant change to states that apply. “For parents, it means their schools
won’t be labeled failures,” Mr. Duncan said. “It should reduce the pressure to
teach to the test.”
Critics were skeptical, saying that classroom teachers who complain about
unrelenting pressure to prepare for standardized tests were unlikely to feel
much relief.
“In the system that N.C.L.B. created, standardized tests are the measure of all
that is good, and that has not changed,“ said Monty Neill, executive director of
Fair Test, an antitesting advocacy group. “This policy encourages states to use
test scores as a significant factor in evaluating teachers, and that will add to
the pressure on teachers to teach to the test.”
Randi Weingarten, president of the American Federation of Teachers, said her
union favored evaluation systems that would help teachers improve their
instruction, whereas the administration was focusing on accountability. “You’re
seeing an extraordinary change of policy, from an accountability system focused
on districts and schools, to accountability based on teacher and principal
evaluations,” Ms. Weingarten said.
For most states, obtaining a waiver could be the easy part of accepting the
administration’s invitation. Actually designing a new school accountability
system, and obtaining statewide acceptance of it, represents a complex
administrative and political challenge for governors and other state leaders,
said Gene Wilhoit, executive director of the Council of Chief State School
Officers, which the White House said played an important role in developing the
waiver proposal.
Only about five states may be ready to apply immediately, and perhaps 20 others
could follow by next spring, Mr. Wilhoit said. Developing new educator
evaluation systems and other aspects of follow-through could take states three
years or more, he said.
Officials in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, and in at least eight other
states — Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Idaho, Minnesota, Virginia and
Wisconsin — said Friday that they would probably seek the waivers.
Obama Turns Some Powers of Education Back to States, NYT, 23.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/24/education/24educ.html
Obama
Says Palestinians Are Using Wrong Forum
September
21, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
Correction Appended
UNITED NATIONS — President Obama declared his opposition to the Palestinian
Authority’s bid for statehood through the Security Council on Wednesday,
throwing the weight of the United States directly in the path of the Arab
democracy movement even as he hailed what he called the democratic aspirations
that have taken hold throughout the Middle East and North Africa.
“Peace will not come through statements and resolutions at the U.N.,” Mr. Obama
said, in an address before world leaders at the General Assembly. “If it were
that easy, it would have been accomplished by now.”
Instead, Mr. Obama said, the international community should keep pushing
Israelis and Palestinians toward talks on the four intractable issues that have
vexed peace negotiations since 1979: borders of a Palestinian state, security
for Israel, the status of Palestinian refugees and the fate of Jerusalem, which
both sides claim for their capital.
For Mr. Obama, the challenge in crafting the much-anticipated General Assembly
speech was how to address the incongruities of the administration’s position:
the president who committed to making peace between the Israelis and the
Palestinians a priority from Day One, now unable to get peace negotiations going
after two and a half years; the president who opened the door to Palestinian
state membership at the United Nations last year, now threatening to veto that
membership; the president determined to get on the right side of Arab history
but ending up, in the views of many Arabs, on the wrong side of it on the
Palestinian issue.
The Arab Spring quandary, in particular, has been troublesome for Mr. Obama.
White House officials say that he has long been keenly aware that he, like no
other American president, stood as a potential beacon to the Arab street as the
ultimate symbol of the hopes and rewards of democracy. But since he is the
president of the United States, he has had to put American interests first.
So Mr. Obama’s 35-minute address appeared, at times, an effort to balance
support for democratic movements against support for Israel, America’s foremost
ally. From the start, everything he said seemed directed to the theme of what he
called “peace in an imperfect world.”
Mr. Obama called this year “a time of transformation.” This year, he said, “more
individuals are claiming their universal right to live in freedom and dignity.”
He congratulated the democratic movements in Ivory Coast, Tunisia and South
Sudan. He congratulated the Egyptians and Libyans who toppled their autocrats.
He sided with the protesters in Syria.
But, he said, Palestinians must make peace with Israel before gaining statehood
themselves. Israelis and Palestinians, he said, have grievances and the United
Nations must be an arbiter.
“This body, founded, as it was, out of the ashes of war and genocide; dedicated,
as it is, to the dignity of every person, must recognize the reality that is
lived by both the Palestinians and the Israelis,” he said. “We will only succeed
in that effort if we can encourage the parties to sit down together, to listen
to each other and to understand each other’s hopes and fears. That is the
project to which America is committed, and that is what the United Nations
should be focused on in the weeks and months to come.”
Several times as Mr. Obama spoke, the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, in
the audience, put his forehead in his hand. But Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu of Israel called the speech a “badge of honor.”
Three times under Mr. Obama’s tenure, the General Assembly meeting has put the
complexities of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict into stark relief.
In 2009, on Mr. Obama’s first visit as president, he abandoned his call for a
freeze of settlements in the West Bank, meeting immovable resistance from
Israel. The pivot was viewed as major setback in American efforts toward resumed
peace talks.
Then last year, Mr. Obama delivered an impassioned call for Palestinian
statehood within the next year, to be recognized, he said, in the United
Nations.
Mr. Obama tried to acknowledge the shift, recalling his pledge and his belief
that then, as now, “the Palestinian people deserve a state of their own.”
“But what I also said,” he added, “is that genuine peace can only be realized
between Israelis and Palestinians themselves.”
Neil
MacFarquhar contributed reporting.
Correction: September 21, 2011
An earlier version of this article misstated the length of President Obama's
speech.
Obama Says Palestinians Are Using Wrong Forum, NYT,
21.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/22/world/obama-united-nations-speech.html
Obama
Rebuffed as Palestinians Pursue U.N. Seat
September
21, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER and STEVEN LEE MYERS
UNITED
NATIONS — A last-ditch American effort to head off a Palestinian bid for
membership in the United Nations faltered. President Obama tried to qualify his
own call, just a year ago, for a Palestinian state. And President Nicolas
Sarkozy of France stepped forcefully into the void, with a proposal that
pointedly repudiated Mr. Obama’s approach.
The extraordinary tableau Wednesday at the United Nations underscored a stark
new reality: the United States is facing the prospect of having to share, or
even cede, its decades-long role as the architect of Middle East peacemaking.
Even before Mr. Obama walked up to the General Assembly podium to make his
difficult address, where he declared that “Peace will not come through
statements and resolutions at the U.N.,” American officials acknowledged that
their various last-minute attempts to jump-start Israeli-Palestinian
negotiations with help from European allies and Russia had collapsed.
American diplomats turned their attention to how to navigate a new era in which
questions of Palestinian statehood are squarely on the global diplomatic agenda.
There used to be three relevant players in any Middle East peace effort: the
Palestinians, Israel and the United States. But expansions of settlements in the
West Bank and a hardening of Israeli attitudes have isolated Israel and its main
backer, the United States. Dissension among Palestinian factions has undermined
the prospect for a new accord as well.
Finally, Washington politics has limited Mr. Obama’s ability to try to break the
logjam if that means appearing to distance himself from Israel. Republicans have
mounted a challenge to lure away Jewish voters who supported Democrats in the
past, after some Jewish leaders sharply criticized Mr. Obama for trying to push
Israel too hard.
The result has been two and a half years of stagnation on the Middle East peace
front that has left Arabs — and many world leaders — frustrated, and ready to
try an alternative to the American-centric approach that has prevailed since the
1970s.
“The U.S. cannot lead on an issue that it is so boxed in on by its domestic
politics,” said Daniel Levy, a former Israeli peace negotiator in the government
of Ehud Barak. “And therefore, with the region in such rapid upheaval and the
two-state solution dying, as long as the U.S. is paralyzed, others are going to
have to step up.”
Mr. Obama himself seemed to forecast this back in May when, speaking to the
American Israel Public Affairs Committee, he warned that events in the Middle
East could lead to a challenge to the status quo if the Israelis and
Palestinians did not move quickly toward a peace deal.
“There’s a reason why the Palestinians are pursuing their interests at the
United Nations,” Mr. Obama said then. “They recognize that there is an
impatience with the peace process, or the absence of one, not just in the Arab
world, in Latin America, in Asia, and in Europe. And that impatience is growing,
and it’s already manifesting itself in capitals around the world.”
The Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, delivered on the threat. He announced
last Friday his plans to go to the Security Council in a quest for Palestinian
membership in the United Nations and international legal recognition of
statehood, putting Mr. Obama in the position of having to stand in the way.
Israel and its allies in Congress, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of
Israel enjoys broad influence, were sharply opposed.
So on Wednesday, Mr. Obama “did exactly what he had to do,” said David Rothkopf,
a former Clinton administration official and a visiting fellow at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace. “He made a clear statement for what is a
clear U.S. position and put himself squarely as a champion of the status quo.”
Mr. Netanyahu, Mr. Rothkopf said, “has managed to read the U.S. political
situation perfectly, making Obama acutely aware that he could be losing part of
his base, and that, I think, in turn is what has locked Obama in.”
The Palestinians have never fully trusted the United States to serve as an
honest broker with Israel. But its credibility with the Palestinians has
crumbled with the recognition that Mr. Obama may not have the clout to press the
Israelis into a peace deal that requires significant compromises.
“The president in his speech at the U.N. today admitted that the U.S. somehow
failed in bridging the gap between the two sides,” the Palestinian
representative in Washington, Maen Rashid Areikat, said in an interview on
Wednesday. “He said that he feels frustration and he understands the frustration
of everybody. That’s good, but I think it goes much deeper. I think what the
U.S. administration needs to say is why it failed.”
He acknowledged the administration’s efforts — with the appointment of George J.
Mitchell Jr. as special envoy to the region and Mr. Obama’s own speeches,
especially in Cairo — but said the momentum of his early presidency flagged as
the administration bound itself so closely to the Israelis and their supporters
in the United States, especially Congress. The Palestinians ultimately decided
that the best hope for breaking an impasse with the Israelis rested with making
their case to a larger international forum.
“One big reason for losing that momentum,” he said, “was the failure of the
administration to use its leverage with an Israeli government that adamantly was
opposed to the efforts of the United States to bridge the gap in the Middle
East.”
After Mr. Obama laid out his defense of the peace process, Mr. Sarkozy took to
the same podium in a forceful disavowal of Mr. Obama’s position. “Let us cease
our endless debates on the parameters,” he said, calling instead for a General
Assembly resolution that would upgrade the Palestinians to “observer status” as
a bridge toward statehood. “Let us begin negotiations, and adopt a precise
timetable.”
The outcome of the Palestinian bid for membership remains uncertain. The
administration still hopes that the process of considering the Palestinian bid
at the Security Council could provide a fresh opportunity for new talks. The
move puts new pressure on Mr. Netanyahu’s government, reeling from setbacks to
its security from the turmoil of the Arab Spring, with results that analysts say
are hard to forecast. But a quick return to the status quo, when the United
States dictated the terms of talks, seems unlikely, given strong Russian and
French support for a new approach by the Palestinians.
Alain Juppe, the French foreign minister, told reporters after Mr. Sarkozy’s
speech that the United States “cannot do it alone” in negotiations for a Middle
East peace, and that a collective approach was needed. Mr. Juppe said he thought
this time that the five permanent Security Council members should have a direct
role in shepherding talks.
Somewhat incongruously, Mr. Sarkozy visited Mr. Obama’s hotel on Wednesday
afternoon for a previously scheduled meeting with the president, and was
effusive, in front of the cameras before the meeting, in his praise for Mr.
Obama. Mr. Obama, for his part, refused to engage with reporters assembled for
the photo op. “Do you support the French one-year timeline?” one reporter asked.
Mr. Obama responded, “I already answered a question from you before.”
Another reporter asked Mr. Obama if he agreed with the French position on
Palestine. Mr. Obama smiled and replied, “Bonjour.” A third reporter queried if
that response constituted a “no comment.” The president’s response: “No
comment.”
Neil
MacFarquhar contributed reporting.
Obama Rebuffed as Palestinians Pursue U.N. Seat, NYT,
21.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/22/world/obama-rebuffed-as-palestinians-pursue-un-seat.html
Obama’s
Plan to Raise Taxes on the Rich
September 20,
2011
The New York Times
To the Editor:
Re “President’s Plan on Deficit Mixes Cuts and Taxes” (front page, Sept. 19):
Republicans like Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin have branded President
Obama’s proposal to have the wealthy pay modestly more in federal income taxes
“class warfare.” But what are Republicans willing to ask of the affluent to help
resolve our fiscal problems?
I can’t come up with one thing. Not one.
When Mr. Ryan and his colleagues say we face fiscal collapse and ask sacrifice
of everyone except those who make the most and have the most, that is class
warfare. And it’s being waged by his own party.
DANIEL A. SIMON
New York, Sept. 20, 2011
To the Editor:
Should we increase taxes during a recession? Probably not, but are we in a
recession? That depends on which economy we are looking at, because we have two
now.
The upstairs economy is flying high. Wealth is piling upon wealth, and luxury
goods are flying out of the boutiques.
But the economy down here is seriously hemorrhaging, and needs help badly. Our
course should be clear: Increase taxes on the upstairs economy, and cut taxes
downstairs.
ALLAN R. SHICKMAN
St. Louis, Sept. 20, 2011
To the Editor:
Re “Obama Confirms New Hard Stand With Debt Relief” (front page, Sept. 20):
Just once, I’d like to hear an honest discussion of taxes.
Just once, I’d like a Democrat to acknowledge that there is a progressive income
tax in this country, and that many of the so-called rich pay the highest
marginal rate every year.
I’d also like to hear an admission that a shockingly large number of the middle
class pay little or nothing.
Just once, I’d like to hear a Republican acknowledge that the tax code is
riddled with corporate and individual tax breaks that make no sense, and that
the favored treatment for hedge fund profits and carried interest is nothing
short of outrageous.
Just once, I’d like to hear any politician call for simplification of the tax
code and really mean it. I’d like an admission that the impenetrable mass of
current tax law is a paean to lobbyists, and guaranteed job security for an army
of lawyers, accountants and Internal Revenue Service bureaucrats.
Just one time.
CHUCK OKOSKY
Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Sept. 20, 2011
To the Editor:
Speaker John A. Boehner’s response to President Obama’s speech typifies the
disconnect between the reality I and many of my friends inhabit and the land
where corporations get welfare without waiting in a single line.
Mr. Boehner referred to “this administration’s insistence on raising taxes on
job creators.” Job creators? Those of us who pay attention to the monthly
unemployment reports would beg to differ.
President Obama has finally shown some of the leadership and spark that captured
the imagination of the American public. His comment “This is not class warfare.
It’s math” resonates with the strength he displayed in his run for the
presidency. Welcome back, Mr. President. We’ve missed you sorely.
GRETCHEN S. ADAMEK
East Hartford, Conn., Sept. 20, 2011
Obama’s Plan to Raise Taxes on the Rich, NYT, 20.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/21/opinion/obamas-plan-to-raise-taxes-on-the-rich.html
Obama
Praises Libya’s Post-Qaddafi Leaders at U.N.
September
20, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
UNITED
NATIONS — President Obama met Libya’s transitional leader for the first time on
Tuesday, and extolled what he called the Libyan people’s successful struggle to
depose Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi. The meeting came on the first of two days of
annual meetings of the United Nations General Assembly, during which the most
vexing issue confronting Mr. Obama will be the Palestinian quest for full
membership.
“Just as the world stood by you in your struggle to be free, we will stand with
you in your struggle to realize the peace and prosperity that freedom can
bring,” the president said at a meeting on Libya’s future, which included other
world leaders and emissaries from the Transitional National Council, the group
of former Libyan rebels whose forces ended Colonel Qaddafi’s four decades of
absolute rule last month. Before the meeting, Mr. Obama met privately with the
leader of the council, Mustafa Abdel Jalil.
In his remarks at the meeting, Mr. Obama warned the Libyans that it “will take
time to build the institutions needed for a democratic Libya — there will be
days of frustration.” But he said the successful overthrow of Colonel Qaddafi,
with aid from a NATO bombing campaign, had demonstrated that the world should
“not underestimate the aspirations and will of the Libyan people.”
Mr. Obama announced that the United States was officially reopening its embassy
in Tripoli, which was closed in the early days of the conflict. An advance
military team has been in the Libyan capital for the past week to prepare for
the reopening.
Mr. Obama was scheduled to meet with President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan later
on Tuesday, but it was not clear whether that meeting would take place because
of the assassination in Kabul of the head of Afghanistan’s High Peace Council,
former President Burhanuddin Rabbani. Mr. Karzai was making arrangements on
Tuesday to cut short his visit to the Assembly and fly home, aides to Mr. Karzai
said in Kabul.
Much of the diplomatic activity at the United Nations this week surrounded the
contentious question of the Palestinian bid for full membership as a state,
which the president of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, announced
publicly last Friday before traveling to New York. Israel and the United States
have expressed strong opposition to the plan, saying that Palestinian statehood
should come from direct negotiations between the Palestinians and Israel. But
many, if not most, other members of the United Nations have expressed support
for Mr. Abbas’s approach.
Rick
Gladstone contributed reporting from New York.
Obama Praises Libya’s Post-Qaddafi Leaders at U.N., NYT,
20.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/21/world/obama-meets-with-world-leaders-at-united-nations.html
Obama
Rejects Obamaism
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
By DAVID BROOKS
I’m a
sap, a specific kind of sap. I’m an Obama Sap.
When the president said the unemployed couldn’t wait 14 more months for help and
we had to do something right away, I believed him. When administration officials
called around saying that the possibility of a double-dip recession was
horrifyingly real and that it would be irresponsible not to come up with a
package that could pass right away, I believed them.
I liked Obama’s payroll tax cut ideas and urged Republicans to play along. But
of course I’m a sap. When the president unveiled the second half of his stimulus
it became clear that this package has nothing to do with helping people right
away or averting a double dip. This is a campaign marker, not a jobs bill.
It recycles ideas that couldn’t get passed even when Democrats controlled
Congress. In his remarks Monday the president didn’t try to win Republicans to
even some parts of his measures. He repeated the populist cries that fire up
liberals but are designed to enrage moderates and conservatives.
He claimed we can afford future Medicare costs if we raise taxes on the rich. He
repeated the old half-truth about millionaires not paying as much in taxes as
their secretaries. (In reality, the top 10 percent of earners pay nearly 70
percent of all income taxes, according to the I.R.S. People in the richest 1
percent pay 31 percent of their income to the federal government while the
average worker pays less than 14 percent, according to the Congressional Budget
Office.)
This wasn’t a speech to get something done. This was the sort of speech that
sounded better when Ted Kennedy was delivering it. The result is that we will
get neither short-term stimulus nor long-term debt reduction anytime soon, and
I’m a sap for thinking it was possible.
Yes, I’m a sap. I believed Obama when he said he wanted to move beyond the stale
ideological debates that have paralyzed this country. I always believe that
Obama is on the verge of breaking out of the conventional categories and
embracing one of the many bipartisan reform packages that are floating around.
But remember, I’m a sap. The White House has clearly decided that in a town of
intransigent Republicans and mean ideologues, it has to be mean and intransigent
too. The president was stung by the liberal charge that he was outmaneuvered
during the debt-ceiling fight. So the White House has moved away from the
Reasonable Man approach or the centrist Clinton approach.
It has gone back, as an appreciative Ezra Klein of The Washington Post conceded,
to politics as usual. The president is sounding like the Al Gore for President
campaign, but without the earth tones. Tax increases for the rich! Protect
entitlements! People versus the powerful! I was hoping the president would give
a cynical nation something unconventional, but, as you know, I’m a sap.
Being a sap, I still believe that the president’s soul would like to do
something about the country’s structural problems. I keep thinking he’s a few
weeks away from proposing serious tax reform and entitlement reform. But each
time he gets close, he rips the football away. He whispered about seriously
reforming Medicare but then opted for changes that are worthy but small. He
talks about fundamental tax reform, but I keep forgetting that he has promised
never to raise taxes on people in the bottom 98 percent of the income scale.
That means when he talks about raising revenue, which he is right to do, he
can’t really talk about anything substantive. He can’t tax gasoline. He can’t
tax consumption. He can’t do a comprehensive tax reform. He has to restrict his
tax policy changes to the top 2 percent, and to get any real revenue he’s got to
hit them in every which way. We’re not going to simplify the tax code, but by
God Obama’s going to raise taxes on rich people who give to charity! We’ve got
to do something to reduce the awful philanthropy surplus plaguing this country!
The president believes the press corps imposes a false equivalency on American
politics. We assign equal blame to both parties for the dysfunctional politics
when in reality the Republicans are more rigid and extreme. There’s a lot of
truth to that, but at least Republicans respect Americans enough to tell us what
they really think. The White House gives moderates little morsels of hope, and
then rips them from our mouths. To be an Obama admirer is to toggle from being
uplifted to feeling used.
The White House has decided to wage the campaign as fighting liberals. I guess I
understand the choice, but I still believe in the governing style Obama talked
about in 2008. I may be the last one. I’m a sap.
Obama Rejects Obamaism, NYT, 19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/opinion/brooks-obama-rejects-obamaism.html
A Call
for Fairness
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
This
time, President Obama did not compromise with himself beforehand, or put out a
half measure in hopes of luring nonexistent Republican support. This time, he
issued an unabashed call for economic fairness in cutting the federal deficit,
asking as much from those on the economy’s upper rungs as from those lower down
whose programs may be trimmed.
And this time, standing in the Rose Garden on Monday, he seemed to speak
directly to a public that has been parched for farsighted leadership in
Washington. The one troubling note of the day was Mr. Obama’s failure to provide
enough specifics on some of his proposals, and his aides’ inexplicable continued
faith in the idea of Congress working out a sensible middle ground on taxes.
But the president’s plan to cut $3.6 trillion from the deficit over the next 10
years is a well-proportioned mix. It proposes about 60 percent spending cuts
(including winding down two wars that his predecessor started fighting off the
books with the eager support of the supposedly fiscally responsible Republicans
in Congress) and 40 percent tax increases on the wealthy and corporations.
It pays for the desperately needed jobs plan he sent to Congress last week
without more mindless hacking at government programs, and would be a much better
alternative to the $1.2 trillion in across-the-board spending cuts that loom if
Congress does not pass a debt plan this year.
Republicans will, of course, mount obdurate opposition in Congress, since they
have no intention of allowing the government to ask anything from the wealthy
and corporations. Even before the plan was announced, the party’s leaders had
rolled out their rusted artillery, calling an increase in taxes on high earners
“class warfare” and insisting that it would fatally wound “job creators.” (In
fact, less than 2 percent of the nation’s small businesses would be affected by
the tax increases.)
For once the president did not let that predictable line of argument stop him,
and even had a good rejoinder: “This is not class warfare. It’s math. The money
is going to have to come from someplace.” It could come from the middle class,
from the elderly and the poor, by asking them to give up benefits from programs
like Medicare, Medicaid and food stamps — as many Republicans are advocating. It
could come by pulling money from road building, schools, food inspection and
other vital government services.
Those are unacceptable choices, he said, particularly if the rich give up
nothing, and he made it clear he would veto any plan that cut Medicare but did
not raise revenue from the rich. He called for Congress to rewrite the tax code
to ensure that the rich pay the same effective tax rate on their income as the
middle class. (He referred to Warren Buffett, who famously said on our Op-Ed
page that his secretary pays a higher rate than he does.) It’s time Washington
fought as hard for the middle class, he said, as lobbyists fight for
billionaires and corporations.
That’s the kind of language Mr. Obama needs for the campaign trail next year, to
draw a strong comparison with Republicans who may well start to be seen as
fighting for the interests of a small moneyed elite.
But the president would have done better to tell Congress precisely how the
Buffett Rule should work, instead of laying out broad principles and hoping a
divided and leaderless group of lawmakers would figure it out themselves. As he
did during the debt ceiling fight, he called for the expiration of the Bush tax
cuts for families making more than $250,000 (which would bring in $866 billion
over a decade) and limiting the same group’s itemized deductions (saving $410
billion). But as Mr. Buffett has pointed out, most millionaires benefit from an
extremely generous 15 percent tax rate on investment income. Mr. Obama should
have explicitly called for an increase in that rate.
White House aides have said the president is open to other methods of equalizing
the burden, including changing the alternative minimum tax — which now affects
many middle-class taxpayers — to apply specifically to millionaire-level income,
and at a much higher rate.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the administration did not want to give
Congress a detailed road map of tax reform, but that will leave the field to
special-interest lobbying, partisan fear-mongering and dithering. Raising
capital-gains taxes is the most reliable way to make sure the richest Americans
don’t avoid taxes.
On the spending side, the president’s plan takes a sensible approach toward
saving money in Medicare and Medicaid. More than 90 percent of the $248 billion
in Medicare cuts over 10 years would come from reducing payments to drug
companies and health care providers that are unnecessarily high. The effect on
the elderly would be limited, with higher premiums for high-income beneficiaries
starting in 2017, and increased deductibles for new beneficiaries. Mr. Obama
proposed a modest cut of $66 billion in Medicaid over a decade, well below the
Republicans’ proposed $770 billion cut.
Mr. Obama also asked military retirees to pay increased contributions for health
benefits, bringing that expensive system more in line with private-sector plans.
After nearly three years of destructive compromise and concession on the budget,
this plan was far too late in coming. But the public is listening now, and has
demanded shared sacrifice. The burden is now on Mr. Obama to sell his plan, and
on Congress to buy it.
A Call for Fairness, NYT, 19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/opinion/a-call-for-fairness.html
Related >
http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/budget/fy2012/assets/jointcommitteereport.pdf
Obama
Draws New Hard Line on Long-Term Debt Reduction
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
By JACKIE CALMES
WASHINGTON
— With a scrappy unveiling of his formula to rein in the nation’s mounting debt,
President Obama confirmed Monday that he had entered a new, more combative phase
of his presidency, one likely to last until next year’s election as he battles
for a second term.
Faced with falling poll numbers for his leadership and an anxious party base,
Mr. Obama did not just propose but insisted that any long-term debt-reduction
plan must not shave future Medicare benefits without also raising taxes on the
wealthiest taxpayers and corporations.
He uncharacteristically backed up that stand with a veto threat, setting up a
politically charged choice for anti-tax Republicans — protect the most affluent
or compromise to attack deficits. Confident in the answers most voters would
make, Mr. Obama plans to hammer on that choice through 2012, reflecting the fact
that the White House has all but given up hopes of a “grand bargain” with
Republicans to restore fiscal balance for years to come.
“I will not support — I will not support — any plan that puts all the burden for
closing our deficit on ordinary Americans. And I will veto any bill that changes
benefits for those who rely on Medicare but does not raise serious revenues by
asking the wealthiest Americans or biggest corporations to pay their fair
share,” Mr. Obama said. “We are not going to have a one-sided deal that hurts
the folks who are most vulnerable.”
Mr. Obama also seems to have given up on his strategy of nearly a year,
beginning when Republicans won control of the House last November, of being the
eager-to-compromise “reasonable adult” — in the White House’s phrasing — in his
relations with them. He had sought to build a personal relationship with Speaker
John A. Boehner of Ohio, a man the White House saw as a possible partner across
the aisle, in the hopes of making bipartisan progress and simultaneously winning
points with independent voters who disdain partisanship. Even if the efforts
produced few agreements with Republicans, the White House figured, independents
would give Mr. Obama credit for trying.
Instead, the president was unable to close his deal with Mr. Boehner and has
only lost independents’ support and left Democrats disillusioned, raising doubts
about his re-election prospects.
So after his initial two years of dealing with an economic and financial crisis
while pursuing an activist social agenda with Democrats in control of the House
and Senate, and then a frustrating third year sharing power with Republicans,
Mr. Obama now begins writing a third chapter for his final 15 months that is not
the one he had in mind.
“It is fair to say we’ve entered a new phase,” said Dan Pfeiffer, Mr. Obama’s
communications director. But he disputed what he called the conventional wisdom
behind the president’s shift.
“The popular narrative is that we sought compromise in a quixotic quest for
independent votes. We sought out compromise because a failure to get funding of
the government last spring and then an extension of the debt ceiling in August
would have been very bad for the economy and for the country,” Mr. Pfeiffer
added. “We were in a position of legislative compromise by necessity. That phase
is behind us.”
In this new phase, Mr. Obama must solidify support among Democrats by standing
pat for progressive party principles, while trusting that a show of strong
leadership for the policies he believes in will appeal to independents. Polls
consistently suggest that perhaps the only thing that unites independents as
much as their desire for compromise is their inclination toward leaders who
signal strength by fighting for their beliefs.
“The president laid down a marker today that is true to his beliefs,” said Jacob
J. Lew, director of Mr. Obama’s Office of Management and Budget. In response,
Mr. Boehner said in a statement that Mr. Obama by his deficit-reduction plan
“has not made a serious contribution” to the work of a bipartisan joint
Congressional committee, which has two months to reach agreement on cutting
deficits by at least $1.5 trillion in 10 years.
“The administration’s insistence on raising taxes on job creators and its
reluctance to take the steps necessary to strengthen our entitlement programs
are the reasons the president and I were not able to reach an agreement
previously,” Mr. Boehner said. “And it is evident today that these barriers
remain.”
Mr. Obama’s plan to reduce annual deficits up to $4 trillion over a decade does
call for subtracting $320 billion from Medicare and Medicaid, building on
savings required in his health care law.
But those proposals are far from the overhaul and reductions that Republicans
are demanding in the two popular entitlement programs, whose growth because of
the aging of the population and ever-rising medical costs is driving the
long-term projections of unsustainable debt.
And Mr. Obama removed Social Security from the table, as well as a proposal to
slowly raise the eligibility age for Medicare to 67 from 65. He put both forward
in July, to the chagrin of many Democrats, in private negotiations with Mr.
Boehner that fell apart when the speaker balked at agreeing to higher revenues.
Administration officials say Mr. Obama is not ruling out either proposal if
Republicans were to show significant give on taxes.
But the White House does not expect Republicans to do so. Indeed, Mr. Obama’s
new tack in pressing the deficit-reduction framework and $447 billion
jobs-creation plan that he wants — not trimmed to draw Republicans’ votes —
reflects the conclusion he has drawn from the past 10 months: Republicans will
oppose almost anything he proposes, even tax cuts. And Mr. Boehner is unable to
deliver his uncompromisingly anti-tax Republicans for any compromise that
includes tax revenues.
Mr. Obama believed he had built a good working relationship with Mr. Boehner
based on a shared desire for a deal modeled on proposals of past bipartisan
panels, which called for a mix of new revenues and changes in entitlement
programs.
But their relationship was severely strained after Mr. Boehner abandoned their
budget talks in July, came back and then walked out a second time. And after
what the White House saw as a third strike this month — Mr. Boehner’s
humiliating public rejection of Mr. Obama’s requested date for an address to a
joint session of Congress — the Obama team called Mr. Boehner out.
Their breach was evident in Mr. Obama’s remarks. He singled out Mr. Boehner in
his criticism of Republicans as unwilling to compromise, a break from the past
when Mr. Obama typically criticized Republicans in general but mentioned Mr.
Boehner only to praise him as a constructive partner. Not this time.
“Unfortunately, the speaker walked away from a balanced package,” Mr. Obama
said, referring to their earlier talks. “What we agreed to instead wasn’t all
that grand.”
Then he mocked Mr. Boehner for a speech last week in which the speaker said only
spending cuts could be part of a budget deal.
“So the speaker says we can’t have it ‘my way or the highway’ and then basically
says, ‘My way — or the highway,’ ” Mr. Obama said. “That’s not smart. It’s not
right.”
Obama Draws New Hard Line on Long-Term Debt Reduction,
NYT, 19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/us/politics/obama-vows-veto-if-deficit-plan-has-no-tax-increases.html
In
Deficit Plan, Obama Drops Compromise for Confrontation
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
By BINYAMIN APPELBAUM
WASHINGTON — The details of President Obama’s plan to reduce federal deficits by
more than $3 trillion over 10 years, which he laid out Monday morning,
underscore a strategic White House shift away from the pursuit of compromise
toward a more partisan confrontation.
The key points of the plan read like a mirror image of the priorities espoused
by House Republicans. The president proposed raising taxes by $1.5 trillion,
mostly on the wealthy, while making only modest cuts in Medicare and Medicaid,
and walling off Social Security from any changes. The plan also would reduce
military spending by more than $1 trillion.
Mr. Obama delivered his proposal just days after Speaker John A. Boehner
declared that Republicans would not support tax increases as part of any new
deficit reduction plan and just hours after top Republicans assailed Mr. Obama
for promoting tax increases for the wealthy in what they described as an effort
to win political points that amounted to class warfare.
“This is not class warfare,” Mr. Obama countered Monday in his Rose Garden
remarks. “It is math. The money is going to have to come from someplace.”
The new hard line reflects a change in the administration’s negotiating strategy
after the president’s failure to close a grand bargain on deficit reduction with
Mr. Boehner earlier this year, a series of talks that left some Democrats in the
administration and in Congress with the view that Mr. Obama had made significant
concessions only to get the cold shoulder from Republicans reluctant to see the
president score a victory.
This time, rather than trying to identify common ground, the administration is
entering the negotiations in the same kind of tough position that Republicans
adopted during the debt-ceiling debate, emphasizing the traditional financial
priorities of the Democratic Party.
The White House still is hoping that a deal with Republicans can emerge from the
work of a joint House-Senate committee that will meet over the next two months.
If a deal is not enacted by Nov. 23 and quickly approved by Congress, broad cuts
would be imposed on government agencies starting in 2013, after the 2012
elections.
However, if a deal cannot be reached, the president’s plan also amounts to a
campaign platform, clearly defining the priorities around which he hopes to
rally voters and setting up a sharp contrast with Republicans.
In laying out his proposal, aides said, Mr. Obama expressly promised to veto any
legislation that sought to cut the deficit through spending cuts alone and did
not include revenue increases in the form of tax increases on the wealthy.
In Deficit Plan, Obama Drops Compromise for Confrontation,
NYT, 19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/us/politics/in-deficit-plan-obama-drops-compromise-for-confrontation.html
Obama
Proposes $320 Billion
in
Medicare and Medicaid Cuts Over 10 Years
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
By ROBERT PEAR
WASHINGTON — President Obama’s budget director said Monday that the president’s
new deficit-reduction plan would impose “a lot of pain,” and that is clearly
true of White House proposals to cut $320 billion from projected spending on
Medicare and Medicaid in the coming decade.
Mr. Obama proposed higher premiums and deductibles for many Medicare
beneficiaries and lower Medicare payments to teaching hospitals and rural
hospitals. He would start charging co-payments to frail homebound older people
who receive home health services. And he would reduce the growth of federal
payments to states for treating low-income people under Medicaid.
The White House said Mr. Obama’s proposals would cut $248 billion from the
projected growth of Medicare in the next 10 years, while shaving $72 billion
from Medicaid and other health programs. A large share of the Medicare savings
would, in effect, be used to pay doctors, who would otherwise face deep cuts in
the fees they receive for treating Medicare patients.
The proposals are part of a package to reduce deficits by more than $3 trillion
over 10 years, beyond the $1 trillion in savings already assumed under the debt
limit law that Mr. Obama signed in early August. The package includes tax
changes intended to raise $1.5 trillion in revenue over 10 years.
Mr. Obama would also allow the Postal Service to cut its losses by ending
Saturday mail delivery. He would reduce farm subsidies by $31 billion over 10
years, require federal employees to contribute more to their pension plans,
force military retirees to pay more for prescription drugs and charge higher
fees to air travelers for “aviation security.”
Jacob J. Lew, director of the White House Office of Management and Budget,
rejected suggestions that the White House was going after rich people.
“If you look at the details of what’s in the plan that the president is sending
to the Congress,” Mr. Lew said, “there is a lot of pain, and it’s spread — it’s
spread broadly and we think fairly.”
Medicare and Medicaid insure more than 100 million people and account for nearly
one-fourth of all federal spending. The proposed savings, which provoked
predictable protests from health care providers, represent less than 3 percent
of what the government expects to spend on the programs in the next 10 years.
Speaking in the Rose Garden on Monday, Mr. Obama said his plan — in the form of
recommendations to a bipartisan Congressional committee on deficit reduction —
“includes structural reforms to reduce the cost of health care in programs like
Medicare and Medicaid.”
The proposal would require new beneficiaries to pay higher deductibles before
Medicare coverage of doctors’ services and other outpatient care kicks in. The
deductible, now $162 a year, is already adjusted for inflation. Mr. Obama would
increase it further by $25 in 2017, 2019 and 2021.
In addition, the White House would increase Medicare premiums by about 30
percent for new beneficiaries who buy generous private insurance to help fill
gaps in Medicare.
Many beneficiaries choose these private Medigap policies because they want the
financial security they get from the extra insurance. But the White House said
this protection “gives individuals less incentive to consider the costs of
health care and thus raises Medicare costs.”
Mr. Obama would raise $20 billion over 10 years by charging higher premiums to
higher-income beneficiaries and by freezing the income thresholds so more people
would have to pay the surcharges.
About 5 percent of the 48 million Medicare beneficiaries now pay the higher
premiums. The proportion would eventually rise to 25 percent under the proposal.
Starting in 2017, Mr. Obama would require certain new beneficiaries to pay
co-payments for home health care, which is now exempt from such charges. The
co-payment would be $100 per episode, defined as a series of five or more home
health visits not preceded by a stay in a hospital or a skilled nursing home.
Howard J. Bedlin, vice president of the National Council on Aging, a service and
advocacy group, said such co-payments would “significantly increase
out-of-pocket costs for many low-income widows with multiple chronic
conditions.” Likewise, Mr. Bedlin said, “The Medigap proposal would shift costs
onto Medicare beneficiaries.”
Mr. Obama also proposed these changes:
¶ Require drug companies to provide additional discounts, or rebates, to
Medicare for prescription drugs bought by low-income beneficiaries. This
proposal, opposed by drug makers, would save the government $135 billion over 10
years.
¶ Squeeze $42 billion over 10 years from Medicare payments to nursing homes,
home health agencies and rehabilitation hospitals. Cut Medicare payments to
nursing homes with large numbers of patients hospitalized because they did not
receive appropriate care in the nursing home.
¶ Require doctors to get approval from Medicare for the most expensive imaging
services.
¶ Revise the formula for calculating Medicaid payments to states, saving $15
billion over 10 years. Restrict states’ ability to finance their share of costs
by imposing taxes on care providers.
¶ Cut $3.5 billion over 10 years from a prevention and public health fund
created by the new health care law.
Another White House proposal would save $20 billion over 10 years by reducing
Medicare payments to hospitals and other providers for bad debts that result
when beneficiaries fail to pay deductibles and co-payments.
Obama Proposes $320 Billion in Medicare and Medicaid Cuts
Over 10 Years, NYT, 19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/us/politics/medicare-and-medicaid-face-320-billion-in-cuts-over-10-years.html
Obama
Vows Veto if Deficit Plan Has No Tax Increases
September
19, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
WASHINGTON — President Obama called on Monday for Congress to adopt his
“balanced” plan combining entitlement cuts, tax increases and war savings to
reduce the federal deficit by more than $3 trillion over the next 10 years, and
said he would veto any approach that relied solely on spending reductions to
address the fiscal shortfall.
“I will not support any plan that puts all the burden for closing our deficit on
ordinary Americans,” he said. “And I will veto any bill that changes benefits
for those who rely on Medicare but does not raise serious revenues by asking the
wealthiest Americans and biggest corporations to pay their fair share.
“We are not going to have a one-sided deal that hurts the folks who are most
vulnerable,” he continued.
His plan, presented in a speech in the Rose Garden of the White House, is the
administration’s latest move in the long-running power struggle over deficit
reduction. It comes as a joint House-Senate committee begins work in earnest to
spell out, at the least, a more modest savings plan that Congress could approve
by the end of the year in keeping with the debt deal reached this summer. If the
committee’s proposal is not enacted by Dec. 23, draconian automatic cuts across
government agencies could take effect a year later.
Mr. Obama is seeking $1.5 trillion in tax increases, primarily on the wealthy
and corporations, through a combination of letting Bush-era income tax cuts
expire on wealthier taxpayers, limiting the value of deductions taken by high
earners and closing corporate loopholes. The proposal also includes $580 billion
in adjustments to health and entitlement programs, including $248 billion to
Medicare and $72 billion to Medicaid. In a briefing previewing the plan,
administration officials said on Sunday that the Medicare savings would not come
from an increase in the Medicare eligibility age.
Senior administration officials who briefed reporters on some of the details of
Mr. Obama’s proposal said that the plan also counts a savings of $1.1 trillion
from ending the American combat mission in Iraq and the withdrawal of American
troops from Afghanistan.
Mr. Obama’s threat to veto any legislation that seeks to cut the deficit through
spending cuts alone without raising taxes puts him on a collision course with
the House speaker, John A. Boehner, who said last week that he would not support
any revenue increases in the form of higher taxes. But the White House has
compromised several times over the last year after making stern demands of
Congress that were not met.
Mr. Obama’s proposal is certain to receive sharp criticism from Congressional
Republicans, who on Sunday were already taking apart one element of the proposal
that the administration let out early: the so-called Buffett Rule. The rule —
named for the billionaire investor Warren E. Buffett, who has complained that he
is taxed at a lower rate than his employees — calls for a new minimum tax rate
for individuals making more than $1 million a year to ensure that they pay at
least the same percentage of their earnings as middle-income taxpayers.
That proposal, which was disclosed on Saturday, was met with derision Sunday by
Republican lawmakers, who said it amounted to “class warfare” and was a
political tactic intended to portray his opponents as indifferent to the
hardships facing middle-class Americans.
But Mr. Obama spent much of his talk in the Rose Garden making an impassioned
plea for what he called fairness in taxation, on the premise that “middle-class
families shouldn’t pay higher taxes than millionaires and billionaires.”
“This is not class warfare,” he said. “It’s math.”
Nonetheless, Republicans made clear on Sunday that higher taxes on the wealthy
were not acceptable to them. On NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Senator Mitch McConnell
of Kentucky, the Republican leader, said: “It’s a bad thing to do in the middle
of an economic downturn. And of course the economy, some would argue, is even
worse now than it was when the president signed the extension of the current tax
rates back in December.”
Under Mr. Obama’s proposal, $800 billion of the $1.5 trillion in tax increases
would come from allowing the Bush-era tax cuts to expire as scheduled for
wealthier taxpayers, while extending them for individuals making less than
$200,000 a year and families making less than $250,000. He won election on that
promise and tried, but failed, to get Congress to go along with that earlier in
his term. Now, it appears that he wants to campaign once again on that
difference with Republicans.
Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said after Mr. Obama spoke that the scale
of his proposal — $3 trillion, on top of $1 trillion already agreed to in the
summer debt deal — was not an arbitrary figure, but was just big enough to be a
real turning point in the deteriorating fiscal trends that otherwise portend a
long-term crisis in the making.
“That’s what you need to bring the deficit down to a level we can sustain over
time, to a level where the debt as a share of the economy as a whole is no
longer growing, stabilizes, starts to come down,” Mr. Geithner said.
Jacob J. Lew, the White House budget director, said that letting some Bush tax
cuts expire while extending others — part of what the White House calls its
“balanced” approach — could bring the annual deficit and the cumulative national
debt into a reasonable range as a percentage of the economy.
“A balanced approach will give you the ability to let the middle-class tax cuts
continue and, if you enact the entire program that we’ve proposed, bring our
deficit down to the low twos, like 2.3 percent of G.D.P., at the end of this
period, and keep the debt as a percentage of G.D.P. in the low 70s instead of
climbing up into a very dangerous range.”
Mr. Obama’s plan will hover over Congressional budget-cutting negotiations that
are under way over the next two months. A bipartisan Congressional committee is
charged with coming up with its own proposal by Nov. 23; unless passed by
Congress by Dec. 23, $1.2 trillion in cuts to defense and entitlement programs
will go into effect automatically in 2013.
Mr. Obama, however, is challenging the Congressional committee to go well beyond
its mandate, which is to find $1.2 trillion to $1.5 trillion in savings. “He’s
showing them where they could find the savings,” one administration official
said.
The Obama proposal has little chance of becoming law unless Republican lawmakers
bend. But by focusing on the wealthiest Americans, the president is sharpening
the contrast between Republicans and Democrats with a theme he can carry into
his bid for re-election in 2012.
Mr. Obama’s proposal is also an effort to reassure Democrats who had feared that
he would agree to changes in programs like Medicare without forcing Republicans
to compromise on taxes. Indeed, Roger Hickey, co-director of the Campaign for
America’s Future, a progressive center, warned in a statement that the president
should not raise the Medicare eligibility age, advice that Mr. Obama, so far,
seems to have heeded.
Brian Knowlton contributed reporting.
This article
has been revised to reflect the following correction:
Correction: September 19, 2011
An earlier version of this article, and a headline on the Web, mistakenly
referred to a figure of more than $3 trillion as the amount of federal
government spending that President Obama's plan would cut. The $3 trillion
figure should have referred to the amount the plan would reduce the deficit over
10 years; $1.5 trillion of that deficit reduction will come from tax increases,
not spending cuts. The article also gave an incorrect date for the deadline for
the bipartisan Congressional committee to come up with its own cuts. It is Nov.
23, not Dec. 23. The article also included a reference to the scale of the
proposal that incorrectly described it as a $3 billion plan on top of the $1
billion cut over the summer — the figures should have been $3 trillion and $1
trillion.
Obama Vows Veto if Deficit Plan Has No Tax Increases, NYT,
19.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/20/us/politics/obama-vows-veto-if-deficit-plan-has-no-tax-increases.html
Obama
Plan to Cut Deficit Will Trim Spending by $3 Trillion
September
18, 2011
The New York Times
By HELENE COOPER
WASHINGTON — President Obama will unveil a deficit-reduction plan on Monday that
uses entitlement cuts, tax increases and war savings to reduce government
spending by more than $3 trillion over the next 10 years, administration
officials said.
The plan, which Mr. Obama will lay out Monday morning at the White House, is the
administration’s opening move in sweeping negotiations on deficit reduction to
be taken up by a joint House-Senate committee over the next two months. If a
deal is not struck by Dec. 23, cuts could take effect automatically across
government agencies.
Mr. Obama will call for $1.5 trillion in tax increases, primarily on the
wealthy, through a combination of closing loopholes and limiting the amount that
high earners can deduct. The proposal also includes $580 billion in adjustments
to health and entitlement programs, including $248 billion to Medicare and $72
billion to Medicaid. Administration officials said that the Medicare cuts would
not come from an increase in the Medicare eligibility age.
Senior administration officials who briefed reporters on some of the details of
Mr. Obama’s proposal said that the plan also counts a savings of $1.1 trillion
from the ending of the American combat mission in Iraq and the withdrawal of
American troops from Afghanistan.
In laying out his proposal, aides said, Mr. Obama will expressly promise to veto
any legislation that seeks to cut the deficit through spending cuts alone and
does not include revenue increases in the form of tax increases on the wealthy.
That veto threat will put the president on a direct collision course with the
House speaker, John A. Boehner, who said last week that he would not support any
legislation that included revenue increases in the form of higher taxes.
Mr. Obama’s proposal is certain to receive sharp criticism from Congressional
Republicans, who on Sunday were already taking apart one element of the proposal
that the administration let out early: the so-called Buffett Rule. The rule —
named for the billionaire investor Warren E. Buffett, who has complained that he
is taxed at a lower rate than his employees — calls for a new minimum tax rate
for individuals making more than $1 million a year to ensure that they pay at
least the same percentage of their earnings as middle-income taxpayers.
That proposal, which was disclosed on Saturday, was met with derision Sunday by
Republican lawmakers, who said it amounted to “class warfare” and a political
tactic intended to portray his opponents as indifferent to the hardships facing
middle-class Americans.
Representative Paul D. Ryan, chairman of the House Budget Committee and a
leading proponent of cutting spending on benefit programs like Medicare, said
the proposal would weigh heavily on a stagnating economy.
On “Fox News Sunday,” Mr. Ryan said it would add “further instability to our
system, more uncertainty, and it punishes job creation.”
“Class warfare,” he said, “may make for really good politics, but it makes for
rotten economics.”
Administration officials said Sunday night that they were not including any
revenue from the Buffett Rule in Mr. Obama’s overall $3 trillion proposal,
adding that it was more of a guiding principle the president will adopt as
budget negotiations with Congress advance.
Mr. Obama has been citing Mr. Buffett as he promotes his separate $447 billion
jobs-creation plan. He proposes to offset the cost of that plan and to reduce
future budget deficits through higher taxes on the wealthy and on corporations
after 2013, when the economy will presumably be healthier.
Nonetheless, Republicans made clear on Sunday that higher taxes on the wealthy
were not acceptable to them. Appearing on the NBC program “Meet the Press,”
Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader, said “it’s a bad
thing to do in the middle of an economic downturn. And of course the economy,
some would argue, is even worse now than it was when the president signed the
extension of the current tax rates back in December.”
Under Mr. Obama’s proposal, $800 billion of the $1.5 trillion in tax increases
would come from allowing the Bush-era tax cuts to expire. The other $700
billion, aides said, would come from a combination of closing loopholes and
limiting deductions among individuals making more than $200,000 a year and
families making more than $250,000.
Mr. Obama’s plan will hover over Congressional budget-cutting negotiations that
are under way over the next two months. A bipartisan Congressional committee is
charged with coming up with its own cuts by Dec. 23; otherwise $1.2 trillion in
cuts to defense and entitlement programs will go into effect automatically in
2013.
Mr. Obama, however, is challenging the Congressional committee to go well beyond
its mandate. “He’s showing them where they could find the savings,” one
administration official said.
Liberal-leaning organizations were rallying behind Mr. Obama’s proposals on
Sunday.
“The report that the president is planning to ask millionaires and billionaires
to pay taxes at a higher rate than their secretaries pay is welcome news that
will be wildly popular with voters,” said Roger Hickey, co-director of the
Campaign for America’s Future, a progressive center, in a statement. “We applaud
the president for heeding the advice from progressives that he go big on his
jobs plan.”
The Obama proposal has little chance of becoming law unless Republican lawmakers
bend. But by focusing on the wealthiest Americans, the president is sharpening
the contrast between Republicans and Democrats with a theme he can carry into
his bid for re-election in 2012.
Mr. Obama’s proposal is also an effort to reassure Democrats who had feared that
he would agree to changes in programs like Medicare without forcing Republicans
to compromise on taxes. Indeed, Mr. Hickey warned in his statement that the
president should not raise the Medicare eligibility age, advice that Mr. Obama,
so far, seems to have heeded.
Brian
Knowlton contributed reporting.
Obama Plan to Cut Deficit Will Trim Spending by $3
Trillion, NYT, 18.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/19/us/politics/obama-plan-to-cut-deficit-will-trim-spending.html
Leadership Crisis
September
17, 2011
The New York Times
As the economy faces the risk of another recession, and the 2012 campaign looms,
President Obama has been groping for a response to the biggest crisis of his
career. All he has to do is listen to the voters.
The Times and CBS News released a new poll on Friday, and once again we were
impressed that Americans are a lot smarter than Republican leaders think, more
willing to sacrifice for the national good than Democratic leaders give them
credit for, and more eager to see the president get tough than Mr. Obama and his
conflict-averse team realize.
So long as the politicians keep reinforcing their misconceptions — and listening
only to themselves — the country has little chance of getting what the voters
want most: jobs and a growing economy.
Despite what the Republicans loudly proclaim, Americans do not buy into economic
theories that were disproved 25 years ago. What the new poll and others show is
that most do not see the deficit and “big government” as the main problem, and
they do not buy the endless calls for slashing spending and reckless
deregulation.
A solid majority said creating jobs should be the highest priority for the
government now and that payroll taxes should be cut to help with that. A
whopping 8 in 10 think building bridges, roads and schools is important, which
means — gasp — spending money.
Many Democrats are so gun shy that they don’t dare even to talk about raising
taxes on the rich. But 71 percent of those polled said any plan to reduce the
budget deficit should include both spending cuts and tax increases. And
Americans understand that there are choices to be made; 56 percent said the
wealthier should pay higher taxes to reduce the federal deficit.
It bears repeating that this is all entirely rational, and what the Republicans
and some Democrats are proposing is absurd. The country has tried reckless
deregulation and overly deep tax and spending cuts before. It brought more than
one recession in the last century; caused the near collapse of the financial
system and another recession in this one; and helped pile up the current
deficit.
Mr. Obama has been making many of those points for months. But he has been doing
it with speeches that, while eloquent, are often too long and nuanced, and then
lack the kind of relentless repetition that is needed to drown out catchy but
false Republican talking points.
He has wasted far too much time trying to puzzle out how he can shave policies
down far enough to get the Republicans to cooperate. The answer has long been
clear: He can’t. Since he was elected, the Republicans have openly said they
would not work with him, and a year ago, Senator Mitch McConnell, the minority
leader, said explicitly that the Republicans’ goal was simply to deny Mr. Obama
a second term. The new Times poll showed that Americans do not believe
bipartisanship is achievable. Six in 10 Democrats want the president to
challenge Republicans more. He should not worry about voters thinking he is
being mean. What he should worry about is that he is not showing them that he is
fighting all out for their interests.
Mr. Obama has done more for the country than many voters realize. The stimulus
program so demonized by Republicans was too small, but it saved the economy from
a complete collapse. Mr. Obama’s maligned decision to bail out the car companies
saved large numbers of jobs. The huge benefits of his health care reform, which
Republicans have vowed to repeal, will become clearer to Americans in the years
ahead.
That is not enough. The president has done far too little for far too long to
help struggling homeowners, and he must do more to put Americans back to work.
That is why it is so important and welcome that he has finally begun to take on
Congress. His speech to the joint session outlining a significant jobs program
was followed by the sound demand that it be paid for with tax revenue increases.
The question is whether he will now fight hard for that program. To get there,
he does not need the entire G.O.P. caucus, just a few members, but he also needs
to show more strength in leading his own less than courageous caucus. And, win
or lose, he needs to stay out of the bargaining backroom and keep making his
case to the public.
There is so much noise out there that we are not sure most voters know how much
they agree with the president. It is up Mr. Obama to show them.
Leadership Crisis, NYT, 17.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/18/opinion/sunday/leadership-crisis.html
White
House Weighs Limits of Terror Fight
September
15, 2011
The New York Times
By CHARLIE SAVAGE
WASHINGTON — The Obama administration’s legal team is split over how much
latitude the United States has to kill Islamist militants in Yemen and Somalia,
a question that could define the limits of the war against Al Qaeda and its
allies, according to administration and Congressional officials.
The debate, according to officials familiar with the deliberations, centers on
whether the United States may take aim at only a handful of high-level leaders
of militant groups who are personally linked to plots to attack the United
States or whether it may also attack the thousands of low-level foot soldiers
focused on parochial concerns: controlling the essentially ungoverned lands near
the Gulf of Aden, which separates the countries.
The dispute over limits on the use of lethal force in the region — whether from
drone strikes, cruise missiles or commando raids — has divided the State
Department and the Pentagon for months, although to date it remains a merely
theoretical disagreement. Current administration policy is to attack only
“high-value individuals” in the region, as it has tried to do about a dozen
times.
But the unresolved question is whether the administration can escalate attacks
if it wants to against rank-and-file members of Al Qaeda in the Arabian
Peninsula, based in Yemen, and the Somalia-based Shabab. The answer could lay
the groundwork for a shift in the fight against terrorists as the original Al
Qaeda, operating out of Afghanistan and Pakistan, grows weaker. That
organization has been crippled by the killing of Osama bin Laden and by a fierce
campaign of drone strikes in the tribal regions of Pakistan, where the legal
authority to attack militants who are battling United States forces in adjoining
Afghanistan is not disputed inside the administration.
One senior official played down the disagreement on Thursday, characterizing it
as a difference in policy emphasis, not legal views. Defense Department lawyers
are trying to maintain maximum theoretical flexibility, while State Department
lawyers are trying to reach out to European allies who think that there is no
armed conflict, for legal purposes, outside of Afghanistan, and that the United
States has a right to take action elsewhere only in self-defense, the official
said.
But other officials insisted that the administration lawyers disagreed on the
underlying legal authority of the United States to carry out such strikes.
Robert Chesney, a law professor at the University of Texas at Austin who
specializes in the laws of war, said the dispute reflected widespread
disagreement about how to apply rules written for traditional wars to a conflict
against a splintered network of terrorists — and fears that it could lead to an
unending and unconstrained “global” war.
“It’s a tangled mess because the law is unsettled,” Professor Chesney said. “Do
the rules vary from location to location? Does the armed conflict exist only in
the current combat zone, such as Afghanistan, or does it follow wherever
participants may go? Who counts as a party to the conflict? There’s a lot at
stake in these debates.”
Counterterrorism officials have portrayed Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula —
which was responsible for the attempted bombing of a Detroit-bound airliner on
Dec. 25, 2009 — as an affiliate of Al Qaeda that may be more dangerous now than
the remnants of the original group. Such officials have also expressed worry
about the Shabab, though that group is generally more focused on local issues
and has not been accused of attacking the United States.
In Pakistan, the United States has struck at Al Qaeda in part through
“signature” strikes — those that are aimed at killing clusters of people whose
identities are not known, but who are deemed likely members of a militant group
based on patterns like training in terrorist camps. The dispute over targeting
could affect whether that tactic might someday be used in Yemen and Somalia,
too.
The Defense Department’s general counsel, Jeh C. Johnson, has argued that the
United States could significantly widen its targeting, officials said. His view,
they explained, is that if a group has aligned itself with Al Qaeda against
Americans, the United States can take aim at any of its combatants, especially
in a country that is unable or unwilling to suppress them.
The State Department’s top lawyer, Harold H. Koh, has agreed that the armed
conflict with Al Qaeda is not limited to the battlefield theater of Afghanistan
and adjoining parts of Pakistan. But, officials say, he has also contended that
international law imposes additional constraints on the use of force elsewhere.
To kill people elsewhere, he has said, the United States must be able to justify
the act as necessary for its self-defense — meaning it should focus only on
individuals plotting to attack the United States.
The fate of detainees at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, hangs heavily over the targeting
debate, officials said. In several habeas corpus lawsuits, judges have approved
the detention of Qaeda suspects who were captured far from the Afghan
battlefield, as well as detainees who were deemed members of a force that was
merely “associated” with Al Qaeda. One part of the dispute is the extent to
which rulings about detention are relevant to the targeting law.
Congress, too, may influence the outcome of the debate. It is considering, as
part of a pending defense bill, a new authorization to use military force
against Al Qaeda and its associates. A version of the provision proposed by the
House Armed Forces Committee would establish an expansive standard for the
categories of groups that the United States may single out for military action,
potentially making it easier for the United States to kill large numbers of
low-level militants in places like Somalia.
In an interview, Senator Lindsey Graham, a South Carolina Republican on the
Armed Services Committee, said that he supported the House version and that he
would go further. He said he would offer an amendment that would explicitly
authorize the use of force against a list of specific groups including the
Shabab, as well as set up a mechanism to add further groups to the list if they
take certain “overt acts.”
“This is a worldwide conflict without borders,” Mr. Graham argued. “Restricting
the definition of the battlefield and restricting the definition of the enemy
allows the enemy to regenerate and doesn’t deter people who are on the fence.”
White House Weighs Limits of Terror Fight, NYT, 15.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/16/us/white-house-weighs-limits-of-terror-fight.html
At Arlington, Obama Pays Tribute to US War Dead
September 10, 2011
The New York Times
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARLINGTON, Va. (AP) — President Barack Obama and first lady
Michele Obama have visited Arlington National Cemetery where they paid tribute
to members of the military killed in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
One day before the 10th anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks, the Obamas made a
pilgrimage to Section 60 of the cemetery. The White House says that's the burial
ground for military personnel killed in those two wars. Those conflicts have
claimed 6,213 military personnel.
At one gravesite, the Obamas stopped to talk with members of a family who
appeared to be visiting a grave. The Obamas chatted a few minutes, posed for
pictures and gave out handshakes and hugs.
Then the Obamas, hand in hand, strolled along one of the rows between identical
white tombstones, pausing at some markers.
At Arlington, Obama Pays
Tribute to US War Dead, NYT, 10.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2011/09/10/us/AP-US-Sept-11-Obama-Arlington.html
Despite Talk of Taming Partisanship,
a Show
of It for President’s Remarks
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
By JENNIFER STEINHAUER
WASHINGTON — It was, for a moment, Bizzaro World, with Republicans giving the
president of the United States a standing ovation, while Democrats, in large
part, remained firmly fixed in their seats as he expressed his desire for new
trade agreements.
And it was a brief respite for Representative Eric Cantor, the Virginia
Republican and majority leader. He had spent much of the day talking about the
need for conciliation, but had, for the previous 20 minutes, become more and
more agitated as the speech went on, furiously taking notes as President Obama
ticked off a list of tax cuts and programs he claimed that Republicans had
supported.
For all the talk about the need to tame partisanship, both chambers of Congress
put on a relatively full display of it Thursday night, with Democrats hooting
and clapping at Mr. Obama’s remarks about taxes, entitlement programs and
teachers, and Republicans leading the charge when the talk turned to veterans
and regulations.
Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. was first into the chamber, wearing a
lavender tie, tan and bright white smile. He was followed by Senator Mitch
McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader, who was immediately set upon by a
freshman Democrat, followed by Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority
leader, who stood with his hands folded in front of him, pensive, speaking to
few.
Unlike the State of the Union, when Democrats and Republicans sat together to
show good will and cheer, members sat largely by party this time, as the room
braced with anticipation for the speech. Oddly, former Representative David Wu
of Oregon, a Democratic who resigned under the cloud of scandal before the
August recess, sat with a young girl toward the back of the chamber, as others
more or less avoided him.
Republicans were divided between those who criticized the president before he
had uttered a word and those who reached with tentative hands toward an olive
branch, citing the exhaustion of the American public with perpetual
partisanship.
After the speech, Mr. Cantor said he liked some of the president’s proposals,
including one to provide tax relief to small businesses, and would try to “peel
off” such elements and pass them separately.
However, Mr. Cantor criticized Mr. Obama for not specifying how he would pay for
the new initiatives. He also complained that the president had offered his
proposals on a “take it or leave it” basis, presumably referring to Mr. Obama’s
pledge to take his case “to every corner of this country,” beginning with Mr.
Cantor’s hometown, Richmond, on Friday.
Representative Emanuel Cleaver II, Democrat of Missouri and chairman of the
Congressional Black Caucus, hailed that part of the speech, saying it would
“energize the base” of the Democratic Party and enhance the president’s
prospects for re-election.
Representative Pete Sessions of Texas, chairman of the National Republican
Congressional Committee, also had election plans in mind on Thursday, but with a
different twist. Mr. Sessions sent a plan to all Republican House candidates,
declaring the start of the 2012 campaign season and encouraging them to
criticize the president often.
A handful of House and Senate Republicans decided the president’s speech did not
merit their attendance at all, even though Speaker John A. Boehner discouraged
boycotts.
“I have encouraged my colleagues to come tonight and to listen to the
president,” Mr. Boehner told reporters. “He is the president of the United
States and I believe that all members ought to be here to do this. Doesn’t mean
they’re going to.”
There were some notable guests on hand though, many of them corporate chief
executives — the presumed creators of jobs.
Representative Marsha Blackburn, Republican of Tennessee, invited Henry
Juszkiewicz, the chief executive of the Gibson Guitar Corporation, to highlight
the fact that two Gibson work sites had been raided by federal agents apparently
in search of illegal, partly finished, wooden guitar fingerboard blanks from
India. Since the visit, Mr. Juszkiewicz has become a walking, breathing,
Republican talking point against excessive regulation.
The first lady, Michelle Obama, invited her own business people including
Kenneth I. Chenault, the chairman of American Express.
The Republicans presented no official response to the president’s speech, with
Mr. Boehner suggesting that his party did not want to get in the way of the
desire of many Americans to watch the first game of the N.F.L season rather than
be “forced to watch some politician they don’t want to listen to.”
Mr. Reid had scheduled a post-speech vote on a Republican resolution to
disapprove the increase to the debt limit. It failed on its first procedural
vote, with 52 Democrats opposed. The inconvenient vote had an icing-on-the-cake
quality for Mr. Reid, as it forced Senator David Vitter, Republican of
Louisiana, to stay in Washington rather than flee to his home state to watch the
Saints-Packers N.F.L. season opener, as he had said he would.
Robert Pear
contributed reporting.
Despite Talk of Taming Partisanship, a Show of It for
President’s Remarks, NYT, 8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/us/politics/09scene.html
For
Obama,
a
‘Moment’ Speech at a Time of Great Obstacles to Change
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
By CAMPBELL ROBERTSON
Enshrined
in the mythology of the American presidency, there is something called a moment
speech, an address to the nation so forceful and eloquent that it changes the
way the country feels about its leadership and even itself.
Long before Barack Obama took office, many of his supporters and even a few of
his critics thought he would be the kind of president who could give those kinds
of speeches. Ever since he took office there have been many wondering why these
kinds of speeches have not been coming, and whether the president’s hallmark
reliance on calm, rational explanation needs more fire to galvanize the nation
and persuade his adversaries. Thursday night’s address to Congress on job
creation, coming as the prospect of a double-dip recession looms, seemed to be
another chance for an address that would do those things.
But a moment speech is less about the speech than it is about the moment. And as
interviews with political historians and citizens around the country on Thursday
made clear, Mr. Obama was approaching the lectern in a moment that offered more
obstacles than opportunities for bringing about real change.
Even in the strictest sense, the timing of the speech was inauspicious. After a
partisan standoff over scheduling with the House speaker, Representative John A.
Boehner, who asked the president to move his address from Wednesday night, the
speech took place in a pre-prime-time slot shoved up against the start of the
N.F.L. season.
But in more momentous ways, the president was facing serious disadvantages, some
of his own making.
Speeches, said Kathleen Hall Jamieson, director of the Annenberg Public Policy
Center at the University of Pennsylvania, are about context. Some of the most
memorable and praised speeches — by Mr. Obama after the shooting of
Representative Gabrielle Giffords in Tucson, for example, or by President George
W. Bush after the Sept. 11 attacks — were delivered in moments of pronounced
national grief or anxiety, when the country longed for a voice of reassurance.
Thursday’s jobs speech, on the other hand, comes after a season of nasty
partisanship, a time where the country’s biggest threat seemed not to come from
outside enemies or natural disasters but the inability of its own political
leadership to get basic things done. The economy that the president is
addressing is in crisis, but a crisis that has been excruciatingly prolonged,
beaten out in a tiresome tempo of starts and stalls.
“The economy is a mess,” said Becky Wallard, 71, a retired teacher in Atlanta.
“There’s no speech that can hide that.”
Even Mr. Obama’s defenders acknowledge that the political reality in Washington,
with the committed opposition of a Republican Congress, makes the likelihood of
bold action on the president’s part very slim.
“At this point, his speeches haven’t really been earth-shattering or made a
major difference,” said Lily Wolk, 59, who was sitting at a Starbucks in Los
Angeles and who said she was hopeful nonetheless. “I think that he’s got his
hands tied.”
Some political historians and polling experts suggested that this was not a
problem particular to Mr. Obama and that anyone maintaining that the president
has lost some special magic, or was choosing not to use it, is simply misreading
history.
Despite the insta-polls insta-punditry that usually follow on a big speech,
there is plenty of evidence to suggest that addresses like this do not have a
major impact on public opinion over the short or long term. There has been
little major polling movement after other speeches in Mr. Obama’s presidency,
including the State of the Union addresses and his speech on health care, and
few think a speech on the economy would be an exception.
“It’s just illusory to think that presidents can provide a narrative that can
make unemployment sound acceptable,” said George C. Edwards, a professor of
political science at Texas A & M University and author of “On Deaf Ears: The
Limits of the Bully Pulpit.”
Professor Edwards pointed out further that the kind of people who have not made
up their minds about the president or his policies are the kind of people who
are least likely to watch speeches like this. These voters would be moved almost
exclusively by tangible results.
In this sense, Mr. Obama’s reputation as an orator could backfire among those
who believe that his word-action ratio was askew, or that his famed professorial
approach was unsuited to the dire times at hand.
“Supposedly the best way to convince Obama of anything is to say it’s the
consensus of experts,” said David Morrell, 62, a library custodian in Atlanta
who described himself as a dispirited Democrat, and who voted for Mr. Obama in
2008. “Everything that has been disastrous in this country has had a ton of
experts behind it.”
Mr. Morrell added, “It doesn’t seem to be in his nature to bring up anything
other than superficialities.”
Jean Garber, 75, a retiree in Denver put it more succinctly: “Too many speeches.
Every time you turn around!”
Still, there are others, mainly supporters of the president, who believed that a
strong voice of reassurance was more important than the policy details and that
Mr. Obama was capable of delivering that reassurance.
“I think he recognizes that the country is so worried right now,” said Jonathan
Lee, a physician from Norwood, Mass. “It’s more a matter of saying, ‘I recognize
there is immense trouble.’ ”
Dr. Lee said the would not change his opinion: he was a committed backer of the
president. Anyway, he added, he was probably going to watch the Red Sox game
instead.
Reporting
was contributed by Abby Goodnough, Ian Lovett, Dan Frosch, Robbie Brown, Emily
S. Williams and Adrienne Hilbert.
For Obama, a ‘Moment’ Speech at a Time of Great Obstacles
to Change, NYT, 8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/us/politics/09voters.html
Plan’s
Focus
on
Social Security Taxes Reflects Its Modest Ambitions
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
By BINYAMIN APPELBAUM
WASHINGTON — The centerpiece of President Obama’s job-creation plan, a proposal
to further reduce Social Security taxes, is emblematic of a package of modest
measures that some economists describe as helpful but not sufficient to lift the
economy from its malaise.
In his speech on Thursday night, Mr. Obama asked Congress to cut the amount that
workers must contribute toward Social Security benefits, extending an existing
measure, and to reduce, for the first time, the matching payments that employers
are required to make.
The cuts, which would deprive the government of about $240 billion in revenues
next year, are the largest items in the president’s $447 billion job-creation
plan, which includes payments to unemployed workers, incentives for companies
that hire workers and increased federal spending on infrastructure. All of the
measures will require the support of Congressional Republicans.
Cutting taxes is a time-honored strategy for stimulating growth. The formula is
simple: Workers will spend more money when their paychecks grow, and companies
will respond to that increased demand by hiring more workers, creating a cycle
that increases the pace of growth.
Preliminary analyses of the White House plan estimate that the tax cuts could
create more than 50,000 jobs a month, a significant boost considering that
employment climbed by 35,000 jobs, on average, in each of the last three months.
But even if Congress immediately agreed to pass the president’s entire plan, the
economy is likely to continue to struggle. Companies must increase payrolls by
about 100,000 people every month to keep pace with population growth.
Still, Joel Prakken, senior managing director at Macroeconomic Advisers, a
forecasting firm, said that the benefits of creating more than half a million
jobs next year should not be minimized. “It’s going to make the unemployment
rate lower than it otherwise would be,” he said.
The other elements of Mr. Obama’s plan, however, highlight the challenges of
doing more. Economists regard benefits for unemployed workers as among the most
effective means of increasing growth because people without jobs tend to spend
the money quickly. But Republicans generally oppose increased spending on social
programs.
Infrastructure spending, by contrast, enjoys bipartisan support, but breaking
ground on new projects can take a long time, delaying the impact on the economy.
The administration’s focus on payroll tax cuts, which became more ambitious in
the days leading up to the speech, is an exercise in the art of the possible.
While economists regard other kinds of measures as potentially more effective,
the cuts would put money directly in the hands of consumers, and Republican
leaders have indicated they are willing to consider the proposal.
Seeking to exploit that potential opening, the White House decided to
considerably expand the scope of the cuts in the latter stages of planning.
The Social Security tax is paid in equal shares by workers and their employers.
Both pay 6.2 percent of a worker’s annual income up to $106,800. The president’s
plan would reduce the amount that workers pay by half, a savings of $1,500 for
an employee who makes $50,000.
The current tax cut, set to expire in December, has reduced the tax to a rate of
4.2 percent. The new proposal would further reduce it to 3.1 percent in 2012.
In the present climate, however, there are significant reasons to doubt that
consumers are honoring the predictions of economic models by taking that money
and racing out to spend it.
Families are devoting a larger share of income to paying debts, which is
important for the economy’s long-term health but does nothing to stimulate
growth. Concern about future earnings also is weighing on many households,
reducing their willingness to spend. A recent study found that 62 percent of
households expect their income to stay the same or decline over the next year,
according to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, the lowest level of
confidence in 30 years.
“One striking aspect of the recovery is the unusual weakness in household
spending,” the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, said Thursday in
Minneapolis.
There is also broad disagreement among economists about the president’s
companion proposal to give companies a tax break, too.
The plan is divided in two parts. The amount employers must pay also would be
reduced by half on payrolls up to $5 million, a condition that the White House
said would focus the benefits on small businesses. And the plan would waive all
payroll taxes on increased spending on salaries — either for new hires or raises
— up to the first $50 million in increased wages.
The Congressional Budget Office estimated last year that a tax cut for employers
would have a greater impact than a tax cut for workers. The nonpartisan office
reported that every dollar in reduced taxes on employers would generate up to
$1.20 in economic activity, while every dollar in reduced taxes on workers would
generate up to 90 cents because workers tend to save a portion of their
additional income.
Some independent economists, however, doubt that the tax cut will persuade
companies to make significant hires because the primary issue remains a lack of
demand. If a company cannot sell more sofas, it does not need more workers to
make them, whether the cost of each new worker is $106,200, including employer
payroll taxes, or only $100,000, if the tax cut is enacted. As a result, they
argue, companies are even more likely than consumers to refrain from spending
the money.
Mark Thoma, a University of Oregon economist, said that company tax cuts should
be tied to hiring: “If they don’t spend the money on employees, you don’t get a
demand-side effect.”
Studies of similar tax cuts in other countries suggest the truth lies in
between. A 2008 study by the Government Institute for Economic Research in
Finland, for example, found that companies shared about half the money from a
payroll tax cut with workers in the form of higher wages.
The study also found, however, that there were “no significant effects on
employment.”
Cutting payroll taxes does not affect the government’s obligation to pay
benefits to older Americans. Indeed, the White House plan specifies that amounts
not paid by workers and companies must be paid to Social Security from other
sources of government revenue.
But some advocates, noting that temporary tax cuts have a history of becoming
permanent, worry that reducing direct Social Security revenues could undermine
political support for the program by making it seem more like a form of welfare.
The Social Security tax “creates a stake for every American working person in
the system,” said Nancy Altman, co-director of the Social Security Works
coalition. “If you start meddling with that you start to pull apart the
political contract.”
Plan’s Focus on Social Security Taxes Reflects Its Modest
Ambitions, NYT, 8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/us/politics/09tax.html
The
Jobs Speech
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
With more
than 14 million people out of work and all Americans fearing a double-dip
recession, President Obama stood face to face Thursday night with a Congress
that has perversely resisted lifting a finger to help. Some Republicans refused
to even sit and listen. But those Americans who did heard him unveil an
ambitious proposal — more robust and far-reaching than expected — that may be
the first crucial step in reigniting the economy.
Perhaps as important, they heard a president who was lately passive but now
newly energized, who passionately contrasted his vision of a government that
plays its part in tough times with the Republicans’ vision of a government
starved of the means to do so.
The president’s program was only a start, and it was vague on several important
elements, notably a direct path to mortgage relief for troubled borrowers. And
some of the tax cuts for employers may prove ineffective. Nonetheless, at $447
billion, the plan is large enough to potentially lower the unemployment rate and
broad enough to be a significant stimulus.
As Mr. Obama pointed out, virtually every proposal on his agenda has been
accepted over the years by Democrats and an earlier generation of Republicans
that was not reflexively opposed to a recession-fighting fiscal policy. This
generation is different, and the president’s challenge to purely partisan
resistance was forceful and clear.
“The question is whether, in the face of an ongoing national crisis, we can stop
the political circus and actually do something to help the economy,” he said.
Though he went on too long, he was authoritative in demanding that Congress pass
his plan quickly and in laying out its benefits for average Americans. He
directly, even mockingly, challenged the increasingly nihilistic Republican view
that government’s very presence is noxious. Just as Lincoln helped start the
transcontinental railroad and land-grant colleges, he said, the two parties must
together push the country past its economic crisis. Waiting for the next
election will waste valuable time, he said.
“The people who sent us here — the people who hired us to work for them — they
don’t have the luxury of waiting 14 months,” he said. “Some of them are living
week to week, paycheck to paycheck, even day to day. They need help, and they
need it now.”
At the core of his plan are two cuts in the payroll tax — one for employers and
one for employees — that have long been embraced by Republicans. The employee
cut would reduce the tax to 3.1 percent of income instead of the 4.2 percent
negotiated last year. (It was 6.2 percent originally.) Although it could have
been better targeted to low- and middle-income families, it will put money in
people’s pockets quickly and increase consumer demand.
For employers, the plan would halve the payroll tax for most small and
medium-size businesses and would provide an incentive for hiring by temporarily
removing the tax for new employees (and on raises for existing ones). Companies
would also get a $4,000 tax credit for hiring anyone out of work for more than
six months. Unemployment insurance would be extended for five million people.
Though Mr. Obama said more Americans would be able to refinance their homes at
low interest rates, he did not say how.
The plan would provide $35 billion in state aid to prevent up to 280,000 teacher
layoffs while hiring tens of thousands more, along with additional police
officers and firefighters. It would create jobs to modernize 35,000 schools
across the country. And it would accelerate $50 billion in improvements for
highways, railroads, transit and aviation.
Though the plan would be paid for by more deficit reduction, he left those vital
details until later. It was gratifying to hear him call for higher taxes on
corporations and the wealthy, but his warning of cuts to Medicare and Medicaid —
lifelines to the most vulnerable — raised concerns about trading one important
program for another.
We hope Mr. Obama keeps his promise to take his proposals all over the country.
The need to act is urgent.
The Jobs Speech, NYT, 8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/opinion/president-obamas-jobs-speech.html
Obama
Challenges Congress on Job Plan
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER
WASHINGTON — Mixing politically moderate proposals with a punchy tone, President
Obama challenged lawmakers on Thursday to “pass this jobs bill” — a blunt call
on Congress to enact his $447 billion package of tax cuts and new government
spending, designed to revive a stalling economy and his own political standing.
Speaking to a joint session of Congress, Mr. Obama ticked off a list of measures
that he emphasized had been supported by both Republicans and Democrats in the
past. To keep the proposals from adding to the swelling federal deficit, Mr.
Obama also said he would encourage a more ambitious target for long-term
reduction of the deficit.
“You should pass this jobs plan right away,” the president declared over and
over in his 32-minute speech, in which he eschewed his trademark soaring oratory
in favor of a plainspoken appeal for action, stiffened by a few sarcastic
political jabs.
With Republicans listening politely but with stone-faced expressions, Mr. Obama
said, “The question is whether, in the face of an ongoing national crisis, we
can stop the political circus and actually do something to help the economy.”
Though Mr. Obama’s proposals — including an expansion of a cut in payroll taxes
and new spending on public works — were widely expected, the package was
substantially larger than predicted, and much of the money would flow into the
economic bloodstream in 2012. The pace would be similar to that of the $787
billion stimulus package passed in 2009, which was spread over more than two
years. Analysts said that, if passed, the package would likely lift growth
somewhat.
While Republicans did not often applaud Mr. Obama,, party leaders greeted his
proposals with uncharacteristic conciliation. Representative Eric Cantor, the
House majority leader, and other Republicans signaled a willingness to consider
at least some of the measures, reflecting what some have described as anger in
their home districts over the political dysfunction in Washington.
“The proposals the president outlined tonight merit consideration,” Speaker John
A. Boehner said in a statement. “We hope he gives serious consideration to our
ideas as well.”
Still, analysts said it was unlikely that the White House would win
Congressional approval for many elements of the package.
For Mr. Obama, burdened by the lowest approval ratings of his presidency, the
address crystallized the multiple challenges he faces, among them reviving a
torpid economy with a Republican House that, however receptive some of its
leaders appeared Thursday, has staked out a relentlessly confrontational course
with the White House. The president must also shake off a perception, after so
many speeches on the economy, that he has not delivered on the promise of his
oratory.
After weeks on the defensive, however, Mr. Obama seemed to get off his back
foot. He framed the debate over the economy as a tug-of-war between mainstream
American values and a radical, antigovernment orthodoxy that holds that “the
only thing we can do restore prosperity is just dismantle government, refund
everyone’s money, let everyone write their own rules, and tell everyone they’re
on their own.”
With a difficult re-election bid looming, Mr. Obama declared that his vision
would appeal to more voters. “These are real choices we have to make,” he said.
“And I’m pretty sure I know what most Americans would choose. It’s not even
close.”
At times, he edged into sarcasm. Promoting the extension in the payroll tax cut
to Republicans, Mr. Obama said: “I know some of you have sworn oaths never to
raise any taxes on anyone for as long as you live. Now is not the time to carve
out an exception and raise middle-class taxes, which is why you should pass this
bill right away.”
The centerpiece of the bill, known as the American Jobs Act, is an extension and
expansion of the cut in payroll taxes, worth $240 billion, under which the tax
paid by employees would be cut in half through 2012. Smaller businesses would
also get a cut in their payroll taxes, as well as a tax holiday for hiring new
employees. The plan also provides $140 billion for modernizing schools and
repairing roads and bridges — spending that Mr. Obama portrayed as critical to
maintaining America’s competitiveness.
The president insisted that everything in the package would be paid for by
raising the target for long-term spending cuts to be negotiated by a special
Congressional committee. He did not go through the arithmetic, but said he would
send a detailed proposal to Congress in a week. Senior White House officials
said the amount of increased spending cuts would hinge on how much of the plan
gets through Congress.
Mr. Obama said most of his proposals had support from both parties, a contention
that Republican leaders rejected. “There should be nothing controversial about
this piece of legislation,” he said. “Everything in here is the kind of proposal
that’s been supported by Democrats and Republicans.”
After a summer consumed by bitter debate over how to reduce the debt and
deficit, Mr. Obama kept his focus squarely on the need to create jobs. He
acknowledged that the government’s role in fixing the problem was limited, but
rejected the Republican argument that Washington’s major contribution would be
to eliminate regulations.
“Ultimately, our recovery will be driven not by Washington, but by our
businesses and our workers,” he said. “But we can help. We can make a
difference. There are steps we can take right now to improve people’s lives.”
Still, even if every one of the proposals were passed by Congress — something
that is extremely unlikely to happen — the measures would not solve the
economy’s problems, forecasters say, though they would likely spur some growth.
And that encapsulates the quandary for Mr. Obama: so long as there is no
evidence of improvement in the job market, his economic call to arms — backed by
a familiar list of proposed remedies — may not resonate with an American public
grown weary of stagnation and an unemployment rate stuck at 9.1 percent.
Even the scheduling of the speech set off a tempest when Mr. Boehner rejected
Mr. Obama’s request to address Congress on Wednesday, the night of a Republican
presidential debate. At Mr. Boehner’s request, the White House agreed to move
the date to Thursday, which meant Mr. Obama had to wrap up his remarks before
the New Orleans Saints and the Green Bay Packers kicked off the N.F.L. season.
As Mr. Obama was entering the chamber, microphones caught him assuring a
lawmaker that his speech would not interfere with the game.
In setting out his program, Mr. Obama was, in effect, daring Republicans not to
pass measures that enjoy support among independent voters and business leaders.
If the Republicans refuse to embrace at least some of the measures,
administration officials said, Mr. Obama will take them directly to the American
public, portraying Congress as do-nothing and obstructionist.
“Maybe some of you have decided that those differences are so great that we can
only resolve them at the ballot box,” Mr. Obama told the lawmakers. “But know
this: the next election is fourteen months away. And the people who sent us here
— the people who hired us to work for them — they don’t have the luxury of
waiting fourteen months.”
Obama Challenges Congress on Job Plan, 8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/us/politics/09payroll.html
Transcript: Obama’s Speech to Congress on Jobs
September
8, 2011
The New York Times
The following is a transcript of President Obama’s speech to a joint session of
Congress about jobs and the economy, as provided by the White House.
MR. OBAMA: Mr. Speaker, Mr. Vice President, members of Congress, and fellow
Americans:
Tonight we meet at an urgent time for our country. We continue to face an
economic crisis that has left millions of our neighbors jobless, and a political
crisis that’s made things worse.
This past week, reporters have been asking, “What will this speech mean for the
President? What will it mean for Congress? How will it affect their polls, and
the next election?”
But the millions of Americans who are watching right now, they don’t care about
politics. They have real-life concerns. Many have spent months looking for work.
Others are doing their best just to scrape by -- giving up nights out with the
family to save on gas or make the mortgage; postponing retirement to send a kid
to college.
These men and women grew up with faith in an America where hard work and
responsibility paid off. They believed in a country where everyone gets a fair
shake and does their fair share -- where if you stepped up, did your job, and
were loyal to your company, that loyalty would be rewarded with a decent salary
and good benefits; maybe a raise once in a while. If you did the right thing,
you could make it. Anybody could make it in America.
For decades now, Americans have watched that compact erode. They have seen the
decks too often stacked against them. And they know that Washington has not
always put their interests first.
The people of this country work hard to meet their responsibilities. The
question tonight is whether we’ll meet ours. The question is whether, in the
face of an ongoing national crisis, we can stop the political circus and
actually do something to help the economy. (Applause.) The question is -- the
question is whether we can restore some of the fairness and security that has
defined this nation since our beginning.
Those of us here tonight can’t solve all our nation’s woes. Ultimately, our
recovery will be driven not by Washington, but by our businesses and our
workers. But we can help. We can make a difference. There are steps we can take
right now to improve people’s lives.
I am sending this Congress a plan that you should pass right away. It’s called
the American Jobs Act. There should be nothing controversial about this piece of
legislation. Everything in here is the kind of proposal that’s been supported by
both Democrats and Republicans -- including many who sit here tonight. And
everything in this bill will be paid for. Everything. (Applause.)
The purpose of the American Jobs Act is simple: to put more people back to work
and more money in the pockets of those who are working. It will create more jobs
for construction workers, more jobs for teachers, more jobs for veterans, and
more jobs for long-term unemployed. (Applause.) It will provide -- it will
provide a tax break for companies who hire new workers, and it will cut payroll
taxes in half for every working American and every small business. (Applause.)
It will provide a jolt to an economy that has stalled, and give companies
confidence that if they invest and if they hire, there will be customers for
their products and services. You should pass this jobs plan right away.
(Applause.)
Everyone here knows that small businesses are where most new jobs begin. And you
know that while corporate profits have come roaring back, smaller companies
haven’t. So for everyone who speaks so passionately about making life easier for
“job creators,” this plan is for you. (Applause.)
Pass this jobs bill -- pass this jobs bill, and starting tomorrow, small
businesses will get a tax cut if they hire new workers or if they raise workers’
wages. Pass this jobs bill, and all small business owners will also see their
payroll taxes cut in half next year. (Applause.) If you have 50 employees -- if
you have 50 employees making an average salary, that’s an $80,000 tax cut. And
all businesses will be able to continue writing off the investments they make in
2012.
It’s not just Democrats who have supported this kind of proposal. Fifty House
Republicans have proposed the same payroll tax cut that’s in this plan. You
should pass it right away. (Applause.)
Pass this jobs bill, and we can put people to work rebuilding America. Everyone
here knows we have badly decaying roads and bridges all over the country. Our
highways are clogged with traffic. Our skies are the most congested in the
world. It’s an outrage.
Building a world-class transportation system is part of what made us a economic
superpower. And now we’re going to sit back and watch China build newer airports
and faster railroads? At a time when millions of unemployed construction workers
could build them right here in America? (Applause.)
There are private construction companies all across America just waiting to get
to work. There’s a bridge that needs repair between Ohio and Kentucky that’s on
one of the busiest trucking routes in North America. A public transit project in
Houston that will help clear up one of the worst areas of traffic in the
country. And there are schools throughout this country that desperately need
renovating. How can we expect our kids to do their best in places that are
literally falling apart? This is America. Every child deserves a great school --
and we can give it to them, if we act now. (Applause.)
The American Jobs Act will repair and modernize at least 35,000 schools. It will
put people to work right now fixing roofs and windows, installing science labs
and high-speed Internet in classrooms all across this country. It will
rehabilitate homes and businesses in communities hit hardest by foreclosures. It
will jumpstart thousands of transportation projects all across the country. And
to make sure the money is properly spent, we’re building on reforms we’ve
already put in place. No more earmarks. No more boondoggles. No more bridges to
nowhere. We’re cutting the red tape that prevents some of these projects from
getting started as quickly as possible. And we’ll set up an independent fund to
attract private dollars and issue loans based on two criteria: how badly a
construction project is needed and how much good it will do for the economy.
(Applause.)
This idea came from a bill written by a Texas Republican and a Massachusetts
Democrat. The idea for a big boost in construction is supported by America’s
largest business organization and America’s largest labor organization. It’s the
kind of proposal that’s been supported in the past by Democrats and Republicans
alike. You should pass it right away. (Applause.)
Pass this jobs bill, and thousands of teachers in every state will go back to
work. These are the men and women charged with preparing our children for a
world where the competition has never been tougher. But while they’re adding
teachers in places like South Korea, we’re laying them off in droves. It’s
unfair to our kids. It undermines their future and ours. And it has to stop.
Pass this bill, and put our teachers back in the classroom where they belong.
(Applause.)
Pass this jobs bill, and companies will get extra tax credits if they hire
America’s veterans. We ask these men and women to leave their careers, leave
their families, risk their lives to fight for our country. The last thing they
should have to do is fight for a job when they come home. (Applause.)
Pass this bill, and hundreds of thousands of disadvantaged young people will
have the hope and the dignity of a summer job next year. And their parents --
(applause) -- their parents, low-income Americans who desperately want to work,
will have more ladders out of poverty.
Pass this jobs bill, and companies will get a $4,000 tax credit if they hire
anyone who has spent more than six months looking for a job. (Applause.) We have
to do more to help the long-term unemployed in their search for work. This jobs
plan builds on a program in Georgia that several Republican leaders have
highlighted, where people who collect unemployment insurance participate in
temporary work as a way to build their skills while they look for a permanent
job. The plan also extends unemployment insurance for another year. (Applause.)
If the millions of unemployed Americans stopped getting this insurance, and
stopped using that money for basic necessities, it would be a devastating blow
to this economy. Democrats and Republicans in this chamber have supported
unemployment insurance plenty of times in the past. And in this time of
prolonged hardship, you should pass it again -- right away. (Applause.)
Pass this jobs bill, and the typical working family will get a $1,500 tax cut
next year. Fifteen hundred dollars that would have been taken out of your pocket
will go into your pocket. This expands on the tax cut that Democrats and
Republicans already passed for this year. If we allow that tax cut to expire --
if we refuse to act -- middle-class families will get hit with a tax increase at
the worst possible time. We can’t let that happen. I know that some of you have
sworn oaths to never raise any taxes on anyone for as long as you live. Now is
not the time to carve out an exception and raise middle-class taxes, which is
why you should pass this bill right away. (Applause.)
This is the American Jobs Act. It will lead to new jobs for construction
workers, for teachers, for veterans, for first responders, young people and the
long-term unemployed. It will provide tax credits to companies that hire new
workers, tax relief to small business owners, and tax cuts for the middle class.
And here’s the other thing I want the American people to know: The American Jobs
Act will not add to the deficit. It will be paid for. And here’s how.
(Applause.)
The agreement we passed in July will cut government spending by about $1
trillion over the next 10 years. It also charges this Congress to come up with
an additional $1.5 trillion in savings by Christmas. Tonight, I am asking you to
increase that amount so that it covers the full cost of the American Jobs Act.
And a week from Monday, I’ll be releasing a more ambitious deficit plan -- a
plan that will not only cover the cost of this jobs bill, but stabilize our debt
in the long run. (Applause.)
This approach is basically the one I’ve been advocating for months. In addition
to the trillion dollars of spending cuts I’ve already signed into law, it’s a
balanced plan that would reduce the deficit by making additional spending cuts,
by making modest adjustments to health care programs like Medicare and Medicaid,
and by reforming our tax code in a way that asks the wealthiest Americans and
biggest corporations to pay their fair share. (Applause.) What’s more, the
spending cuts wouldn’t happen so abruptly that they’d be a drag on our economy,
or prevent us from helping small businesses and middle-class families get back
on their feet right away.
Now, I realize there are some in my party who don’t think we should make any
changes at all to Medicare and Medicaid, and I understand their concerns. But
here’s the truth: Millions of Americans rely on Medicare in their retirement.
And millions more will do so in the future. They pay for this benefit during
their working years. They earn it. But with an aging population and rising
health care costs, we are spending too fast to sustain the program. And if we
don’t gradually reform the system while protecting current beneficiaries, it
won’t be there when future retirees need it. We have to reform Medicare to
strengthen it. (Applause.)
I am also -- I’m also well aware that there are many Republicans who don’t
believe we should raise taxes on those who are most fortunate and can best
afford it. But here is what every American knows: While most people in this
country struggle to make ends meet, a few of the most affluent citizens and most
profitable corporations enjoy tax breaks and loopholes that nobody else gets.
Right now, Warren Buffett pays a lower tax rate than his secretary -- an outrage
he has asked us to fix. (Laughter.) We need a tax code where everyone gets a
fair shake and where everybody pays their fair share. (Applause.) And by the
way, I believe the vast majority of wealthy Americans and CEOs are willing to do
just that if it helps the economy grow and gets our fiscal house in order.
I’ll also offer ideas to reform a corporate tax code that stands as a monument
to special interest influence in Washington. By eliminating pages of loopholes
and deductions, we can lower one of the highest corporate tax rates in the
world. (Applause.) Our tax code should not give an advantage to companies that
can afford the best-connected lobbyists. It should give an advantage to
companies that invest and create jobs right here in the United States of
America. (Applause.)
So we can reduce this deficit, pay down our debt, and pay for this jobs plan in
the process. But in order to do this, we have to decide what our priorities are.
We have to ask ourselves, “What’s the best way to grow the economy and create
jobs?”
Should we keep tax loopholes for oil companies? Or should we use that money to
give small business owners a tax credit when they hire new workers? Because we
can’t afford to do both. Should we keep tax breaks for millionaires and
billionaires? Or should we put teachers back to work so our kids can graduate
ready for college and good jobs? (Applause.) Right now, we can’t afford to do
both.
This isn’t political grandstanding. This isn’t class warfare. This is simple
math. (Laughter.) This is simple math. These are real choices. These are real
choices that we’ve got to make. And I’m pretty sure I know what most Americans
would choose. It’s not even close. And it’s time for us to do what’s right for
our future. (Applause.)
Now, the American Jobs Act answers the urgent need to create jobs right away.
But we can’t stop there. As I’ve argued since I ran for this office, we have to
look beyond the immediate crisis and start building an economy that lasts into
the future -- an economy that creates good, middle-class jobs that pay well and
offer security. We now live in a world where technology has made it possible for
companies to take their business anywhere. If we want them to start here and
stay here and hire here, we have to be able to out-build and out-educate and
out-innovate every other country on Earth. (Applause.)
And this task of making America more competitive for the long haul, that’s a job
for all of us. For government and for private companies. For states and for
local communities -- and for every American citizen. All of us will have to up
our game. All of us will have to change the way we do business.
My administration can and will take some steps to improve our competitiveness on
our own. For example, if you’re a small business owner who has a contract with
the federal government, we’re going to make sure you get paid a lot faster than
you do right now. (Applause.) We’re also planning to cut away the red tape that
prevents too many rapidly growing startup companies from raising capital and
going public. And to help responsible homeowners, we’re going to work with
federal housing agencies to help more people refinance their mortgages at
interest rates that are now near 4 percent. That’s a step -- (applause) -- I
know you guys must be for this, because that’s a step that can put more than
$2,000 a year in a family’s pocket, and give a lift to an economy still burdened
by the drop in housing prices.
So, some things we can do on our own. Other steps will require congressional
action. Today you passed reform that will speed up the outdated patent process,
so that entrepreneurs can turn a new idea into a new business as quickly as
possible. That’s the kind of action we need. Now it’s time to clear the way for
a series of trade agreements that would make it easier for American companies to
sell their products in Panama and Colombia and South Korea -– while also helping
the workers whose jobs have been affected by global competition. (Applause.) If
Americans can buy Kias and Hyundais, I want to see folks in South Korea driving
Fords and Chevys and Chryslers. (Applause.) I want to see more products sold
around the world stamped with the three proud words: “Made in America.” That’s
what we need to get done. (Applause.)
And on all of our efforts to strengthen competitiveness, we need to look for
ways to work side by side with America’s businesses. That’s why I’ve brought
together a Jobs Council of leaders from different industries who are developing
a wide range of new ideas to help companies grow and create jobs.
Already, we’ve mobilized business leaders to train 10,000 American engineers a
year, by providing company internships and training. Other businesses are
covering tuition for workers who learn new skills at community colleges. And
we’re going to make sure the next generation of manufacturing takes root not in
China or Europe, but right here, in the United States of America. (Applause) If
we provide the right incentives, the right support -- and if we make sure our
trading partners play by the rules -- we can be the ones to build everything
from fuel-efficient cars to advanced biofuels to semiconductors that we sell all
around the world. That’s how America can be number one again. And that’s how
America will be number one again. (Applause.)
Now, I realize that some of you have a different theory on how to grow the
economy. Some of you sincerely believe that the only solution to our economic
challenges is to simply cut most government spending and eliminate most
government regulations. (Applause.)
Well, I agree that we can’t afford wasteful spending, and I’ll work with you,
with Congress, to root it out. And I agree that there are some rules and
regulations that do put an unnecessary burden on businesses at a time when they
can least afford it. (Applause.) That’s why I ordered a review of all government
regulations. So far, we’ve identified over 500 reforms, which will save billions
of dollars over the next few years. (Applause.) We should have no more
regulation than the health, safety and security of the American people require.
Every rule should meet that common-sense test. (Applause.)
But what we can’t do -- what I will not do -- is let this economic crisis be
used as an excuse to wipe out the basic protections that Americans have counted
on for decades. (Applause.) I reject the idea that we need to ask people to
choose between their jobs and their safety. I reject the argument that says for
the economy to grow, we have to roll back protections that ban hidden fees by
credit card companies, or rules that keep our kids from being exposed to
mercury, or laws that prevent the health insurance industry from shortchanging
patients. I reject the idea that we have to strip away collective bargaining
rights to compete in a global economy. (Applause.) We shouldn’t be in a race to
the bottom, where we try to offer the cheapest labor and the worst pollution
standards. America should be in a race to the top. And I believe we can win that
race. (Applause.)
In fact, this larger notion that the only thing we can do to restore prosperity
is just dismantle government, refund everybody’s money, and let everyone write
their own rules, and tell everyone they’re on their own -- that’s not who we
are. That’s not the story of America.
Yes, we are rugged individualists. Yes, we are strong and self-reliant. And it
has been the drive and initiative of our workers and entrepreneurs that has made
this economy the engine and the envy of the world.
But there’s always been another thread running throughout our history -- a
belief that we’re all connected, and that there are some things we can only do
together, as a nation.
We all remember Abraham Lincoln as the leader who saved our Union. Founder of
the Republican Party. But in the middle of a civil war, he was also a leader who
looked to the future -- a Republican President who mobilized government to build
the Transcontinental Railroad -- (applause) -- launch the National Academy of
Sciences, set up the first land grant colleges. (Applause.) And leaders of both
parties have followed the example he set.
Ask yourselves -- where would we be right now if the people who sat here before
us decided not to build our highways, not to build our bridges, our dams, our
airports? What would this country be like if we had chosen not to spend money on
public high schools, or research universities, or community colleges? Millions
of returning heroes, including my grandfather, had the opportunity to go to
school because of the G.I. Bill. Where would we be if they hadn’t had that
chance? (Applause.)
How many jobs would it have cost us if past Congresses decided not to support
the basic research that led to the Internet and the computer chip? What kind of
country would this be if this chamber had voted down Social Security or Medicare
just because it violated some rigid idea about what government could or could
not do? (Applause.) How many Americans would have suffered as a result?
No single individual built America on their own. We built it together. We have
been, and always will be, one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and
justice for all; a nation with responsibilities to ourselves and with
responsibilities to one another. And members of Congress, it is time for us to
meet our responsibilities. (Applause.)
Every proposal I’ve laid out tonight is the kind that’s been supported by
Democrats and Republicans in the past. Every proposal I’ve laid out tonight will
be paid for. And every proposal is designed to meet the urgent needs of our
people and our communities.
Now, I know there’s been a lot of skepticism about whether the politics of the
moment will allow us to pass this jobs plan -- or any jobs plan. Already, we’re
seeing the same old press releases and tweets flying back and forth. Already,
the media has proclaimed that it’s impossible to bridge our differences. And
maybe some of you have decided that those differences are so great that we can
only resolve them at the ballot box.
But know this: The next election is 14 months away. And the people who sent us
here -- the people who hired us to work for them -- they don’t have the luxury
of waiting 14 months. (Applause.) Some of them are living week to week, paycheck
to paycheck, even day to day. They need help, and they need it now.
I don’t pretend that this plan will solve all our problems. It should not be,
nor will it be, the last plan of action we propose. What’s guided us from the
start of this crisis hasn’t been the search for a silver bullet. It’s been a
commitment to stay at it -- to be persistent -- to keep trying every new idea
that works, and listen to every good proposal, no matter which party comes up
with it.
Regardless of the arguments we’ve had in the past, regardless of the arguments
we will have in the future, this plan is the right thing to do right now. You
should pass it. (Applause.) And I intend to take that message to every corner of
this country. (Applause.) And I ask -- I ask every American who agrees to lift
your voice: Tell the people who are gathered here tonight that you want action
now. Tell Washington that doing nothing is not an option. Remind us that if we
act as one nation and one people, we have it within our power to meet this
challenge.
President Kennedy once said, “Our problems are man-made –- therefore they can be
solved by man. And man can be as big as he wants.”
These are difficult years for our country. But we are Americans. We are tougher
than the times we live in, and we are bigger than our politics have been. So
let’s meet the moment. Let’s get to work, and let’s show the world once again
why the United States of America remains the greatest nation on Earth.
(Applause.)
Thank you very much. God bless you, and God bless the United States of America.
(Applause.)
Transcript: Obama’s Speech to Congress on Jobs, NYT,
8.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/us/politics/09text-obama-jobs-speech.html
A Bad
Call on Ozone
September
2, 2011
The New York Times
President
Obama’s decision not to proceed with stronger air-quality standards governing
ozone is a setback for public health and the environment and a victory for
industry and its Republican friends in Congress.
In a terse, three-paragraph statement Friday morning, the president said he did
not want to burden industry with new rules at a time of great economic
uncertainty, and he pledged to revisit the issue in two years. But since the
proposed rules would not have begun to bite for several years, his decision
seemed driven more than anything else by politics and his own re-election
campaign.
Ozone is the main component of smog, a leading cause of respiratory and other
diseases. The standards governing allowable ozone levels of ozone in communities
across the country have not changed since 1997. In 2008, the Bush administration
proposed a new standard that was a good deal weaker than the recommendations of
the E.P.A.’s science advisers and were promptly challenged in courts by state
governments and environmental groups.
This summer, Lisa Jackson, the administrator of the Environmental Protection
Agency, sent a new and stronger standard to the White House — igniting a fierce
lobbying campaign by industry groups asserting that the standards would require
impossibly costly investments in new pollution controls and throw people out of
work. Industry has made these arguments before. They almost always turn out to
be exaggerated.
The president sought to assuage Ms. Jackson by reminding her that a host of
other environmental rules approved or in the works — including mandating cleaner
cars and fewer power plant emissions of mercury and other pollutants — would do
much to clean the air. All true. But there is still no excuse for compromising
on public health and allowing politics to trump science.
A Bad Call on Ozone, NYT, 2.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/03/opinion/a-bad-call-on-ozone.html
Obama
Administration Abandons Stricter Air-Quality Rules
September
2, 2011
The New York Times
By JOHN M. BRODER
WASHINGTON
— President Obama abandoned a contentious new air pollution rule on Friday,
buoying business interests that had lobbied heavily against it, angering
environmentalists who called the move a betrayal and unnerving his own top
environmental regulators.
The president rejected a proposed rule from the Environmental Protection Agency
that would have significantly reduced emissions of smog-causing chemicals,
saying that it would impose too severe a burden on industry and local
governments at a time of economic distress.
Business groups and Republicans in Congress had complained that meeting the new
standard, which governs emissions of so-called ground-level ozone, would cost
billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of jobs.
The White House announcement came barely an hour after another weak jobs report
from the Labor Department and in the midst of an intensifying political debate
over the impact of federal regulations on job creation that is already a major
focus of the presidential campaign.
The president is planning a major address next week on new measures to stimulate
employment. Republicans in Congress and on the campaign trail have harshly
criticized a number of the administration’s environmental and health
regulations, which they say are depressing hiring and forcing the export of
jobs.
The E.P.A., following the recommendation of its scientific advisers, had
proposed lowering the so-called ozone standard of 75 parts per billion, set at
the end of the Bush administration, to a stricter standard of 60 to 70 parts per
billion. The change would have thrown hundreds of American counties out of
compliance with the Clean Air Act and required a major enforcement effort by
state and local officials, as well as new emissions controls at industries
across the country.
The administration will try to follow the more lenient Bush administration
standard set in 2008 until a scheduled reconsideration of acceptable pollution
limits in 2013. Environmental advocates vowed on Friday to challenge that
standard in court, saying it is too weak to protect public health adequately.
Ozone, when combined with other compounds to form smog, contributes to a variety
of ailments, including heart problems, asthma and other lung disorders.
Lisa P. Jackson, the E.P.A. administrator, has pushed hard for a tougher ozone
standard, telling associates that it was one of the most important regulatory
initiatives she would handle during her tenure. But she found herself on the
losing end of a fight with top White House economic and political advisers, who
were persuaded by industry arguments that the 2008 ozone rule was due to be
reviewed in two years anyway and who were concerned about the impact on state,
local and tribal governments that would bear much of the burden of compliance.
The impact would have been felt heavily in a band of Midwest and Great Plains
states that are not themselves major sources of ozone pollution and that will be
critical 2012 electoral battlegrounds.
In a statement, the president reiterated his commitment to environmental
concerns, but added: “At the same time, I have continued to underscore the
importance of reducing regulatory burdens and regulatory uncertainty,
particularly as our economy continues to recover. With that in mind, and after
careful consideration, I have requested that Administrator Jackson withdraw the
draft Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards at this time.”
In words of reassurance directed at Ms. Jackson and the agency she heads, the
president said that his commitment to the work of the agency was “unwavering.”
“And my administration will continue to vigorously oppose efforts to weaken
E.P.A.’s authority under the Clean Air Act or dismantle the progress we have
made,” he said.
Ms. Jackson accepted the White House decision with a terse statement: “We will
revisit the ozone standard, in compliance with the Clean Air Act.”
She pointed with pride to the administration’s record of establishing a range of
other air quality safeguards for power plants, manufacturing facilities and
vehicles that will also help to reduce ozone pollution across the country.
Ms. Jackson had made clear her intention to follow her scientific advisers and
set a new standard within the more restrictive range by the end of this year.
She has told associates that her success in addressing this problem would be a
reflection of her ability to perform her job. The agency sent the now-rejected
standards to the White House in July with the expectation that they would be
issued by Aug. 31.
While some senior agency officials expressed disappointment with the decision,
they also said they understood that it was their job to offer their best
technical advice to the White House and that the ultimate decision rested with
the president, who has to stand for re-election and consider other factors.
Reaction from environmental advocates ranged from disappointment to fury, with
several noting that in just the past month the administration had tentatively
approved drilling in the Arctic, given an environmental green light to the
1,700-mile Keystone XL oil pipeline from Alberta, Canada, to Texas and opened 20
million more acres of the Gulf of Mexico to drilling.
Daniel J. Weiss, senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, said,
“Today’s announcement from the White House that they will retreat from
implementing the much-needed — and long-overdue — ozone pollution standard is
deeply disappointing and grants an item on Big Oil’s wish list at the expense of
the health of children, seniors and the infirm.” The center is a liberal
research group with close ties to the White House.
Bill McKibben, an activist leading a two-week White House protest against the
pipeline project which has resulted in more than 1,000 arrests, said that the
latest move was “flabbergasting.”
“Somehow we need to get back the president we thought we elected in 2008,” he
said.
Cass R. Sunstein, who leads the White House office that reviews all major
regulations, said he was carefully scrutinizing proposed rules across the
government to ensure that they are cost efficient and based on the best current
science. He said in a letter to Ms. Jackson that the studies on which the
E.P.A.’s proposed rule is based were completed in 2006 and that new assessments
were already under way.
The issue had become a flashpoint between the administration and Republicans in
Congress, who held up the proposed ozone rule as a test of the White House’s
commitment to regulatory reform and job creation. Imposing the new rule before
the 2012 election would have created political problems for the administration
and for Democrats nationwide seeking election in a brittle economy.
Leaders of major business groups — including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the
National Association of Manufacturers, the American Petroleum Institute and the
Business Roundtable — met with Ms. Jackson and with top White House officials
this summer seeking to moderate, delay or kill the rule. They told William M.
Daley, the White House chief of staff, that the rule would be very costly to
industry and would hurt Mr. Obama’s chances for a second term.
John Engler, a former governor of Michigan and chairman of the Business
Roundtable, said Friday in a statement: “Creating U.S. jobs and providing more
economic certainty for all Americans, especially on the heels of today’s news
that the U.S. unemployment rate remains persistently high, is our greatest
challenge. If President Obama’s speech next week is as positive as this decision
was today, it will be a success.”
Representative Eric Cantor, the majority leader, said this week that the House
would review the ozone rule, which he called the most onerous of all proposed
regulations.
“This effective ban or restriction on construction and industrial growth for
much of America is possibly the most harmful of all the currently anticipated
Obama administration regulations,” Mr. Cantor wrote. He said that the impact
would be felt across the economy and cost as much as $1 trillion and millions of
jobs over the next decade.
Leslie Kaufman
contributed reporting from New York.
Obama Administration Abandons Stricter Air-Quality Rules,
NYT, 2.9.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/03/science/earth/03air.html
With
Katrina in Mind,
Obama
Administration Says It’s Ready for Irene
August 27,
2011
The New York Times
By ERIC LIPTON
WASHINGTON
— Determined to avoid any comparisons with the federal government’s failed
response to Hurricane Katrina, the Obama administration made a public display
Saturday of the range of its efforts to make sure officials in the
storm-drenched states had whatever help they needed from Washington.
President Obama, who returned to Washington a day early from his summer vacation
on Martha’s Vineyard, visited the headquarters of the Federal Emergency
Management Agency shortly after noon. While there, he checked in on the National
Response Coordination Center, a 24-hour command center based at FEMA, where
dozens of federal employees from a range of agencies were assembled around the
clock to help orchestrate the response to Hurricane Irene.
On wall-size television monitors, they keep track of the storm’s progress and
are able to turn up or down the volume of the federal government’s response, by
directing the various federal agency representatives who are there to pass on
updates to their bosses.
“You guys are doing a great job, obviously,” Mr. Obama said during his brief
visit. “This is obviously going to be touch and go.”
Even before the storm made landfall, Mr. Obama had declared a federal emergency
for Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York,
North Carolina, Rhode Island and Virginia, clearing the way for federal
financing and support to respond to the hurricane.
While still at FEMA headquarters, Mr. Obama joined a video conference of state
and local officials in the regions expecting to be hit by the storm.
“It’s going to be a long 72 hours,” Mr. Obama said during the conference.
The bulk of the responsibility in advance of any hurricane rests with local and
state governments, which are in charge of evacuation orders and preparations for
flooding or other storm damage. But federal agencies must be ready in advance to
provide any requested assistance, as they ultimately did in Louisiana and
Mississippi in 2005 during Hurricane Katrina. But during that storm, they were
often unable to quickly answer the requests.
To avoid such a repeat on Saturday, FEMA had 18 disaster incident response teams
in place in coastal states and had stockpiles of food, water and mobile
communications equipment ready to go. The Coast Guard had more than 20 rescue
helicopters and reconnaissance planes in East Coast air stations ready to take
off.
The Defense Department has another 18 helicopters in the Northeast set aside for
response, and it has coordinated with states along the storm path to ensure that
about 101,000 National Guard members are available, if necessary.
Defense Secretary Leon Panetta issued a “prepare to deploy” order for 6,500
active duty military on Saturday to support the hurricane response. No troops
have yet been deployed, as the National Guard, under the command of state
officials, typically is the first called out to help in disasters.
As of Friday, the American Red Cross had positioned more than 200 emergency
response vehicles and tens of thousands of ready-to-eat meals in areas in the
path of the storm.
FEMA has moved onto the Internet and into social media in a big way, too, with
Craig Fugate, the FEMA director, posting several times an hour from his account,
@CraigatFEMA, to deliver updates on the agency’s response and the status of the
storm.
“The category of the storm does not tell the whole story,” Mr. Fugate wrote
Saturday morning, after Hurricane Irene was downgraded to a Category 1 storm but
was still considered dangerous. “Some of our nation’s worst flooding came from
tropical storms.”
The agency even released new software for Android cellphones that allows the
public to monitor information on how to prepare for a hurricane, and if
necessary, to apply for disaster assistance, which bogged down in the aftermath
of Hurricane Katrina.
At a news conference Saturday morning at FEMA headquarters in Washington, the
Homeland Security secretary, Janet Napolitano, said that as the storm was making
its first contact on the East Coast, she knew of no outstanding requests to the
federal government for assistance from state or local governments.
“None of them have reported any unmet needs right now,” she said. “But we really
are at the beginning of this storm response. We are basically at the end of the
preparation phase.”
Ms. Napolitano urged people along the path of the storm to heed warnings to
evacuate, even though the storm continued to lose some of its intensity.
“Irene remains a large and dangerous storm,” she said. “People need to take it
seriously. People need to be prepared.”
Mr. Fugate, the FEMA director, said that the heavy rains and tornadoes that
might accompany Hurricane Irene were not reflected in its Category 1 status, so
people should not let down their guard.
“Until we actually get the impacts, we are not going to know how bad areas are
getting hit,” Mr. Fugate said.
Mr. Fugate said the early reports of widespread power failures — as of 1 p.m. on
Saturday an estimated 400,000 homes and businesses were without power, The
Associated Press reported — suggested that federal agencies would be called on
to help out.
Bill Read, the director of the National Hurricane Center, said that as of
Saturday morning the storm was moving north-northeast at about 15 miles per hour
and that he expected to see a storm surge along the coasts of between 5 and 9
feet — more than enough to cause severe flooding.
Mr. Read said there could also be as much as 15 inches of rain in North Carolina
before the storm clears and 5 to 10 inches of rain across the Mid-Atlantic and
into New England, which could cause major flooding and tree damage, even inland,
as the ground is already saturated from recent heavy rains.
With Katrina in Mind, Obama Administration Says It’s Ready
for Irene, NYT, 27.8.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/28/us/28obama-1.html
Obama
Tries to Reclaim Momentum With Midwest Bus Tour
August 15,
2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER
CANNON
FALLS, Minn. — For most of the summer, President Obama has been under siege in
the White House. On Monday, he became a road warrior, kicking off a three-day
bus tour of the Midwest that provided him campaign-style opportunities to strike
back at Republicans in a region vital to his re-election.
Traveling in a black bus with dark tinted windows and flashing red and blue
lights that looked like something out of a “Mad Max” movie, the president urged
audiences in Minnesota and Iowa to tell their elected officials they would no
longer tolerate the partisan gridlock on display in the recent debt-ceiling
talks.
“You’ve got to send a message to Washington that it is time for the games to
stop,” he told a crowd of 500 under a canopy of elm and black walnut trees here.
“It’s time to put country first,” he said, recycling a line used by his
Republican opponent in the 2008 presidential race, Senator John McCain of
Arizona.
The tour did not quite match the jaunty charm of bus trips by would-be
presidents, including Mr. Obama himself. But in his appearance here, and later
at a more freewheeling one at an Iowa seed exchange, he struck themes intended
to appeal to moderate and independent voters, while drawing sharp contrasts with
Republicans.
“I’m here to enlist you in a fight,” said Mr. Obama, tieless and in
shirt-sleeves. He called on the crowd to demand leaders who choose “the next
generation over the next election.”
When Congress reconvenes next month, he said, he hoped it would move swiftly to
lift the nation’s fragile economy.
The three-state swing, which included impromptu stops at a school and a coffee
shop where Mr. Obama loaded up on apple and pumpkin pie, is an effort to reclaim
the initiative after a dismal summer in which the president was stymied on the
debt talks and then rebuked with a downgrade of the country’s credit rating.
At his first stop in Iowa, Mr. Obama said he would have work ready for Congress
when it returned from its recess.
“I’ll be putting forward when they come back in September a very specific plan
to boost the economy, to create jobs and to control our deficit,” he said. “And
my attitude is get it done.”
The Midwest trip is also putting Mr. Obama center stage in places where the
Republican campaign for the presidency is heating up, and at a time when the
president’s approval ratings are at an all-time low. Republicans held a straw
poll Saturday in Ames, Iowa, that was won by Representative Michelle Bachmann of
Minnesota, and on Monday Gov. Rick Perry of Texas stumped in Iowa.
The president took a few shots at the Republican field, noting with an
incredulous tone that none of the candidates, when asked at a debate, said they
would support a deficit-reduction plan that included one dollar of tax increases
for every $10 of spending cuts. “That’s just not common sense,” he said.
Mr. Obama also obliquely criticized Mitt Romney, noting that Republicans had
supported health-care plans that contained individual mandates — as Mr. Romney
did while governor of Massachusetts, and as Mr. Obama’s health-care plan does —
only to disavow them later in what he described as a case of “amnesia.”
The president’s itinerary is giving him a homespun backdrop for his hard-edged
message, taking him past family farms and through fly-speck towns like Peosta,
Iowa, (population 1,377) and Alpha, Ill. (pop. 671) .
Standing before a red barn bathed in a rosy evening sun in Decorah, Iowa, Mr.
Obama had a lively back-and-forth with a supportive, but often challenging,
crowd. One young woman asked whether his backers could be confident he would not
break their trust by cutting deals with Republicans on taxes and entitlements,
given what she said were his negotiating tactics on the debt ceiling that “cut
away at that trust.”
Mr. Obama replied that the collateral economic damage from a national default
would simply have been too great for him not to find a compromise with
Republicans.
Another woman quizzed him on how he planned to get his economic agenda through
Congress in September, given the lack of Republican cooperation. Mr. Obama said
he understood the public’s frustration with Washington because, he declared,
“the other side is unreasonable.”
Other people were more sympathetic. In Cannon Falls, David Hauge, 77, a farmer,
said, “People have got to remember how close we were to utter chaos” when Mr.
Obama took office. Mr. Hauge said he was baffled by the no-new-taxes pledge
taken by many Republicans, adding, “I can’t imagine what it’s like to negotiate
with them.”
For a trip conceived as an economic tour, the choice of stops was curious.
Cannon Falls and the other towns visited by Mr. Obama are faring better than
much of the country, with lower unemployment rates.
White House officials said the point was to take the president to bucolic places
not easily reached by Air Force One. Last week, they noted, he visited Michigan,
a state that typifies the miseries of industrial America.
Certainly, this riverfront town hummed with excitement when Mr. Obama’s caravan
rumbled through. Crowds lined the streets and massed in front of the Old Market
Deli, where he had lunch with five military veterans. Smaller groups clustered
in lawn chairs in Decorah.
At the Coffee Mill in Zumbrota, Minn., Mr. Obama approached the pie case with a
finger pressed to his lips. His order included a coconut cream pie, which he
handed off to an aide. He stopped again at an elementary school and posed for
pictures with children in brightly colored shirts.
While the White House billed all this as a presidential visit, the line between
that and a campaign event is fine: loudspeakers blared standard Obama campaign
anthems by U2 and Brooks & Dunn. Mr. Obama also spent a lot of time promoting
his administration’s commitment to rural America, talking about plans to develop
alternative fuels, erect windmills and extend broadband networks to remote
farms.
Still, those visions took a back seat to the shadows over the economy. The
president pleaded for patience, saying that the United States had been dealt a
string of bad luck but that the job market would recover in time.
He offered mostly familiar remedies like extending the reduction in payroll
taxes and winning Congressional approval of free trade agreements. Officials
played down hopes for major announcements on this trip.
“I know you’re frustrated,” Mr. Obama said, “and I’m frustrated, too.”
Obama Tries to Reclaim Momentum With Midwest Bus Tour,
NYT, 15.8.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/16/us/politics/16obama.html
Debt
Fight Over, Obama Promises Action on Jobs
August 2,
2011
The New York Times
By MARK LANDLER and JEFF ZELENY
WASHINGTON
— Having ceded considerable ground to Republicans in the debt ceiling fight,
President Obama set out Tuesday to reclaim the initiative on the economy,
promising a new effort to spur job creation while seeking to position himself as
a proven voice of reason in an era of ideological overreach.
After being cloistered in Washington for a month haggling with Congressional
leaders, Mr. Obama will embark on a bus tour of the Midwest the week of Aug. 15
— a chance to show his commitment to reviving the economy in a region of
important electoral battlegrounds, and to turn the page from the tangled, often
toxic, debate in the capital.
On the policy front, Mr. Obama shifted quickly to pushing Congress to adopt a
raft of familiar measures to stimulate the flagging economy, including extending
the payroll tax suspension for workers, beefing up benefits for the unemployed,
approving trade agreements and investing in infrastructure projects.
“While deficit reduction is part of that agenda, it is not the whole agenda,” a
grim-faced Mr. Obama said in the Rose Garden moments after the Senate approved
the debt limit deal. “Growing the economy isn’t just about cutting spending.” He
later added: “That’s not how we’re going to get past this recession. We’re going
to have to do more than that.”
But the debt ceiling plan, with its emphasis on cutting government spending,
underscores the constrained atmosphere in which Mr. Obama is operating. While he
promised on Tuesday to present new ideas to encourage companies to hire workers,
a senior aide acknowledged that Mr. Obama had no “magic beads.”
And given the polarized climate on Capitol Hill, winning legislative approval of
his initiatives, already daunting in most cases, will be that much more
challenging.
Mr. Obama’s embrace of deficit reduction provides him an opportunity to help win
back the independent voters who were crucial to his victory in 2008. But the
president may need to do some repair work with Democrats angered by the deep
cuts in the plan — and a perception, held by some liberals, that Mr. Obama was
rolled by the Republicans in the House.
On Wednesday, he will attend a Democratic fund-raiser in Chicago on the eve of
his 50th birthday, his first chance since the end of the debt showdown to frame
a contrast with the Republicans in a purely political environment.
“There are parts of the base that are discouraged,” Ted Strickland, a former
Democratic governor of Ohio, said in an interview. “I don’t know that it’s the
result of any personal animosity toward the president, but going forward it’s
going to be important for him to inspire us, lead us, challenge us and be a real
leader.”
White House officials dispute that the president is in trouble with Democratic
voters, whom they say support the debt compromise by solid margins. But there
was considerable fence-mending among important Democratic constituency groups.
On Tuesday morning, Mr. Obama met with leaders of the A.F.L.-C.I.O. at the White
House, while other Democrats scrambled to explain the positive aspects of the
deal to influence liberal groups.
Compared with previous landmark legislation, Mr. Obama was uncharacteristically
low key in the wake of the Senate vote, in effect keeping the deal at arm’s
length. He signed the bill, known as the Budget Control Act of 2011, into law in
the Oval Office, with only a few advisers watching and no Congressional leaders
on hand. Only a White House photographer recorded the moment. Aside from his
remarks in the Rose Garden, he gave no interviews.
While Mr. Obama is hitting the road, White House officials said he would not
promote the deal, about which he himself has said he has qualms. If anything, he
seems likely to let the matter drop for at least a few days. As one senior aide
said, “You want to let the acid out of the air after it’s over.”
Still, heading into an election year, Mr. Obama’s advisers say he will be able
to point to his role in the debt negotiations as proof of his ability to be a
mature, responsible leader who is able to rise above Washington’s relentlessly
partisan fray. The president alluded to that on Tuesday, saying it should not
take a “timer ticking down” to disaster to get Republicans and Democrats to work
together.
“Voters may have chosen divided government,” Mr. Obama said, “but they sure
didn’t vote for dysfunctional government.”
David Axelrod, one of Mr. Obama’s closest advisers, said the negotiations showed
that “he’s been willing throughout the presidency to forgo scoring the cheap
political point to serve the larger interest.”
After Labor Day, the White House also plans to hold town-hall-style meetings
where Mr. Obama can talk about the issues, like Medicare and Medicaid, that
dominated the recent fiscal debate and will resurface again when a Congressional
committee convenes to hash out a second set of deficit-cutting measures. The
president will also challenge Republicans to propose their own ideas for
reviving the job market.
Mr. Obama’s willingness to engage in serious deficit reduction, aides said,
could buy him credibility for his other economic proposals. But Mr. Obama is
unlikely to unveil any major new stimulus proposals, since he has exhausted most
of the obvious policy options.
“Did he just find a little bit of oxygen to pursue a portion of his economic
agenda?” said Jared Bernstein, a former chief economic adviser to Vice President
Joseph R. Biden Jr. “He may be able to move some helpful things, but even if he
can’t, he can certainly go out and push for them.”
The relief in the corridors of the West Wing that an economic calamity had been
averted was palpable. But few officials disputed that the deadlock had been a
costly distraction from the administration’s agenda. Party surveys show that Mr.
Obama has been sullied — along with all politicians in Washington — with
independent voters.
The vote tally in the House and the Senate, while stronger than many
administration officials had expected only days ago, underscored deep divisions
among Democrats across the country. In some states, there was a split between
urban and rural legislators, while in other battleground states, entire
delegations opposed the plan.
But Jim Messina, the manager of the president’s re-election bid, said the
discord among Democrats in Washington did not reflect what campaign officials
were hearing from rank-and-file supporters of the president through nightly
telephone calls and door-knocking.
“There’s a lot of enthusiasm, and I don’t see anything as contentious as this
coming down the pike in terms of an intraparty situation,” said David Plouffe, a
senior adviser to the president. “There will be a unified, motivated and very
aggressive Democratic Party supporting the president next year.”
Debt Fight Over, Obama Promises Action on Jobs, NYT,
2.8.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/03/us/politics/03obama.html
Obama
administration to appeal healthcare ruling
ATLANTA |
Wed Jun 8, 2011
1:24am EDT
Reuters
By Matthew Bigg
ATLANTA
(Reuters) - Lawyers for President Barack Obama will on Wednesday seek to stave
off the biggest legal challenge yet to healthcare reform, his signature domestic
policy achievement.
The administration will present oral arguments as it appeals a ruling by a
Florida judge who declared the Affordable Care Act unconstitutional, backing
claims by 26 U.S. states that are seeking repeal.
A three-judge panel at the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals in Atlanta will hear
oral arguments by both sides. While a Virginia appeals court heard a similar
case in May, this case is significant because of the number of states backing
it.
No ruling is expected for months and legal experts expect an appeal to the
Supreme Court, regardless of which side wins.
The law aims to increase access to healthcare and slow the growth in costs. The
White House views it as a cornerstone of Obama's presidency. Republicans say it
will send costs soaring and represents intrusive government power especially
because it mandates all individuals to buy health insurance.
They plan to make their campaign for repeal a pillar of efforts to defeat Obama
at presidential elections in 2012.
"Opponents of reform claim that the law's individual responsibility provision
exceeds Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce because it penalizes
'inactivity.' They are wrong," the White House said on its blog on Tuesday.
"Individuals who choose to go without health insurance are actively making an
economic decision that affects all of us," it said of the provision to fine
Americans who do not buy insurance, which comes into effect in 2014.
The 2010 law also allows young people to remain on their parents' health
insurance into their twenties and prevents insurers from denying coverage for
preexisting medical conditions.
Florida District Judge Roger Vinson ruled in January the entire law "must be
declared void" because its requirement to buy insurance is unconstitutional, but
put the ruling on hold pending appeal.
"The nation needs healthcare reform that's pursued constitutionally and in a way
that does not harm our economy and our taxpayers," Florida Attorney General Pam
Bondi said in a statement.
Chief Judge Joel Dubina, Judge Frank Hull and Judge Stanley Marcus will hear the
appeal. Analysts will watch their questions closely for clues as to how they
might rule.
Dubina was appointed by President George H. W. Bush, a Republican, while the
other two were appointed by President Bill Clinton, a Democrat.
Senior administration lawyer Neal Katyal will argue for the government, while
former Solicitor General Paul Clement will present Florida's case.
The case is State of Florida et al v. U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services et al. Its number is 11-11021.
(Editing by
Eric Walsh)
Obama administration to appeal healthcare ruling, R, 8.6.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/08/us-usa-healthcare-idUSTRE7570UI20110608
Obama
urges Bahrain hold rights abusers accountable
WASHINGTON
| Tue Jun 7, 2011
6:54pm EDT
Reuters
WASHINGTON
(Reuters) - President Barack Obama on Tuesday urged Bahrain's rulers to hold
accountable those responsible for human rights abuses in a crackdown on
pro-democracy protests and pressed for compromise between the government and the
opposition.
Obama, in a White House meeting with Crown Prince Sheikh Salman bin Hamad
al-Khalifa, voiced support for moves toward a national dialogue and insisted the
stability of the Gulf kingdom "depends upon respect for universal human rights,"
the White House said.
The meeting came after King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa, whose Sunni Muslim family
rules over the majority Shi'ite population, offered on May 31 to open a dialogue
on reform and on June 1 lifted a state of emergency used to break up protests
inspired by uprisings elsewhere in the Arab world.
Bahrain, home to the U.S. Navy's Fifth Fleet, called in security forces from
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab countries in March to quash the demonstrations,
accusing the protesters of having a sectarian agenda and help from Shi'ite power
Iran. The opposition deny this.
Critics have said the United States and other Western nations reacted too softly
to the crackdown in Bahrain, which is seen as a vital U.S. ally facing Iran.
Bahraini Shi'ite clerics accused police on Tuesday of violating religious
freedoms by breaking up weekend street festivals by majority Shi'ites that
police said activists had turned into political protests against the government.
A White House statement said Obama welcomed the Bahraini king's decision to end
martial law and the announcement that a national dialogue on reform would begin
in July. Obama also said, "Both the opposition and the government must
compromise to forge a just future for all Bahrainis."
"The president emphasized the importance of following through on the
government's commitment to ensuring that those responsible for human rights
abuses will be held accountable," the White House said.
Bahraini authorities unleashed a campaign of detention and dismissals during
martial law that has affected thousands of people who took part in the protests,
most of them Shi'ites. The opposition has expressed fear that repression will
continue despite the lifting of the emergency decree.
The crown prince used his Washington visit to repeat his support for reform. "It
is a great test but also a great opportunity to drive the nation forward," he
told reporters as he met Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. "We are committed
to reform in both the political and economic spheres."
(Reporting by
Alister Bull, Matt Spetalnick and Arshad Mohammed, editing by Cynthia Osterman)
Obama urges Bahrain hold rights abusers accountable, R,
7.6.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/07/us-usa-obama-bahrain-idUSTRE75676220110607
Obama
campaign sets goal of raising $60 million in quarter
CHICAGO |
Wed Jun 1, 2011
7:29pm EDT
Reuters
By Eric Johnson
CHICAGO
(Reuters) - President Barack Obama's campaign on Wednesday set a goal of raising
$60 million in the quarter to benefit Obama's reelection and the Democratic
National Committee, a source involved in the reelection campaign said.
Dozens of Democratic Party operatives and supporters from across the country
assembled in a downtown hotel on Wednesday for an early fundraising strategy
session.
The group, which was to include White House Chief of Staff Bill Daley and former
Director of the White House National Economic Council Lawrence Summers, laid out
their early strategy for raising more than $750 million to reelect the
Democratic incumbent.
"There was talk about why the President deserves to be reelected and why it is
important for us to make that happen," said a long-time Obama supporter who
attended the meetings.
Campaign Manager Jim Messina made public part of their strategy in an email
message to supporters on Wednesday.
"We decided we're ready to give for a second or third time -- if and only if
you're willing to make your first donation to the campaign right now," the
message said. "Right now there are thousands of folks willing to match whatever
amount you decide to give," the message read.
The strategy follows the campaign's grassroots style, Messina said, adding that
he recognizes easier paths to raking in campaign cash.
"Taking money from Washington lobbyists or special-interest PACs is the easy
path -- and every single one of our prospective opponents is racing down it.
That's not the kind of race we want to run."
Other fundraising meetings were held on Wednesday by Deputy Campaign Manager
Julianna Smoot and Rufus Gifford, the Obama 2012 Finance Chairman.
Other top Chicago Obama supporters and fundraisers were in attendance, including
real estate executive Penny Pritzker, who led fundraising for Obama in 2008, and
her 2012 replacement, former Ambassador to Sweden Matthew Barzun.
Republican White House hopeful Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor,
will formally announce on Thursday that he is in the race for the Republican
Party's nomination in 2012. He tops many national polls among Republican
candidates and has a solid fund-raising operation that raised $10 million in a
single day in May.
(Editing by
Greg McCune)
(This story was corrected to make clear the goal
is for the
quarter and not the month of June)
Obama campaign sets goal of raising $60 million in
quarter, R, 1.6.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/01/us-campaign-obama-idUSTRE7507M820110601
Analysis: Economy shadows Obama 2012 re-election hopes
WASHINGTON
| Wed Jun 1, 2011
5:21pm EDT
Reuters
By Patricia Zengerle
WASHINGTON
(Reuters) - Disappointing news on the economy -- the issue most important to
American voters -- has cast a cloud over President Barack Obama's hopes of
re-election next year.
Polls show the president favored to win the election, with his approval ratings
buoyed by foreign policy successes, most notably the killing of Osama bin Laden.
Obama has also benefited from the Republicans' failure so far to assemble a
field of strong presidential candidates, which has given him a head start on
building his campaign apparatus and raising millions of dollars to pay for it.
But the economy remains the major downside for Obama's 2012 prospects, with U.S.
economic growth at a tepid 1.8 percent annual rate in the first three months of
2011.
Economists do not foresee a sharp decline in the country's financial fortunes
before the November 2012 election, but a double-dip in home prices, the impact
of high gasoline prices on consumers and a slowdown in regional manufacturing
are raising concerns the current soft patch could become protracted.
"The economy is always part and parcel of people's general psyche as they walk
into the voting booth," said Neera Tanden, who was director of domestic policy
for Obama's 2008 campaign against Republican challenger John McCain.
Even an economic upturn, if it is not strong, might not be enough to boost the
Democrats, said Tanden, who is now with the Center for American Progress in
Washington.
"What's tricky about a recovering economy -- if we're in a time when we don't
have particularly high growth rates but we have good trends -- that's more of a
jump ball in terms of how people are approaching the option."
Private-sector payroll growth slowed sharply in May, falling to the lowest level
in eight months.
The closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday is likely to show unemployment
declined slightly to 8.9 percent in May from 9.0 percent in April.
"If economic growth slows, stays slow and unemployment is between 8.5 and 9
percent next fall, I'd hate to be running for re-election under those
circumstances," said William Galston of the Brookings Institution in Washington.
"Candidates and campaigns make a difference. But the candidates and campaigns
are structures erected on top of the fundamentals, and next year you don't
require a very clear crystal ball to see that the economic fundamentals will be
the most important fundamentals," he said.
Economists say the window of opportunity for Obama to significantly bring down
the 9 percent unemployment rate is narrowing. They say the economy must grow by
at least 3 percent each quarter to lower the jobless rate and the first
quarter's tepid growth rate is expected to be followed by a 2.5 percent to 3.3
percent rate in the second quarter.
WORRIES
OVER DEFICIT
Voters also are concerned about the U.S. budget deficit, which is expected to
hit $1.4 trillion this year and stay in the trillion-dollar range for several
years. Experts do not expect an agreement from Washington on a long-term,
comprehensive debt-reduction strategy before November 2012.
Vice President Joe Biden is leading talks with lawmakers over spending cuts that
could be folded into an agreement to raise the debt ceiling, the legal U.S.
borrowing limit, before August 2, when Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner has said
the government will run out of money to pay its bills.
"The overarching theme is going to be the economy and probably linked to that is
deficit reduction," Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said.
However, the deficit issue could cut both ways.
"The Republicans have a strong brand on budget cutting, and voters are worried
that it is going to go too far," said Ryan McConaghy, director of the economic
program at the centrist Third Way think tank. "They are concerned the
Republicans will slash and burn the budget, but they are not quite sold that
Democrats will go far enough."
A Democrat won what had been a Republican-held seat in the U.S. House of
Representatives in a special election in New York State last week, largely due
to voter concerns about a Republican plan to scale back the government's
Medicare health insurance for the elderly.
Republicans in Congress who swept to power in 2010 on promises that they would
steer the economy better than Obama and other Democrats have done since he took
office in 2009 could also suffer if the financial picture is weak.
"The challenge for Republicans is that people believe that they actually control
part of the government now, and they no longer have the luxury of the free ride
that they had in the first two years," Tanden said.
However, voters typically hold the president more accountable for the health of
the economy, which means that Obama will face more pressure to show that his
policies can boost employment. And Obama's fortunes will set the tone for his
party.
(Additional
reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Alistair Bell and Paul Simao)
Analysis: Economy shadows Obama 2012 re-election hopes, R,
1.6.2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/01/us-usa-campaign-obama-idUSTRE7505PU20110601
Employment Data May Be the Key to the President’s Job
June 1,
2011
The New York Times
By BINYAMIN APPELBAUM
WASHINGTON
— No American president since Franklin Delano Roosevelt has won a second term in
office when the unemployment rate on Election Day topped 7.2 percent.
Seventeen months before the next election, it is increasingly clear that
President Obama must defy that trend to keep his job.
Roughly 9 percent of Americans who want to go to work cannot find an employer.
Companies are firing fewer people, but hiring remains anemic. And the vast
majority of economic forecasters, including the president’s own advisers,
predict only modest progress by November 2012.
The latest job numbers, due Friday, are expected to provide new cause for
concern. Other indicators suggest the pace of growth is flagging. Weak
manufacturing data, a gloomy reading on jobs in advance of Friday’s report and a
drop in auto sales led the markets to their worst close since August, and those
declines carried over into Asia Thursday.
But the grim reality of widespread unemployment is drawing little response from
Washington. The Federal Reserve says it is all but tapped out. There is even
less reason to expect Congressional action. Both Democrats and Republicans see
clear steps to create jobs, but they are trying to walk in opposite directions
and are making little progress.
Republicans have set the terms of debate by pressing for large cuts in federal
spending, which they say will encourage private investment. Democrats have found
themselves battling to minimize and postpone such cuts, which they fear will
cause new job losses.
House Republicans told the president that they would not support new spending to
spur growth during a meeting at the White House on Wednesday.
“The discussion really focused on the philosophical difference on whether
Washington should continue to pump money into the economy or should we provide
an incentive for entrepreneurs and small businesses to grow,” said Eric Cantor,
the majority leader. “The president talked about a need for us to continue to
quote-unquote invest from Washington’s standpoint, and for a lot of us that’s
code for more Washington spending, something that we can’t afford right now.”
The White House, its possibilities constrained by the gridlock, has offered no
new grand plans. After agreeing to extend the Bush-era tax cuts and reducing the
payroll tax last December, the administration has focused on smaller ideas, like
streamlining corporate taxation and increasing American exports to Asia and
Latin America.
“It’s a very tough predicament,” said Jared Bernstein, who until April was
economic policy adviser to Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. “Is there any
political appetite for something that would resemble another large Keynesian
stimulus? Obviously no. You can say that’s what we should do and you’d probably
be right, but that’s pretty academic.”
More than 13.7 million Americans were unable to find work in April; most had
been seeking jobs for months. Millions more have stopped trying. Their inability
to earn money is a personal catastrophe; studies show that the chance of finding
new work slips away with time. It is also a strain on their families, charities
and public support programs.
The Federal Reserve, the nation’s central bank, has the means and the mandate to
reduce unemployment by pumping money into the economy.
As financial markets nearly collapsed in 2008, the Fed unleashed a series of
unprecedented programs, first to arrest the crisis and then to promote recovery,
investing more than $2 trillion. The final installment, a $600 billion
bond-buying program, ends in June.
Now, however, the leaders of the central bank say they are reluctant to do more.
The Fed’s chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, said in April that more money might not
increase growth, but there was a growing risk that it would accelerate
inflation.
Congress charged the Fed in 1978 with minimizing unemployment and inflation.
Those goals, however, are often in conflict, and the Fed has made clear that
inflation is its priority. Fed officials argue in part that maintaining slow,
steady inflation forms a basis for enduring economic expansion.
Eric S. Rosengren, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said in a
recent interview that the Fed had reached the limits of responsible policy.
“We’ve done things that are quite unusual. We’re using tools that we have less
experience with,” Mr. Rosengren said. “Most of the criticism has been that we’re
being too accommodative. That is a concern that we have to put some weight on.”
Heather Boushey, senior economist at the Center for American Progress, a liberal
research group, said that the Fed was being too cautious about inflation and too
callous about joblessness.
“We have a massive unemployment problem in this country right now. It is
festering. It’s not good for our economy. It’s not good for our society. And we
have the tools to fix it,” she said. “We certainly need to be concerned about
what happens down the road, but shouldn’t we first be concerned about getting
the U.S. economy back on track?”
Ten presidents have stood for re-election since Mr. Roosevelt. In four instances
the unemployment rate stood above 6 percent on Election Day. Three presidents
lost: Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush. But Ronald Reagan won,
despite 7.2 percent unemployment in November 1984, because the rate was falling
and voters decided he was fixing the problem.
The Obama administration hopes to tell a similar story.
“We have undertaken some of the biggest policy actions to create jobs that any
administration has ever done,” said Jason Furman, deputy director of the
National Economic Council, which advises the president on economic policy. Mr.
Furman said that the economy was still benefiting from last year’s tax cuts, and
from the dollop of federal stimulus spending that Democrats pushed through in
2009.
The White House is pursuing a number of smaller initiatives, like persuading
China to buy more American goods and services; increasing business confidence in
the health of the economy, to spur new investment; and striking a deal with
Republicans to overhaul corporate taxation.
It is also pushing to renew federal financing for transportation projects with
an important twist: The six-year plan would be front-loaded so that $50 billion
would be spent in the first year.
But Christina Romer, who headed the president’s Council of Economic Advisers
until fall 2010, said in a recent speech at Washington University in St. Louis
that no part of the government was addressing unemployment with sufficient
urgency or hope.
“Urgency, because unemployment is a tragedy that should not be tolerated a
minute longer,” she said. “And hope, because prudent and possible policies could
make a crucial difference.”
Jackie Calmes
contributed reporting.
Employment Data May Be the Key to the President’s Job,
NYT, 1.6.2011,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/02/business/economy/02jobs.html
|